{"id": 588235, "h2h": {"draws": 11, "away_wins": 6, "home_wins": 6, "away_goals": 31, "home_goals": 32, "away_win_rate": 0.2608695652173913, "home_win_rate": 0.2608695652173913, "total_matches": 23, "recent_matches": [{"away": "Eastleigh", "date": "2026-04-03T14:00:00+00:00", "home": "Woking", "score": "3-3", "event_id": 589204, "away_score": 3, "home_score": 3, "away_team_id": 1872, "home_team_id": 4058}, {"away": "Woking", "date": "2025-12-26T15:00:00+00:00", "home": "Eastleigh", "score": "1-1", "event_id": 588949, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 1, "away_team_id": 4058, "home_team_id": 1872}, {"away": "Eastleigh", "date": "2025-04-26T11:30:00+00:00", "home": "Woking", "score": "2-2", "event_id": 589824, "away_score": 2, "home_score": 2, "away_team_id": 1872, "home_team_id": 4058}, {"away": "Woking", "date": "2024-09-24T18:45:00+00:00", "home": "Eastleigh", "score": "2-2", "event_id": 589384, "away_score": 2, "home_score": 2, "away_team_id": 4058, "home_team_id": 1872}, {"away": "Eastleigh", "date": "2024-03-29T15:00:00+00:00", "home": "Woking", "score": "0-1", "event_id": 590418, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 0, "away_team_id": 1872, "home_team_id": 4058}, {"away": "Woking", "date": "2023-10-24T18:45:00+00:00", "home": "Eastleigh", "score": "0-1", "event_id": 590057, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 0, "away_team_id": 4058, "home_team_id": 1872}, {"away": "Woking", "date": "2023-02-04T15:00:00+00:00", "home": "Eastleigh", "score": "1-0", "event_id": 590910, "away_score": 0, "home_score": 1, "away_team_id": 4058, "home_team_id": 1872}, {"away": "Eastleigh", "date": "2022-10-29T14:00:00+00:00", "home": "Woking", "score": "1-0", "event_id": 590693, "away_score": 0, "home_score": 1, "away_team_id": 1872, "home_team_id": 4058}, {"away": "Eastleigh", "date": "2022-05-07T14:00:00+00:00", "home": "Woking", "score": "1-2", "event_id": 591681, "away_score": 2, "home_score": 1, "away_team_id": 1872, "home_team_id": 4058}, {"away": "Woking", "date": "2021-09-25T14:00:00+00:00", "home": "Eastleigh", "score": "3-2", "event_id": 591219, "away_score": 2, "home_score": 3, "away_team_id": 4058, "home_team_id": 1872}], "avg_total_goals": 2.739130434782609}, "away": "Woking", "form": {"away": {"ppg": 1.33, "record": "2-2-2", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "LWDDWL", "goals_for": 2.17, "venue_ppg": 1.33, "clean_sheets": 1, "goals_against": 1.5}, "home": {"ppg": 0.83, "record": "1-2-3", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "LDLWLD", "goals_for": 1, "venue_ppg": 1.67, "clean_sheets": 1, "goals_against": 1.67}}, "home": "Eastleigh", "pass": "No call on Eastleigh against Woking. The bookmakers have this one about right, so there is nothing to take.", "rank": 5, "read": {"side": null, "text": "Too close to call"}, "flags": [{"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "section": "§3.1"}], "score": null, "venue": {"city": "Eastleigh", "name": "Silverlake Stadium", "capacity": 5192}, "colors": {"away": "#a51324", "home": "#0c2891"}, "extras": {"split": {"away": {"above": {"d": 2, "l": 1, "w": 3}, "below": {"d": 1, "l": 3, "w": 0}}, "home": {"above": {"d": 3, "l": 4, "w": 0}, "below": {"d": 0, "l": 0, "w": 3}}}, "teams": {"away": 4058, "home": 1872}, "best_xi": [], "players": {}, "referee": null, "managers": {"away": {"id": 3769, "vs": {"d": 1, "l": 0, "w": 0, "last": {"score": "3-3", "result": "D", "kickoff": 1775224800}}, "name": "Craig Alexander Ross"}, "home": {"id": 1583, "vs": {"d": 1, "l": 0, "w": 0, "last": {"score": "3-3", "result": "D", "kickoff": 1775224800}}, "name": "Matt Gray"}}}, "lambda": [1.37, 1.45], "league": "National League", "ledger": [{"id": "availability.home.full_strength", "note": "Eastleigh report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.away.full_strength", "note": "Woking report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0.455, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 0.545}, {"id": "stakes.season", "note": "Nothing much riding on this one for either side yet.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.1", "evidence": {"away": {"state": "mid_table", "points": 12, "position": 18, "games_left": 34, "gap_to_europe": 7, "gap_to_leader": 17, "gap_to_safety": 2}, "home": {"state": "mid_table", "points": 15, "position": 14, "games_left": 34, "gap_to_europe": 4, "gap_to_leader": 14, "gap_to_safety": 5}, "games_left": 34, "six_pointer": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.derby", "note": "Not a local derby.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.2", "evidence": {"derby": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "The reverse fixture finished 3-3, too close to carry a revenge motive.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.3", "evidence": {"reverse_margin": 0}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "manager.home.established", "note": "Matt Gray has 39 matches in charge at Eastleigh, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 0.87, "manager": "Matt Gray", "tenure_days": 336, "matches_in_charge": 39, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 0.9, "before_ppm": 1.3}}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "manager.away.settling", "note": "Craig Alexander Ross is 7 games into the job at Woking, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 1.57, "manager": "Craig Alexander Ross", "tenure_days": 64, "matches_in_charge": 7, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 1.2, "before_ppm": 1.3}}, "strength": 0.3}, {"id": "fatigue.away", "note": "Woking come in on 4 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 3.8020833333333335, "days_rest": 3.8, "matchesIn7": 2, "matchesIn14": 3}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.opponent_adjustment", "note": "Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§4.1", "evidence": {"away": {"attack": 0.018, "shrunk": 0.3, "defence": 0.015, "effective_matches": 18.5}, "home": {"attack": -0.101, "shrunk": 0.3, "defence": -0.035, "effective_matches": 18.3}}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "Woking average 8 points more possession than Eastleigh, so this should be one side with the ball and one without it; Eastleigh work noticeably more of their attacks into wide areas.", "tier": 5, "moves": [{"pct": 1.7, "side": "away", "channel": "corners"}, {"pct": -1.7, "side": "home", "channel": "corners"}, {"pct": 3, "side": "away", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"away": {"shots": 12.1, "corners": 4.3, "matches": 12, "possession": 52.1, "xg_per_shot": 0.136, "finishing_vs_xg": 0.01, "corners_per_shot": 0.353}, "home": {"shots": 10.4, "corners": 5.3, "matches": 12, "possession": 44, "xg_per_shot": 0.126, "finishing_vs_xg": -0.23, "corners_per_shot": 0.503}, "possession_gap": -8.1}, "strength": 0.326}, {"id": "style.press_matchup", "note": "Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"requires": ["ppda", "defensive_line_height"]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.home", "note": "Eastleigh are scoring about what their chances are worth.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": -0.23}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.finishing.away", "note": "Woking are scoring about what their chances are worth.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": 0.01}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "referee.tendency", "note": "No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§13", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.travel", "note": "No travel distance reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.4", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.weather", "note": "Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§6.2", "evidence": {"rain_mm": null, "wind_kph": 22, "description": null, "temperature_c": 21}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.pitch", "note": "No pitch condition reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.venue", "note": "Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.1", "evidence": {"home_adv": 0.172693061515742}, "strength": 0}], "locked": false, "people": [{"id": 73879, "name": "Josh Jeffries", "side": "home"}, {"id": 6175, "name": "Reece Johnson", "side": "home"}, {"id": 43339, "name": "Temi Eweka", "side": "home"}, {"id": 35360, "name": "Oliver Hawkins", "side": "home"}, {"id": 37301, "name": "Tommy Dobson-Ventura", "side": "home"}, {"id": 46472, "name": "Dion Rankine", "side": "home"}, {"id": 33999, "name": "Harry Sidwell", "side": "home"}, {"id": 43323, "name": "Aaron Blair", "side": "home"}, {"id": 43329, "name": "Josh Lundstram", "side": "home"}, {"id": 46406, "name": "Manny Duku", "side": "home"}, {"id": 43333, "name": "Barney Stone", "side": "home"}, {"id": 33616, "name": "Max Dickov", "side": "home"}, {"id": 49491, "name": "Will Randall", "side": "home"}, {"id": 33706, "name": "Ibrahim Bakare", "side": "home"}, {"id": 43326, "name": "Jordan Cousins", "side": "home"}, {"id": 43345, "name": "Nick Townsend", "side": "home"}, {"id": 43337, "name": "Aaron Pierre", "side": "home"}, {"id": 42902, "name": "Hady Ghandour", "side": "home"}, {"id": 33984, "name": "Nelson Khumbeni", "side": "home"}, {"id": 33747, "name": "Nicholas Akoto", "side": "home"}, {"id": 43332, "name": "Connor Underhill", "side": "home"}, {"id": 76164, "name": "Nick Akoto", "side": "home"}, {"id": 36804, "name": "Jake Caprice", "side": "home"}, {"id": 213013, "name": "George Bridi", "side": "home"}, {"id": 33765, "name": "Ben Drake", "side": "home"}, {"id": 73875, "name": "Liam McFarlane", "side": "home"}, {"id": 73878, "name": "Lewis Olajide", "side": "home"}, {"id": 115312, "name": "Jamie Searle", "side": "home"}, {"id": 33986, "name": "Jonathan Williams", "side": "home"}, {"id": 43343, "name": "Coby Killick", "side": "home"}, {"id": 66868, "name": "Will Jääskeläinen", "side": "away"}, {"id": 33981, "name": 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"starting": false}, {"id": 66877, "name": "Jake Forster-Caskey", "ai_score": 0.045, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 115302, "name": "Tunji Akinola", "ai_score": 0.045, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 42814, "name": "Anthony Georgiou", "ai_score": 0.04, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 33700, "name": "Harrison Sohna", "ai_score": 0.04, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 34144, "name": "John Marquis", "ai_score": 0.03, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 66874, "name": "Caleb Richards", "ai_score": 0.025, "position": "D", "starting": false}], "formation": "4-2-3-1", "confidence": 0.5}, "home": {"players": [{"id": 73879, "name": "Josh Jeffries", "ai_score": 0.05, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 6175, "name": "Reece Johnson", "ai_score": 0.05, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 43339, "name": "Temi Eweka", "ai_score": 0.05, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 35360, "name": "Oliver Hawkins", "ai_score": 0.035, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 37301, "name": "Tommy Dobson-Ventura", "ai_score": 0.05, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 46472, "name": "Dion Rankine", "ai_score": 0.05, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 33999, "name": "Harry Sidwell", "ai_score": 0.05, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 43323, "name": "Aaron Blair", "ai_score": 0.05, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 43329, "name": "Josh Lundstram", "ai_score": 0.05, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 46406, "name": "Manny Duku", "ai_score": 0.035, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 43333, "name": "Barney Stone", "ai_score": 0.03, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 33616, "name": "Max Dickov", "ai_score": 0.05, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 49491, "name": "Will Randall", "ai_score": 0.05, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 33706, "name": "Ibrahim Bakare", "ai_score": 0.045, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 43326, "name": "Jordan 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"name": "Aaron Blair", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": ["top_scorer"], "team": "Eastleigh", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 1, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": {"apps": 1, "goals": 0, "starts": 1, "assists": 0, "team_games": 17, "big_chances": 0, "clean_sheets": 0, "tracked_apps": 1, "tracked_starts": 1}, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "FWD", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 35360, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Oliver Hawkins", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Eastleigh", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 1, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": {"apps": 1, "goals": 0, "starts": 1, "assists": 0, "team_games": 17, "big_chances": 0, "clean_sheets": 0, "tracked_apps": 1, "tracked_starts": 1}, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 34144, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "John Marquis", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Woking", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 66890, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Aiden O'Brien", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Woking", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 2, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": {"apps": 2, "goals": 0, "starts": 1, "assists": 0, "team_games": 15, "big_chances": 0, "clean_sheets": 0, "tracked_apps": 2, "tracked_starts": 1}, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.001, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 33794, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Josh Kelly", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Woking", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 2, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": {"apps": 2, "goals": 0, "starts": 1, "assists": 0, "team_games": 15, "big_chances": 0, "clean_sheets": 0, "tracked_apps": 2, "tracked_starts": 1}, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.001, "expected_return": null}], "external": {"bsd_prediction": {"id": 4129, "event": {"id": 588235, "status": "notstarted", "away_team": "Woking", "home_team": "Eastleigh", "league_id": 91, "event_date": "2026-10-03T14:00:00Z", "league_name": "National League", "away_team_id": 4058, "home_team_id": 1872}, "model": {"version": "dc-blend-v1", "confidence": 0.4094}, "created_at": "2026-09-27T02:15:30Z", "recommendations": {"btts": false, "winner": false, "over_15": false, "over_25": false, "over_35": false, "favorite": "A", "bet_favorite": false, "favorite_prob": 40.9}}}, "venue_id": 1973, "verdicts": [], "card_rate": 0.108, "league_id": 91, "published": [], "standings": {"away": {"won": 3, "lost": 5, "drawn": 3, "group": null, "played": 11, "points": 12, "team_id": 4058, "position": 18, "goal_diff": -1, "goals_for": 17, "team_name": "Woking", "goals_against": 18}, "home": {"won": 4, "lost": 4, "drawn": 3, "group": null, "played": 11, "points": 15, "team_id": 1872, "position": 14, "goal_diff": -2, "goals_for": 13, "team_name": "Eastleigh", "goals_against": 15}, "size": 24}, "confidence": 0.66, "live_score": null, "computed_at": 1790871144, "corner_rate": 9.72, "lambda_away": 1.4472903353432915, "lambda_home": 1.366447720909094, "pass_reason": "Nothing is mispriced enough to call. The closest was under 3.5 goals at 1.50, where the edge of 3.1 points does not clear the 7.2 needed against a 7.3% margin.", "provisional": true, "round_label": "Regular season · Matchday 12", "lineup_status": "predicted"}