{"id":601232,"league_id":8,"league":"Europa League","kickoff":1793908800,"home":"Hapoel Be'er Sheva","away":"OFI Crete","home_id":416,"away_id":332,"venue_id":2994,"rank":3,"status":"notstarted","provisional":true,"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.427,"score":null,"live_score":null,"lambda":[1.4,1.19],"read":{"text":"Too close to call","side":null},"pass":"Nothing to take on Hapoel Be'er Sheva against OFI Crete. There is a likely outcome here, but every bookmaker has it shorter than it deserves, so there is nothing to take.","flags":[],"lambda_home":1.395709285377243,"lambda_away":1.185716393083359,"corner_rate":9.44,"card_rate":0.16,"lineups":{"status":"predicted","confidence":0.595,"home":{"formation":"4-3-3","players":[{"id":13054,"name":"Ofir Marciano","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.591},{"id":9654,"name":"Pedro Amador","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.557},{"id":13052,"name":"Miguel Vítor","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.486},{"id":13039,"name":"Matan Baltaxa","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.301},{"id":13038,"name":"Guy Mizrahi","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.578},{"id":6388,"name":"Forson Amankwah","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.404},{"id":64072,"name":"Niv Yehoshua","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.52},{"id":13043,"name":"Lucas Ventura","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.442},{"id":13042,"name":"Zahi Ahmed","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.554},{"id":13046,"name":"Igor Zlatanović","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.514},{"id":24805,"name":"Mohamad Abu Rumi","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.347},{"id":24804,"name":"Javon East","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.486},{"id":3326,"name":"Idan Nachmias","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.298},{"id":13047,"name":"Amir Chaim Ganah","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.262},{"id":13053,"name":"Roy Levy","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.248},{"id":24818,"name":"Djibril Diop","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.245},{"id":4398,"name":"Yonas Malede","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.232},{"id":59653,"name":"Itay Rotman","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.229},{"id":16983,"name":"Adrián Ugarriza","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.213},{"id":13048,"name":"Hamode Kanaan","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.191},{"id":13050,"name":"Ofir Davidzada","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.175},{"id":5131,"name":"João Victor","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.161},{"id":64075,"name":"Marco Wolff","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.05}],"confidence":0.595},"away":{"formation":"3-4-2-1","players":[{"id":11089,"name":"Nikolaos Christogeorgos","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.643},{"id":1512,"name":"Nikolaos Athanasiou","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.818},{"id":11054,"name":"Krešimir Krizmanić","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.808},{"id":11051,"name":"Achilleas Poungouras","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.747},{"id":39265,"name":"Lorenzo Dickmann","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.742},{"id":11049,"name":"Konstantinos Kostoulas","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.647},{"id":10819,"name":"Andreas Bouchalakis","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.806},{"id":11073,"name":"Athanasios Androutsos","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.749},{"id":11441,"name":"Thiago Nuss","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.677},{"id":29056,"name":"Kenan Kodro","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.658},{"id":56329,"name":"Tasos Chatzigiovanis","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.261},{"id":308,"name":"Aitor Cantalapiedra","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.613},{"id":11077,"name":"Taxiarchis Fountas","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.609},{"id":39267,"name":"Dimitrios Nikolaou","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.51},{"id":11046,"name":"Klidman Lilo","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.493},{"id":11081,"name":"Borja Gonzalez","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.352},{"id":11058,"name":"Georgios Kanellopoulos","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.285},{"id":11472,"name":"Zisis Karachalios","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.262},{"id":11068,"name":"Giannis Theodosoulakis","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.249},{"id":11607,"name":"Thanasis Sitmalidis","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.144},{"id":11086,"name":"Panagiotis Katsikas","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.05},{"id":10811,"name":"Christos Sielis","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.02},{"id":25433,"name":"Manuel Kalafatis","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.015}],"confidence":0.827},"unavailable":[{"id":13467,"name":"Eliel Peretz","team_id":null,"side":"home","reason":"Groin Injury"},{"id":11442,"name":"Aaron Leya Iseka","team_id":null,"side":"away","reason":"Thigh Injury"},{"id":64219,"name":"Fotis Koutsoupias","team_id":null,"side":"away","reason":"Leg Injury"},{"id":11060,"name":"Giannis Apostolakis","team_id":null,"side":"away","reason":"Calf Injury"},{"id":11530,"name":"Konstantinos Lagoudakis","team_id":null,"side":"away","reason":"Muscle Injury"},{"id":11445,"name":"Manolis Chnaris","team_id":null,"side":"away","reason":"Cruciate Ligament Injury"},{"id":11094,"name":"Pavlos Kenourgiakis","team_id":null,"side":"away","reason":"Knock Injury"},{"id":11101,"name":"Thiago Romano","team_id":null,"side":"away","reason":"Muscle Injury"}]},"people":[{"id":13054,"name":"Ofir Marciano","side":"home"},{"id":9654,"name":"Pedro Amador","side":"home"},{"id":13052,"name":"Miguel Vítor","side":"home"},{"id":13039,"name":"Matan Baltaxa","side":"home"},{"id":13038,"name":"Guy Mizrahi","side":"home"},{"id":6388,"name":"Forson Amankwah","side":"home"},{"id":64072,"name":"Niv Yehoshua","side":"home"},{"id":13043,"name":"Lucas Ventura","side":"home"},{"id":13042,"name":"Zahi Ahmed","side":"home"},{"id":13046,"name":"Igor Zlatanović","side":"home"},{"id":24805,"name":"Mohamad Abu Rumi","side":"home"},{"id":24804,"name":"Javon East","side":"home"},{"id":3326,"name":"Idan Nachmias","side":"home"},{"id":13047,"name":"Amir Chaim Ganah","side":"home"},{"id":13053,"name":"Roy Levy","side":"home"},{"id":24818,"name":"Djibril Diop","side":"home"},{"id":4398,"name":"Yonas Malede","side":"home"},{"id":59653,"name":"Itay Rotman","side":"home"},{"id":16983,"name":"Adrián Ugarriza","side":"home"},{"id":13048,"name":"Hamode Kanaan","side":"home"},{"id":13050,"name":"Ofir Davidzada","side":"home"},{"id":5131,"name":"João Victor","side":"home"},{"id":64075,"name":"Marco Wolff","side":"home"},{"id":13051,"name":"Eylon Almog","side":"home"},{"id":13045,"name":"Dan Biton","side":"home"},{"id":48632,"name":"Amit Ohana","side":"home"},{"id":64071,"name":"Noam Shahar","side":"home"},{"id":13055,"name":"Jonathan Shani","side":"home"},{"id":13467,"name":"Eliel Peretz","side":"home"},{"id":24808,"name":"Yoni Stoyanov","side":"home"},{"id":11089,"name":"Nikolaos Christogeorgos","side":"away"},{"id":1512,"name":"Nikolaos Athanasiou","side":"away"},{"id":11054,"name":"Krešimir Krizmanić","side":"away"},{"id":11051,"name":"Achilleas Poungouras","side":"away"},{"id":39265,"name":"Lorenzo Dickmann","side":"away"},{"id":11049,"name":"Konstantinos Kostoulas","side":"away"},{"id":10819,"name":"Andreas Bouchalakis","side":"away"},{"id":11073,"name":"Athanasios Androutsos","side":"away"},{"id":11441,"name":"Thiago Nuss","side":"away"},{"id":29056,"name":"Kenan Kodro","side":"away"},{"id":56329,"name":"Tasos Chatzigiovanis","side":"away"},{"id":308,"name":"Aitor Cantalapiedra","side":"away"},{"id":11077,"name":"Taxiarchis Fountas","side":"away"},{"id":39267,"name":"Dimitrios Nikolaou","side":"away"},{"id":11046,"name":"Klidman Lilo","side":"away"},{"id":11081,"name":"Borja Gonzalez","side":"away"},{"id":11058,"name":"Georgios Kanellopoulos","side":"away"},{"id":11472,"name":"Zisis Karachalios","side":"away"},{"id":11068,"name":"Giannis Theodosoulakis","side":"away"},{"id":11607,"name":"Thanasis Sitmalidis","side":"away"},{"id":11086,"name":"Panagiotis Katsikas","side":"away"},{"id":10811,"name":"Christos Sielis","side":"away"},{"id":25433,"name":"Manuel Kalafatis","side":"away"},{"id":11056,"name":"Nikolaos Marinakis","side":"away"},{"id":216765,"name":"Konstantinos Papadakis","side":"away"},{"id":11530,"name":"Konstantinos Lagoudakis","side":"away"},{"id":11094,"name":"Pavlos Kenourgiakis","side":"away"},{"id":11442,"name":"Aaron Leya Iseka","side":"away"},{"id":11101,"name":"Thiago Romano","side":"away"},{"id":11060,"name":"Giannis Apostolakis","side":"away"},{"id":64219,"name":"Fotis Koutsoupias","side":"away"},{"id":11445,"name":"Manolis Chnaris","side":"away"}],"players":[{"id":13467,"name":"Eliel Peretz","side":"home","team":"Hapoel Be'er Sheva","club":null,"role":"MID","position":"CM","status":"out","reason":"Groin Injury","expected_return":"2026-11-30","season":{"apps":4,"starts":3,"goals":0,"assists":1,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":0,"team_games":12,"tracked_apps":4,"tracked_starts":3},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":3},"standout":{"opponent":"Sabah FK","kickoff":1787166000,"goals":0,"assists":1,"score":"2-1","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.035,"country":{"team":"Israel","apps":4,"goals":0,"assists":0,"tournament":null,"lately":null},"load":null},{"id":59653,"name":"Itay Rotman","side":"home","team":"Hapoel Be'er Sheva","club":null,"role":"DEF","position":"CB","status":"doubtful","reason":"Muscle Cramps","expected_return":"2026-11-07","season":{"apps":3,"starts":3,"goals":0,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":0,"team_games":12,"tracked_apps":3,"tracked_starts":3},"recent":{"apps":3,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.017,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":13042,"name":"Zahi Ahmed","side":"home","team":"Hapoel Be'er Sheva","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"LW","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":5,"starts":5,"goals":0,"assists":1,"big_chances":1,"clean_sheets":1,"team_games":12,"tracked_apps":5,"tracked_starts":5},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":1,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"AZ Alkmaar","kickoff":1792082700,"goals":0,"assists":1,"score":"1-2","won":false},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.044,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":13046,"name":"Igor Zlatanović","side":"home","team":"Hapoel Be'er Sheva","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":5,"starts":4,"goals":2,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":1,"team_games":12,"tracked_apps":5,"tracked_starts":4},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":2,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Sabah FK","kickoff":1787166000,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"2-1","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.118,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":11442,"name":"Aaron Leya Iseka","side":"away","team":"OFI Crete","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"out","reason":"Thigh Injury","expected_return":"2026-11-06","season":{"apps":2,"starts":0,"goals":0,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":0,"team_games":17,"tracked_apps":2,"tracked_starts":0},"recent":{"apps":2,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":64219,"name":"Fotis Koutsoupias","side":"away","team":"OFI Crete","club":null,"role":"MID","position":"MID","status":"out","reason":"Leg Injury","expected_return":"2026-11-26","season":null,"recent":null,"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":11060,"name":"Giannis Apostolakis","side":"away","team":"OFI Crete","club":null,"role":"MID","position":"CM","status":"out","reason":"Calf Injury","expected_return":"2026-11-19","season":{"apps":9,"starts":1,"goals":1,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":1,"team_games":17,"tracked_apps":9,"tracked_starts":1},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":1,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Asteras Aktor","kickoff":1789920000,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"2-2","won":false},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.038,"country":null,"load":{"games":1,"minutes":1,"country":0}},{"id":11530,"name":"Konstantinos Lagoudakis","side":"away","team":"OFI Crete","club":null,"role":"DEF","position":"DEF","status":"out","reason":"Muscle Injury","expected_return":"2026-11-14","season":null,"recent":null,"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":11445,"name":"Manolis Chnaris","side":"away","team":"OFI Crete","club":null,"role":"MID","position":"MID","status":"out","reason":"Cruciate Ligament Injury","expected_return":null,"season":null,"recent":null,"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":11077,"name":"Taxiarchis Fountas","side":"away","team":"OFI Crete","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"AM","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":11,"starts":7,"goals":2,"assists":0,"big_chances":1,"clean_sheets":4,"team_games":17,"tracked_apps":11,"tracked_starts":7},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":2,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"PAOK","kickoff":1792951200,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"2-1","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_scorer"],"importance":0.082,"country":null,"load":{"games":2,"minutes":178,"country":0}},{"id":11441,"name":"Thiago Nuss","side":"away","team":"OFI Crete","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"LW","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":11,"starts":9,"goals":3,"assists":1,"big_chances":1,"clean_sheets":4,"team_games":17,"tracked_apps":11,"tracked_starts":9},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":2,"assists":1,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"PS Kalamata","kickoff":1792328400,"goals":2,"assists":1,"score":"3-4","won":false},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.151,"country":null,"load":{"games":2,"minutes":168,"country":0}},{"id":29056,"name":"Kenan Kodro","side":"away","team":"OFI Crete","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":11,"starts":7,"goals":4,"assists":1,"big_chances":1,"clean_sheets":4,"team_games":17,"tracked_apps":11,"tracked_starts":7},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":2,"assists":0,"scoredIn":1,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"GFS Panetolikos","kickoff":1793548800,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"1-0","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.174,"country":{"team":null,"apps":1,"goals":1,"assists":0,"tournament":null,"lately":null},"load":{"games":2,"minutes":33,"country":0}}],"extras":{"teams":{"home":416,"away":332},"split":{"home":{"above":{"w":0,"d":1,"l":2},"below":null},"away":{"above":{"w":1,"d":0,"l":2},"below":null}},"referee":null,"managers":{"home":{"id":632,"name":"Ran Kozuk","vs":null},"away":{"id":390,"name":"Christos Kontis","vs":null}},"best_xi":[],"players":{"13467":{"caps":20,"goals":1,"country":"Israel","signed":null}}},"notable":[{"id":2061,"name":"Vangelis Pavlidis","goals":8,"rank":1},{"id":2877,"name":"Haris Tabaković","goals":6,"rank":2},{"id":3431,"name":"Kristoffer Zachariassen","goals":6,"rank":3},{"id":6621,"name":"Danylo Sikan","goals":5,"rank":4},{"id":7354,"name":"Mihajlo Cvetković","goals":5,"rank":5},{"id":2062,"name":"Gianluca Prestianni","goals":4,"rank":6},{"id":3439,"name":"Lenny Joseph","goals":4,"rank":7},{"id":76108,"name":"Loïs Diony","goals":4,"rank":8},{"id":14009,"name":"Patrik Wålemark","goals":4,"rank":9},{"id":5847,"name":"Rafa Silva","goals":4,"rank":10},{"id":3436,"name":"Yusuf Bamidele","goals":4,"rank":11},{"id":39443,"name":"Alphadjo Cisse","goals":3,"rank":12},{"id":4082,"name":"Amir Murillo","goals":3,"rank":13},{"id":3359,"name":"Dion Drena Beljo","goals":3,"rank":14},{"id":4147,"name":"Giannis Konstantelias","goals":3,"rank":15}],"round_label":"League phase · Matchday 4","neutral":false,"h2h":{"total_matches":0,"home_wins":0,"draws":0,"away_wins":0,"home_goals":null,"away_goals":null,"avg_total_goals":null,"home_win_rate":null,"away_win_rate":null,"recent_matches":[]},"standings":{"home":{"team_id":416,"position":30,"played":3,"points":1,"goal_diff":-5,"team_name":"Hapoel Be'er Sheva","won":0,"drawn":1,"lost":2,"goals_for":1,"goals_against":6,"group":null},"away":{"team_id":332,"position":26,"played":3,"points":3,"goal_diff":-1,"team_name":"OFI Crete","won":1,"drawn":0,"lost":2,"goals_for":3,"goals_against":4,"group":null},"size":36},"form":{"home":{"matches":6,"ppg":1.17,"record":"2-1-3","goals_for":1.17,"goals_against":1.67,"clean_sheets":2,"streak":"winless 4","sequence":"WWLDLL","venue_ppg":2},"away":{"matches":6,"ppg":1,"record":"2-0-4","goals_for":1.17,"goals_against":2,"clean_sheets":1,"streak":"none","sequence":"LLLLWW","venue_ppg":0.75}},"ledger":[{"id":"availability.home.absences","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Hapoel Be'er Sheva are without 2 players, none of them central to how the side plays.","evidence":{"count":2,"measured":2,"combined_goal_share":0,"combined_importance":0.044,"players":[{"player":"Eliel Peretz","role":"MID","reason":"Groin Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.035,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":5},{"player":"Itay Rotman","role":"DEF","reason":"Muscle Cramps","goal_share":0,"importance":0.009,"measured":true,"doubtful":true,"cover_at_position":7}]},"strength":0.15,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"home","pct":-0.2},{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":0.1},{"channel":"corners","side":"home","pct":-0.1},{"channel":"cards","side":"both","pct":0.1}]},{"id":"availability.away.absences","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"OFI Crete are without 7 players, none of them central to how the side plays.","evidence":{"count":7,"measured":2,"combined_goal_share":0,"combined_importance":0.038,"players":[{"player":"Giannis Apostolakis","role":"MID","reason":"Calf Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.038,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":9},{"player":"Aaron Leya Iseka","role":"ATT","reason":"Thigh Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":6},{"player":"Fotis Koutsoupias","role":"MID","reason":"Leg Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.05,"measured":false,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":9},{"player":"Konstantinos Lagoudakis","role":"DEF","reason":"Muscle Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.05,"measured":false,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":8},{"player":"Manolis Chnaris","role":"MID","reason":"Cruciate Ligament Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.05,"measured":false,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":9},{"player":"Pavlos Kenourgiakis","role":"DEF","reason":"Knock Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.05,"measured":false,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":8},{"player":"Thiago Romano","role":"ATT","reason":"Muscle Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.05,"measured":false,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":6}]},"strength":0.15,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":-1.3},{"channel":"goals","side":"home","pct":1},{"channel":"corners","side":"away","pct":-0.6},{"channel":"cards","side":"both","pct":0.7}]},{"id":"availability.rotation_risk","section":"§3.1","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.","evidence":{"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.595,"cup_tie":false},"strength":0.405,"moves":[]},{"id":"stakes.table","section":"§5.1","tier":2,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"A cup or a group stage, so there is no league table to read what either side is playing for.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.derby","section":"§5.2","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Not a local derby.","evidence":{"derby":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.revenge","section":"§5.3","tier":2,"state":"THIN","note":"No reverse fixture on record this season, so there is no revenge angle to read.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.home.settling","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Ran Kozuk is 12 games into the job at Hapoel Be'er Sheva, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.","evidence":{"manager":"Ran Kozuk","matches_in_charge":12,"tenure_days":484,"ppm":1.33,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.4,"after_ppm":1.3,"delta":null}},"strength":0.3,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.away.established","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Christos Kontis has 23 matches in charge at OFI Crete, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.","evidence":{"manager":"Christos Kontis","matches_in_charge":23,"tenure_days":215,"ppm":1.39,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.7,"after_ppm":1,"delta":null}},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.home","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Hapoel Be'er Sheva come in on 14 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":14.135416666666666,"matchesIn7":0,"matchesIn14":0,"days_rest":14.1},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.away","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"OFI Crete come in on 4 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":4.166666666666667,"matchesIn7":1,"matchesIn14":2,"days_rest":4.2},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.opponent_adjustment","section":"§4.1","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form. — though 2.6004030129161406 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.","evidence":{"home":{"attack":-0.115,"defence":-0.065,"effective_matches":2.6,"shrunk":0.75},"away":{"attack":-0.08,"defence":-0.012,"effective_matches":3.8,"shrunk":0.68},"sample":2.6004030129161406,"required":6},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence; OFI Crete work noticeably more of their attacks into wide areas.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":53.8,"shots":11.8,"xg_per_shot":0.098,"corners":2.6,"corners_per_shot":0.22,"finishing_vs_xg":0.26},"away":{"matches":12,"possession":47.2,"shots":8.9,"xg_per_shot":0.118,"corners":4,"corners_per_shot":0.449,"finishing_vs_xg":0.36},"possession_gap":6.6},"strength":0.265,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Hapoel Be'er Sheva have scored 3 more than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.26,"matches":12},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"OFI Crete have scored 4 more than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.36,"matches":12},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"23 yellow cards in this referee's last 6 games, where 24 would be usual in this league, with nobody sent off. — though 6 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.","evidence":{"matches":6,"yellows_per_match":3.83,"reds_per_match":0,"league_yellows_per_match":3.96,"league_reds_per_match":0.168,"yellow_ratio":0.97,"red_ratio":0,"sample":6,"required":30},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No travel distance reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.","evidence":{"rain_mm":null,"wind_kph":15.3,"temperature_c":12,"description":"rain"},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.23270972850407243},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: value","preview":"This match pits two leaky defenses against each other, and goals are coming. Hapoel Be'er Sheva are giving up plenty, facing at least six shots on target in three of their last five outings while getting out-created in most of those. Yet the visitors are just as fragile, having allowed that same high shot count in five of their past six matches. Both backlines are wide open. The hosts will miss their injured midfielder who usually provides creativity, leaving them short in the middle. Expect an open game where both teams find holes at the back, and the defense that stops leaking first decides it.","external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":6864,"created_at":"2026-10-30T02:15:14Z","event":{"id":601232,"event_date":"2026-11-05T20:00:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":416,"home_team":"Hapoel Be'er Sheva","away_team_id":332,"away_team":"OFI Crete","league_id":8,"league_name":"Europa League"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"H","favorite_prob":45.4,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.4539,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}},"polymarket":{"event_id":601232,"event_date":"2026-11-05T20:00:00Z","home_team":"Hapoel Be'er Sheva","away_team":"OFI Crete","polymarket_event_id":"1241799","liquidity":{"volume_24hr":986.180857,"volume_1wk":1198.352151,"volume_1mo":1198.352151,"volume_1yr":1198.352151,"open_interest":2517.549929,"liquidity_clob":143790.2834,"liquidity_amm":null},"pricing":{"best_bid":0.44,"best_ask":0.45,"change_1d":-0.02,"change_1wk":0.005,"change_1mo":null},"goalscorers":null,"exact_scores":{"Any Other Score":0.12,"MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 0 - 0 OFI":0.0575,"MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 0 - 1 OFI":0.065,"MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 0 - 2 OFI":0.045,"MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 0 - 3 OFI":0.0175,"MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 0 - 4 OFI":0.0075,"MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 0 - 5 OFI":0.0085,"MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 1 - 0 OFI":0.09,"MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 1 - 1 OFI":0.125,"MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 1 - 2 OFI":0.075,"MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 1 - 3 OFI":0.0285,"MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 1 - 4 OFI":0.0115,"MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 1 - 5 OFI":0.0085,"MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 2 - 0 OFI":0.07,"MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 2 - 1 OFI":0.095,"MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 2 - 2 OFI":0.065,"MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 2 - 3 OFI":0.025,"MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 2 - 4 OFI":0.008,"MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 2 - 5 OFI":0.0085,"MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 3 - 0 OFI":0.038,"MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 3 - 1 OFI":0.0485,"MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 3 - 2 OFI":0.0335,"MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 3 - 3 OFI":0.0145,"MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 3 - 4 OFI":0.0065,"MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 3 - 5 OFI":0.08,"MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 4 - 0 OFI":0.016,"MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 4 - 1 OFI":0.0195,"MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 4 - 2 OFI":0.012,"MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 4 - 3 OFI":0.008,"MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 4 - 4 OFI":0.0345,"MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 4 - 5 OFI":0.0795,"MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 5 - 0 OFI":0.008,"MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 5 - 1 OFI":0.0095,"MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 5 - 2 OFI":0.0085,"MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 5 - 3 OFI":0.08,"MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 5 - 4 OFI":0.0875,"MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 5 - 5 OFI":0.04},"updated_at":"2026-11-05T11:57:31Z"}},"computed_at":1793887717,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":"#da2233","away":"#999999"},"venue":{"name":"Rapid-Giulesti Stadium","city":"Bucharest","capacity":14047},"pulled":[],"published":[]}