{"id": 224647, "h2h": {"draws": 2, "away_wins": 4, "home_wins": 2, "away_goals": 12, "home_goals": 5, "away_win_rate": 0.5, "home_win_rate": 0.25, "total_matches": 8, "recent_matches": [{"away": "Rotherham United", "date": "2026-01-31T15:00:00+00:00", "home": "Exeter City", "score": "0-4", "event_id": 227661, "away_score": 4, "home_score": 0, "away_team_id": 1425, "home_team_id": 1443}, {"away": "Exeter City", "date": "2025-09-06T14:00:00+00:00", "home": "Rotherham United", "score": "1-0", "event_id": 227358, "away_score": 0, "home_score": 1, "away_team_id": 1443, "home_team_id": 1425}, {"away": "Exeter City", "date": "2025-03-15T15:00:00+00:00", "home": "Rotherham United", "score": "1-1", "event_id": 234660, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 1, "away_team_id": 1443, "home_team_id": 1425}, {"away": "Rotherham United", "date": "2024-08-10T16:30:00+00:00", "home": "Exeter City", "score": "1-0", "event_id": 234202, "away_score": 0, "home_score": 1, "away_team_id": 1425, "home_team_id": 1443}, {"away": "Exeter City", "date": "2013-04-09T18:45:00+00:00", "home": "Rotherham United", "score": "4-1", "event_id": 427321, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 4, "away_team_id": 1443, "home_team_id": 1425}, {"away": "Rotherham United", "date": "2012-11-24T15:00:00+00:00", "home": "Exeter City", "score": "0-1", "event_id": 427050, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 0, "away_team_id": 1425, "home_team_id": 1443}, {"away": "Exeter City", "date": "2009-05-02T14:00:00+00:00", "home": "Rotherham United", "score": "0-1", "event_id": 479014, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 0, "away_team_id": 1443, "home_team_id": 1425}, {"away": "Rotherham United", "date": "2008-11-25T19:45:00+00:00", "home": "Exeter City", "score": "1-1", "event_id": 478630, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 1, "away_team_id": 1425, "home_team_id": 1443}], "avg_total_goals": 2.125}, "away": "Rotherham United", "form": {"away": {"ppg": 1.5, "record": "2-3-1", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "WDLDWD", "goals_for": 1.5, "venue_ppg": 1.33, "clean_sheets": 1, "goals_against": 1.33}, "home": {"ppg": 0.5, "record": "0-3-3", "streak": "winless 6", "matches": 6, "sequence": "LDDLDL", "goals_for": 0.33, "venue_ppg": 1, "clean_sheets": 2, "goals_against": 0.83}}, "home": "Exeter City", "pass": null, "rank": 5, "read": {"side": null, "text": "Too close to call"}, "flags": [{"id": "form.home", "note": "Exeter City have taken 0.50 points a game from their last 6 (0W 3D 3L), scoring 0.3 and conceding 0.8, and 1.00 a game at home.", "section": "§2.1"}], "score": null, "venue": {"city": "Exeter", "name": "St James Park", "capacity": 8830}, "colors": {"away": "#ed252d", "home": "#b40f40"}, "extras": {"split": {"away": {"above": {"d": 4, "l": 2, "w": 1}, "below": {"d": 0, "l": 0, "w": 1}}, "home": {"above": {"d": 3, "l": 3, "w": 1}, "below": {"d": 0, "l": 1, "w": 0}}}, "teams": {"away": 1425, "home": 1443}, "best_xi": [{"id": 35991, "name": "Jack Fitzwater", "goals": 2, "assists": 0, "matches": 8, "team_id": 1443, "position": "D"}], "players": {}, "referee": null, "managers": {"away": {"id": 3408, "vs": {"d": 0, "l": 0, "w": 1, "last": {"score": "4-0", "result": "W", "kickoff": 1769871600}}, "name": "Alex Bruce"}, "home": {"id": 893, "vs": {"d": 0, "l": 1, "w": 0, "last": {"score": "0-4", "result": "L", "kickoff": 1769871600}}, "name": "Matt Taylor"}}}, "lambda": [1.09, 0.94], "league": "League Two", "ledger": [{"id": "availability.home.full_strength", "note": "Exeter City report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.away.full_strength", "note": "Rotherham United report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0.723, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 0.277}, {"id": "stakes.season", "note": "Nothing much riding on this one for either side yet.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.1", "evidence": {"away": {"state": "mid_table", "points": 10, "position": 13, "games_left": 37, "gap_to_europe": 3, "gap_to_leader": 5, "gap_to_safety": 4}, "home": {"state": "mid_table", "points": 6, "position": 21, "games_left": 37, "gap_to_europe": 7, "gap_to_leader": 9, "gap_to_safety": 0}, "games_left": 37, "six_pointer": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.derby", "note": "Not a local derby.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.2", "evidence": {"derby": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "The reverse fixture finished 1-0, too close to carry a revenge motive.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.3", "evidence": {"reverse_margin": -1}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "manager.home.established", "note": "Matt Taylor has 39 matches in charge at Exeter City, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 0.9, "manager": "Matt Taylor", "tenure_days": 417, "matches_in_charge": 39, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 0.9, "before_ppm": 1.4}}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "manager.away.settling", "note": "Alex Bruce is 9 games into the job at Rotherham United, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 1.11, "manager": "Alex Bruce", "tenure_days": 57, "matches_in_charge": 9, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 1.11, "before_ppm": 1.3}}, "strength": 0.3}, {"id": "fatigue.home", "note": "Exeter City come in on 7 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 7, "days_rest": 7, "matchesIn7": 1, "matchesIn14": 2}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.away", "note": "Rotherham United come in on 7 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 7, "days_rest": 7, "matchesIn7": 1, "matchesIn14": 2}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.opponent_adjustment", "note": "Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§4.1", "evidence": {"away": {"attack": 0.048, "shrunk": 0.54, "defence": -0.003, "effective_matches": 6.8}, "home": {"attack": -0.249, "shrunk": 0.54, "defence": 0.17, "effective_matches": 6.8}}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence; Exeter City work noticeably more of their attacks into wide areas.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"away": {"shots": 12.7, "corners": 3.4, "matches": 12, "possession": 47.7, "xg_per_shot": 0.106, "finishing_vs_xg": -0.09, "corners_per_shot": 0.266}, "home": {"shots": 10.2, "corners": 4.5, "matches": 12, "possession": 44.5, "xg_per_shot": 0.1, "finishing_vs_xg": -0.36, "corners_per_shot": 0.445}, "possession_gap": -3.3}, "strength": 0.131}, {"id": "style.press_matchup", "note": "Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"requires": ["ppda", "defensive_line_height"]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.home", "note": "Exeter City have scored 4 fewer than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": -0.36}, "strength": 0.25}, {"id": "style.finishing.away", "note": "Rotherham United are scoring about what their chances are worth.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": -0.09}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "referee.tendency", "note": "No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§13", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.travel", "note": "No travel distance reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.4", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.weather", "note": "No weather reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.2", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.pitch", "note": "No pitch condition reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.venue", "note": "Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. 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