{"id": 224146, "h2h": {"draws": 2, "away_wins": 1, "home_wins": 3, "away_goals": 3, "home_goals": 8, "away_win_rate": 0.16666666666666666, "home_win_rate": 0.5, "total_matches": 6, "recent_matches": [{"away": "Huddersfield Town", "date": "2026-01-17T15:00:00+00:00", "home": "Burton Albion", "score": "3-1", "event_id": 227623, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 3, "away_team_id": 1250, "home_team_id": 1420}, {"away": "Burton Albion", "date": "2025-09-20T14:00:00+00:00", "home": "Huddersfield Town", "score": "0-0", "event_id": 227383, "away_score": 0, "home_score": 0, "away_team_id": 1420, "home_team_id": 1250}, {"away": "Huddersfield Town", "date": "2025-04-12T14:00:00+00:00", "home": "Burton Albion", "score": "3-0", "event_id": 234717, "away_score": 0, "home_score": 3, "away_team_id": 1250, "home_team_id": 1420}, {"away": "Burton Albion", "date": "2024-12-29T15:00:00+00:00", "home": "Huddersfield Town", "score": "1-1", "event_id": 234487, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 1, "away_team_id": 1420, "home_team_id": 1250}, {"away": "Burton Albion", "date": "2017-04-01T14:00:00+00:00", "home": "Huddersfield Town", "score": "0-1", "event_id": 357681, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 0, "away_team_id": 1420, "home_team_id": 1250}, {"away": "Huddersfield Town", "date": "2016-12-13T19:45:00+00:00", "home": "Burton Albion", "score": "0-1", "event_id": 357451, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 0, "away_team_id": 1250, "home_team_id": 1420}], "avg_total_goals": 1.8333333333333333}, "away": "Huddersfield Town", "form": {"away": {"ppg": 1.5, "record": "2-3-1", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "DWWDDL", "goals_for": 1.33, "venue_ppg": 1.25, "clean_sheets": 1, "goals_against": 1}, "home": {"ppg": 1.33, "record": "2-2-2", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "LWDLDW", "goals_for": 1.67, "venue_ppg": 1.67, "clean_sheets": 1, "goals_against": 1.67}}, "home": "Burton Albion", "pass": "Passing on Burton Albion v Huddersfield Town. The bookmakers have this one about right, so there is nothing to take.", "rank": 5, "read": {"side": "away", "text": "Huddersfield Town to edge it"}, "flags": [], "score": null, "venue": {"city": "Burton upon Trent", "name": "Pirelli Stadium", "capacity": 6912}, "colors": {"away": "#135d95", "home": "#ba9f56"}, "extras": {"split": {"away": {"above": {"d": 0, "l": 0, "w": 1}, "below": {"d": 3, "l": 1, "w": 2}}, "home": {"above": {"d": 1, "l": 0, "w": 1}, "below": {"d": 2, "l": 2, "w": 2}}}, "teams": {"away": 1250, "home": 1420}, "best_xi": [{"id": 5519, "name": "Derensili Sanches Fernandes", "goals": 2, "assists": 3, "matches": 7, "team_id": 1250, "position": "F"}], "players": {"5519": {"caps": null, "goals": null, "signed": {"at": 1784592000, "fee": 1000000, "from": "Excelsior"}, "country": null}}, "referee": null, "managers": {"away": {"id": 3252, "vs": {"d": 0, "l": 1, "w": 0, "last": {"score": "1-3", "result": "L", "kickoff": 1768662000}}, "name": "Martin Drury"}, "home": {"id": 865, "vs": {"d": 0, "l": 0, "w": 1, "last": {"score": "3-1", "result": "W", "kickoff": 1768662000}}, "name": "Gary Bowyer"}}}, "lambda": [1.22, 1.4], "league": "League One", "ledger": [{"id": "availability.home.full_strength", "note": "Burton Albion report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.away.full_strength", "note": "Huddersfield Town report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0.65, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 0.35}, {"id": "stakes.season", "note": "Nothing much riding on this one for either side yet.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.1", "evidence": {"away": {"state": "mid_table", "points": 12, "position": 6, "games_left": 37, "gap_to_europe": 0, "gap_to_leader": 3, "gap_to_safety": 6}, "home": {"state": "mid_table", "points": 12, "position": 7, "games_left": 37, "gap_to_europe": 0, "gap_to_leader": 3, "gap_to_safety": 6}, "games_left": 37, "six_pointer": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.derby", "note": "Not a local derby.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.2", "evidence": {"derby": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "The reverse fixture finished 0-0, too close to carry a revenge motive.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.3", "evidence": {"reverse_margin": 0}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "manager.home.established", "note": "Gary Bowyer has 42 matches in charge at Burton Albion, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 1.29, "manager": "Gary Bowyer", "tenure_days": 411, "matches_in_charge": 42, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 0.9, "before_ppm": 1.2}}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "manager.away.established", "note": "Martin Drury has 35 matches in charge at Huddersfield Town, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 1.37, "manager": "Martin Drury", "tenure_days": 337, "matches_in_charge": 35, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 1.5, "before_ppm": 0.8}}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.home", "note": "Burton Albion come in on 7 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 7, "days_rest": 7, "matchesIn7": 1, "matchesIn14": 1}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.away", "note": "Huddersfield Town come in on 7 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 7, "days_rest": 7, "matchesIn7": 1, "matchesIn14": 2}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.opponent_adjustment", "note": "Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§4.1", "evidence": {"away": {"attack": 0.124, "shrunk": 0.35, "defence": 0.104, "effective_matches": 15}, "home": {"attack": -0.076, "shrunk": 0.33, "defence": 0.001, "effective_matches": 16.2}}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"away": {"shots": 15.4, "corners": 5.8, "matches": 12, "possession": 52.2, "xg_per_shot": 0.118, "finishing_vs_xg": -0.15, "corners_per_shot": 0.377}, "home": {"shots": 10.4, "corners": 3.3, "matches": 12, "possession": 45.6, "xg_per_shot": 0.099, "finishing_vs_xg": 0.3, "corners_per_shot": 0.319}, "possession_gap": -6.6}, "strength": 0.265}, {"id": "style.press_matchup", "note": "Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"requires": ["ppda", "defensive_line_height"]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.home", "note": "Burton Albion have scored 4 more than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": 0.3}, "strength": 0.25}, {"id": "style.finishing.away", "note": "Huddersfield Town are scoring about what their chances are worth.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": -0.15}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "referee.tendency", "note": "No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§13", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.travel", "note": "No travel distance reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.4", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.weather", "note": "No weather reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.2", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.pitch", "note": "No pitch condition reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.venue", "note": "Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.1", "evidence": {"home_adv": 0.170880690957003}, "strength": 0}], "locked": false, "people": [{"id": 33739, "name": "Corey Addai", "side": "home"}, {"id": 33746, "name": "Jack Armer", "side": "home"}, {"id": 33718, "name": "Curtis Tilt", "side": "home"}, {"id": 15585, "name": "Toby Sibbick", "side": "home"}, {"id": 33755, "name": "Kyran Lofthouse", "side": "home"}, {"id": 7173, "name": "George Evans", "side": "home"}, {"id": 33823, "name": "Kgagelo Chauke", "side": "home"}, {"id": 33748, "name": "Charlie Webster", "side": "home"}, {"id": 28483, "name": "Will Collar", "side": "home"}, {"id": 29918, "name": "Caylan Vickers", "side": "home"}, {"id": 7085, "name": "Raphael Rodrigues", "side": "home"}, {"id": 33744, "name": "Finn Delap", "side": "home"}, {"id": 33758, "name": "Sulyman Krubally", "side": "home"}, {"id": 34096, "name": "Matthew Dennis", "side": "home"}, {"id": 35196, "name": "Joe Lewis", "side": "home"}, {"id": 42667, "name": "Zac Scutt", "side": "home"}, {"id": 9986, "name": "Emeka Adeile", "side": "home"}, {"id": 46475, "name": "Harvey Araujo", "side": "home"}, {"id": 35486, "name": "Kain Adom", "side": "home"}, {"id": 35489, "name": "Jason Sraha", "side": "home"}, {"id": 33743, "name": "Kamil Dudek", "side": "home"}, {"id": 76133, "name": "Gbemi Arubi", "side": "home"}, {"id": 28996, "name": "Mark O'Mahony", "side": "home"}, {"id": 33821, "name": "Ciaran Gilligan", "side": "home"}, {"id": 34173, "name": "Matthew Young", "side": "away"}, {"id": 28115, "name": "Sean Roughan", "side": "away"}, {"id": 28112, "name": "Radinio Balker", "side": "away"}, {"id": 6698, "name": "Ibane Bowat", "side": "away"}, {"id": 5513, "name": "Ilias Bronkhorst", "side": "away"}, {"id": 28868, "name": "Archie Collins", "side": "away"}, {"id": 28109, "name": "Ryan Ledson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 6840, "name": "Cameron Humphreys", "side": "away"}, {"id": 28104, "name": "Marcus Harness", "side": "away"}, {"id": 29913, "name": "Joe Taylor", "side": "away"}, {"id": 5519, "name": "Derensili Sanches Fernandes", "side": "away"}, {"id": 28119, "name": "Murray Wallace", "side": "away"}, {"id": 26703, "name": "Ashley Fletcher", "side": "away"}, {"id": 28118, "name": "Jack Whatmough", "side": "away"}, {"id": 28100, "name": "Bojan Radulović", "side": "away"}, {"id": 33507, "name": "Jay Smith-Sway", "side": "away"}, {"id": 28103, "name": "Bali Mumba", "side": "away"}, {"id": 28116, "name": "Lasse Sørensen", "side": "away"}, {"id": 28105, "name": "David Kasumu", "side": "away"}, {"id": 28113, "name": "Lynden Gooch", "side": "away"}, {"id": 34115, "name": "Samson Tovide", "side": "away"}, {"id": 28117, "name": "Joe Low", "side": "away"}, {"id": 28122, "name": "Nikola Tzanev", "side": "away"}, {"id": 48682, "name": "Max Murray", "side": "away"}, {"id": 28121, "name": "Jak Alnwick", "side": "away"}, {"id": 64696, "name": "Samson Tovide", "side": "away"}, {"id": 35985, "name": "Ethan Brierley", "side": "away"}, {"id": 28894, "name": "Herbie Kane", "side": "away"}, {"id": 28106, "name": "Marcus McGuane", "side": "away"}, {"id": 28108, "name": "Cameron Ashia", "side": "away"}, {"id": 28111, "name": "Daniel Vost", "side": "away"}, {"id": 75175, "name": "Jamie Spencer", "side": "away"}], "status": "notstarted", "away_id": 1250, "home_id": 1420, "kickoff": 1791036000, "lineups": {"away": {"players": [{"id": 34173, "name": "Matthew Young", "ai_score": 0.746, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 28115, "name": "Sean Roughan", "ai_score": 0.308, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 28112, "name": "Radinio Balker", "ai_score": 0.769, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 6698, "name": "Ibane Bowat", "ai_score": 0.68, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 5513, "name": "Ilias Bronkhorst", "ai_score": 0.685, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 28868, "name": "Archie Collins", "ai_score": 0.354, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 28109, "name": "Ryan Ledson", "ai_score": 0.619, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 6840, "name": "Cameron Humphreys", "ai_score": 0.441, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 28104, "name": "Marcus Harness", "ai_score": 0.746, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 29913, "name": "Joe Taylor", "ai_score": 0.646, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 5519, "name": "Derensili Sanches Fernandes", "ai_score": 0.687, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 28119, "name": "Murray Wallace", "ai_score": 0.654, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 26703, "name": "Ashley Fletcher", "ai_score": 0.6, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 28118, "name": "Jack Whatmough", "ai_score": 0.38, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 28100, "name": "Bojan Radulović", "ai_score": 0.373, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 33507, "name": "Jay Smith-Sway", "ai_score": 0.339, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 28103, "name": "Bali Mumba", "ai_score": 0.3, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 28116, "name": "Lasse Sørensen", "ai_score": 0.261, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 28105, "name": "David Kasumu", "ai_score": 0.257, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 28113, "name": "Lynden Gooch", "ai_score": 0.211, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 34115, "name": "Samson Tovide", "ai_score": 0.124, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 28117, "name": "Joe Low", "ai_score": 0.068, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 28122, "name": "Nikola Tzanev", "ai_score": 0.03, "position": "G", "starting": false}], "formation": "3-4-2-1", "confidence": 0.65}, "home": {"players": [{"id": 33739, "name": "Corey Addai", "ai_score": 0.802, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 33746, "name": "Jack Armer", "ai_score": 0.757, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 33718, "name": "Curtis Tilt", "ai_score": 0.744, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 15585, "name": "Toby Sibbick", "ai_score": 0.742, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 33755, "name": "Kyran Lofthouse", "ai_score": 0.735, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 7173, "name": "George Evans", "ai_score": 0.63, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 33823, "name": "Kgagelo Chauke", "ai_score": 0.811, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 33748, "name": "Charlie Webster", "ai_score": 0.742, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 28483, "name": "Will Collar", "ai_score": 0.493, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 29918, "name": "Caylan Vickers", "ai_score": 0.527, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 7085, "name": "Raphael Rodrigues", "ai_score": 0.462, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 33744, "name": "Finn Delap", "ai_score": 0.717, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 33758, "name": "Sulyman Krubally", "ai_score": 0.591, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 34096, "name": "Matthew Dennis", "ai_score": 0.401, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 35196, "name": "Joe Lewis", "ai_score": 0.271, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 42667, "name": "Zac Scutt", "ai_score": 0.269, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 9986, "name": "Emeka Adeile", "ai_score": 0.236, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 46475, "name": "Harvey Araujo", "ai_score": 0.224, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 35486, "name": "Kain Adom", "ai_score": 0.213, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 35489, "name": "Jason Sraha", "ai_score": 0.188, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 33743, "name": "Kamil Dudek", "ai_score": 0.045, "position": "G", "starting": false}], "formation": "3-4-2-1", "confidence": 0.75}, "status": "predicted", "confidence": 0.65, "unavailable": []}, "neutral": false, "notable": [{"id": 28997, "name": "Jack Marriott", "rank": 1, "goals": 8}, {"id": 28470, "name": "Aaron Collins", "rank": 2, "goals": 5}, {"id": 29913, "name": "Joe 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"recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 2, "assists": 0, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 2}, "season": {"apps": 10, "goals": 3, "starts": 8, "assists": 1, "team_games": 14, "big_chances": 1, "clean_sheets": 1, "tracked_apps": 10, "tracked_starts": 8}, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "LB", "standout": {"won": false, "goals": 1, "score": "1-1", "assists": 0, "kickoff": 1786802400, "opponent": "Stevenage"}, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.234, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 29918, "club": null, "load": {"games": 1, "country": 0, "minutes": 90}, "name": "Caylan Vickers", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Burton Albion", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 1, "assists": 1, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": {"apps": 5, "goals": 1, "starts": 5, "assists": 1, "team_games": 14, "big_chances": 3, "clean_sheets": 2, "tracked_apps": 5, "tracked_starts": 5}, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": {"won": true, "goals": 1, "score": "4-1", "assists": 0, "kickoff": 1788374700, "opponent": "AFC Wimbledon"}, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.11, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 29913, "club": null, "load": {"games": 1, "country": 0, "minutes": 90}, "name": "Joe Taylor", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": ["top_scorer", "best_performer", "in_form"], "team": "Huddersfield Town", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 4, "assists": 0, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": {"apps": 8, "goals": 5, "starts": 6, "assists": 1, "team_games": 15, "big_chances": 1, "clean_sheets": 1, "tracked_apps": 8, "tracked_starts": 6}, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": {"won": true, "goals": 2, "score": "3-1", "assists": 0, "kickoff": 1788288300, "opponent": "Oxford United"}, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.272, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 5519, "club": null, "load": {"games": 1, "country": 0, "minutes": 27}, "name": "Derensili Sanches Fernandes", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": ["top_creator", "best_performer", "chance_creator"], "team": "Huddersfield Town", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 0, "assists": 3, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": {"apps": 8, "goals": 2, "starts": 7, "assists": 3, "team_games": 15, "big_chances": 7, "clean_sheets": 3, "tracked_apps": 8, "tracked_starts": 7}, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "RW", "standout": {"won": true, "goals": 2, "score": "3-0", "assists": 0, "kickoff": 1786802400, "opponent": "AFC Wimbledon"}, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.207, "expected_return": null}], "external": {"bsd_prediction": {"id": 4123, "event": {"id": 224146, "status": "notstarted", "away_team": "Huddersfield Town", "home_team": "Burton Albion", "league_id": 86, "event_date": "2026-10-03T14:00:00Z", "league_name": "League One", "away_team_id": 1250, "home_team_id": 1420}, "model": {"version": "dc-blend-v1", "confidence": 0.4961}, "created_at": "2026-09-27T02:15:30Z", "recommendations": {"btts": false, "winner": false, "over_15": false, "over_25": false, "over_35": false, "favorite": "A", "bet_favorite": false, "favorite_prob": 49.6}}}, "venue_id": 870, "verdicts": [], "card_rate": 0.108, "league_id": 86, "published": [], "standings": {"away": {"won": 3, "lost": 1, "drawn": 3, "group": null, "played": 7, "points": 12, "team_id": 1250, "position": 6, "goal_diff": 5, "goals_for": 11, "team_name": "Huddersfield Town", "goals_against": 6}, "home": {"won": 3, "lost": 2, "drawn": 3, "group": null, "played": 8, "points": 12, "team_id": 1420, "position": 7, "goal_diff": 1, "goals_for": 13, "team_name": "Burton Albion", "goals_against": 12}, "size": 24}, "confidence": 0.633, "live_score": null, "computed_at": 1790871164, "corner_rate": 8.68, "lambda_away": 1.3985583441182718, "lambda_home": 1.2247308577743028, "pass_reason": "Nothing is mispriced enough to call. The closest was under 8.5 corners at 2.34, where the edge of 7.1 points does not clear the 8.4 needed against a 9.8% margin.", "provisional": true, "round_label": "Regular season · Matchday 9", "lineup_status": "predicted"}