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Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.23270972850407243},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: value","preview":"FC Viktoria Plzeň arrive as the side with a clear advantage in a game where defensive frailties will be the deciding factor. Lillestrøm SK are struggling to contain opponents, consistently allowing 6 or more shots on target and getting out-created in most of their recent matches. While the visitors often concede the creation battle on their travels, they are better equipped to exploit a porous home side. The loss of a key creative force for the hosts removes their most productive outlet, leaving them toothless when attacking. With Lillestrøm SK failing to secure results at home, the clinical nature of the visitors will punish them. Poor defensive structure will be the undoing of the home team.","external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":6881,"created_at":"2026-10-30T02:15:14Z","event":{"id":601250,"event_date":"2026-11-05T17:45:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":2081,"home_team":"Lillestrøm SK","away_team_id":144,"away_team":"FC Viktoria Plzeň","league_id":8,"league_name":"Europa League"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"A","favorite_prob":42.7,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.4267,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}},"polymarket":{"event_id":601250,"event_date":"2026-11-05T17:45:00Z","home_team":"Lillestrøm SK","away_team":"FC Viktoria Plzeň","polymarket_event_id":"1236484","liquidity":{"volume_24hr":2017.19086,"volume_1wk":2932.654939,"volume_1mo":2932.654939,"volume_1yr":2932.654939,"open_interest":5301.654939,"liquidity_clob":null,"liquidity_amm":null},"pricing":{"best_bid":null,"best_ask":null,"change_1d":null,"change_1wk":null,"change_1mo":null},"goalscorers":null,"exact_scores":{"Any Other Score":0.085,"Lillestrøm SK 0 - 0 FC Viktoria Plzeň":0.045,"Lillestrøm SK 0 - 1 FC Viktoria Plzeň":0.07,"Lillestrøm SK 0 - 2 FC Viktoria Plzeň":0.0565,"Lillestrøm SK 0 - 3 FC Viktoria Plzeň":0.033,"Lillestrøm SK 0 - 4 FC Viktoria Plzeň":0.014,"Lillestrøm SK 0 - 5 FC Viktoria Plzeň":0.008,"Lillestrøm SK 1 - 0 FC Viktoria Plzeň":0.06,"Lillestrøm SK 1 - 1 FC Viktoria Plzeň":0.11,"Lillestrøm SK 1 - 2 FC Viktoria Plzeň":0.09,"Lillestrøm SK 1 - 3 FC Viktoria Plzeň":0.05,"Lillestrøm SK 1 - 4 FC Viktoria Plzeň":0.0195,"Lillestrøm SK 1 - 5 FC Viktoria Plzeň":0.01,"Lillestrøm SK 2 - 0 FC Viktoria Plzeň":0.04,"Lillestrøm SK 2 - 1 FC Viktoria Plzeň":0.075,"Lillestrøm SK 2 - 2 FC Viktoria Plzeň":0.075,"Lillestrøm SK 2 - 3 FC Viktoria Plzeň":0.038,"Lillestrøm SK 2 - 4 FC Viktoria Plzeň":0.019,"Lillestrøm SK 2 - 5 FC Viktoria Plzeň":0.0075,"Lillestrøm SK 3 - 0 FC Viktoria Plzeň":0.0225,"Lillestrøm SK 3 - 1 FC Viktoria Plzeň":0.037,"Lillestrøm SK 3 - 2 FC Viktoria Plzeň":0.033,"Lillestrøm SK 3 - 3 FC Viktoria Plzeň":0.02,"Lillestrøm SK 3 - 4 FC Viktoria Plzeň":0.011,"Lillestrøm SK 3 - 5 FC Viktoria Plzeň":0.085,"Lillestrøm SK 4 - 0 FC Viktoria Plzeň":0.011,"Lillestrøm SK 4 - 1 FC Viktoria Plzeň":0.014,"Lillestrøm SK 4 - 2 FC Viktoria Plzeň":0.0125,"Lillestrøm SK 4 - 3 FC Viktoria Plzeň":0.009,"Lillestrøm SK 4 - 4 FC Viktoria Plzeň":0.0215,"Lillestrøm SK 4 - 5 FC Viktoria Plzeň":0.078,"Lillestrøm SK 5 - 0 FC Viktoria Plzeň":0.0085,"Lillestrøm SK 5 - 1 FC Viktoria Plzeň":0.009,"Lillestrøm SK 5 - 2 FC Viktoria Plzeň":0.007,"Lillestrøm SK 5 - 3 FC Viktoria Plzeň":0.08,"Lillestrøm SK 5 - 4 FC Viktoria Plzeň":0.099,"Lillestrøm SK 5 - 5 FC Viktoria Plzeň":0.0015},"updated_at":"2026-11-05T09:57:29Z"}},"computed_at":1793887564,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":"#edd31c","away":"#dc2118"},"venue":{"name":"Åråsen","city":"Lillestrøm","capacity":12250},"pulled":[],"published":[]}