{"id":601264,"league_id":8,"league":"Europa League","kickoff":1789663500,"home":"OFI Crete","away":"TSG Hoffenheim","home_id":332,"away_id":86,"verdicts":[],"markets":[],"restored":true,"status":"finished","score":[2,0],"colors":{"home":"#999999","away":"#0c5797"},"venue":null,"pulled":[],"published":[{"market":"double_chance","outcome":"X2","line":null,"odds":1.1,"bookmaker":"BetVictor","model_prob":0.875,"narrative":"Double chance X2 at 1.10. For this to go wrong, OFI Crete have to beat an expected 1.71 goals by some distance — which is the risk, stated plainly. Take the lot together and TSG Hoffenheim avoiding defeat is the read. 88% on our numbers, 1.10 on the board. Both are saying the same thing, which is worth knowing and is not an edge.","why":null,"result":"LOST","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"missed","swing":2,"closeness":"clear","shape":null,"expected_total":null,"actual_total":2,"market":null,"opening_odds":null,"closing_odds":null,"line":"Wrong, and not close enough to call it unlucky."}},{"market":"over_under_15","outcome":"over","line":1.5,"odds":1.17,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle","model_prob":0.814,"narrative":"Over 1.5 goals at 1.17. The model reads this as a 3.01-goal match, and the call follows from that number rather than from either side. That is the case, and it ends at more than 1.5 goals in it. Call it 81%. Nothing in the pricing disagrees, so take this as a read on the match rather than on the odds.","why":null,"result":"WON","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"landed","swing":1,"closeness":"knife-edge","shape":null,"expected_total":null,"actual_total":2,"market":null,"opening_odds":null,"closing_odds":null,"line":"One goal in it. Right, but there was nothing spare."}}]}