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form.","evidence":{"home":{"attack":0.018,"defence":-0.027,"effective_matches":15,"shrunk":0.35},"away":{"attack":0.202,"defence":0.254,"effective_matches":15.4,"shrunk":0.34}},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence; IFK Göteborg work noticeably more of their attacks into wide areas.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":51.2,"shots":16.4,"xg_per_shot":0.098,"corners":8,"corners_per_shot":0.488,"finishing_vs_xg":-0.02},"away":{"matches":12,"possession":52.4,"shots":11.2,"xg_per_shot":0.134,"corners":4.2,"corners_per_shot":0.373,"finishing_vs_xg":0.17},"possession_gap":-1.2},"strength":0.1,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":3}]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"IFK Göteborg are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.02,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Djurgårdens IF are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.17,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"106 yellow cards in this referee's last 45 games, where 147 would be usual in this league, and 4 reds.","evidence":{"matches":45,"yellows_per_match":2.36,"reds_per_match":0.089,"league_yellows_per_match":3.27,"league_reds_per_match":0.084,"yellow_ratio":0.72,"red_ratio":1.05},"strength":0.251,"moves":[{"channel":"cards","side":"both","pct":-6.3}]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Routine trip of 397 km for Djurgårdens IF.","evidence":{"travel_km":397},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.","evidence":{"rain_mm":null,"wind_kph":11.7,"temperature_c":7,"description":"unknown"},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.1300514333483554},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: value","preview":"Djurgårdens IF will control this match and punish a depleted home side. The visitors are finishing way above their usual standards, scoring 18 goals in their last nine games from chances that would normally bring about 12. At the back, they have kept four clean sheets in six, making them very tough to breach. IFK Göteborg are a different side at home, but losing Felix Eriksson to suspension takes away two goals and two assists from defense. That backline disruption will cost them against opponents who travel well and sit 3rd in the table. Djurgården's hot finishing decides it.","external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":6166,"created_at":"2026-10-22T02:15:16Z","event":{"id":46509,"event_date":"2026-10-28T18:00:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":439,"home_team":"IFK Göteborg","away_team_id":436,"away_team":"Djurgårdens IF","league_id":26,"league_name":"Allsvenskan"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"A","favorite_prob":46.3,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.4627,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}}},"computed_at":1793188724,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":"#1b68ba","away":"#dfcd37"},"venue":{"name":"Gamla Ullevi","city":"Gothenburg","capacity":18416},"pulled":[],"published":[]}