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Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.3987980723381244},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: short","preview":"Anderlecht will pick Jagiellonia apart on the road. Do not trust the table where Jagiellonia sit 17th and Anderlecht 29th. The hosts concede far too easily, surrendering six or more attempts on target in four of their last six matches. Opponents have crafted the superior openings in five of their last seven fixtures, leaving their back line exposed. At the other end, Jagiellonia blast away from bad positions, putting just 15 on frame from 60 shots. Losing Nik Prelec robs them of reliable finishing up front. Anderlecht travel well, boast four clean sheets in six, and will control the key spaces. Chance quality decides it.","external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":5460,"created_at":"2026-10-16T02:15:21Z","event":{"id":601234,"event_date":"2026-10-22T19:00:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":420,"home_team":"Jagiellonia Białystok","away_team_id":240,"away_team":"RSC Anderlecht","league_id":8,"league_name":"Europa League"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"A","favorite_prob":42,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.4201,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}},"polymarket":{"event_id":601234,"event_date":"2026-10-22T19:00:00Z","home_team":"Jagiellonia Białystok","away_team":"RSC Anderlecht","polymarket_event_id":"1160550","liquidity":{"volume_24hr":146.188741,"volume_1wk":161.547872,"volume_1mo":161.547872,"volume_1yr":161.547872,"open_interest":1880.6122710000002,"liquidity_clob":31048.8603,"liquidity_amm":null},"pricing":{"best_bid":0.3,"best_ask":0.31,"change_1d":-0.005,"change_1wk":-0.075,"change_1mo":null},"goalscorers":null,"exact_scores":{"Any Other Score":0.195,"Jagiellonia Białystok 0 - 0 RSC Anderlecht":0.062,"Jagiellonia Białystok 0 - 1 RSC Anderlecht":0.085,"Jagiellonia Białystok 0 - 2 RSC Anderlecht":0.065,"Jagiellonia Białystok 0 - 3 RSC Anderlecht":0.0325,"Jagiellonia Białystok 0 - 4 RSC Anderlecht":0.011,"Jagiellonia Białystok 0 - 5 RSC Anderlecht":0.006,"Jagiellonia Białystok 1 - 0 RSC Anderlecht":0.07,"Jagiellonia Białystok 1 - 1 RSC Anderlecht":0.125,"Jagiellonia Białystok 1 - 2 RSC Anderlecht":0.09,"Jagiellonia Białystok 1 - 3 RSC Anderlecht":0.0435,"Jagiellonia Białystok 1 - 4 RSC Anderlecht":0.0165,"Jagiellonia Białystok 1 - 5 RSC Anderlecht":0.009,"Jagiellonia Białystok 2 - 0 RSC Anderlecht":0.0435,"Jagiellonia Białystok 2 - 1 RSC Anderlecht":0.08,"Jagiellonia Białystok 2 - 2 RSC Anderlecht":0.065,"Jagiellonia Białystok 2 - 3 RSC Anderlecht":0.0305,"Jagiellonia Białystok 2 - 4 RSC Anderlecht":0.0105,"Jagiellonia Białystok 2 - 5 RSC Anderlecht":0.006,"Jagiellonia Białystok 3 - 0 RSC Anderlecht":0.02,"Jagiellonia Białystok 3 - 1 RSC Anderlecht":0.0305,"Jagiellonia Białystok 3 - 2 RSC Anderlecht":0.025,"Jagiellonia Białystok 3 - 3 RSC Anderlecht":0.014,"Jagiellonia Białystok 3 - 4 RSC Anderlecht":0.0055,"Jagiellonia Białystok 3 - 5 RSC Anderlecht":0.375,"Jagiellonia Białystok 4 - 0 RSC Anderlecht":0.01,"Jagiellonia Białystok 4 - 1 RSC Anderlecht":0.011,"Jagiellonia Białystok 4 - 2 RSC Anderlecht":0.011,"Jagiellonia Białystok 4 - 3 RSC Anderlecht":0.005,"Jagiellonia Białystok 4 - 4 RSC Anderlecht":0.0345,"Jagiellonia Białystok 4 - 5 RSC Anderlecht":0.37,"Jagiellonia Białystok 5 - 0 RSC Anderlecht":0.01,"Jagiellonia Białystok 5 - 1 RSC Anderlecht":0.0055,"Jagiellonia Białystok 5 - 2 RSC Anderlecht":0.0055,"Jagiellonia Białystok 5 - 3 RSC Anderlecht":0.22,"Jagiellonia Białystok 5 - 4 RSC Anderlecht":0.18,"Jagiellonia Białystok 5 - 5 RSC Anderlecht":0.05},"updated_at":"2026-10-22T05:27:19Z"}},"computed_at":1792658116,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":"#d11821","away":"#4e2687"},"venue":{"name":"Chorten Arena","city":"Bialystok","capacity":22372},"pulled":[],"published":[]}