{"id":601267,"league_id":8,"league":"Europa League","kickoff":1789585200,"home":"Olympiacos FC","away":"Jagiellonia Białystok","home_id":118,"away_id":420,"verdicts":[],"markets":[],"restored":true,"status":"finished","score":[2,1],"colors":{"home":null,"away":"#d11821"},"venue":null,"pulled":[],"published":[{"market":"double_chance","outcome":"1X","line":null,"odds":1.083,"bookmaker":"Bet365","model_prob":0.879,"narrative":"Double chance 1X at 1.08. Expected goals split 1.89 to 0.87, 2.76 in the match. The shape of that total is what this call reads. And a new manager at Olympiacos FC 2 matches ago means the market is still pricing the old side. That puts it at 88%, priced 1.08 — a high-probability call rather than a claim the market is wrong.","why":null,"result":"WON","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"landed","swing":2,"closeness":"clear","shape":null,"expected_total":null,"actual_total":3,"market":null,"opening_odds":null,"closing_odds":null,"line":"It landed with room to spare."}},{"market":"draw_no_bet","outcome":"HOME","line":null,"odds":1.11,"bookmaker":"Betano","model_prob":0.846835443037975,"narrative":"Home draw-no-bet at 1.11. For this to go wrong, Jagiellonia Białystok have to beat an expected 0.87 goals by some distance — which is the risk, stated plainly. Compounding it, recent results for Olympiacos FC were collected under someone else's instructions, which is the whole reason to discount them. Add it up and Olympiacos FC coming out on top if there is a winner is what this points to. We make it 85% at 1.11. Short, and short for a reason — the market has this one read the same way we do.","why":null,"result":"WON","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"landed","swing":1,"closeness":"knife-edge","shape":null,"expected_total":null,"actual_total":3,"market":null,"opening_odds":null,"closing_odds":null,"line":"One goal in it. Right, but there was nothing spare."}}]}