{"id":224173,"league_id":86,"league":"League One","kickoff":1792245600,"home":"Plymouth Argyle","away":"Huddersfield Town","home_id":1258,"away_id":1250,"venue_id":725,"rank":5,"status":"notstarted","provisional":true,"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.642,"score":null,"live_score":null,"lambda":[1.59,1.47],"read":{"text":"Too close to call","side":null},"pass":"Passing on Plymouth Argyle v Huddersfield Town. There is a likely outcome here, but every bookmaker has it shorter than it deserves, so there is nothing to take.","flags":[{"id":"form.home","section":"§2.1","note":"Plymouth Argyle have taken 2.50 points a game from their last 6 (5W 0D 1L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.0, and 2.00 a game at home."}],"lambda_home":1.5944988842850105,"lambda_away":1.4736271057254278,"corner_rate":10.52,"card_rate":0.109,"lineups":{"status":"predicted","confidence":0.827,"home":{"formation":"4-4-2","players":[{"id":8587,"name":"Murphy Cooper","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.792},{"id":28903,"name":"Julio Pleguezuelo","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.688},{"id":6478,"name":"Wes Harding","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.847},{"id":7138,"name":"Alex Mitchell","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.756},{"id":28906,"name":"Joe Edwards","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.305},{"id":28897,"name":"Matthew Sorinola","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.554},{"id":34027,"name":"Harvey White","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.834},{"id":34045,"name":"Tyreeq Bakinson","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.656},{"id":28895,"name":"Ronan Curtis","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.749},{"id":33617,"name":"Will Evans","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.725},{"id":36601,"name":"Oliver Irow","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.693},{"id":16949,"name":"Aribim Pepple","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.675},{"id":28892,"name":"Bradley Ibrahim","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.562},{"id":28902,"name":"Mathias Ross","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.493},{"id":33666,"name":"Alex Hartridge","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.398},{"id":28896,"name":"Caleb Watts","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.339},{"id":28886,"name":"Xavier Amaechi","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.287},{"id":28888,"name":"Owen Oseni","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.213},{"id":28889,"name":"Tegan Finn","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.21},{"id":64238,"name":"James Storer","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.208},{"id":28908,"name":"Joe Mwaro","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.196},{"id":28893,"name":"Malachi Boateng","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.175},{"id":28905,"name":"Jack Mackenzie","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.044}],"confidence":0.827},"away":{"formation":"3-4-2-1","players":[{"id":34173,"name":"Matthew Young","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.856},{"id":28119,"name":"Murray Wallace","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.772},{"id":28112,"name":"Radinio Balker","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.882},{"id":6698,"name":"Ibane Bowat","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.802},{"id":5513,"name":"Ilias Bronkhorst","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.8},{"id":28868,"name":"Archie Collins","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.514},{"id":28109,"name":"Ryan Ledson","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.614},{"id":6840,"name":"Cameron Humphreys","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.574},{"id":28104,"name":"Marcus Harness","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.714},{"id":29913,"name":"Joe Taylor","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.705},{"id":5519,"name":"Derensili Sanches Fernandes","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.823},{"id":26703,"name":"Ashley Fletcher","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.652},{"id":28100,"name":"Bojan Radulović","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.512},{"id":28103,"name":"Bali Mumba","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.444},{"id":28118,"name":"Jack Whatmough","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.375},{"id":33507,"name":"Jay Smith-Sway","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.323},{"id":28115,"name":"Sean Roughan","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.263},{"id":28116,"name":"Lasse Sørensen","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.256},{"id":28105,"name":"David Kasumu","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.252},{"id":28113,"name":"Lynden Gooch","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.245},{"id":34115,"name":"Samson Tovide","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.124},{"id":28117,"name":"Joe Low","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.088},{"id":35985,"name":"Ethan Brierley","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.025}],"confidence":0.827},"unavailable":[]},"people":[{"id":8587,"name":"Murphy Cooper","side":"home"},{"id":28903,"name":"Julio Pleguezuelo","side":"home"},{"id":6478,"name":"Wes Harding","side":"home"},{"id":7138,"name":"Alex Mitchell","side":"home"},{"id":28906,"name":"Joe Edwards","side":"home"},{"id":28897,"name":"Matthew Sorinola","side":"home"},{"id":34027,"name":"Harvey White","side":"home"},{"id":34045,"name":"Tyreeq Bakinson","side":"home"},{"id":28895,"name":"Ronan Curtis","side":"home"},{"id":33617,"name":"Will Evans","side":"home"},{"id":36601,"name":"Oliver Irow","side":"home"},{"id":16949,"name":"Aribim Pepple","side":"home"},{"id":28892,"name":"Bradley Ibrahim","side":"home"},{"id":28902,"name":"Mathias Ross","side":"home"},{"id":33666,"name":"Alex Hartridge","side":"home"},{"id":28896,"name":"Caleb Watts","side":"home"},{"id":28886,"name":"Xavier Amaechi","side":"home"},{"id":28888,"name":"Owen Oseni","side":"home"},{"id":28889,"name":"Tegan Finn","side":"home"},{"id":64238,"name":"James Storer","side":"home"},{"id":28908,"name":"Joe Mwaro","side":"home"},{"id":28893,"name":"Malachi Boateng","side":"home"},{"id":28905,"name":"Jack Mackenzie","side":"home"},{"id":75815,"name":"Sam Hayman","side":"home"},{"id":75813,"name":"James Sharpe","side":"home"},{"id":75814,"name":"Leo McCormick","side":"home"},{"id":64237,"name":"Michael Baidoo","side":"home"},{"id":28901,"name":"Seb Campbell","side":"home"},{"id":75816,"name":"Jared Rendle","side":"home"},{"id":72846,"name":"Frankie Maund","side":"home"},{"id":34173,"name":"Matthew Young","side":"away"},{"id":28119,"name":"Murray Wallace","side":"away"},{"id":28112,"name":"Radinio Balker","side":"away"},{"id":6698,"name":"Ibane Bowat","side":"away"},{"id":5513,"name":"Ilias Bronkhorst","side":"away"},{"id":28868,"name":"Archie Collins","side":"away"},{"id":28109,"name":"Ryan Ledson","side":"away"},{"id":6840,"name":"Cameron Humphreys","side":"away"},{"id":28104,"name":"Marcus Harness","side":"away"},{"id":29913,"name":"Joe Taylor","side":"away"},{"id":5519,"name":"Derensili Sanches Fernandes","side":"away"},{"id":26703,"name":"Ashley Fletcher","side":"away"},{"id":28100,"name":"Bojan Radulović","side":"away"},{"id":28103,"name":"Bali Mumba","side":"away"},{"id":28118,"name":"Jack Whatmough","side":"away"},{"id":33507,"name":"Jay Smith-Sway","side":"away"},{"id":28115,"name":"Sean Roughan","side":"away"},{"id":28116,"name":"Lasse Sørensen","side":"away"},{"id":28105,"name":"David Kasumu","side":"away"},{"id":28113,"name":"Lynden Gooch","side":"away"},{"id":34115,"name":"Samson Tovide","side":"away"},{"id":28117,"name":"Joe Low","side":"away"},{"id":35985,"name":"Ethan Brierley","side":"away"},{"id":48682,"name":"Max Murray","side":"away"},{"id":75172,"name":"Ian Togo","side":"away"},{"id":75179,"name":"Dylan Tawodzera","side":"away"},{"id":28121,"name":"Jak Alnwick","side":"away"},{"id":28122,"name":"Nikola Tzanev","side":"away"},{"id":64696,"name":"Samson Tovide","side":"away"},{"id":28894,"name":"Herbie Kane","side":"away"},{"id":28106,"name":"Marcus McGuane","side":"away"},{"id":28108,"name":"Cameron Ashia","side":"away"},{"id":28111,"name":"Daniel Vost","side":"away"},{"id":75175,"name":"Jamie Spencer","side":"away"},{"id":75180,"name":"Luke Schofield","side":"away"}],"players":[{"id":16949,"name":"Aribim Pepple","side":"home","team":"Plymouth Argyle","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":11,"starts":9,"goals":5,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":4,"team_games":18,"tracked_apps":11,"tracked_starts":9},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":4,"assists":0,"scoredIn":1,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Barnsley","kickoff":1789221600,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"3-0","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_scorer","in_form"],"importance":0.124,"country":null,"load":{"games":1,"minutes":88,"country":0}},{"id":33617,"name":"Will Evans","side":"home","team":"Plymouth Argyle","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":12,"starts":10,"goals":3,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":4,"team_games":18,"tracked_apps":12,"tracked_starts":10},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":1,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Leyton Orient","kickoff":1791036000,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"2-0","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.079,"country":null,"load":{"games":2,"minutes":180,"country":0}},{"id":36601,"name":"Oliver Irow","side":"home","team":"Plymouth Argyle","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":9,"starts":7,"goals":4,"assists":0,"big_chances":2,"clean_sheets":3,"team_games":18,"tracked_apps":9,"tracked_starts":7},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":3,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Blackpool","kickoff":1789826400,"goals":2,"assists":0,"score":"4-2","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.122,"country":null,"load":{"games":2,"minutes":146,"country":0}},{"id":29913,"name":"Joe Taylor","side":"away","team":"Huddersfield Town","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":9,"starts":7,"goals":6,"assists":1,"big_chances":1,"clean_sheets":1,"team_games":17,"tracked_apps":9,"tracked_starts":7},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":3,"assists":0,"scoredIn":1,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Oxford United","kickoff":1788288300,"goals":2,"assists":0,"score":"3-1","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_scorer","best_performer"],"importance":0.268,"country":null,"load":{"games":1,"minutes":89,"country":0}},{"id":5519,"name":"Derensili Sanches Fernandes","side":"away","team":"Huddersfield Town","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"RW","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":10,"starts":9,"goals":4,"assists":4,"big_chances":8,"clean_sheets":4,"team_games":17,"tracked_apps":10,"tracked_starts":9},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":2,"assists":2,"scoredIn":2,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"AFC Wimbledon","kickoff":1786802400,"goals":2,"assists":0,"score":"3-0","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_creator","best_performer","chance_creator","in_form"],"importance":0.302,"country":null,"load":{"games":2,"minutes":167,"country":0}}],"extras":null,"notable":[{"id":28997,"name":"Jack Marriott","goals":8,"rank":1},{"id":33742,"name":"Kyle Wootton","goals":7,"rank":2},{"id":28470,"name":"Aaron Collins","goals":6,"rank":3},{"id":29913,"name":"Joe Taylor","goals":6,"rank":4},{"id":6171,"name":"Jamal Lowe","goals":5,"rank":5},{"id":28334,"name":"Nahki Wells","goals":5,"rank":6},{"id":16949,"name":"Aribim Pepple","goals":4,"rank":7},{"id":5519,"name":"Derensili Sanches Fernandes","goals":4,"rank":8},{"id":33737,"name":"Jack Diamond","goals":4,"rank":9},{"id":8976,"name":"Jacob Brown","goals":4,"rank":10},{"id":33501,"name":"Jayden Stockley","goals":4,"rank":11},{"id":33131,"name":"Jaze Kabia","goals":4,"rank":12},{"id":6291,"name":"Mark Harris","goals":4,"rank":13},{"id":36603,"name":"Victor Adeboyejo","goals":4,"rank":14},{"id":33589,"name":"Ben Knight","goals":3,"rank":15}],"round_label":"Regular season · Matchday 11","neutral":false,"h2h":{"total_matches":7,"home_wins":4,"draws":1,"away_wins":2,"home_goals":15,"away_goals":12,"avg_total_goals":3.857142857142857,"home_win_rate":0.5714285714285714,"away_win_rate":0.2857142857142857,"recent_matches":[{"away":"Huddersfield Town","date":"2026-03-21T15:00:00+00:00","home":"Plymouth Argyle","score":"3-1","event_id":227778,"away_score":1,"home_score":3,"away_team_id":1250,"home_team_id":1258},{"away":"Plymouth Argyle","date":"2025-11-08T15:00:00+00:00","home":"Huddersfield Town","score":"3-1","event_id":227462,"away_score":1,"home_score":3,"away_team_id":1258,"home_team_id":1250},{"away":"Plymouth Argyle","date":"2024-01-13T15:00:00+00:00","home":"Huddersfield Town","score":"1-1","event_id":309714,"away_score":1,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":1258,"home_team_id":1250},{"away":"Huddersfield Town","date":"2023-08-05T14:00:00+00:00","home":"Plymouth Argyle","score":"3-1","event_id":309401,"away_score":1,"home_score":3,"away_team_id":1250,"home_team_id":1258},{"away":"Plymouth Argyle","date":"2021-01-09T18:00:00+00:00","home":"Huddersfield Town","score":"2-3","event_id":279133,"away_score":3,"home_score":2,"away_team_id":1258,"home_team_id":1250},{"away":"Plymouth Argyle","date":"2011-01-11T19:45:00+00:00","home":"Huddersfield Town","score":"3-2","event_id":453504,"away_score":2,"home_score":3,"away_team_id":1258,"home_team_id":1250},{"away":"Huddersfield Town","date":"2010-10-23T14:00:00+00:00","home":"Plymouth Argyle","score":"2-1","event_id":453304,"away_score":1,"home_score":2,"away_team_id":1250,"home_team_id":1258}]},"standings":{"home":{"team_id":1258,"position":1,"played":10,"points":19,"goal_diff":6,"team_name":"Plymouth Argyle","won":6,"drawn":1,"lost":3,"goals_for":18,"goals_against":12,"group":null},"away":{"team_id":1250,"position":4,"played":9,"points":16,"goal_diff":7,"team_name":"Huddersfield Town","won":4,"drawn":4,"lost":1,"goals_for":16,"goals_against":9,"group":null},"size":24},"form":{"home":{"matches":6,"ppg":2.5,"record":"5-0-1","goals_for":2.33,"goals_against":1,"clean_sheets":2,"streak":"none","sequence":"WWWLWW","venue_ppg":2},"away":{"matches":6,"ppg":1.5,"record":"2-3-1","goals_for":1.67,"goals_against":1.17,"clean_sheets":1,"streak":"none","sequence":"WDDLWD","venue_ppg":1.33}},"ledger":[{"id":"availability.home.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Plymouth Argyle report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.away.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Huddersfield Town report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.rotation_risk","section":"§3.1","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.","evidence":{"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.827,"cup_tie":false},"strength":0.173,"moves":[]},{"id":"stakes.season","section":"§5.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing much riding on this one for either side yet.","evidence":{"games_left":35,"home":{"state":"mid_table","position":1,"points":19,"games_left":35,"gap_to_leader":0,"gap_to_safety":11,"gap_to_europe":-4},"away":{"state":"mid_table","position":4,"points":16,"games_left":35,"gap_to_leader":3,"gap_to_safety":8,"gap_to_europe":-1},"six_pointer":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.derby","section":"§5.2","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Not a local derby.","evidence":{"derby":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.revenge","section":"§5.3","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The reverse fixture finished 3-1, too close to carry a revenge motive.","evidence":{"reverse_margin":-2},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.home.established","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Tom Cleverley has 61 matches in charge at Plymouth Argyle, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.","evidence":{"manager":"Tom Cleverley","matches_in_charge":61,"tenure_days":418,"ppm":1.79,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.2,"after_ppm":1.1,"delta":null}},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.away.established","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Martin Drury has 36 matches in charge at Huddersfield Town, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.","evidence":{"manager":"Martin Drury","matches_in_charge":36,"tenure_days":351,"ppm":1.53,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":0.8,"after_ppm":1.5,"delta":null}},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.home","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Plymouth Argyle come in on 7 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":7.104166666666667,"matchesIn7":0,"matchesIn14":2,"days_rest":7.1},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.away","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Huddersfield Town come in on 7 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":7,"matchesIn7":1,"matchesIn14":2,"days_rest":7},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.opponent_adjustment","section":"§4.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form.","evidence":{"home":{"attack":0.199,"defence":0.046,"effective_matches":15.9,"shrunk":0.33},"away":{"attack":0.167,"defence":0.101,"effective_matches":15.7,"shrunk":0.34}},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":44.8,"shots":15.4,"xg_per_shot":0.11,"corners":5.6,"corners_per_shot":0.362,"finishing_vs_xg":0.13},"away":{"matches":12,"possession":49.6,"shots":14.6,"xg_per_shot":0.132,"corners":6.5,"corners_per_shot":0.448,"finishing_vs_xg":-0.18},"possession_gap":-4.8},"strength":0.192,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":3}]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Plymouth Argyle are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.13,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Huddersfield Town are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.18,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No travel distance reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No weather reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.1308138437274424},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: value","preview":null,"external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":5097,"created_at":"2026-10-11T02:15:31Z","event":{"id":224173,"event_date":"2026-10-17T14:00:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":1258,"home_team":"Plymouth Argyle","away_team_id":1250,"away_team":"Huddersfield Town","league_id":86,"league_name":"League One"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"A","favorite_prob":38.2,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.3821,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}}},"computed_at":1792037698,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":"#0a765e","away":"#135d95"},"venue":{"name":"Home Park","city":"Plymouth","capacity":17150},"pulled":[],"published":[]}