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ŠK Slovan Bratislava have made five changes from the side expected, with Dominik Takáč, Sandro Cruz and Kenan Bajrić out of the eleven.","evidence":{"lineup_status":"confirmed","changes":{"home":{"n":2,"out":["Alessandro Schöpf","Saša Kalajdžić"],"in":["Kasper Jørgensen","Moses Usor"]},"away":{"n":5,"out":["Dominik Takáč","Sandro Cruz","Kenan Bajrić","Peter Pokorný","Tigran Barseghyan"],"in":["Aleksandar Popović","Sahmkou Camara","Kevin Wimmer","Samuel Kozlovský","Alexej Maros"]}}},"strength":0.8,"moves":[]},{"id":"form.away","section":"§2.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"ŠK Slovan Bratislava have taken 0.83 points a game from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.5, and 0.33 a game on the road.","evidence":{"matches":6,"ppg":0.83,"record":"1-2-3","goals_for":0.83,"goals_against":2.5,"clean_sheets":1,"streak":"lost 3","sequence":"WDDLLL","venue_ppg":0.33},"strength":0.344,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.away.settling","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Yaya Touré is 12 games into the job at ŠK Slovan Bratislava, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.","evidence":{"manager":"Yaya Touré","matches_in_charge":12,"tenure_days":128,"ppm":1.5,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.3,"after_ppm":2.1,"delta":null}},"strength":0.3,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.movement","section":"§7.1","tier":7,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Since opening, AWAY has drifted 17.8% since the market opened.","evidence":{"moves":[{"outcome":"AWAY","move_pct":-17.8,"direction":"DRIFTING"},{"outcome":"DRAW","move_pct":-13.8,"direction":"DRIFTING"},{"outcome":"HOME","move_pct":5.9,"direction":"SHORTENING"}]},"strength":0.6,"moves":[]}]}],"pass_reason":null,"preview":null,"external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":6755,"created_at":"2026-10-28T02:15:15Z","event":{"id":601143,"event_date":"2026-11-03T20:00:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":1404,"home_team":"LASK","away_team_id":374,"away_team":"ŠK Slovan Bratislava","league_id":7,"league_name":"Champions League"},"markets":{"match_result":{"prob_home":67.7,"prob_draw":18.1,"prob_away":14.1,"predicted":"H"},"expected_goals":{"home":2.67,"away":1.12},"over_under":{"prob_over_15":85.9,"prob_over_25":69.4,"prob_over_35":49.3},"btts":{"prob_yes":60.3},"score":{"most_likely":"2-1"},"draw_no_bet":{"prob_home":86.5},"corners":{"prob_over_85":62.1,"prob_over_95":50.3,"prob_over_105":38.9}},"recommendations":{"favorite":"H","favorite_prob":67.7,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.6774,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}},"polymarket":{"event_id":601143,"event_date":"2026-11-03T20:00:00Z","home_team":"LASK","away_team":"ŠK Slovan Bratislava","polymarket_event_id":"1230934","markets":{"1x2":{"home":null,"draw":null,"away":null},"btts":{"yes":0.35,"no":0.65},"over_under":{"over_15":0.125,"under_15":0.875,"over_25":0.335,"under_25":0.665,"over_35":0.385,"under_35":0.615,"over_45":0.37,"under_45":0.63},"halftime":{"home":null,"draw":null,"away":null},"handicap":{"home_minus_15":0.505,"away_minus_15":0.0385,"home_minus_25":0.305,"away_minus_25":0.013}},"liquidity":{"volume_24hr":395.484266,"volume_1wk":395.484266,"volume_1mo":395.484266,"volume_1yr":395.484266,"open_interest":395.484266,"liquidity_clob":null,"liquidity_amm":null},"pricing":{"best_bid":null,"best_ask":null,"change_1d":null,"change_1wk":null,"change_1mo":null},"goalscorers":null,"exact_scores":{"Any Other Score":0.085,"LASK Linz 0 - 0 ŠK Slovan Bratislava":0.0245,"LASK Linz 0 - 1 ŠK Slovan Bratislava":0.0225,"LASK Linz 0 - 2 ŠK Slovan Bratislava":0.0125,"LASK Linz 0 - 3 ŠK Slovan Bratislava":0.005,"LASK Linz 0 - 4 ŠK Slovan Bratislava":0.004,"LASK Linz 0 - 5 ŠK Slovan Bratislava":0.0245,"LASK Linz 1 - 0 ŠK Slovan Bratislava":0.065,"LASK Linz 1 - 1 ŠK Slovan Bratislava":0.075,"LASK Linz 1 - 2 ŠK Slovan Bratislava":0.033,"LASK Linz 1 - 3 ŠK Slovan Bratislava":0.011,"LASK Linz 1 - 4 ŠK Slovan Bratislava":0.004,"LASK Linz 1 - 5 ŠK Slovan Bratislava":0.016,"LASK Linz 2 - 0 ŠK Slovan Bratislava":0.085,"LASK Linz 2 - 1 ŠK Slovan Bratislava":0.095,"LASK Linz 2 - 2 ŠK Slovan Bratislava":0.0515,"LASK Linz 2 - 3 ŠK Slovan Bratislava":0.016,"LASK Linz 2 - 4 ŠK Slovan Bratislava":0.005,"LASK Linz 2 - 5 ŠK Slovan Bratislava":0.022,"LASK Linz 3 - 0 ŠK Slovan Bratislava":0.075,"LASK Linz 3 - 1 ŠK Slovan Bratislava":0.085,"LASK Linz 3 - 2 ŠK Slovan Bratislava":0.045,"LASK Linz 3 - 3 ŠK Slovan Bratislava":0.0155,"LASK Linz 3 - 4 ŠK Slovan Bratislava":0.0045,"LASK Linz 3 - 5 ŠK Slovan Bratislava":0.023,"LASK Linz 4 - 0 ŠK Slovan Bratislava":0.052,"LASK Linz 4 - 1 ŠK Slovan Bratislava":0.0535,"LASK Linz 4 - 2 ŠK Slovan Bratislava":0.0275,"LASK Linz 4 - 3 ŠK Slovan Bratislava":0.009,"LASK Linz 4 - 4 ŠK Slovan Bratislava":0.004,"LASK Linz 4 - 5 ŠK Slovan Bratislava":0.025,"LASK Linz 5 - 0 ŠK Slovan Bratislava":0.0285,"LASK Linz 5 - 1 ŠK Slovan Bratislava":0.0275,"LASK Linz 5 - 2 ŠK Slovan Bratislava":0.0145,"LASK Linz 5 - 3 ŠK Slovan Bratislava":0.006,"LASK Linz 5 - 4 ŠK Slovan Bratislava":0.0725,"LASK Linz 5 - 5 ŠK Slovan Bratislava":0.024},"updated_at":"2026-11-03T14:27:35Z"}},"computed_at":1793735607,"report":{"fetched_at":1793748586,"ht":null,"attendance":null,"highlights":[],"events":[],"players":[],"stats":null,"lineups":null},"colors":{"home":"#999999","away":"#116d9d"},"venue":{"name":"Raiffeisen Arena","city":"Linz","capacity":19080},"pulled":[],"published":[{"market":"over_under_15","outcome":"over","line":1.5,"odds":1.09,"bookmaker":"1xBet","model_prob":0.8924374625494838,"narrative":"LASK and Slovan Bratislava will engage in a chaotic affair that produces goals at both ends. Slovan resides at the foot of the table and struggles significantly at the back, allowing numerous high quality attempts on their goal in most recent outings. While LASK improved their creative output lately, they now face a depleted attack and uncertainty in goal. Without their primary playmaker and a steady hand between the posts, LASK will struggle to keep the visitors quiet. Slovan lacks a chunk of their attacking bite but will find holes against a vulnerable home defense. Defensive fragility on both sides decides it.","why":"Defensive lapses drive this outcome because both clubs struggle to contain opponents. Slovan frequently concedes heavy pressure, while LASK suffers from instability in net and a lack of creative sparks up front. These issues guarantee that defensive errors will be punished by either side, leading to a high scoring match at odds of 1.09. This prediction fails only if both goalkeepers produce career best performances and attackers misfire throughout the entire match.","result":"WON","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"landed","swing":3,"closeness":"nowhere near","shape":"as we read it","expected_total":3.66,"actual_total":4,"market":"came to us","opening_odds":1.13,"closing_odds":1.09,"line":"The game we described, at a price that had already started shortening. Called.","decided":[]}}]}