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Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"AC Sparta Praha are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.06,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Bournemouth are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.14,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"166 yellow cards in this referee's last 40 games, where 158 would be usual in this league, and 6 reds.","evidence":{"matches":40,"yellows_per_match":4.15,"reds_per_match":0.15,"league_yellows_per_match":3.96,"league_reds_per_match":0.168,"yellow_ratio":1.05,"red_ratio":0.89},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No travel distance reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.","evidence":{"rain_mm":null,"wind_kph":4.7,"temperature_c":8,"description":"rain"},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.23270972850407243},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: value","preview":"Bournemouth arrive with momentum to dominate a fragile home side. While the visitors have looked the more creative outfit in the vast majority of their recent outings, the hosts rely on a miraculous goalkeeper to mask a leaky defense that should have shipped double the amount of goals lately. Sparta Praha look disjointed without the creative spark who generates their play and provides most of their output. Their form has cratered with only two wins in their last six, whereas Bournemouth have been perfect. Losing their primary creator and key support players means the hosts lack the tools to bridge this gap. Bournemouth will control the rhythm, leaving the result to hinge on that overworked goalkeeper finally cracking.","external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":6879,"created_at":"2026-10-30T02:15:14Z","event":{"id":601179,"event_date":"2026-11-05T17:45:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":1340,"home_team":"AC Sparta Praha","away_team_id":2,"away_team":"Bournemouth","league_id":8,"league_name":"Europa League"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"A","favorite_prob":63.1,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.6315,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}},"polymarket":{"event_id":601179,"event_date":"2026-11-05T17:45:00Z","home_team":"AC Sparta Praha","away_team":"Bournemouth","polymarket_event_id":"1236479","liquidity":{"volume_24hr":4361.888515,"volume_1wk":4564.098871,"volume_1mo":4564.098871,"volume_1yr":4564.098871,"open_interest":5709.373543000001,"liquidity_clob":187768.1993,"liquidity_amm":null},"pricing":{"best_bid":0.12,"best_ask":0.13,"change_1d":-0.02,"change_1wk":-0.045,"change_1mo":null},"goalscorers":null,"exact_scores":{"Any Other Score":0.11,"AC Sparta Praha 0 - 0 AFC Bournemouth":0.04,"AC Sparta Praha 0 - 1 AFC Bournemouth":0.095,"AC Sparta Praha 0 - 2 AFC Bournemouth":0.105,"AC Sparta Praha 0 - 3 AFC Bournemouth":0.09,"AC Sparta Praha 0 - 4 AFC Bournemouth":0.032,"AC Sparta Praha 0 - 5 AFC Bournemouth":0.0195,"AC Sparta Praha 1 - 0 AFC Bournemouth":0.0345,"AC Sparta Praha 1 - 1 AFC Bournemouth":0.095,"AC Sparta Praha 1 - 2 AFC Bournemouth":0.105,"AC Sparta Praha 1 - 3 AFC Bournemouth":0.075,"AC Sparta Praha 1 - 4 AFC Bournemouth":0.038,"AC Sparta Praha 1 - 5 AFC Bournemouth":0.0165,"AC Sparta Praha 2 - 0 AFC Bournemouth":0.0155,"AC Sparta Praha 2 - 1 AFC Bournemouth":0.0365,"AC Sparta Praha 2 - 2 AFC Bournemouth":0.05,"AC Sparta Praha 2 - 3 AFC Bournemouth":0.035,"AC Sparta Praha 2 - 4 AFC Bournemouth":0.02,"AC Sparta Praha 2 - 5 AFC Bournemouth":0.0115,"AC Sparta Praha 3 - 0 AFC Bournemouth":0.005,"AC Sparta Praha 3 - 1 AFC Bournemouth":0.0115,"AC Sparta Praha 3 - 2 AFC Bournemouth":0.014,"AC Sparta Praha 3 - 3 AFC Bournemouth":0.011,"AC Sparta Praha 3 - 4 AFC Bournemouth":0.0065,"AC Sparta Praha 3 - 5 AFC Bournemouth":0.09,"AC Sparta Praha 4 - 0 AFC Bournemouth":0.0085,"AC Sparta Praha 4 - 1 AFC Bournemouth":0.0085,"AC Sparta Praha 4 - 2 AFC Bournemouth":0.007,"AC Sparta Praha 4 - 3 AFC Bournemouth":0.0135,"AC Sparta Praha 4 - 4 AFC Bournemouth":0.0025,"AC Sparta Praha 4 - 5 AFC Bournemouth":0.0865,"AC Sparta Praha 5 - 0 AFC Bournemouth":0.0145,"AC Sparta Praha 5 - 1 AFC Bournemouth":0.0145,"AC Sparta Praha 5 - 2 AFC Bournemouth":0.015,"AC Sparta Praha 5 - 3 AFC Bournemouth":0.085,"AC Sparta Praha 5 - 4 AFC Bournemouth":0.089,"AC Sparta Praha 5 - 5 AFC Bournemouth":0.005},"updated_at":"2026-11-05T10:57:31Z"}},"computed_at":1793887565,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":"#453a43","away":"#bf1216"},"venue":{"name":"epet ARENA","city":"Prague","capacity":18887},"pulled":[],"published":[]}