{"id": 588243, "h2h": {"draws": 0, "away_wins": 2, "home_wins": 2, "away_goals": 7, "home_goals": 6, "away_win_rate": 0.5, "home_win_rate": 0.5, "total_matches": 4, "recent_matches": [{"away": "Yeovil Town", "date": "2026-03-14T15:00:00+00:00", "home": "Boston United", "score": "2-1", "event_id": 589146, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 2, "away_team_id": 1255, "home_team_id": 3876}, {"away": "Boston United", "date": "2025-11-29T15:00:00+00:00", "home": "Yeovil Town", "score": "2-1", "event_id": 588913, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 2, "away_team_id": 3876, "home_team_id": 1255}, {"away": "Boston United", "date": "2025-03-11T19:45:00+00:00", "home": "Yeovil Town", "score": "0-3", "event_id": 589646, "away_score": 3, "home_score": 0, "away_team_id": 3876, "home_team_id": 1255}, {"away": "Yeovil Town", "date": "2024-08-31T14:00:00+00:00", "home": "Boston United", "score": "1-3", "event_id": 589323, "away_score": 3, "home_score": 1, "away_team_id": 1255, "home_team_id": 3876}], "avg_total_goals": 3.25}, "away": "Boston United", "form": {"away": {"ppg": 1, "record": "1-3-2", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "DLDWLD", "goals_for": 1.33, "venue_ppg": 1.67, "clean_sheets": 0, "goals_against": 1.5}, "home": {"ppg": 1.33, "record": "2-2-2", "streak": "unbeaten 4", "matches": 6, "sequence": "LLDWWD", "goals_for": 1.67, "venue_ppg": 1.33, "clean_sheets": 1, "goals_against": 1.67}}, "home": "Yeovil Town", "pass": "Passing on Yeovil Town v Boston United. The bookmakers have this one about right, so there is nothing to take.", "rank": 5, "read": {"side": null, "text": "Too close to call"}, "flags": [{"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "section": "§3.1"}], "score": null, "venue": {"city": "Yeovil", "name": "Huish Park", "capacity": 9527}, "colors": {"away": "#ecc016", "home": "#339038"}, "extras": {"split": {"away": {"above": {"d": 2, "l": 4, "w": 2}, "below": {"d": 1, "l": 0, "w": 1}}, "home": {"above": {"d": 0, "l": 2, "w": 0}, "below": {"d": 3, "l": 0, "w": 5}}}, "teams": {"away": 3876, "home": 1255}, "best_xi": [], "players": {}, "referee": null, "managers": {"away": {"id": 2195, "vs": {"d": 0, "l": 0, "w": 1, "last": {"score": "2-1", "result": "W", "kickoff": 1773500400}}, "name": "Paul Hurst"}, "home": {"id": 2746, "vs": {"d": 0, "l": 1, "w": 0, "last": {"score": "1-2", "result": "L", "kickoff": 1773500400}}, "name": "Billy Rowley"}}}, "lambda": [1.42, 1.33], "league": "National League", "ledger": [{"id": "availability.home.full_strength", "note": "Yeovil Town report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.away.full_strength", "note": "Boston United report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0.473, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 0.527}, {"id": "stakes.season", "note": "Nothing much riding on this one for either side yet.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.1", "evidence": {"away": {"state": "mid_table", "points": 12, "position": 19, "games_left": 34, "gap_to_europe": 7, "gap_to_leader": 17, "gap_to_safety": 2}, "home": {"state": "mid_table", "points": 19, "position": 6, "games_left": 34, "gap_to_europe": 0, "gap_to_leader": 10, "gap_to_safety": 9}, "games_left": 34, "six_pointer": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.derby", "note": "Not a local derby.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.2", "evidence": {"derby": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "The reverse fixture finished 2-1, too close to carry a revenge motive.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.3", "evidence": {"reverse_margin": -1}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "manager.home.settling", "note": "Billy Rowley is 14 games into the job at Yeovil Town, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 1.43, "manager": "Billy Rowley", "tenure_days": 78, "matches_in_charge": 14, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 1.2, "before_ppm": 1.1}}, "strength": 0.3}, {"id": "manager.away.established", "note": "Paul Hurst has 16 matches in charge at Boston United, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 1.19, "manager": "Paul Hurst", "tenure_days": 85, "matches_in_charge": 16, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 1.3, "before_ppm": 1.5}}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.home", "note": "Yeovil Town come in on 4 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 3.8020833333333335, "days_rest": 3.8, "matchesIn7": 2, "matchesIn14": 2}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.away", "note": "Boston United come in on 4 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 3.8020833333333335, "days_rest": 3.8, "matchesIn7": 2, "matchesIn14": 3}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.opponent_adjustment", "note": "Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§4.1", "evidence": {"away": {"attack": -0.027, "shrunk": 0.31, "defence": 0.024, "effective_matches": 18.2}, "home": {"attack": -0.115, "shrunk": 0.3, "defence": 0.002, "effective_matches": 18.3}}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence.", "tier": 5, "moves": [{"pct": 3, "side": "home", "channel": "goals"}, {"pct": 3, "side": "away", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"away": {"shots": 12.3, "corners": 5.6, "matches": 12, "possession": 44.4, "xg_per_shot": 0.152, "finishing_vs_xg": -0.69, "corners_per_shot": 0.453}, "home": {"shots": 9.6, "corners": 3.6, "matches": 12, "possession": 51.6, "xg_per_shot": 0.145, "finishing_vs_xg": 0.36, "corners_per_shot": 0.373}, "possession_gap": 7.1}, "strength": 0.286}, {"id": "style.press_matchup", "note": "Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"requires": ["ppda", "defensive_line_height"]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.home", "note": "Yeovil Town have scored 4 more than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": 0.36}, "strength": 0.25}, {"id": "style.finishing.away", "note": "Boston United have scored 8 fewer than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": -0.69}, "strength": 0.25}, {"id": "referee.tendency", "note": "No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§13", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.travel", "note": "No travel distance reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.4", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.weather", "note": "Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§6.2", "evidence": {"rain_mm": null, "wind_kph": 23.1, "description": null, "temperature_c": 18}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.pitch", "note": "No pitch condition reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.venue", "note": "Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.1", "evidence": {"home_adv": 0.172693061515742}, "strength": 0}], "locked": false, "people": [{"id": 154701, "name": "Jos Barker", "side": "home"}, {"id": 30031, "name": "Joy Mukena", "side": "home"}, {"id": 34254, "name": "Ben Radcliffe", "side": "home"}, {"id": 63494, "name": "Jordan Norville-Williams", "side": "home"}, {"id": 42739, "name": "Archie Davies", "side": "home"}, {"id": 30022, "name": "Brett McGavin", "side": "home"}, {"id": 29383, "name": "Zain Westbrooke", "side": "home"}, {"id": 30023, "name": "Ryan Jones", "side": "home"}, {"id": 30016, "name": "Luke McCormick", "side": "home"}, {"id": 30007, "name": "James Daly", "side": "home"}, {"id": 63491, "name": "Stephen Walker", "side": "home"}, {"id": 58946, "name": "Mason Obeng", "side": "home"}, {"id": 34174, "name": "Loick Ayina", "side": "home"}, {"id": 63492, "name": "Johl Powell", "side": "home"}, {"id": 45572, "name": "Slavi Spasov", "side": "home"}, {"id": 45594, "name": "Joseph Gubbins", "side": "home"}, {"id": 35373, "name": "Charlie Lennon", "side": "home"}, {"id": 42786, "name": "Hayden Muller", "side": "home"}, {"id": 63493, "name": "Jack Kingdon", "side": "home"}, {"id": 30036, "name": "Matthew Gould", "side": "home"}, {"id": 30012, "name": "Liam Nardiello", "side": "home"}, {"id": 30030, "name": "Dan Ellison", "side": "home"}, {"id": 154700, "name": "Jonathon Page", "side": "home"}, {"id": 30037, "name": "Jaydon Biss", "side": "home"}, {"id": 215079, "name": "James Daly", "side": "home"}, {"id": 215077, "name": "Slavi Spasov", "side": "home"}, {"id": 215078, "name": "Stephen Walker", "side": "home"}, {"id": 215083, "name": "Mason Obeng", "side": "home"}, {"id": 121710, "name": "Joe Haigh", "side": "home"}, {"id": 215081, "name": "Ryan Jones", "side": "home"}, {"id": 215082, "name": "Charlie Lennon", "side": "home"}, {"id": 30011, "name": "Ollie Hughes", "side": "home"}, {"id": 88474, "name": "Louis Chadwick", "side": "away"}, {"id": 34203, "name": "Lewis Shipley", "side": "away"}, {"id": 33938, "name": "Jamie Grimes", "side": "away"}, {"id": 88475, "name": "Connor Teale", "side": "away"}, {"id": 66000, "name": "Sai Sachdev", "side": "away"}, {"id": 42809, "name": "Terrell Agyemang", "side": "away"}, {"id": 34248, "name": "Gavan Holohan", "side": "away"}, {"id": 88882, "name": "Ken Aboh", "side": "away"}, {"id": 12356, "name": "Nicholas Pozo", "side": "away"}, {"id": 33641, "name": "Jack Holmes", "side": "away"}, {"id": 7002, "name": "Lennon Wheeldon", "side": "away"}, {"id": 34202, "name": "Niall Canavan", "side": "away"}, {"id": 33884, "name": "Tom Cursons", "side": "away"}, {"id": 54171, "name": "Kai Mauro", "side": "away"}, {"id": 13523, "name": "Luke Faxon", "side": "away"}, {"id": 88476, "name": "Lenell John-Lewis", "side": "away"}, {"id": 4185, "name": "Ben Hammond", "side": "away"}, {"id": 7123, "name": "Jake Rooney", "side": "away"}, {"id": 62560, "name": "Connor McBride", "side": "away"}, {"id": 35372, "name": "Georgie Gent", "side": "away"}, {"id": 36213, "name": "Jack Levi Sutton", "side": "away"}, {"id": 6218, "name": "Oliver Bostock", "side": "away"}, {"id": 142081, "name": "Ben Grist", "side": "away"}, {"id": 124902, "name": "Jacob Scott", "side": "away"}, {"id": 185535, "name": "Stephen Pereira", "side": "away"}, {"id": 185534, "name": "Nathan Forbes", "side": "away"}, {"id": 142080, "name": "Dylan Hill", "side": "away"}, {"id": 121030, "name": "Arjan Raikhy", "side": "away"}, {"id": 88477, "name": "Liam Clayton", "side": "away"}], "status": "notstarted", "away_id": 3876, "home_id": 1255, "kickoff": 1791036000, "lineups": {"away": {"players": [{"id": 88474, "name": "Louis Chadwick", "ai_score": 0.245, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 34203, "name": "Lewis Shipley", "ai_score": 0.286, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 33938, "name": "Jamie Grimes", "ai_score": 0.315, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 88475, "name": "Connor Teale", "ai_score": 0.314, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 66000, "name": "Sai Sachdev", "ai_score": 0.255, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 42809, "name": "Terrell Agyemang", "ai_score": 0.299, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 34248, "name": "Gavan Holohan", "ai_score": 0.26, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 88882, "name": "Ken Aboh", "ai_score": 0.271, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 12356, "name": "Nicholas Pozo", "ai_score": 0.288, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 33641, "name": "Jack Holmes", "ai_score": 0.22, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 7002, "name": "Lennon Wheeldon", "ai_score": 0.305, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 34202, "name": "Niall Canavan", "ai_score": 0.31, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 33884, "name": "Tom Cursons", "ai_score": 0.267, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 54171, "name": "Kai Mauro", "ai_score": 0.196, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 13523, "name": "Luke Faxon", "ai_score": 0.05, "position": "G", "starting": false}, {"id": 88476, "name": "Lenell John-Lewis", "ai_score": 0.045, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 4185, "name": "Ben Hammond", "ai_score": 0.044, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 7123, "name": "Jake Rooney", "ai_score": 0.04, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 62560, "name": "Connor McBride", "ai_score": 0.035, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 35372, "name": "Georgie Gent", "ai_score": 0.025, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 36213, "name": "Jack Levi Sutton", "ai_score": 0.015, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 6218, "name": "Oliver Bostock", "ai_score": 0.015, "position": "M", "starting": false}], "formation": "4-2-3-1", "confidence": 0.486}, "home": {"players": [{"id": 154701, "name": "Jos Barker", "ai_score": 0.04, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 30031, "name": "Joy 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"starting": false}, {"id": 34174, "name": "Loick Ayina", "ai_score": 0.166, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 63492, "name": "Johl Powell", "ai_score": 0.156, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 45572, "name": "Slavi Spasov", "ai_score": 0.156, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 45594, "name": "Joseph Gubbins", "ai_score": 0.138, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 35373, "name": "Charlie Lennon", "ai_score": 0.05, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 42786, "name": "Hayden Muller", "ai_score": 0.05, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 63493, "name": "Jack Kingdon", "ai_score": 0.03, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 30036, "name": "Matthew Gould", "ai_score": 0.025, "position": "G", "starting": false}, {"id": 30012, "name": "Liam Nardiello", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "F", "starting": false}], "formation": "4-2-3-1", "confidence": 0.473}, "status": "predicted", "confidence": 0.473, "unavailable": []}, "neutral": false, "notable": [{"id": 42661, "name": "Matt Rush", "rank": 1, "goals": 9}, {"id": 34144, "name": "John Marquis", "rank": 2, "goals": 6}, {"id": 74427, "name": "Kieren Donnelly", "rank": 3, "goals": 6}, {"id": 45587, "name": "Leon Chambers-Parillon", "rank": 4, "goals": 6}, {"id": 43047, "name": "Lewis Walker", "rank": 5, "goals": 6}, {"id": 68128, "name": "Luca Thomas", "rank": 6, "goals": 6}, {"id": 30016, "name": "Luke McCormick", "rank": 7, "goals": 6}, {"id": 33820, "name": "Ben Whitfield", "rank": 8, "goals": 5}, {"id": 87453, "name": "Jacob Wakeling", "rank": 9, "goals": 5}, {"id": 122419, "name": "Razzaq Coleman De-Graft", "rank": 10, "goals": 5}, {"id": 42904, "name": "Tristan Abrahams", "rank": 11, "goals": 5}, {"id": 35745, "name": "Bailey Hobson", "rank": 12, "goals": 4}, {"id": 42740, "name": "Georgie Kelly", "rank": 13, "goals": 4}, {"id": 45576, "name": "Harry Cardwell", "rank": 14, "goals": 4}, {"id": 116135, "name": "Harvey Broad", "rank": 15, "goals": 4}], "players": [{"id": 30016, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Luke McCormick", "role": "MID", "side": "home", "tags": ["top_scorer"], "team": "Yeovil Town", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 2, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": {"apps": 2, "goals": 0, "starts": 2, "assists": 0, "team_games": 16, "big_chances": 0, "clean_sheets": 2, "tracked_apps": 2, "tracked_starts": 2}, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "CM", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.002, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 63491, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Stephen Walker", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Yeovil Town", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 1, "goals": 1, "assists": 0, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 1}, "season": {"apps": 1, "goals": 1, "starts": 0, "assists": 0, "team_games": 16, "big_chances": 0, "clean_sheets": 0, "tracked_apps": 1, "tracked_starts": 0}, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": {"won": false, "goals": 1, "score": "1-1", "assists": 0, "kickoff": 1786802400, "opponent": "Carlisle United"}, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.008, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 30007, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "James Daly", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Yeovil Town", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 2, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": {"apps": 2, "goals": 0, "starts": 0, "assists": 0, "team_games": 16, "big_chances": 0, "clean_sheets": 0, "tracked_apps": 2, "tracked_starts": 0}, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 88882, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Ken Aboh", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": ["top_scorer"], "team": "Boston United", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 2, "goals": 1, "assists": 0, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 1}, "season": {"apps": 2, "goals": 1, "starts": 1, "assists": 0, "team_games": 16, "big_chances": 0, "clean_sheets": 1, "tracked_apps": 2, "tracked_starts": 1}, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": {"won": true, "goals": 1, "score": "2-0", "assists": 0, "kickoff": 1786802400, "opponent": "Solihull Moors"}, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.022, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 7002, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Lennon Wheeldon", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": ["top_scorer"], "team": "Boston United", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 3, "goals": 1, "assists": 0, "country": 1, "scoredIn": 1}, "season": {"apps": 2, "goals": 1, "starts": 2, "assists": 0, "team_games": 16, "big_chances": 0, "clean_sheets": 1, "tracked_apps": 2, "tracked_starts": 2}, "status": "fit", "country": {"apps": 1, "team": null, "goals": 0, "lately": null, "assists": 0, "tournament": null}, "position": "ST", "standout": {"won": true, "goals": 1, "score": "2-0", "assists": 0, "kickoff": 1786802400, "opponent": "Solihull Moors"}, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.03, "expected_return": null}], "external": {"bsd_prediction": {"id": 4145, "event": {"id": 588243, "status": "notstarted", "away_team": "Boston United", "home_team": "Yeovil Town", "league_id": 91, "event_date": "2026-10-03T14:00:00Z", "league_name": "National League", "away_team_id": 3876, "home_team_id": 1255}, "model": {"version": "dc-blend-v1", "confidence": 0.4567}, "created_at": "2026-09-27T02:15:30Z", "recommendations": {"btts": false, "winner": false, "over_15": false, "over_25": false, "over_35": false, "favorite": "H", "bet_favorite": false, "favorite_prob": 45.7}}}, "venue_id": 722, "verdicts": [], "card_rate": 0.131, "league_id": 91, "published": [], "standings": {"away": {"won": 3, "lost": 5, "drawn": 3, "group": null, "played": 11, "points": 12, "team_id": 3876, "position": 19, "goal_diff": -1, "goals_for": 14, "team_name": "Boston United", "goals_against": 15}, "home": {"won": 5, "lost": 2, "drawn": 4, "group": null, "played": 11, "points": 19, "team_id": 1255, "position": 6, "goal_diff": 5, "goals_for": 20, "team_name": "Yeovil Town", "goals_against": 15}, "size": 24}, "confidence": 0.659, "live_score": null, "computed_at": 1790871139, "corner_rate": 9.37, "lambda_away": 1.3345274812749144, "lambda_home": 1.4202350277861875, "pass_reason": "Nothing is mispriced enough to call. The closest was double chance X2 at 1.75, where the edge of 4.4 points does not clear the 6.6 needed against a 6.2% margin.", "provisional": true, "round_label": "Regular season · Matchday 12", "lineup_status": "predicted"}