{"id":601193,"league_id":8,"league":"Europa League","kickoff":1789671600,"home":"Beşiktaş JK","away":"Olympique de Marseille","home_id":196,"away_id":98,"verdicts":[],"markets":[],"restored":true,"status":"finished","score":[4,1],"colors":{"home":"#d51111","away":null},"venue":null,"pulled":[],"published":[{"market":"over_under_15","outcome":"over","line":1.5,"odds":1.2,"bookmaker":"Bet365","model_prob":0.803,"narrative":"Over 1.5 goals at 1.20. The model reads this as a 2.91-goal match, and the call follows from that number rather than from either side. What the confidence number does not see: 1,939 km of travel sits between Olympique de Marseille and kick-off, and away form flatters nobody after that. Take the lot together and more than 1.5 goals in it is the read. Call it 80%. Nothing in the pricing disagrees, so take this as a read on the match rather than on the odds.","why":null,"result":"WON","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"landed","swing":4,"closeness":"nowhere near","shape":null,"expected_total":null,"actual_total":5,"market":null,"opening_odds":null,"closing_odds":null,"line":"Never in doubt, whatever the price said beforehand."}}]}