{"id": 224648, "h2h": {"draws": 2, "away_wins": 6, "home_wins": 2, "away_goals": 19, "home_goals": 12, "away_win_rate": 0.6, "home_win_rate": 0.2, "total_matches": 10, "recent_matches": [{"away": "Newport County", "date": "2026-01-17T15:00:00+00:00", "home": "Gillingham", "score": "3-2", "event_id": 228217, "away_score": 2, "home_score": 3, "away_team_id": 1429, "home_team_id": 1433}, {"away": "Gillingham", "date": "2025-11-01T15:00:00+00:00", "home": "Newport County", "score": "2-2", "event_id": 204455, "away_score": 2, "home_score": 2, "away_team_id": 1433, "home_team_id": 1429}, {"away": "Gillingham", "date": "2025-09-20T14:00:00+00:00", "home": "Newport County", "score": "1-3", "event_id": 227977, "away_score": 3, "home_score": 1, "away_team_id": 1433, "home_team_id": 1429}, {"away": "Gillingham", "date": "2025-03-04T19:45:00+00:00", "home": "Newport County", "score": "3-1", "event_id": 235224, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 3, "away_team_id": 1433, "home_team_id": 1429}, {"away": "Newport County", "date": "2024-10-22T18:45:00+00:00", "home": "Gillingham", "score": "0-2", "event_id": 234938, "away_score": 2, "home_score": 0, "away_team_id": 1429, "home_team_id": 1433}, {"away": "Gillingham", "date": "2024-02-17T15:00:00+00:00", "home": "Newport County", "score": "1-0", "event_id": 244786, "away_score": 0, "home_score": 1, "away_team_id": 1433, "home_team_id": 1429}, {"away": "Newport County", "date": "2023-10-28T14:00:00+00:00", "home": "Gillingham", "score": "0-2", "event_id": 244540, "away_score": 2, "home_score": 0, "away_team_id": 1429, "home_team_id": 1433}, {"away": "Newport County", "date": "2023-04-29T14:00:00+00:00", "home": "Gillingham", "score": "1-2", "event_id": 256105, "away_score": 2, "home_score": 1, "away_team_id": 1429, "home_team_id": 1433}, {"away": "Gillingham", "date": "2022-11-19T15:00:00+00:00", "home": "Newport County", "score": "2-0", "event_id": 255755, "away_score": 0, "home_score": 2, "away_team_id": 1433, "home_team_id": 1429}, {"away": "Newport County", "date": "2019-08-13T18:45:00+00:00", "home": "Gillingham", "score": "2-2", "event_id": 286361, "away_score": 2, "home_score": 2, "away_team_id": 1429, "home_team_id": 1433}], "avg_total_goals": 3.1}, "away": "Newport County", "form": {"away": {"ppg": 1, "record": "1-3-2", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "DLLDDW", "goals_for": 1, "venue_ppg": 0.33, "clean_sheets": 1, "goals_against": 1.17}, "home": {"ppg": 1.83, "record": "3-2-1", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "DDWWWL", "goals_for": 1.83, "venue_ppg": 2.33, "clean_sheets": 2, "goals_against": 1}}, "home": "Gillingham", "pass": "Nothing to take on Gillingham against Newport County. The bookmakers have this one about right, so there is nothing to take.", "rank": 5, "read": {"side": null, "text": "Too close to call"}, "flags": [], "score": null, "venue": {"city": "Gillingham", "name": "Priestfield Stadium", "capacity": 11582}, "colors": {"away": "#efa13c", "home": "#1c5dac"}, "extras": {"split": {"away": {"above": {"d": 2, "l": 2, "w": 2}, "below": {"d": 1, "l": 1, "w": 0}}, "home": {"above": {"d": 0, "l": 2, "w": 1}, "below": {"d": 3, "l": 0, "w": 2}}}, "teams": {"away": 1429, "home": 1433}, "best_xi": [{"id": 33581, "name": "James Brophy", "goals": 3, "assists": 0, "matches": 8, "team_id": 1433, "position": "M"}], "players": {}, "referee": null, "managers": {"away": {"id": 3179, "vs": {"d": 1, "l": 1, "w": 0, "last": {"score": "2-3", "result": "L", "kickoff": 1768662000}}, "name": "Hayden Mullins"}, "home": {"id": 879, "vs": {"d": 1, "l": 0, "w": 1, "last": {"score": "3-2", "result": "W", "kickoff": 1768662000}}, "name": "Gareth Ainsworth"}}}, "lambda": [1.58, 1.11], "league": "League Two", "ledger": [{"id": "availability.home.full_strength", "note": "Gillingham report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.away.full_strength", "note": "Newport County report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0.727, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 0.273}, {"id": "stakes.season", "note": "Nothing much riding on this one for either side yet.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.1", "evidence": {"away": {"state": "mid_table", "points": 9, "position": 17, "games_left": 37, "gap_to_europe": 4, "gap_to_leader": 6, "gap_to_safety": 3}, "home": {"state": "mid_table", "points": 12, "position": 8, "games_left": 37, "gap_to_europe": 1, "gap_to_leader": 3, "gap_to_safety": 6}, "games_left": 37, "six_pointer": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.derby", "note": "Not a local derby.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.2", "evidence": {"derby": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "The reverse fixture finished 1-1, too close to carry a revenge motive.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.3", "evidence": {"reverse_margin": 0}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "manager.home.established", "note": "Gareth Ainsworth has 37 matches in charge at Gillingham, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 1.19, "manager": "Gareth Ainsworth", "tenure_days": 418, "matches_in_charge": 37, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 1.8, "before_ppm": 1.8}}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "manager.away.settling", "note": "Hayden Mullins is 13 games into the job at Newport County, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 1.08, "manager": "Hayden Mullins", "tenure_days": 75, "matches_in_charge": 13, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 0.9, "before_ppm": 1.8}}, "strength": 0.3}, {"id": "fatigue.home", "note": "Gillingham come in on 7 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 7, "days_rest": 7, "matchesIn7": 1, "matchesIn14": 2}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.away", "note": "Newport County come in on 7 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 7, "days_rest": 7, "matchesIn7": 1, "matchesIn14": 2}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.opponent_adjustment", "note": "Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§4.1", "evidence": {"away": {"attack": -0.042, "shrunk": 0.33, "defence": -0.146, "effective_matches": 16}, "home": {"attack": -0.025, "shrunk": 0.33, "defence": -0.091, "effective_matches": 16.2}}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence; Newport County work noticeably more of their attacks into wide areas.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"away": {"shots": 10.1, "corners": 4.3, "matches": 12, "possession": 38.2, "xg_per_shot": 0.106, "finishing_vs_xg": 0.26, "corners_per_shot": 0.426}, "home": {"shots": 10.3, "corners": 3.2, "matches": 12, "possession": 44.9, "xg_per_shot": 0.107, "finishing_vs_xg": 0.06, "corners_per_shot": 0.306}, "possession_gap": 6.7}, "strength": 0.269}, {"id": "style.press_matchup", "note": "Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"requires": ["ppda", "defensive_line_height"]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.home", "note": "Gillingham are scoring about what their chances are worth.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": 0.06}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.finishing.away", "note": "Newport County have scored 3 more than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": 0.26}, "strength": 0.25}, {"id": "referee.tendency", "note": "No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§13", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.travel", "note": "No travel distance reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.4", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.weather", "note": "No weather reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.2", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.pitch", "note": "No pitch condition reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.venue", "note": "Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.1", "evidence": {"home_adv": 0.279120165276174}, "strength": 0}], "locked": false, "people": [{"id": 34122, "name": "Oliver Wright", "side": "home"}, {"id": 33581, "name": "James Brophy", "side": "home"}, {"id": 36129, "name": "Omar Beckles", "side": "home"}, {"id": 33980, "name": "Andy Smith", "side": "home"}, {"id": 61008, "name": "Logan Dobbs", "side": "home"}, {"id": 36125, "name": "Harry Waldock", "side": "home"}, {"id": 37282, "name": "Nick Freeman", "side": "home"}, {"id": 33989, "name": "Robbie McKenzie", "side": "home"}, {"id": 34165, "name": "Kadeem Harris", "side": "home"}, {"id": 36113, "name": "Ronan Hale", "side": "home"}, {"id": 36117, "name": "Garath McCleary", "side": "home"}, {"id": 13724, "name": "Conor McManus", "side": "home"}, {"id": 46479, "name": "Will Goodwin", "side": "home"}, {"id": 26942, "name": "Eli King", "side": "home"}, {"id": 53389, "name": "Lamin Sillah", "side": "home"}, {"id": 64045, "name": "Zane Albarus", "side": "home"}, {"id": 33996, "name": "Armani Little", "side": "home"}, {"id": 34188, "name": "Cameron Antwi", "side": "home"}, {"id": 33764, "name": "Sheldon Kendall", "side": "home"}, {"id": 6721, "name": "Liam Gordon", "side": "home"}, {"id": 34050, "name": "Zech Obiero", "side": "home"}, {"id": 73731, "name": "Jack Daley", "side": "home"}, {"id": 75781, "name": "Sullivan Booth", "side": "home"}, {"id": 36130, "name": "Harry Webster", "side": "home"}, {"id": 33720, "name": "Samuel Tabares", "side": "home"}, {"id": 36116, "name": "Damien Theodore", "side": "home"}, {"id": 75779, "name": "Lennon MacLorg", "side": "home"}, {"id": 103903, "name": "Rohan Luthra", "side": "home"}, {"id": 36124, "name": "Ethan Coleman", "side": "home"}, {"id": 46500, "name": "Taite Holtam", "side": "home"}, {"id": 36126, "name": "Cameron Antwi", "side": "home"}, {"id": 33995, "name": "Bradley Dack", "side": "home"}, {"id": 36123, "name": "Michael Luxton", "side": "home"}, {"id": 36122, "name": "Louie Dayal", "side": "home"}, {"id": 34180, "name": "Jordan Wright", "side": "away"}, {"id": 8584, "name": "Matty Jacob", "side": "away"}, {"id": 34193, "name": "Ciaran Brennan", "side": "away"}, {"id": 33649, "name": "Kyle Cameron", "side": "away"}, {"id": 33804, "name": "Cameron Norman", "side": "away"}, {"id": 34150, "name": "Harrison Biggins", "side": "away"}, {"id": 34191, "name": "Lee Jenkins", "side": "away"}, {"id": 63280, "name": "Shaquille Gwengwe", "side": "away"}, {"id": 33924, "name": "Matthew Max Dibley-Dias", "side": "away"}, {"id": 46338, "name": "Michael Adu-Poku", "side": "away"}, {"id": 43720, "name": "Yahya Bamba", "side": "away"}, {"id": 43704, "name": "Christian Doidge", "side": "away"}, {"id": 34181, "name": "Cameron Evans", "side": "away"}, {"id": 34195, "name": "Thomas Davies", "side": "away"}, {"id": 34292, "name": "Joe Thomas", "side": "away"}, {"id": 43325, "name": "Kieron Evans", "side": "away"}, {"id": 115598, "name": "Alfie Merritt", "side": "away"}, {"id": 34294, "name": "Gerard Garner", "side": "away"}, {"id": 34293, "name": "Matt Smith", "side": "away"}, {"id": 36731, "name": "Cole Jarvis", "side": "away"}, {"id": 31519, "name": "Tanatswa Nyakuhwa", "side": "away"}, {"id": 33624, "name": "Aaron Lewis", "side": "away"}, {"id": 34198, "name": "Moses Alexander-Walker", "side": "away"}, {"id": 42940, "name": "Dan Sassi", "side": "away"}, {"id": 8862, "name": "Kion Etete", "side": "away"}, {"id": 36729, "name": "James Crole", "side": "away"}, {"id": 36739, "name": "Jordan Wright", "side": "away"}, {"id": 33978, "name": "Jake Turner", "side": "away"}, {"id": 36738, "name": "Shaun MacDonald", "side": "away"}, {"id": 58882, "name": "Keenan Pattern", "side": "away"}, {"id": 46499, "name": "Harrison Pugh", "side": "away"}], "status": "notstarted", "away_id": 1429, "home_id": 1433, "kickoff": 1791036000, "lineups": {"away": {"players": [{"id": 34180, "name": "Jordan Wright", "ai_score": 0.799, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 8584, "name": "Matty Jacob", "ai_score": 0.497, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 34193, "name": "Ciaran Brennan", "ai_score": 0.876, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 33649, "name": "Kyle Cameron", "ai_score": 0.868, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 33804, "name": "Cameron Norman", "ai_score": 0.838, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 34150, "name": "Harrison Biggins", "ai_score": 0.873, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 34191, "name": "Lee Jenkins", "ai_score": 0.863, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 63280, "name": "Shaquille Gwengwe", "ai_score": 0.768, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 33924, "name": "Matthew Max Dibley-Dias", "ai_score": 0.492, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 46338, "name": "Michael Adu-Poku", "ai_score": 0.337, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 43720, "name": "Yahya Bamba", "ai_score": 0.618, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 43704, "name": "Christian Doidge", "ai_score": 0.603, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 34181, "name": "Cameron Evans", "ai_score": 0.537, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 34195, "name": "Thomas Davies", "ai_score": 0.409, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 34292, "name": "Joe Thomas", "ai_score": 0.351, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 43325, "name": "Kieron Evans", "ai_score": 0.342, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 115598, "name": "Alfie Merritt", "ai_score": 0.288, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 34294, "name": "Gerard Garner", "ai_score": 0.257, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 34293, "name": "Matt Smith", "ai_score": 0.238, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 36731, "name": "Cole Jarvis", "ai_score": 0.227, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 31519, "name": "Tanatswa Nyakuhwa", "ai_score": 0.224, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 33624, "name": "Aaron Lewis", "ai_score": 0.199, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 34198, "name": "Moses Alexander-Walker", "ai_score": 0.197, "position": "F", "starting": false}], "formation": "4-2-3-1", "confidence": 0.814}, "home": {"players": [{"id": 34122, "name": "Oliver Wright", "ai_score": 0.634, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 33581, "name": "James Brophy", "ai_score": 0.819, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 36129, "name": "Omar Beckles", "ai_score": 0.816, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 33980, "name": "Andy Smith", "ai_score": 0.79, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 61008, "name": "Logan Dobbs", "ai_score": 0.74, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 36125, "name": "Harry Waldock", "ai_score": 0.549, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 37282, "name": "Nick Freeman", "ai_score": 0.811, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 33989, "name": "Robbie McKenzie", "ai_score": 0.616, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 34165, "name": "Kadeem Harris", "ai_score": 0.389, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 36113, "name": "Ronan Hale", "ai_score": 0.779, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 36117, "name": "Garath McCleary", "ai_score": 0.277, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 13724, "name": "Conor McManus", "ai_score": 0.437, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 46479, "name": "Will Goodwin", "ai_score": 0.401, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 26942, "name": "Eli King", "ai_score": 0.4, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 53389, "name": "Lamin Sillah", "ai_score": 0.392, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 64045, "name": "Zane Albarus", "ai_score": 0.382, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 33996, "name": "Armani Little", "ai_score": 0.299, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 34188, "name": "Cameron Antwi", "ai_score": 0.232, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 33764, "name": "Sheldon Kendall", "ai_score": 0.223, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 6721, "name": "Liam Gordon", "ai_score": 0.206, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 34050, "name": "Zech Obiero", "ai_score": 0.202, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 73731, "name": "Jack Daley", "ai_score": 0.152, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 75781, "name": "Sullivan Booth", "ai_score": 0.133, "position": "F", "starting": false}], "formation": "3-4-2-1", "confidence": 0.727}, "status": "predicted", "confidence": 0.727, "unavailable": []}, "neutral": false, "notable": [{"id": 35382, "name": "Charlie McCann", "rank": 1, "goals": 7}, {"id": 46264, "name": "Alex Newby", "rank": 2, "goals": 6}, {"id": 37573, "name": "Charlie Lakin", "rank": 3, "goals": 6}, {"id": 34019, "name": "Aaron Drinan", "rank": 4, "goals": 5}, {"id": 33677, "name": "Charlie Caton", "rank": 5, "goals": 5}, {"id": 63280, "name": "Shaquille Gwengwe", "rank": 6, "goals": 5}, {"id": 37571, "name": "Aaron Pressley", "rank": 7, "goals": 4}, {"id": 6232, "name": "Andreas Weimann", "rank": 8, "goals": 4}, {"id": 46485, "name": "Calum Kavanagh", "rank": 9, "goals": 4}, {"id": 34246, "name": "Kabongo Tshimanga", "rank": 10, "goals": 4}, {"id": 33549, "name": "Paul Mullin", "rank": 11, "goals": 4}, {"id": 34073, "name": "Fabrizio Cavegn", "rank": 12, "goals": 3}, {"id": 6710, "name": "Jake Evans", "rank": 13, "goals": 3}, {"id": 33581, "name": "James Brophy", "rank": 14, "goals": 3}, {"id": 33640, "name": "Joe Powell", "rank": 15, "goals": 3}], "players": [{"id": 33581, "club": null, "load": {"games": 2, "country": 0, "minutes": 180}, "name": "James Brophy", "role": "MID", "side": "home", "tags": ["top_scorer", "best_performer"], "team": "Gillingham", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 3, "assists": 0, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": {"apps": 9, "goals": 3, "starts": 9, "assists": 0, "team_games": 13, "big_chances": 0, "clean_sheets": 3, "tracked_apps": 9, "tracked_starts": 9}, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "LM", "standout": {"won": true, "goals": 2, "score": "4-1", "assists": 0, "kickoff": 1788616800, "opponent": "Rochdale"}, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.238, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 36113, "club": null, "load": {"games": 2, "country": 0, "minutes": 127}, "name": "Ronan Hale", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Gillingham", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 2, "assists": 1, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": {"apps": 9, "goals": 2, "starts": 9, "assists": 1, "team_games": 13, "big_chances": 1, "clean_sheets": 3, "tracked_apps": 9, "tracked_starts": 9}, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": {"won": true, "goals": 1, "score": "2-0", "assists": 1, "kickoff": 1789221600, "opponent": "Tranmere Rovers"}, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.156, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 63280, "club": null, "load": {"games": 2, "country": 0, "minutes": 91}, "name": "Shaquille Gwengwe", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": ["top_scorer"], "team": "Newport County", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 1, "assists": 0, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 1}, "season": {"apps": 10, "goals": 5, "starts": 9, "assists": 1, "team_games": 16, "big_chances": 0, "clean_sheets": 4, "tracked_apps": 10, "tracked_starts": 9}, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "LW", "standout": {"won": false, "goals": 2, "score": "2-2", "assists": 0, "kickoff": 1788012000, "opponent": "Tranmere Rovers"}, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.196, "expected_return": null}], "external": {"bsd_prediction": {"id": 4140, "event": {"id": 224648, "status": "notstarted", "away_team": "Newport County", "home_team": "Gillingham", "league_id": 87, "event_date": "2026-10-03T14:00:00Z", "league_name": "League Two", "away_team_id": 1429, "home_team_id": 1433}, "model": {"version": "dc-blend-v1", "confidence": 0.4546}, "created_at": "2026-09-27T02:15:30Z", "recommendations": {"btts": false, "winner": false, "over_15": false, "over_25": false, "over_35": false, "favorite": "H", "bet_favorite": false, "favorite_prob": 45.5}}}, "venue_id": 883, "verdicts": [], "card_rate": 0.146, "league_id": 87, "published": [], "standings": {"away": {"won": 2, "lost": 3, "drawn": 3, "group": null, "played": 8, "points": 9, "team_id": 1429, "position": 17, "goal_diff": 0, "goals_for": 12, "team_name": "Newport County", "goals_against": 12}, "home": {"won": 3, "lost": 2, "drawn": 3, "group": null, "played": 8, "points": 12, "team_id": 1433, "position": 8, "goal_diff": 2, "goals_for": 11, "team_name": "Gillingham", "goals_against": 9}, "size": 24}, "confidence": 0.614, "live_score": null, "computed_at": 1790871832, "corner_rate": 9.79, "lambda_away": 1.1097499646928233, "lambda_home": 1.5778745366128317, "pass_reason": "Nothing is mispriced enough to call. The closest was over 11.5 corners at 3.48, where the edge of 3.1 points does not clear the 8.9 needed against a 10.7% margin.", "provisional": true, "round_label": "Regular season · Matchday 9", "lineup_status": "predicted"}