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Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Degerfors IF have scored 3 fewer than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.28,"matches":12},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Västerås SK are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.07,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"125 yellow cards in this referee's last 41 games, where 134 would be usual in this league, and 2 reds.","evidence":{"matches":41,"yellows_per_match":3.05,"reds_per_match":0.049,"league_yellows_per_match":3.27,"league_reds_per_match":0.084,"yellow_ratio":0.93,"red_ratio":0.58},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Routine trip of 126 km for Västerås SK.","evidence":{"travel_km":126},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.","evidence":{"rain_mm":null,"wind_kph":7.7,"temperature_c":6,"description":"unknown"},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.1300514333483554},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: value","preview":"Västerås SK should punish a Degerfors IF team that is currently falling apart at the back. The hosts have hit a seasonal low: their ability to generate chances and stop attacks has been at its worst over their last four matches. They allow far too many clear sights of goal: opponents have tested their goalkeeper at least six times in four of their last six games. Missing a goal-scoring defender to a cruciate ligament problem leaves them even more vulnerable to Taonsa Axel, who has nine goals this season. Although the visitors are poor travellers, they will dominate against a side out-chanced in seven of their last nine. Taonsa Axel’s three goals in his last five games decides it.","external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":6165,"created_at":"2026-10-22T02:15:16Z","event":{"id":46505,"event_date":"2026-10-28T18:00:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":443,"home_team":"Degerfors IF","away_team_id":1054,"away_team":"Västerås SK","league_id":26,"league_name":"Allsvenskan"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"H","favorite_prob":38.4,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.3835,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}}},"computed_at":1793188726,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":"#e21f15","away":"#227d49"},"venue":{"name":"Stora Valla","city":"Degerfors","capacity":7500},"pulled":[],"published":[]}