{"id":580545,"league_id":89,"league":"Ligue 2","kickoff":1792238400,"home":"Metz","away":"Sochaux","home_id":111,"away_id":1618,"venue_id":109,"rank":5,"status":"notstarted","provisional":true,"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.493,"score":null,"live_score":null,"lambda":[1.34,1.02],"read":{"text":"Metz to edge it","side":"home"},"pass":"Nothing to take on Metz against Sochaux. There is a likely outcome here, but every bookmaker has it shorter than it deserves, so there is nothing to take.","flags":[],"lambda_home":1.3382398729686078,"lambda_away":1.0239705511844257,"corner_rate":9.96,"card_rate":0.24,"lineups":{"status":"predicted","confidence":0.677,"home":{"formation":"4-2-3-1","players":[{"id":2781,"name":"Jonathan Fischer","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.704},{"id":30387,"name":"Florian Miguel","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.619},{"id":2719,"name":"Cristian Castro","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.765},{"id":40574,"name":"Jean Ruiz","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.59},{"id":8949,"name":"Bouna Sarr","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.618},{"id":2786,"name":"Jessy Deminguet","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.771},{"id":4349,"name":"Believe Munongo","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.621},{"id":2796,"name":"Giorgi Abuashvili","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.682},{"id":28538,"name":"Teji Savanier","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.485},{"id":8897,"name":"Nathan Mbala","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.378},{"id":8847,"name":"Pape Moussa Fall","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.706},{"id":13675,"name":"Jahyann Pandore","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.485},{"id":2782,"name":"Maxime Colin","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.387},{"id":15635,"name":"Idris Mohamed","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.378},{"id":4348,"name":"Pape Sy","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.314},{"id":60152,"name":"Hamza Kadamani","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.301},{"id":4618,"name":"Urie-Michel Mboula","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.278},{"id":2791,"name":"Ibou Sane","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.277},{"id":6041,"name":"Nampalys Mendy","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.269},{"id":2793,"name":"Alpha Touré","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.257},{"id":149147,"name":"Bryan Song","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.248},{"id":76065,"name":"Abdoulaye Ba","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.247},{"id":2795,"name":"Morgan Bokele Mputu","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.235}],"confidence":0.745},"away":{"formation":"4-2-3-1","players":[{"id":37796,"name":"Mehdi Jeannin","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.751},{"id":7793,"name":"Dalangunypole Gomis","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.53},{"id":37798,"name":"Mathieu Peybernes","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.681},{"id":48234,"name":"Arthur Vitelli","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.368},{"id":37797,"name":"Élie N'Gatta","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.743},{"id":37800,"name":"Julien Masson","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.667},{"id":66016,"name":"Bakary Diawara","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.481},{"id":63144,"name":"Landry Nomel","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.521},{"id":48233,"name":"Samy Baghdadi","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.472},{"id":9717,"name":"Louicius Don Deedson","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.249},{"id":8561,"name":"Mathis Clairicia","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.456},{"id":15622,"name":"Bendjaloud Youssouf","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.492},{"id":37803,"name":"Benjamin Gomel","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.489},{"id":37805,"name":"Boubacar Fofana","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.466},{"id":37804,"name":"Kapit Djoco","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.423},{"id":37799,"name":"Dylan Tavares","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.411},{"id":37802,"name":"Jonathan Mexique","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.377},{"id":4906,"name":"Saad Agouzoul","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.339},{"id":27969,"name":"Yohan Demoncy","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.339},{"id":26546,"name":"Victor Lobry","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.326},{"id":17094,"name":"Alexandre Pierre","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.04},{"id":38311,"name":"Pape Yatma Diop","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.015},{"id":113854,"name":"Matthis Schübler-Lecart","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.01}],"confidence":0.677},"unavailable":[]},"people":[{"id":2781,"name":"Jonathan Fischer","side":"home"},{"id":30387,"name":"Florian Miguel","side":"home"},{"id":2719,"name":"Cristian Castro","side":"home"},{"id":40574,"name":"Jean Ruiz","side":"home"},{"id":8949,"name":"Bouna Sarr","side":"home"},{"id":2786,"name":"Jessy Deminguet","side":"home"},{"id":4349,"name":"Believe Munongo","side":"home"},{"id":2796,"name":"Giorgi Abuashvili","side":"home"},{"id":28538,"name":"Teji Savanier","side":"home"},{"id":8897,"name":"Nathan Mbala","side":"home"},{"id":8847,"name":"Pape Moussa Fall","side":"home"},{"id":13675,"name":"Jahyann Pandore","side":"home"},{"id":2782,"name":"Maxime Colin","side":"home"},{"id":15635,"name":"Idris Mohamed","side":"home"},{"id":4348,"name":"Pape Sy","side":"home"},{"id":60152,"name":"Hamza Kadamani","side":"home"},{"id":4618,"name":"Urie-Michel Mboula","side":"home"},{"id":2791,"name":"Ibou Sane","side":"home"},{"id":6041,"name":"Nampalys Mendy","side":"home"},{"id":2793,"name":"Alpha Touré","side":"home"},{"id":149147,"name":"Bryan Song","side":"home"},{"id":76065,"name":"Abdoulaye Ba","side":"home"},{"id":2795,"name":"Morgan Bokele Mputu","side":"home"},{"id":38323,"name":"Tahirys Dos Santos","side":"home"},{"id":64177,"name":"Adam Marchal","side":"home"},{"id":149146,"name":"Abdourahmane Mbodj","side":"home"},{"id":36632,"name":"Joseph Mangondo","side":"home"},{"id":2797,"name":"Ousmane Ba","side":"home"},{"id":64176,"name":"Edouard Soumah-Abbad","side":"home"},{"id":186021,"name":"Alassane Sy","side":"home"},{"id":37796,"name":"Mehdi Jeannin","side":"away"},{"id":7793,"name":"Dalangunypole Gomis","side":"away"},{"id":37798,"name":"Mathieu Peybernes","side":"away"},{"id":48234,"name":"Arthur Vitelli","side":"away"},{"id":37797,"name":"Élie N'Gatta","side":"away"},{"id":37800,"name":"Julien Masson","side":"away"},{"id":66016,"name":"Bakary Diawara","side":"away"},{"id":63144,"name":"Landry Nomel","side":"away"},{"id":48233,"name":"Samy Baghdadi","side":"away"},{"id":9717,"name":"Louicius Don Deedson","side":"away"},{"id":8561,"name":"Mathis Clairicia","side":"away"},{"id":15622,"name":"Bendjaloud Youssouf","side":"away"},{"id":37803,"name":"Benjamin Gomel","side":"away"},{"id":37805,"name":"Boubacar Fofana","side":"away"},{"id":37804,"name":"Kapit Djoco","side":"away"},{"id":37799,"name":"Dylan Tavares","side":"away"},{"id":37802,"name":"Jonathan Mexique","side":"away"},{"id":4906,"name":"Saad Agouzoul","side":"away"},{"id":27969,"name":"Yohan Demoncy","side":"away"},{"id":26546,"name":"Victor Lobry","side":"away"},{"id":17094,"name":"Alexandre Pierre","side":"away"},{"id":38311,"name":"Pape Yatma Diop","side":"away"},{"id":113854,"name":"Matthis Schübler-Lecart","side":"away"},{"id":17023,"name":"Thomas Fontaine","side":"away"},{"id":89162,"name":"Mohamed Touré","side":"away"},{"id":64399,"name":"Marie-Gaël Mukanya","side":"away"},{"id":37809,"name":"Julien Vetro","side":"away"},{"id":37812,"name":"Victor Monthieu","side":"away"},{"id":64398,"name":"Ethan Cortes","side":"away"},{"id":64400,"name":"Noa Kotto Kotto Mouyema","side":"away"},{"id":38260,"name":"Honoré Bayanginisa","side":"away"}],"players":[{"id":8847,"name":"Pape Moussa Fall","side":"home","team":"Metz","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":8,"starts":7,"goals":7,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":0,"team_games":15,"tracked_apps":8,"tracked_starts":7},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":5,"assists":0,"scoredIn":1,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Rodez AF","kickoff":1788609600,"goals":3,"assists":0,"score":"4-1","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_scorer","best_performer","in_form"],"importance":0.252,"country":null,"load":{"games":1,"minutes":90,"country":0}},{"id":2796,"name":"Giorgi Abuashvili","side":"home","team":"Metz","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"LW","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":8,"starts":7,"goals":1,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":1,"team_games":15,"tracked_apps":8,"tracked_starts":7},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Guingamp","kickoff":1786214700,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"2-1","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.04,"country":null,"load":{"games":1,"minutes":66,"country":0}},{"id":37803,"name":"Benjamin Gomel","side":"away","team":"Sochaux","club":null,"role":"MID","position":"LW","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":6,"starts":4,"goals":2,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":2,"team_games":14,"tracked_apps":6,"tracked_starts":4},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":2,"assists":0,"scoredIn":1,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"US Boulogne Côte-d'Opale","kickoff":1791568800,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"1-1","won":false},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.144,"country":null,"load":{"games":1,"minutes":84,"country":0}},{"id":63144,"name":"Landry Nomel","side":"away","team":"Sochaux","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"LW","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":7,"starts":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"big_chances":1,"clean_sheets":4,"team_games":14,"tracked_apps":7,"tracked_starts":5},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.013,"country":null,"load":{"games":1,"minutes":68,"country":0}},{"id":8561,"name":"Mathis Clairicia","side":"away","team":"Sochaux","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":8,"starts":4,"goals":1,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":4,"team_games":14,"tracked_apps":8,"tracked_starts":4},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":1,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Pau FC","kickoff":1788544800,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"1-1","won":false},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.068,"country":null,"load":{"games":1,"minutes":22,"country":0}}],"extras":null,"notable":[{"id":8847,"name":"Pape Moussa Fall","goals":7,"rank":1},{"id":37682,"name":"Yaya Fofana","goals":6,"rank":2},{"id":29207,"name":"Augustine Boakye","goals":5,"rank":3},{"id":40666,"name":"Damien Durand","goals":5,"rank":4},{"id":40738,"name":"Ibrahima Baldé","goals":5,"rank":5},{"id":6469,"name":"Thierno Ballo","goals":5,"rank":6},{"id":65489,"name":"Babacar Leye","goals":4,"rank":7},{"id":29208,"name":"Irvin Cardona","goals":4,"rank":8},{"id":40667,"name":"Jovany Ikanga","goals":4,"rank":9},{"id":27308,"name":"Júlio Tavares","goals":4,"rank":10},{"id":37700,"name":"Mathis Houdayer","goals":3,"rank":11},{"id":27314,"name":"Samy Chouchane","goals":3,"rank":12},{"id":39648,"name":"Abdel Hbouch","goals":2,"rank":13},{"id":4227,"name":"Ange Lago","goals":2,"rank":14},{"id":37803,"name":"Benjamin Gomel","goals":2,"rank":15}],"round_label":"Regular season · Matchday 9","neutral":false,"h2h":{"total_matches":67,"home_wins":20,"draws":22,"away_wins":25,"home_goals":83,"away_goals":91,"avg_total_goals":2.5970149253731343,"home_win_rate":0.29850746268656714,"away_win_rate":0.373134328358209,"recent_matches":[{"away":"Sochaux","date":"2026-07-22T15:30:00+00:00","home":"Metz","score":"4-1","event_id":219276,"away_score":1,"home_score":4,"away_team_id":1618,"home_team_id":111},{"away":"Metz","date":"2023-05-26T18:45:00+00:00","home":"Sochaux","score":"0-1","event_id":582192,"away_score":1,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":111,"home_team_id":1618},{"away":"Sochaux","date":"2022-10-15T17:00:00+00:00","home":"Metz","score":"0-0","event_id":581938,"away_score":0,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":1618,"home_team_id":111},{"away":"Sochaux","date":"2019-03-11T19:45:00+00:00","home":"Metz","score":"1-1","event_id":583656,"away_score":1,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":1618,"home_team_id":111},{"away":"Metz","date":"2018-10-08T18:45:00+00:00","home":"Sochaux","score":"1-2","event_id":583474,"away_score":2,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":111,"home_team_id":1618},{"away":"Sochaux","date":"2016-01-11T19:30:00+00:00","home":"Metz","score":"1-0","event_id":584735,"away_score":0,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":1618,"home_team_id":111},{"away":"Metz","date":"2015-08-07T18:00:00+00:00","home":"Sochaux","score":"0-1","event_id":584543,"away_score":1,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":111,"home_team_id":1618},{"away":"Metz","date":"2008-05-03T18:00:00+00:00","home":"Sochaux","score":"0-0","event_id":486468,"away_score":0,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":111,"home_team_id":1618},{"away":"Sochaux","date":"2007-12-15T19:00:00+00:00","home":"Metz","score":"1-2","event_id":486286,"away_score":2,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":1618,"home_team_id":111},{"away":"Sochaux","date":"2006-04-30T14:30:00+00:00","home":"Metz","score":"0-1","event_id":494395,"away_score":1,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":1618,"home_team_id":111}]},"standings":{"home":{"team_id":111,"position":10,"played":8,"points":10,"goal_diff":1,"team_name":"Metz","won":2,"drawn":4,"lost":2,"goals_for":12,"goals_against":11,"group":null},"away":{"team_id":1618,"position":9,"played":8,"points":11,"goal_diff":-1,"team_name":"Sochaux","won":2,"drawn":5,"lost":1,"goals_for":5,"goals_against":6,"group":null},"size":18},"form":{"home":{"matches":6,"ppg":1,"record":"1-3-2","goals_for":1.67,"goals_against":1.67,"clean_sheets":0,"streak":"none","sequence":"DDWLDL","venue_ppg":1.67},"away":{"matches":6,"ppg":1.67,"record":"2-4-0","goals_for":1,"goals_against":0.67,"clean_sheets":2,"streak":"unbeaten 6","sequence":"DDWDWD","venue_ppg":1}},"ledger":[{"id":"availability.home.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Metz report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.away.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Sochaux report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.rotation_risk","section":"§3.1","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.","evidence":{"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.677,"cup_tie":false},"strength":0.323,"moves":[]},{"id":"stakes.season","section":"§5.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing much riding on this one for either side yet.","evidence":{"games_left":25,"home":{"state":"mid_table","position":10,"points":10,"games_left":25,"gap_to_leader":9,"gap_to_safety":3,"gap_to_europe":3},"away":{"state":"mid_table","position":9,"points":11,"games_left":25,"gap_to_leader":8,"gap_to_safety":4,"gap_to_europe":2},"six_pointer":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.derby","section":"§5.2","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Not a local derby.","evidence":{"derby":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.revenge","section":"§5.3","tier":2,"state":"THIN","note":"No reverse fixture on record this season, so there is no revenge angle to read.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.home.bounce","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Grégory Proment is 3 games into the job at Metz. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.","evidence":{"manager":"Grégory Proment","matches_in_charge":3,"tenure_days":88,"ppm":2,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.2,"after_ppm":1.6,"delta":null}},"strength":0.35,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"home","pct":3.2}]},{"id":"manager.away.settling","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Vincent Hognon is 15 games into the job at Sochaux, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.","evidence":{"manager":"Vincent Hognon","matches_in_charge":15,"tenure_days":280,"ppm":1.4,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.9,"after_ppm":1.2,"delta":null}},"strength":0.3,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.home","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Metz come in on 5 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":4.71875,"matchesIn7":1,"matchesIn14":1,"days_rest":4.7},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.away","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Sochaux come in on 8 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":7.75,"matchesIn7":0,"matchesIn14":1,"days_rest":7.8},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.opponent_adjustment","section":"§4.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form.","evidence":{"home":{"attack":0.075,"defence":-0.049,"effective_matches":6.8,"shrunk":0.54},"away":{"attack":-0.197,"defence":0.112,"effective_matches":6.2,"shrunk":0.57}},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Metz average 8 points more possession than Sochaux, so this should be one side with the ball and one without it.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":51.6,"shots":13.3,"xg_per_shot":0.115,"corners":4.3,"corners_per_shot":0.327,"finishing_vs_xg":0.72},"away":{"matches":12,"possession":43.3,"shots":9.3,"xg_per_shot":0.096,"corners":3.4,"corners_per_shot":0.372,"finishing_vs_xg":-0.13},"possession_gap":8.2},"strength":0.329,"moves":[{"channel":"corners","side":"home","pct":1.7},{"channel":"corners","side":"away","pct":-1.7}]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Metz have scored 9 more than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.72,"matches":12},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Sochaux are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.13,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"77 yellow cards in this referee's last 24 games, where 90 would be usual in this league, and 3 reds. — though 24 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.","evidence":{"matches":24,"yellows_per_match":3.21,"reds_per_match":0.125,"league_yellows_per_match":3.74,"league_reds_per_match":0.235,"yellow_ratio":0.86,"red_ratio":0.53,"sample":24,"required":30},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No travel distance reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.","evidence":{"rain_mm":null,"wind_kph":14.3,"temperature_c":22,"description":"rain"},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.1258540200486814},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: value","preview":null,"external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":5144,"created_at":"2026-10-11T02:15:32Z","event":{"id":580545,"event_date":"2026-10-17T12:00:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":111,"home_team":"Metz","away_team_id":1618,"away_team":"Sochaux","league_id":89,"league_name":"Ligue 2"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"H","favorite_prob":50.6,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.5062,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}}},"computed_at":1792037752,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":"#730f14","away":"#0b4183"},"venue":{"name":"Stade Saint Symphorien","city":"Metz","capacity":28786},"pulled":[],"published":[]}