{"id":588272,"league_id":91,"league":"National League","kickoff":1793130300,"home":"Hornchurch","away":"Yeovil Town","home_id":4722,"away_id":1255,"venue_id":2995,"rank":5,"status":"finished","provisional":true,"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.571,"score":[1,2],"live_score":null,"lambda":[1.48,1.31],"odds_1x2":{"HOME":0.3236902765667073,"DRAW":0.2666363817683178,"AWAY":0.40967334166497466},"read":{"text":"Too close to call","side":null},"top_pick":null,"pass":"No call on Hornchurch against Yeovil Town. There is a likely outcome here, but every bookmaker has it shorter than it deserves, so there is nothing to take.","confident":[],"flags":[{"id":"availability.rotation_risk","section":"§3.1","note":"Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection."}],"lambda_home":1.4791250232160218,"lambda_away":1.3056663444947312,"corner_rate":9.73,"card_rate":0.144,"lineups":{"status":"predicted","confidence":0.382,"home":{"formation":"4-2-3-1","players":[{"id":82400,"name":"Arthur Nasta","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.045},{"id":43367,"name":"Tom Dallison","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.04},{"id":43723,"name":"Ryan Inniss","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.04},{"id":82397,"name":"Sam Ling","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.03},{"id":36118,"name":"Aaron Rowe","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.035},{"id":82391,"name":"Charlie Pegrum","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.045},{"id":82393,"name":"Henry Sandat","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.045},{"id":82390,"name":"Henry Hearn","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.045},{"id":92869,"name":"Asher Yearwood","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.03},{"id":45575,"name":"Josh Walker","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.045},{"id":56610,"name":"Dominic Poleon","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.03},{"id":34225,"name":"Jack Powell","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.045},{"id":82399,"name":"Rhys Byrne","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.045},{"id":86546,"name":"Frankie Edwards","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.035},{"id":82394,"name":"Tom Wraight","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.035},{"id":45582,"name":"Alfie Massey","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.025},{"id":82389,"name":"Angelo Balanta","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.025},{"id":88888,"name":"Miles Bracking","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.025},{"id":55116,"name":"Nathan Ferguson","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.025},{"id":82395,"name":"William Greenidge","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.025},{"id":43336,"name":"Jack Baldwin","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.02},{"id":35367,"name":"Joe Kizzi","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.02},{"id":82392,"name":"Myles Weston","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.02}],"confidence":0.391},"away":{"formation":"4-3-3","players":[{"id":30036,"name":"Matthew Gould","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.03},{"id":42739,"name":"Archie Davies","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.04},{"id":34254,"name":"Ben Radcliffe","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.04},{"id":42786,"name":"Hayden Muller","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.04},{"id":63494,"name":"Jordan Norville-Williams","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.04},{"id":30022,"name":"Brett McGavin","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.04},{"id":35373,"name":"Charlie Lennon","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.04},{"id":63492,"name":"Johl Powell","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.04},{"id":30007,"name":"James Daly","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.04},{"id":45572,"name":"Slavi Spasov","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.04},{"id":63491,"name":"Stephen Walker","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.03},{"id":154701,"name":"Jos Barker","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.04},{"id":45594,"name":"Joseph Gubbins","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.04},{"id":58946,"name":"Mason Obeng","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.04},{"id":30023,"name":"Ryan Jones","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.04},{"id":63493,"name":"Jack Kingdon","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.035},{"id":29383,"name":"Zain Westbrooke","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.035},{"id":34174,"name":"Loick Ayina","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.02},{"id":30016,"name":"Luke McCormick","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.01},{"id":87650,"name":"Owen Dean","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.01},{"id":30031,"name":"Joy Mukena","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.005},{"id":30012,"name":"Liam Nardiello","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.005}],"confidence":0.382},"unavailable":[]},"people":[{"id":82400,"name":"Arthur Nasta","side":"home"},{"id":43367,"name":"Tom Dallison","side":"home"},{"id":43723,"name":"Ryan Inniss","side":"home"},{"id":82397,"name":"Sam Ling","side":"home"},{"id":36118,"name":"Aaron Rowe","side":"home"},{"id":82391,"name":"Charlie Pegrum","side":"home"},{"id":82393,"name":"Henry Sandat","side":"home"},{"id":82390,"name":"Henry Hearn","side":"home"},{"id":92869,"name":"Asher Yearwood","side":"home"},{"id":45575,"name":"Josh Walker","side":"home"},{"id":56610,"name":"Dominic Poleon","side":"home"},{"id":34225,"name":"Jack Powell","side":"home"},{"id":82399,"name":"Rhys Byrne","side":"home"},{"id":86546,"name":"Frankie Edwards","side":"home"},{"id":82394,"name":"Tom Wraight","side":"home"},{"id":45582,"name":"Alfie Massey","side":"home"},{"id":82389,"name":"Angelo Balanta","side":"home"},{"id":88888,"name":"Miles Bracking","side":"home"},{"id":55116,"name":"Nathan Ferguson","side":"home"},{"id":82395,"name":"William Greenidge","side":"home"},{"id":43336,"name":"Jack Baldwin","side":"home"},{"id":35367,"name":"Joe Kizzi","side":"home"},{"id":82392,"name":"Myles Weston","side":"home"},{"id":217420,"name":"McKnight","side":"home"},{"id":217419,"name":"Sagaf","side":"home"},{"id":36521,"name":"Makai Welch","side":"home"},{"id":217418,"name":"Maxwell McKnight","side":"home"},{"id":82388,"name":"George Alexander","side":"home"},{"id":33771,"name":"Ryan Loft","side":"home"},{"id":82398,"name":"Michael Jordan","side":"home"},{"id":58509,"name":"Mo Sagaf","side":"home"},{"id":147457,"name":"Bobby Kelman","side":"home"},{"id":30036,"name":"Matthew Gould","side":"away"},{"id":42739,"name":"Archie Davies","side":"away"},{"id":34254,"name":"Ben Radcliffe","side":"away"},{"id":42786,"name":"Hayden Muller","side":"away"},{"id":63494,"name":"Jordan Norville-Williams","side":"away"},{"id":30022,"name":"Brett McGavin","side":"away"},{"id":35373,"name":"Charlie Lennon","side":"away"},{"id":63492,"name":"Johl Powell","side":"away"},{"id":30007,"name":"James Daly","side":"away"},{"id":45572,"name":"Slavi Spasov","side":"away"},{"id":63491,"name":"Stephen Walker","side":"away"},{"id":154701,"name":"Jos Barker","side":"away"},{"id":45594,"name":"Joseph Gubbins","side":"away"},{"id":58946,"name":"Mason Obeng","side":"away"},{"id":30023,"name":"Ryan Jones","side":"away"},{"id":63493,"name":"Jack Kingdon","side":"away"},{"id":29383,"name":"Zain Westbrooke","side":"away"},{"id":34174,"name":"Loick Ayina","side":"away"},{"id":30016,"name":"Luke McCormick","side":"away"},{"id":87650,"name":"Owen Dean","side":"away"},{"id":30031,"name":"Joy Mukena","side":"away"},{"id":30012,"name":"Liam Nardiello","side":"away"},{"id":221751,"name":"Jordan Norville-Williams","side":"away"},{"id":154700,"name":"Jonathon Page","side":"away"},{"id":30037,"name":"Jaydon Biss","side":"away"},{"id":215079,"name":"James Daly","side":"away"},{"id":215078,"name":"Stephen Walker","side":"away"},{"id":221752,"name":"Josiah Barker","side":"away"},{"id":221750,"name":"Mason Obeng","side":"away"},{"id":215083,"name":"Mason Obeng","side":"away"},{"id":121710,"name":"Joe Haigh","side":"away"},{"id":30011,"name":"Ollie Hughes","side":"away"}],"players":[{"id":35367,"name":"Joe Kizzi","side":"home","team":"Hornchurch","club":null,"role":"DEF","position":"RB","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":2,"starts":2,"goals":2,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":1,"team_games":23,"tracked_apps":2,"tracked_starts":2},"recent":{"apps":2,"goals":2,"assists":0,"scoredIn":2,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Kidderminster Harriers","kickoff":1786197600,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"3-0","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_scorer"],"importance":0.015,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":82390,"name":"Henry Hearn","side":"home","team":"Hornchurch","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"FWD","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":2,"starts":2,"goals":1,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":2,"team_games":23,"tracked_apps":2,"tracked_starts":2},"recent":{"apps":2,"goals":1,"assists":0,"scoredIn":1,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Barrow AFC","kickoff":1786802400,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"2-1","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.011,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":45575,"name":"Josh Walker","side":"home","team":"Hornchurch","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"FWD","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":2,"starts":0,"goals":0,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":0,"team_games":23,"tracked_apps":2,"tracked_starts":0},"recent":{"apps":2,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":63492,"name":"Johl Powell","side":"away","team":"Yeovil Town","club":null,"role":"MID","position":"MID","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":2,"starts":0,"goals":0,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":0,"team_games":21,"tracked_apps":2,"tracked_starts":0},"recent":{"apps":2,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":["top_scorer"],"importance":0,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":30007,"name":"James Daly","side":"away","team":"Yeovil Town","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"FWD","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":2,"starts":0,"goals":0,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":0,"team_games":21,"tracked_apps":2,"tracked_starts":0},"recent":{"apps":2,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":45572,"name":"Slavi Spasov","side":"away","team":"Yeovil Town","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"FWD","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":2,"starts":1,"goals":0,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":1,"team_games":21,"tracked_apps":2,"tracked_starts":1},"recent":{"apps":2,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.001,"country":null,"load":null}],"extras":{"teams":{"home":4722,"away":1255},"split":{"home":{"above":{"w":0,"d":0,"l":4},"below":{"w":4,"d":0,"l":2}},"away":{"above":{"w":0,"d":1,"l":2},"below":{"w":5,"d":1,"l":1}}},"referee":null,"managers":{"home":{"id":2784,"name":"Daryl McMahon","vs":null},"away":{"id":2746,"name":"Billy Rowley","vs":null}},"best_xi":[],"players":{}},"notable":[{"id":42661,"name":"Matt Rush","goals":9,"rank":1},{"id":63492,"name":"Johl Powell","goals":8,"rank":2},{"id":34144,"name":"John Marquis","goals":8,"rank":3},{"id":43323,"name":"Aaron Blair","goals":7,"rank":4},{"id":74427,"name":"Kieren Donnelly","goals":7,"rank":5},{"id":122419,"name":"Razzaq Coleman De-Graft","goals":7,"rank":6},{"id":33820,"name":"Ben Whitfield","goals":6,"rank":7},{"id":45587,"name":"Leon Chambers-Parillon","goals":6,"rank":8},{"id":43047,"name":"Lewis Walker","goals":6,"rank":9},{"id":68128,"name":"Luca Thomas","goals":6,"rank":10},{"id":30016,"name":"Luke McCormick","goals":6,"rank":11},{"id":34281,"name":"Zak Brunt","goals":6,"rank":12},{"id":35745,"name":"Bailey Hobson","goals":5,"rank":13},{"id":30022,"name":"Brett McGavin","goals":5,"rank":14},{"id":87453,"name":"Jacob Wakeling","goals":5,"rank":15}],"round_label":"Regular season · Matchday 15","neutral":false,"h2h":{"total_matches":0,"home_wins":0,"draws":0,"away_wins":0,"home_goals":null,"away_goals":null,"avg_total_goals":null,"home_win_rate":null,"away_win_rate":null,"recent_matches":[]},"standings":{"home":{"team_id":4722,"position":10,"played":14,"points":21,"goal_diff":-5,"team_name":"Hornchurch","won":7,"drawn":0,"lost":7,"goals_for":16,"goals_against":21,"group":null},"away":{"team_id":1255,"position":6,"played":14,"points":25,"goal_diff":16,"team_name":"Yeovil Town","won":7,"drawn":4,"lost":3,"goals_for":33,"goals_against":17,"group":null},"size":24},"form":{"home":{"matches":6,"ppg":1.5,"record":"3-0-3","goals_for":1.5,"goals_against":1.5,"clean_sheets":2,"streak":"none","sequence":"LWLWWL","venue_ppg":3},"away":{"matches":6,"ppg":1.83,"record":"3-2-1","goals_for":3.67,"goals_against":1.33,"clean_sheets":2,"streak":"none","sequence":"DWWDWL","venue_ppg":2}},"ledger":[{"id":"availability.home.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Hornchurch report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.away.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Yeovil Town report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.rotation_risk","section":"§3.1","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.","evidence":{"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.382,"cup_tie":false},"strength":0.618,"moves":[]},{"id":"form.home","section":"§2.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Hornchurch have taken 1.50 points a game from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.5, and 3.00 a game at home.","evidence":{"matches":6,"ppg":1.5,"record":"3-0-3","goals_for":1.5,"goals_against":1.5,"clean_sheets":2,"streak":"none","sequence":"LWLWWL","venue_ppg":3},"strength":0.15,"moves":[]},{"id":"form.away","section":"§2.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Yeovil Town have taken 1.83 points a game from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), scoring 3.7 and conceding 1.3, and 2.00 a game on the road.","evidence":{"matches":6,"ppg":1.83,"record":"3-2-1","goals_for":3.67,"goals_against":1.33,"clean_sheets":2,"streak":"none","sequence":"DWWDWL","venue_ppg":2},"strength":0.322,"moves":[]},{"id":"stakes.season","section":"§5.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing much riding on this one for either side yet.","evidence":{"games_left":31,"home":{"state":"mid_table","position":10,"points":21,"games_left":31,"gap_to_leader":17,"gap_to_safety":9,"gap_to_europe":4},"away":{"state":"mid_table","position":6,"points":25,"games_left":31,"gap_to_leader":13,"gap_to_safety":13,"gap_to_europe":0},"six_pointer":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.derby","section":"§5.2","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Not a local derby.","evidence":{"derby":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.revenge","section":"§5.3","tier":2,"state":"THIN","note":"No reverse fixture on record this season, so there is no revenge angle to read.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.home.established","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Daryl McMahon has 19 matches in charge at Hornchurch, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.","evidence":{"manager":"Daryl McMahon","matches_in_charge":19,"tenure_days":99,"ppm":1.74,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.8,"after_ppm":2.1,"delta":null}},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.away.established","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Billy Rowley has 19 matches in charge at Yeovil Town, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.","evidence":{"manager":"Billy Rowley","matches_in_charge":19,"tenure_days":102,"ppm":1.58,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.1,"after_ppm":1.2,"delta":null}},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.home","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Hornchurch come in on 3 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":3.2395833333333335,"matchesIn7":1,"matchesIn14":2,"days_rest":3.2},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.away","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Yeovil Town come in on 3 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":3.2395833333333335,"matchesIn7":1,"matchesIn14":3,"days_rest":3.2},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.opponent_adjustment","section":"§4.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form.","evidence":{"home":{"attack":-0.061,"defence":0.021,"effective_matches":10.6,"shrunk":0.43},"away":{"attack":-0.04,"defence":0.019,"effective_matches":18.2,"shrunk":0.31}},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Yeovil Town average 8 points more possession than Hornchurch, so this should be one side with the ball and one without it; Hornchurch work noticeably more of their attacks into wide areas.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":42.8,"shots":11.5,"xg_per_shot":0.12,"corners":5,"corners_per_shot":0.435,"finishing_vs_xg":-0.22},"away":{"matches":12,"possession":51,"shots":9.3,"xg_per_shot":0.132,"corners":3,"corners_per_shot":0.321,"finishing_vs_xg":1.6},"possession_gap":-8.3},"strength":0.33,"moves":[{"channel":"corners","side":"away","pct":1.7},{"channel":"corners","side":"home","pct":-1.7},{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":3}]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Hornchurch are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.22,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Yeovil Town have scored 19 more than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":1.6,"matches":12},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No travel distance reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.","evidence":{"rain_mm":null,"wind_kph":11.4,"temperature_c":9,"description":"clear"},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.17318848311602936},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.overround","section":"§7.3","tier":7,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The bookmakers are taking a 9.7% cut on this match. The bigger their cut, the further out a price has to be before it is worth backing.","evidence":{"overround":1.0965,"margin_pct":9.65,"devig_method":"shin","books_quoting":3},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.movement","section":"§7.1","tier":7,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Since opening, HOME has drifted 6.3% since the market opened.","evidence":{"moves":[{"outcome":"HOME","move_pct":-6.3,"direction":"DRIFTING"},{"outcome":"AWAY","move_pct":-0.9,"direction":"DRIFTING"},{"outcome":"DRAW","move_pct":0,"direction":"DRIFTING"}]},"strength":0.316,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.sharp_reference","section":"§7.1","tier":7,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The sharp book and the wider market agree on this fixture.","evidence":{"sharp":{"HOME":0.3158,"DRAW":0.2707,"AWAY":0.4134},"consensus":{"HOME":0.3237,"DRAW":0.2666,"AWAY":0.4097},"largest_gap":{"outcome":"HOME","points":-0.79},"sharp_overround":1.0498},"strength":0.098,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.prediction_market","section":"§7.2","tier":7,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No prediction-market prices for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"markets":[{"market":"1x2","line":null,"confidence":0.571,"model":{"HOME":0.4093,"DRAW":0.2602,"AWAY":0.3305},"book":{"HOME":0.3237,"DRAW":0.2666,"AWAY":0.4097},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":3.01,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"DRAW":{"odds":3.5,"bookmaker":"betfair"},"AWAY":{"odds":2.38,"bookmaker":"Unibet"}},"overround":1.0965,"books":14,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"HOME":0.3158,"DRAW":0.2707,"AWAY":0.4134}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"HOME":0.3294,"DRAW":0.2626,"AWAY":0.4081}}},{"market":"double_chance","line":null,"confidence":0.571,"model":{"12":0.7398,"1X":0.6695,"X2":0.5907},"book":{"12":0.7334,"1X":0.5903,"X2":0.6763},"best":{"12":{"odds":1.3,"bookmaker":"William Hill"},"1X":{"odds":1.62,"bookmaker":"betfair"},"X2":{"odds":1.4,"bookmaker":"betfair"}},"overround":1.0504,"books":5,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"12":0.7293,"1X":0.5866,"X2":0.6842}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"12":0.7374,"1X":0.5919,"X2":0.6706}}},{"market":"draw_no_bet","line":null,"confidence":0.571,"model":{"HOME":0.5532,"AWAY":0.4468},"book":{"HOME":0.4414,"AWAY":0.5586},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":2.12,"bookmaker":"Betano"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.727,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0779,"books":11,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"HOME":0.4331,"AWAY":0.5669}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"HOME":0.4466,"AWAY":0.5534}}},{"market":"btts","line":null,"confidence":0.571,"model":{"yes":0.5668,"no":0.4332},"book":{"yes":0.5742,"no":0.4258},"best":{"yes":{"odds":1.66,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"no":{"odds":2.2,"bookmaker":"fonbet"}},"overround":1.0847,"books":16,"sharp":{"book":"betfair","fair":{"yes":0.5649,"no":0.4351}},"open":{"book":"betfair","fair":{"yes":0.5852,"no":0.4148}}},{"market":"over_under_05","line":0.5,"confidence":0.571,"model":{"over":0.9344,"under":0.0656},"book":{"over":0.9473,"under":0.0527},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.02,"bookmaker":"BetVictor"},"under":{"odds":11,"bookmaker":"betfair"}},"overround":1.0806,"books":3,"sharp":{"book":"betfair","fair":{"over":0.9496,"under":0.0504}},"open":{"book":"betfair","fair":{"over":0.9496,"under":0.0504}}},{"market":"over_under_15","line":1.5,"confidence":0.571,"model":{"over":0.7702,"under":0.2298},"book":{"over":0.7789,"under":0.2211},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.25,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"under":{"odds":4,"bookmaker":"betfair"}},"overround":1.0723,"books":4,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.7731,"under":0.2269}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.7737,"under":0.2263}}},{"market":"over_under_25","line":2.5,"confidence":0.571,"model":{"over":0.5269,"under":0.4731},"book":{"over":0.5299,"under":0.4701},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.83,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"under":{"odds":2.02,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"}},"overround":1.0638,"books":5,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.5257,"under":0.4743}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.5293,"under":0.4707}}},{"market":"over_under_35","line":3.5,"confidence":0.571,"model":{"over":0.3047,"under":0.6953},"book":{"over":0.3079,"under":0.6921},"best":{"over":{"odds":2.99,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"under":{"odds":1.39,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"}},"overround":1.0739,"books":4,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.3075,"under":0.6925}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.3095,"under":0.6905}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-2,"confidence":0.571,"model":{"HOME":0.088,"AWAY":0.912},"book":{"HOME":0.055,"AWAY":0.945},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":10,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.01,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0901,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.055,"AWAY":0.945}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-1.75,"confidence":0.571,"model":{"HOME":0.1478,"AWAY":0.8522},"book":{"HOME":0.0883,"AWAY":0.9117},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":7.1,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.037,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.1052,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.0883,"AWAY":0.9117}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-1.5,"confidence":0.571,"model":{"HOME":0.2002,"AWAY":0.7998},"book":{"HOME":0.1439,"AWAY":0.8561},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":5.45,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.12,"bookmaker":"fonbet"}},"overround":1.1008,"books":2,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.1439,"AWAY":0.8561}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-1.25,"confidence":0.571,"model":{"HOME":0.2236,"AWAY":0.7764},"book":{"HOME":0.1522,"AWAY":0.8478},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":5.5,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.15,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0725,"books":2,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.157,"AWAY":0.843}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-1,"confidence":0.571,"model":{"HOME":0.2531,"AWAY":0.7469},"book":{"HOME":0.175,"AWAY":0.825},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":5,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.17,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0787,"books":3,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.1796,"AWAY":0.8204}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-0.75,"confidence":0.571,"model":{"HOME":0.3403,"AWAY":0.6597},"book":{"HOME":0.2564,"AWAY":0.7436},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":3.45,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.3,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0773,"books":3,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.2564,"AWAY":0.7436}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-0.5,"confidence":0.571,"model":{"HOME":0.4093,"AWAY":0.5907},"book":{"HOME":0.3309,"AWAY":0.6691},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":2.75,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.425,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0654,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.3309,"AWAY":0.6691}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-0.25,"confidence":0.571,"model":{"HOME":0.4705,"AWAY":0.5295},"book":{"HOME":0.3735,"AWAY":0.6265},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":2.5,"bookmaker":"Novibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.52,"bookmaker":"Betsson"}},"overround":1.0743,"books":5,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.3818,"AWAY":0.6182}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0,"confidence":0.571,"model":{"HOME":0.5532,"AWAY":0.4468},"book":{"HOME":0.4394,"AWAY":0.5606},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":2.15,"bookmaker":"Novibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.7,"bookmaker":"Betsson"}},"overround":1.0721,"books":5,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.4481,"AWAY":0.5519}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0.25,"confidence":0.571,"model":{"HOME":0.6201,"AWAY":0.3799},"book":{"HOME":0.5252,"AWAY":0.4748},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.8,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":2,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0756,"books":5,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.5293,"AWAY":0.4707}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0.5,"confidence":0.571,"model":{"HOME":0.6695,"AWAY":0.3305},"book":{"HOME":0.6008,"AWAY":0.3992},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.61,"bookmaker":"Novibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":2.3,"bookmaker":"888Sport"}},"overround":1.0775,"books":3,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.6037,"AWAY":0.3963}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0.75,"confidence":0.571,"model":{"HOME":0.7374,"AWAY":0.2626},"book":{"HOME":0.6634,"AWAY":0.3366},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.45,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":2.7,"bookmaker":"Novibet"}},"overround":1.0758,"books":4,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.6648,"AWAY":0.3352}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":1,"confidence":0.571,"model":{"HOME":0.8206,"AWAY":0.1794},"book":{"HOME":0.7503,"AWAY":0.2497},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.3,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":3.45,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0817,"books":3,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.755,"AWAY":0.245}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":1.25,"confidence":0.571,"model":{"HOME":0.8388,"AWAY":0.1612},"book":{"HOME":0.7814,"AWAY":0.2186},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.24,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":3.9,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0796,"books":2,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.7852,"AWAY":0.2148}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":1.5,"confidence":0.571,"model":{"HOME":0.8536,"AWAY":0.1464},"book":{"HOME":0.805,"AWAY":0.195},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.21,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":4.25,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0839,"books":3,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.808,"AWAY":0.192}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":1.75,"confidence":0.571,"model":{"HOME":0.8966,"AWAY":0.1034},"book":{"HOME":0.8581,"AWAY":0.1419},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.14,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":5.75,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0732,"books":2,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.8617,"AWAY":0.1383}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":2,"confidence":0.571,"model":{"HOME":0.9441,"AWAY":0.0559},"book":{"HOME":0.9153,"AWAY":0.0847},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.05,"bookmaker":"fonbet"},"AWAY":{"odds":7.9,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0988,"books":2,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.9153,"AWAY":0.0847}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":2.5,"confidence":0.571,"model":{"HOME":0.9494,"AWAY":0.0506},"book":{"HOME":0.9288,"AWAY":0.0712},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.04,"bookmaker":"fonbet"},"AWAY":{"odds":8.6,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0916,"books":2,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.9288,"AWAY":0.0712}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":7.5,"confidence":0.571,"model":{"over":0.7375,"under":0.2625},"book":{"over":0.7476,"under":0.2524},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.25,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"under":{"odds":3.28,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.1049,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"over":0.7304,"under":0.2696}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":8.5,"confidence":0.571,"model":{"over":0.6229,"under":0.3771},"book":{"over":0.6237,"under":0.3763},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.51,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"under":{"odds":2.43,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"}},"overround":1.077,"books":2,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.6254,"under":0.3746}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.6223,"under":0.3777}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":9.5,"confidence":0.571,"model":{"over":0.5016,"under":0.4984},"book":{"over":0.4997,"under":0.5003},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.88,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"under":{"odds":1.89,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"}},"overround":1.0657,"books":2,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.5014,"under":0.4986}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.4986,"under":0.5014}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":10.5,"confidence":0.571,"model":{"over":0.3846,"under":0.6154},"book":{"over":0.388,"under":0.612},"best":{"over":{"odds":2.37,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"under":{"odds":1.55,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"}},"overround":1.0762,"books":2,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.3911,"under":0.6089}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.3881,"under":0.6119}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":11.5,"confidence":0.571,"model":{"over":0.2809,"under":0.7191},"book":{"over":0.2594,"under":0.7406},"best":{"over":{"odds":3.2,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"under":{"odds":1.26,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.1062,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"over":0.2447,"under":0.7553}}},{"market":"corners_1x2","line":null,"confidence":0.456,"model":{"HOME":0.6178,"DRAW":0.1115,"AWAY":0.2707},"book":{},"best":{},"overround":1,"books":0,"sharp":null,"open":null},{"market":"red_card","line":null,"confidence":0.399,"model":{"yes":0.1337,"no":0.8663},"book":{},"best":{},"overround":1,"books":0,"sharp":null,"open":null}],"candidates":[{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":0,"push":"full","model_prob":0.5532,"book_prob":0.4394,"edge":0.1138,"shrunk_edge":0.0854,"odds":2.15,"bookmaker":"Novibet","prices":[{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":2.15},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":2.15},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":2.1},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":2.07},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":2.03}],"kelly":0.0412,"confidence":0.571,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"draw_no_bet","outcome":"HOME","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.5532,"book_prob":0.4414,"edge":0.1119,"shrunk_edge":0.083,"odds":2.12,"bookmaker":"Betano","prices":[{"slug":"betano","book":"Betano","odds":2.12},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":2.11},{"slug":"betway","book":"Betway","odds":2.1},{"slug":"888sport","book":"888Sport","odds":2.1},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":2.1},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":2.08},{"slug":"bwin","book":"Bwin","odds":2.05},{"slug":"sportingbet","book":"SportingBet","odds":2.05},{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":2.05},{"slug":"vistabet","book":"Vistabet","odds":2.05},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":2}],"kelly":0.0386,"confidence":0.571,"family":"result"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-0.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.4705,"book_prob":0.3735,"edge":0.097,"shrunk_edge":0.0727,"odds":2.5,"bookmaker":"Novibet","prices":[{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":2.5},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":2.5},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":2.43},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":2.37},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":2.356}],"kelly":0.0294,"confidence":0.571,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":0.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.6201,"book_prob":0.5252,"edge":0.0948,"shrunk_edge":0.0711,"odds":1.8,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.8},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.8},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.79},{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":1.75},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.731}],"kelly":0.0363,"confidence":0.571,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"1x2","outcome":"HOME","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.4093,"book_prob":0.3237,"edge":0.0856,"shrunk_edge":0.0635,"odds":3.01,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle","prices":[{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":3.01},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":2.9},{"slug":"dafabet","book":"dafabet","odds":2.9},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":2.87},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":2.8},{"slug":"betvictor","book":"BetVictor","odds":2.8},{"slug":"mansionbet","book":"MansionBet","odds":2.8},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":2.78},{"slug":"betfair","book":"betfair","odds":2.75},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":2.7},{"slug":"bwin","book":"Bwin","odds":2.7},{"slug":"coral","book":"coral","odds":2.7}],"kelly":0.0288,"confidence":0.571,"family":"result"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-0.75,"push":"half","model_prob":0.3403,"book_prob":0.2564,"edge":0.084,"shrunk_edge":0.063,"odds":3.45,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":3.45},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":3.4},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":3.295}],"kelly":0.0178,"confidence":0.571,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"double_chance","outcome":"1X","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.6695,"book_prob":0.5903,"edge":0.0792,"shrunk_edge":0.0588,"odds":1.62,"bookmaker":"betfair","prices":[{"slug":"betfair","book":"betfair","odds":1.62},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":1.57},{"slug":"betvictor","book":"BetVictor","odds":1.55},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.5},{"slug":"sbo","book":"Sbo","odds":1.48}],"kelly":0.0341,"confidence":0.571,"family":"result"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-0.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.4093,"book_prob":0.3309,"edge":0.0783,"shrunk_edge":0.0588,"odds":2.75,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":2.75}],"kelly":0.0179,"confidence":0.571,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-1,"push":"full","model_prob":0.2531,"book_prob":0.175,"edge":0.0781,"shrunk_edge":0.0586,"odds":5,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":5},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":4.65},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":4.3}],"kelly":0.0166,"confidence":0.571,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":0.75,"push":"half","model_prob":0.7374,"book_prob":0.6634,"edge":0.074,"shrunk_edge":0.0555,"odds":1.45,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.45},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.44},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.41},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.395}],"kelly":0.0384,"confidence":0.571,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-1.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.2236,"book_prob":0.1522,"edge":0.0714,"shrunk_edge":0.0535,"odds":5.5,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":5.5},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":5.05}],"kelly":0.0128,"confidence":0.571,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":1,"push":"full","model_prob":0.8206,"book_prob":0.7503,"edge":0.0703,"shrunk_edge":0.0527,"odds":1.3,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.3},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.25},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.23}],"kelly":0.0556,"confidence":0.571,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":0.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.6695,"book_prob":0.6008,"edge":0.0687,"shrunk_edge":0.0515,"odds":1.61,"bookmaker":"Novibet","prices":[{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.61},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":1.55},{"slug":"888sport","book":"888Sport","odds":1.533}],"kelly":0.0319,"confidence":0.571,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-1.75,"push":"half","model_prob":0.1478,"book_prob":0.0883,"edge":0.0595,"shrunk_edge":0.0446,"odds":7.1,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":7.1}],"kelly":0.002,"confidence":0.571,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":1.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.8388,"book_prob":0.7814,"edge":0.0574,"shrunk_edge":0.0431,"odds":1.24,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.24},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.187}],"kelly":0.0417,"confidence":0.571,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-1.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.2002,"book_prob":0.1439,"edge":0.0563,"shrunk_edge":0.0422,"odds":5.45,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":5.45},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":4.9}],"kelly":0.0051,"confidence":0.571,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":1.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.8536,"book_prob":0.805,"edge":0.0486,"shrunk_edge":0.0364,"odds":1.21,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.21},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.17},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.152}],"kelly":0.0391,"confidence":0.571,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":1.75,"push":"half","model_prob":0.8966,"book_prob":0.8581,"edge":0.0385,"shrunk_edge":0.0289,"odds":1.14,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.14},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.087}],"kelly":0.0394,"confidence":0.571,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-2,"push":"full","model_prob":0.088,"book_prob":0.055,"edge":0.0331,"shrunk_edge":0.0248,"odds":10,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":10}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.571,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":2,"push":"full","model_prob":0.9441,"book_prob":0.9153,"edge":0.0287,"shrunk_edge":0.0216,"odds":1.05,"bookmaker":"fonbet","prices":[{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.05},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.022}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.571,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":2.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.9494,"book_prob":0.9288,"edge":0.0206,"shrunk_edge":0.0155,"odds":1.04,"bookmaker":"fonbet","prices":[{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.04},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.011}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.571,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"total_corners","outcome":"over","line":11.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.2809,"book_prob":0.2594,"edge":0.0215,"shrunk_edge":0.0118,"odds":3.2,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":3.2}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.571,"family":"corners"},{"market":"over_under_05","outcome":"under","line":0.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.0656,"book_prob":0.0527,"edge":0.0129,"shrunk_edge":0.011,"odds":11,"bookmaker":"betfair","prices":[{"slug":"betfair","book":"betfair","odds":11},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":10.5},{"slug":"betvictor","book":"BetVictor","odds":10.5}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.571,"family":"goals"},{"market":"over_under_15","outcome":"under","line":1.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.2298,"book_prob":0.2211,"edge":0.0088,"shrunk_edge":0.0074,"odds":4,"bookmaker":"betfair","prices":[{"slug":"betfair","book":"betfair","odds":4},{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":3.94},{"slug":"betvictor","book":"BetVictor","odds":3.9},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":3.5}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.571,"family":"goals"},{"market":"btts","outcome":"no","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.4332,"book_prob":0.4258,"edge":0.0074,"shrunk_edge":0.0063,"odds":2.2,"bookmaker":"fonbet","prices":[{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":2.2},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":2.16},{"slug":"betano","book":"Betano","odds":2.15},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":2.15},{"slug":"bwin","book":"Bwin","odds":2.15},{"slug":"sportingbet","book":"SportingBet","odds":2.15},{"slug":"betway","book":"Betway","odds":2.15},{"slug":"888sport","book":"888Sport","odds":2.15},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":2.15},{"slug":"betvictor","book":"BetVictor","odds":2.15},{"slug":"vistabet","book":"Vistabet","odds":2.15},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":2.12}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.571,"family":"goals"}],"verdicts":[],"pass_reason":"call rule: value","preview":"Billy Rowley and his Yeovil side should bully their hosts to secure a tight away win. Both clubs share identical form with three wins in their last six matches, but being 6th in the table suggests Yeovil are the more consistent force. Daryl McMahon knows his 10th placed Hornchurch team are a different animal at home, yet they struggle against better opposition. They have failed to beat any of the last four sides sitting above them. Yeovil use a broad 4-3-3 to stretch the pitch, giving them control in wide areas. This forces Hornchurch to defend deep in their 4-2-3-1. Arthur Nasta will face a heavy workload against a visiting front three including Stephen Walker. Clinical finishing will decide it.","external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":6084,"created_at":"2026-10-21T02:15:19Z","event":{"id":588272,"event_date":"2026-10-27T19:45:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":4722,"home_team":"Hornchurch","away_team_id":1255,"away_team":"Yeovil Town","league_id":91,"league_name":"National League"},"markets":{"match_result":{"prob_home":32.5,"prob_draw":27.2,"prob_away":40.3,"predicted":"A"},"expected_goals":{"home":1.54,"away":1.37},"over_under":{"prob_over_15":76,"prob_over_25":52.9,"prob_over_35":32.2},"btts":{"prob_yes":56.9},"score":{"most_likely":"1-1"},"draw_no_bet":{"prob_home":55.4},"corners":{"prob_over_85":66.9,"prob_over_95":55.4,"prob_over_105":44.4}},"recommendations":{"favorite":"A","favorite_prob":40.3,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.4032,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}}},"computed_at":1793119166,"report":{"fetched_at":1793148262,"ht":[0,0],"attendance":null,"highlights":[],"events":[{"t":"sub","minute":8,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"T. Dallison","in_id":43367,"out":"R. Inniss","out_id":43723},{"t":"sub","minute":23,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"H. Sandat","in_id":82393,"out":"J. Baldwin","out_id":43336},{"t":"card","minute":26,"added":null,"side":"away","player":"J. Kingdon","player_id":63493,"card":"yellow","reason":null},{"t":"card","minute":33,"added":null,"side":"home","player":"T. Wraight","player_id":82394,"card":"yellow","reason":null},{"t":"sub","minute":39,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"H. Muller","in_id":42786,"out":"J. Norville-Williams","out_id":63494},{"t":"sub","minute":46,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"A. Balanta","in_id":82389,"out":"J. Walker","out_id":45575},{"t":"sub","minute":46,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"M. Weston","in_id":82392,"out":"A. Massey","out_id":45582},{"t":"sub","minute":64,"added":null,"side":"away","in":null,"in_id":null,"out":"S. Walker","out_id":63491},{"t":"sub","minute":64,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"S. Spasov","in_id":45572,"out":"O. Dean","out_id":87650},{"t":"sub","minute":64,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"M. Obeng","in_id":58946,"out":"C. Lennon","out_id":35373},{"t":"sub","minute":70,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"H. Hearn","in_id":82390,"out":"R. Loft","out_id":33771},{"t":"goal","minute":72,"added":null,"side":"away","player":"Z. Westbrooke","player_id":29383,"assist":null,"kind":"regular","score":[0,1]},{"t":"sub","minute":77,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"J. Daly","in_id":30007,"out":"J. Powell","out_id":63492},{"t":"goal","minute":78,"added":null,"side":"away","player":"Unknown","player_id":null,"assist":null,"kind":"regular","score":[0,2]},{"t":"card","minute":87,"added":null,"side":"away","player":"R. Jones","player_id":30023,"card":"yellow","reason":null},{"t":"goal","minute":90,"added":null,"side":"home","player":"C. Pegrum","player_id":82391,"assist":null,"kind":"regular","score":[1,2]},{"t":"card","minute":90,"added":1,"side":"away","player":"J. Daly","player_id":30007,"card":"yellow","reason":null}],"players":[{"id":35373,"team_id":1255,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":63491,"team_id":1255,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":42786,"team_id":1255,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":58946,"team_id":1255,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":45572,"team_id":1255,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":30007,"team_id":1255,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":1,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":34174,"team_id":1255,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":42739,"team_id":1255,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":30023,"team_id":1255,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":1,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":154701,"team_id":1255,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":63493,"team_id":1255,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":1,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":45594,"team_id":1255,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":63494,"team_id":1255,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":8843,"team_id":1255,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":29383,"team_id":1255,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":1,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":30022,"team_id":1255,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":87650,"team_id":1255,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":63492,"team_id":1255,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":43336,"team_id":4722,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":45575,"team_id":4722,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":43367,"team_id":4722,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":82393,"team_id":4722,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":82392,"team_id":4722,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":82389,"team_id":4722,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":82390,"team_id":4722,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":82399,"team_id":4722,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":55116,"team_id":4722,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":82395,"team_id":4722,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":82391,"team_id":4722,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":1,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":88888,"team_id":4722,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":45582,"team_id":4722,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":82394,"team_id":4722,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":1,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":82400,"team_id":4722,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":86546,"team_id":4722,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":43723,"team_id":4722,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":33771,"team_id":4722,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0}],"stats":{"home":{"possession":null,"shots":null,"on_target":null,"corners":null,"fouls":null,"yellow":1,"red":0,"big_chances":null,"passes":null,"pass_pct":null,"offsides":null,"saves":null},"away":{"possession":null,"shots":null,"on_target":null,"corners":null,"fouls":null,"yellow":3,"red":0,"big_chances":null,"passes":null,"pass_pct":null,"offsides":null,"saves":null}},"lineups":{"home":{"formation":"4-4-2","players":[{"id":82400,"name":"Arthur Nasta","position":"G","number":1,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":86546,"name":"Frankie Edwards","position":"D","number":22,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":43723,"name":"Ryan Inniss","position":"D","number":3,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":43336,"name":"Jack Baldwin","position":"D","number":5,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":82395,"name":"William Greenidge","position":"D","number":2,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":82391,"name":"Charlie Pegrum","position":"M","number":14,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":88888,"name":"Miles Bracking","position":"M","number":25,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":45582,"name":"Alfie Massey","position":"M","number":27,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":82394,"name":"Tom Wraight","position":"M","number":8,"captain":true,"starting":true},{"id":33771,"name":"Ryan Loft","position":"F","number":30,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":45575,"name":"Josh Walker","position":"F","number":7,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":43367,"name":"Tom Dallison","position":"D","number":6,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":82393,"name":"Henry Sandat","position":"M","number":11,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":82392,"name":"Myles Weston","position":"M","number":18,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":82389,"name":"Angelo Balanta","position":"F","number":10,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":82390,"name":"Henry Hearn","position":"F","number":9,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":82399,"name":"Rhys Byrne","position":"G","number":13,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":55116,"name":"Nathan Ferguson","position":"M","number":15,"captain":false,"starting":false}]},"away":{"formation":"4-2-3-1","players":[{"id":154701,"name":"Jos Barker","position":"G","number":1,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":63493,"name":"Jack Kingdon","position":"D","number":5,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":45594,"name":"Joseph Gubbins","position":"D","number":15,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":63494,"name":"Jordan Norville-Williams","position":"D","number":3,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":8843,"name":"Seb Naylor","position":"D","number":24,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":29383,"name":"Zain Westbrooke","position":"M","number":25,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":30022,"name":"Brett McGavin","position":"M","number":14,"captain":true,"starting":true},{"id":87650,"name":"Owen Dean","position":"F","number":18,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":63492,"name":"Johl Powell","position":"M","number":20,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":35373,"name":"Charlie Lennon","position":"M","number":27,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":63491,"name":"Stephen Walker","position":"F","number":9,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":42786,"name":"Hayden Muller","position":"D","number":4,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":58946,"name":"Mason Obeng","position":"M","number":7,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":30023,"name":"Ryan Jones","position":"M","number":10,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":45572,"name":"Slavi Spasov","position":"F","number":19,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":30007,"name":"James Daly","position":"F","number":11,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":34174,"name":"Loick Ayina","position":"D","number":6,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":42739,"name":"Archie Davies","position":"D","number":12,"captain":false,"starting":false}]}}},"colors":{"home":"#d51211","away":"#339038"},"venue":{"name":"Hornchurch Stadium","city":"Hornchurch","capacity":3000},"pulled":[],"published":[]}