{"id":223875,"league_id":85,"league":"Liga Profesional de Fútbol","kickoff":1793576700,"home":"CA Lanús","away":"Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza","home_id":785,"away_id":3125,"venue_id":584,"rank":4,"status":"finished","provisional":false,"lineup_status":"confirmed","confidence":0.696,"score":[1,1],"live_score":[1,0],"lambda":[1.34,0.81],"odds_1x2":{},"read":null,"top_pick":null,"pass":"Nothing to take on CA Lanús against Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza. There is a likely outcome here, but every bookmaker has it shorter than it deserves, so there is nothing to take.","confident":[],"flags":[{"id":"availability.home.absences","section":"§2.4","note":"CA Lanús are without 3 players, and Carlos Izquierdoz is a real loss."},{"id":"form.home","section":"§2.1","note":"CA Lanús have taken 2.33 points a game from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.3, and 3.00 a game at home."}],"lambda_home":1.3405019115313066,"lambda_away":0.8117641336337532,"corner_rate":9.98,"card_rate":0.145,"lineups":{"status":"confirmed","confidence":null,"home":{"formation":"4-2-3-1","players":[{"id":22124,"name":"Nahuel Losada","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":22119,"name":"Tomás Guidara","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":22114,"name":"Ronaldo De Jesus","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":16912,"name":"José Canale","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":22115,"name":"Sasha Marcich","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":22107,"name":"Felipe Peña Biafore","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":22109,"name":"Agustín Cardozo","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":22103,"name":"Matías Sepúlveda","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":22104,"name":"Eduardo Salvio","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":206651,"name":"Gonzalo Lobos","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":22970,"name":"Allan Wlk","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":22125,"name":"Franco Petroli","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":184892,"name":"Tomás López","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":22118,"name":"Gonzalo Perez","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":22120,"name":"Nicolás Morgantini","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":22112,"name":"Franco Watson","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":22122,"name":"Facundo Sánchez","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":22113,"name":"Benjamin Acosta","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":22102,"name":"Marcelino Moreno","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":22111,"name":"Ramiro Carrera","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":22108,"name":"Raúl Loaiza","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":22106,"name":"Lucas Besozzi","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":22099,"name":"Yoshan Valois","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null}],"confidence":null},"away":{"formation":"4-2-3-1","players":[{"id":90486,"name":"Cesar Rigamonti","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":90500,"name":"Luciano Paredes","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":90679,"name":"Diego Mondino","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":90488,"name":"Lautaro Carrera","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":90490,"name":"Matias Recalde","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":90492,"name":"Fermin Antonini","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":90498,"name":"Nahuel Barboza","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":90499,"name":"Ignacio Sabatini","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":90491,"name":"Esteban Fernández","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":90494,"name":"Facundo Lencioni","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":90496,"name":"Agustín Modica","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":90501,"name":"Lautaro Petruchi","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":90502,"name":"Gerónimo Patritti","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":94735,"name":"Ismael Cortez","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":93951,"name":"Martín Úbeda","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":90493,"name":"Julian Ceballos","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":90506,"name":"Ulises Sánchez","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":90503,"name":"Nicolás Romano","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":90505,"name":"Brian Andrada","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":90497,"name":"Luciano Cingolani","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":90507,"name":"Valentino Simoni","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":8020,"name":"Matías Vargas","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":90495,"name":"Santiago Rodríguez","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null}],"confidence":null},"unavailable":[{"id":22105,"name":"Agustín Medina","team_id":null,"side":"home","reason":"Thigh Injury"},{"id":22116,"name":"Carlos Izquierdoz","team_id":null,"side":"home","reason":"yellow_card_accumulation_suspension"},{"id":22121,"name":"Luciano Romero","team_id":null,"side":"home","reason":"Hamstring Injury"},{"id":90753,"name":"Franco Saavedra","team_id":null,"side":"away","reason":"Cruciate Ligament Injury"}]},"people":[{"id":22124,"name":"Nahuel Losada","side":"home"},{"id":22119,"name":"Tomás Guidara","side":"home"},{"id":22114,"name":"Ronaldo De Jesus","side":"home"},{"id":16912,"name":"José Canale","side":"home"},{"id":22115,"name":"Sasha Marcich","side":"home"},{"id":22107,"name":"Felipe Peña Biafore","side":"home"},{"id":22109,"name":"Agustín Cardozo","side":"home"},{"id":22103,"name":"Matías Sepúlveda","side":"home"},{"id":22104,"name":"Eduardo Salvio","side":"home"},{"id":206651,"name":"Gonzalo Lobos","side":"home"},{"id":22970,"name":"Allan Wlk","side":"home"},{"id":22125,"name":"Franco Petroli","side":"home"},{"id":184892,"name":"Tomás López","side":"home"},{"id":22118,"name":"Gonzalo Perez","side":"home"},{"id":22120,"name":"Nicolás Morgantini","side":"home"},{"id":22112,"name":"Franco Watson","side":"home"},{"id":22122,"name":"Facundo Sánchez","side":"home"},{"id":22113,"name":"Benjamin Acosta","side":"home"},{"id":22102,"name":"Marcelino Moreno","side":"home"},{"id":22111,"name":"Ramiro Carrera","side":"home"},{"id":22108,"name":"Raúl Loaiza","side":"home"},{"id":22106,"name":"Lucas Besozzi","side":"home"},{"id":22099,"name":"Yoshan Valois","side":"home"},{"id":22121,"name":"Luciano Romero","side":"home"},{"id":22116,"name":"Carlos Izquierdoz","side":"home"},{"id":22117,"name":"Octavio Ontivero","side":"home"},{"id":224635,"name":"Mateo Emanuel Ramirez","side":"home"},{"id":35514,"name":"Mateo Ramírez","side":"home"},{"id":96631,"name":"Jeremias Chavero","side":"home"},{"id":22105,"name":"Agustín Medina","side":"home"},{"id":22110,"name":"Thiago Laplace","side":"home"},{"id":22098,"name":"Dylan Aquino","side":"home"},{"id":22096,"name":"Walter Bou","side":"home"},{"id":13632,"name":"Rodrigo Castillo","side":"home"},{"id":90486,"name":"Cesar Rigamonti","side":"away"},{"id":90500,"name":"Luciano Paredes","side":"away"},{"id":90679,"name":"Diego Mondino","side":"away"},{"id":90488,"name":"Lautaro Carrera","side":"away"},{"id":90490,"name":"Matias Recalde","side":"away"},{"id":90492,"name":"Fermin Antonini","side":"away"},{"id":90498,"name":"Nahuel Barboza","side":"away"},{"id":90499,"name":"Ignacio Sabatini","side":"away"},{"id":90491,"name":"Esteban Fernández","side":"away"},{"id":90494,"name":"Facundo Lencioni","side":"away"},{"id":90496,"name":"Agustín Modica","side":"away"},{"id":90501,"name":"Lautaro Petruchi","side":"away"},{"id":90502,"name":"Gerónimo Patritti","side":"away"},{"id":94735,"name":"Ismael Cortez","side":"away"},{"id":93951,"name":"Martín Úbeda","side":"away"},{"id":90493,"name":"Julian Ceballos","side":"away"},{"id":90506,"name":"Ulises Sánchez","side":"away"},{"id":90503,"name":"Nicolás Romano","side":"away"},{"id":90505,"name":"Brian Andrada","side":"away"},{"id":90497,"name":"Luciano Cingolani","side":"away"},{"id":90507,"name":"Valentino Simoni","side":"away"},{"id":8020,"name":"Matías Vargas","side":"away"},{"id":90495,"name":"Santiago Rodríguez","side":"away"},{"id":90489,"name":"Ezequiel Muñoz","side":"away"},{"id":95002,"name":"Imanol González","side":"away"},{"id":30207,"name":"Germán Guiffrey","side":"away"},{"id":90487,"name":"Juan Franco","side":"away"},{"id":90753,"name":"Franco Saavedra","side":"away"},{"id":90691,"name":"Blas Armoa","side":"away"},{"id":95073,"name":"Santiago Roggero","side":"away"},{"id":94829,"name":"Tomás Ortiz","side":"away"},{"id":90504,"name":"Tomás O'Connor","side":"away"}],"players":[{"id":22116,"name":"Carlos Izquierdoz","side":"home","team":"CA Lanús","club":null,"role":"DEF","position":"CB","status":"out","reason":"yellow_card_accumulation_suspension","expected_return":"2026-11-02","season":{"apps":35,"starts":35,"goals":4,"assists":1,"big_chances":2,"clean_sheets":18,"team_games":39,"tracked_apps":35,"tracked_starts":35},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":1,"assists":0,"scoredIn":1,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"San Lorenzo","kickoff":1769205600,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"3-2","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":["ever_present","defensive_rock"],"importance":0.168,"country":null,"load":{"games":1,"minutes":90,"country":0}},{"id":22105,"name":"Agustín Medina","side":"home","team":"CA Lanús","club":null,"role":"MID","position":"CM","status":"out","reason":"Thigh Injury","expected_return":"2026-11-20","season":{"apps":32,"starts":18,"goals":1,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":11,"team_games":39,"tracked_apps":32,"tracked_starts":18},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Mirassol","kickoff":1779832800,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"1-0","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.046,"country":null,"load":{"games":1,"minutes":90,"country":0}},{"id":22121,"name":"Luciano Romero","side":"home","team":"CA Lanús","club":null,"role":"DEF","position":"DEF","status":"out","reason":"Hamstring Injury","expected_return":"2026-11-30","season":{"apps":1,"starts":1,"goals":0,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":0,"team_games":39,"tracked_apps":1,"tracked_starts":1},"recent":{"apps":1,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":22098,"name":"Dylan Aquino","side":"home","team":"CA Lanús","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"LW","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":27,"starts":8,"goals":6,"assists":2,"big_chances":4,"clean_sheets":6,"team_games":39,"tracked_apps":27,"tracked_starts":8},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":1,"assists":0,"scoredIn":1,"country":3},"standout":{"opponent":"Newell's Old Boys","kickoff":1773784800,"goals":3,"assists":1,"score":"5-0","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_scorer","chance_creator"],"importance":0.191,"country":{"team":null,"apps":3,"goals":1,"assists":0,"tournament":null,"lately":{"apps":2,"goals":1,"assists":0}},"load":{"games":3,"minutes":134,"country":1}},{"id":22970,"name":"Allan Wlk","side":"home","team":"CA Lanús","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":16,"starts":11,"goals":4,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":9,"team_games":39,"tracked_apps":16,"tracked_starts":11},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":1,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Deportivo Riestra","kickoff":1789423200,"goals":2,"assists":0,"score":"3-0","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.097,"country":null,"load":{"games":1,"minutes":84,"country":0}},{"id":90753,"name":"Franco Saavedra","side":"away","team":"Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza","club":null,"role":"DEF","position":"LB","status":"out","reason":"Cruciate Ligament Injury","expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":13,"starts":12,"goals":0,"assists":1,"big_chances":2,"clean_sheets":3,"team_games":30,"tracked_apps":13,"tracked_starts":12},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Estudiantes de La Plata","kickoff":1773792900,"goals":0,"assists":1,"score":"1-2","won":false},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.048,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":90496,"name":"Agustín Modica","side":"away","team":"Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":26,"starts":21,"goals":14,"assists":1,"big_chances":1,"clean_sheets":12,"team_games":30,"tracked_apps":26,"tracked_starts":21},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":2,"assists":0,"scoredIn":1,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Gimnasia y Esgrima","kickoff":1787425200,"goals":3,"assists":0,"score":"3-2","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_scorer"],"importance":0.493,"country":null,"load":{"games":1,"minutes":72,"country":0}}],"extras":{"teams":{"home":785,"away":3125},"split":{"home":{"above":{"w":2,"d":1,"l":1},"below":{"w":3,"d":2,"l":1}},"away":{"above":{"w":2,"d":1,"l":2},"below":{"w":2,"d":1,"l":2}}},"referee":null,"managers":{"home":{"id":514,"name":"Mauricio Pellegrino","vs":{"w":0,"d":0,"l":1,"last":{"kickoff":1776732300,"score":"0-1","result":"L"}}},"away":{"id":3188,"name":"Dario Franco","vs":{"w":1,"d":0,"l":0,"last":{"kickoff":1776732300,"score":"1-0","result":"W"}}}},"best_xi":[],"players":{"22970":{"caps":null,"goals":null,"country":null,"signed":{"from":"Olimpia","fee":1750000,"at":1784160000}}}},"notable":[{"id":89255,"name":"Cristian Tarragona","goals":15,"rank":1},{"id":90496,"name":"Agustín Modica","goals":14,"rank":2},{"id":16891,"name":"Jordy Caicedo","goals":14,"rank":3},{"id":90686,"name":"Junior Marabel","goals":14,"rank":4},{"id":23759,"name":"Ángel Di María","goals":11,"rank":5},{"id":16919,"name":"Gabriel Ávalos","goals":11,"rank":6},{"id":21998,"name":"Miguel Merentiel","goals":10,"rank":7},{"id":16914,"name":"Alex Arce","goals":9,"rank":8},{"id":90724,"name":"Marcelo Torres","goals":9,"rank":9},{"id":90550,"name":"Michael Santos","goals":9,"rank":10},{"id":54883,"name":"Ronaldo Martinez","goals":9,"rank":11},{"id":22760,"name":"Fabrizio Sartori","goals":8,"rank":12},{"id":22793,"name":"Ignacio Russo","goals":8,"rank":13},{"id":22735,"name":"Adrián Martínez","goals":7,"rank":14},{"id":90625,"name":"Agustín Auzmendi","goals":7,"rank":15}],"round_label":"Clausura, Group A · Matchday 15","neutral":false,"h2h":{"total_matches":1,"home_wins":0,"draws":0,"away_wins":1,"home_goals":0,"away_goals":1,"avg_total_goals":1,"home_win_rate":0,"away_win_rate":1,"recent_matches":[{"away":"CA Lanús","date":"2026-04-21T00:45:00+00:00","home":"Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza","score":"1-0","event_id":223871,"away_score":0,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":785,"home_team_id":3125}]},"standings":{"home":{"team_id":785,"position":4,"played":30,"points":48,"goal_diff":10,"team_name":"CA Lanús","won":13,"drawn":9,"lost":8,"goals_for":35,"goals_against":25,"group":"Clausura, Group A"},"away":{"team_id":3125,"position":9,"played":30,"points":39,"goal_diff":-7,"team_name":"Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza","won":11,"drawn":6,"lost":13,"goals_for":30,"goals_against":37,"group":"Clausura, Group A"},"size":30},"form":{"home":{"matches":6,"ppg":2.33,"record":"4-2-0","goals_for":1.5,"goals_against":0.33,"clean_sheets":4,"streak":"unbeaten 6","sequence":"WWDWWD","venue_ppg":3},"away":{"matches":6,"ppg":0.67,"record":"1-1-4","goals_for":0.33,"goals_against":1.33,"clean_sheets":2,"streak":"none","sequence":"LDLWLL","venue_ppg":0}},"ledger":[{"id":"availability.home.absences","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"CA Lanús are without 3 players, and Carlos Izquierdoz is a real loss.","evidence":{"count":3,"measured":3,"combined_goal_share":0.16,"combined_importance":0.214,"players":[{"player":"Carlos Izquierdoz","role":"DEF","reason":"yellow_card_accumulation_suspension","goal_share":0.16,"importance":0.168,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":10,"tags":["ever_present","defensive_rock"]},{"player":"Agustín Medina","role":"MID","reason":"Thigh Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.046,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":12},{"player":"Luciano Romero","role":"DEF","reason":"Hamstring Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":10}]},"strength":0.535,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"home","pct":-0.4},{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":1.3},{"channel":"corners","side":"home","pct":-0.1},{"channel":"cards","side":"both","pct":0.5}]},{"id":"availability.away.absences","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza are without 1 player, none of them central to how the side plays.","evidence":{"count":1,"measured":1,"combined_goal_share":0,"combined_importance":0.048,"players":[{"player":"Franco Saavedra","role":"DEF","reason":"Cruciate Ligament Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.048,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":10}]},"strength":0.15,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":0},{"channel":"goals","side":"home","pct":0.3},{"channel":"cards","side":"both","pct":0.1}]},{"id":"availability.lineup_confirmed","section":"§3.1","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The starting elevens are confirmed, so selection is known rather than guessed.","evidence":{"lineup_status":"confirmed","changes":null},"strength":0.3,"moves":[]},{"id":"form.home","section":"§2.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"CA Lanús have taken 2.33 points a game from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.3, and 3.00 a game at home.","evidence":{"matches":6,"ppg":2.33,"record":"4-2-0","goals_for":1.5,"goals_against":0.33,"clean_sheets":4,"streak":"unbeaten 6","sequence":"WWDWWD","venue_ppg":3},"strength":0.656,"moves":[]},{"id":"form.away","section":"§2.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza have taken 0.67 points a game from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.3 and conceding 1.3, and 0.00 a game on the road.","evidence":{"matches":6,"ppg":0.67,"record":"1-1-4","goals_for":0.33,"goals_against":1.33,"clean_sheets":2,"streak":"none","sequence":"LDLWLL","venue_ppg":0},"strength":0.456,"moves":[]},{"id":"stakes.table","section":"§5.1","tier":2,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"A cup or a group stage, so there is no league table to read what either side is playing for.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.derby","section":"§5.2","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Not a local derby.","evidence":{"derby":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.revenge","section":"§5.3","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The reverse fixture finished 1-0, too close to carry a revenge motive.","evidence":{"reverse_margin":-1},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.home.established","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Mauricio Pellegrino has 27 matches in charge at CA Lanús, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.","evidence":{"manager":"Mauricio Pellegrino","matches_in_charge":27,"tenure_days":208,"ppm":1.52,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.3,"after_ppm":1.1,"delta":null}},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.away.established","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Dario Franco has 30 matches in charge at Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.","evidence":{"manager":"Dario Franco","matches_in_charge":30,"tenure_days":283,"ppm":1.3,"appointment_effect":null},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.home","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"CA Lanús come in on 8 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":8.25,"matchesIn7":0,"matchesIn14":1,"days_rest":8.3},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.away","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza come in on 9 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":9.09375,"matchesIn7":0,"matchesIn14":1,"days_rest":9.1},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.opponent_adjustment","section":"§4.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form.","evidence":{"home":{"attack":0.032,"defence":0.184,"effective_matches":15.4,"shrunk":0.34},"away":{"attack":-0.034,"defence":-0.098,"effective_matches":13.4,"shrunk":0.37}},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":48.8,"shots":13.1,"xg_per_shot":0.101,"corners":4.8,"corners_per_shot":0.363,"finishing_vs_xg":0.02},"away":{"matches":12,"possession":49.5,"shots":13,"xg_per_shot":0.092,"corners":4,"corners_per_shot":0.308,"finishing_vs_xg":0.05},"possession_gap":-0.8},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"CA Lanús are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.02,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.05,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"103 yellow cards in this referee's last 31 games, where 144 would be usual in this league, and 5 reds.","evidence":{"matches":31,"yellows_per_match":3.32,"reds_per_match":0.161,"league_yellows_per_match":4.65,"league_reds_per_match":0.265,"yellow_ratio":0.71,"red_ratio":0.61},"strength":0.257,"moves":[{"channel":"cards","side":"both","pct":-6.4}]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No travel distance reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.","evidence":{"rain_mm":null,"wind_kph":7.6,"temperature_c":17,"description":null},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.16682458074600318},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.overround","section":"§7.3","tier":7,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No priced match-odds market for this fixture yet.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.movement","section":"§7.1","tier":7,"state":"THIN","note":"No opening price on record for this market, so movement cannot be read.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.sharp_reference","section":"§7.1","tier":7,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"The sharp reference book is not quoting this fixture.","evidence":{"entitled":true},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.prediction_market","section":"§7.2","tier":7,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No prediction-market prices for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"markets":[{"market":"1x2","line":null,"confidence":0.696,"model":{"HOME":0.4821,"DRAW":0.3008,"AWAY":0.217},"book":{},"best":{},"overround":1,"books":0,"sharp":null,"open":null},{"market":"double_chance","line":null,"confidence":0.696,"model":{"12":0.6992,"1X":0.783,"X2":0.5179},"book":{},"best":{},"overround":1,"books":0,"sharp":null,"open":null},{"market":"draw_no_bet","line":null,"confidence":0.696,"model":{"HOME":0.6896,"AWAY":0.3104},"book":{"HOME":0.8159,"AWAY":0.1841},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.19,"bookmaker":"Betano"},"AWAY":{"odds":5,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0726,"books":12,"sharp":null,"open":null},{"market":"btts","line":null,"confidence":0.696,"model":{"yes":0.4201,"no":0.5799},"book":{"yes":0.4773,"no":0.5227},"best":{"yes":{"odds":1.95,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"no":{"odds":1.84,"bookmaker":"Novibet"}},"overround":1.0753,"books":15,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"yes":0.4502,"no":0.5498}}},{"market":"over_under_05","line":0.5,"confidence":0.696,"model":{"over":0.8741,"under":0.1259},"book":{},"best":{},"overround":1,"books":0,"sharp":null,"open":null},{"market":"over_under_15","line":1.5,"confidence":0.696,"model":{"over":0.6433,"under":0.3567},"book":{},"best":{},"overround":1,"books":0,"sharp":null,"open":null},{"market":"over_under_25","line":2.5,"confidence":0.696,"model":{"over":0.3645,"under":0.6355},"book":{},"best":{},"overround":1,"books":0,"sharp":null,"open":null},{"market":"over_under_35","line":3.5,"confidence":0.696,"model":{"over":0.1713,"under":0.8287},"book":{},"best":{},"overround":1,"books":0,"sharp":null,"open":null},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-3.5,"confidence":0.696,"model":{"HOME":0.0257,"AWAY":0.9743},"book":{"HOME":0.0636,"AWAY":0.9364},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":9.3,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.02,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0879,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.0636,"AWAY":0.9364}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-3,"confidence":0.696,"model":{"HOME":0.0274,"AWAY":0.9726},"book":{"HOME":0.0734,"AWAY":0.9266},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":8.7,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.033,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.083,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.0568,"AWAY":0.9432}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-2.75,"confidence":0.696,"model":{"HOME":0.0579,"AWAY":0.9421},"book":{"HOME":0.1332,"AWAY":0.8668},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":6.15,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.13,"bookmaker":"Novibet"}},"overround":1.0724,"books":3,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.1178,"AWAY":0.8822}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-2.5,"confidence":0.696,"model":{"HOME":0.0865,"AWAY":0.9135},"book":{"HOME":0.1831,"AWAY":0.8169},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":5.2,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.2,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0725,"books":5,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.1531,"AWAY":0.8469}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-2.25,"confidence":0.696,"model":{"HOME":0.0934,"AWAY":0.9066},"book":{"HOME":0.2052,"AWAY":0.7948},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":4.345,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.23,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0712,"books":4,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.1696,"AWAY":0.8304}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-2,"confidence":0.696,"model":{"HOME":0.1015,"AWAY":0.8985},"book":{"HOME":0.2308,"AWAY":0.7692},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":4.32,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.275,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0739,"books":6,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.1941,"AWAY":0.8059}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-1.75,"confidence":0.696,"model":{"HOME":0.1733,"AWAY":0.8267},"book":{"HOME":0.3138,"AWAY":0.6862},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":2.95,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.425,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0727,"books":5,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.2756,"AWAY":0.7244}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-1.5,"confidence":0.696,"model":{"HOME":0.2344,"AWAY":0.7656},"book":{"HOME":0.3863,"AWAY":0.6137},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":2.45,"bookmaker":"888Sport"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.575,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0719,"books":12,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.3568,"AWAY":0.6432}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-1.25,"confidence":0.696,"model":{"HOME":0.2675,"AWAY":0.7325},"book":{"HOME":0.4509,"AWAY":0.5491},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":2.137,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.75,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0648,"books":7,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.3998,"AWAY":0.6002}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-1,"confidence":0.696,"model":{"HOME":0.3116,"AWAY":0.6884},"book":{"HOME":0.5135,"AWAY":0.4865},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.88,"bookmaker":"Novibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":2,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0687,"books":8,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.4709,"AWAY":0.5291}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-0.75,"confidence":0.696,"model":{"HOME":0.4089,"AWAY":0.5911},"book":{"HOME":0.5843,"AWAY":0.4157},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.66,"bookmaker":"Novibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":2.34,"bookmaker":"Betsson"}},"overround":1.0679,"books":7,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.5496,"AWAY":0.4504}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-0.5,"confidence":0.696,"model":{"HOME":0.4821,"AWAY":0.5179},"book":{"HOME":0.6326,"AWAY":0.3674},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.533,"bookmaker":"888Sport"},"AWAY":{"odds":2.6,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0715,"books":8,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.6026,"AWAY":0.3974}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-0.25,"confidence":0.696,"model":{"HOME":0.5675,"AWAY":0.4325},"book":{"HOME":0.7194,"AWAY":0.2806},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.36,"bookmaker":"Novibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":3.3,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0709,"books":5,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.6951,"AWAY":0.3049}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0,"confidence":0.696,"model":{"HOME":0.6896,"AWAY":0.3104},"book":{"HOME":0.8199,"AWAY":0.1801},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.19,"bookmaker":"Novibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":4.8,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0778,"books":6,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.8044,"AWAY":0.1956}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0.25,"confidence":0.696,"model":{"HOME":0.7445,"AWAY":0.2555},"book":{"HOME":0.8414,"AWAY":0.1586},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.16,"bookmaker":"Novibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":5.5,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0687,"books":4,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.8356,"AWAY":0.1644}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0.5,"confidence":0.696,"model":{"HOME":0.783,"AWAY":0.217},"book":{"HOME":0.8551,"AWAY":0.1449},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.14,"bookmaker":"Novibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":6,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0629,"books":3,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.8509,"AWAY":0.1491}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0.75,"confidence":0.696,"model":{"HOME":0.8447,"AWAY":0.1553},"book":{"HOME":0.9289,"AWAY":0.0711},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.019,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":8.1,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.1048,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.9247,"AWAY":0.0753}}},{"market":"corners_1x2","line":null,"confidence":0.556,"model":{"HOME":0.7115,"DRAW":0.0921,"AWAY":0.1964},"book":{},"best":{},"overround":1,"books":0,"sharp":null,"open":null},{"market":"red_card","line":null,"confidence":0.487,"model":{"yes":0.1347,"no":0.8653},"book":{},"best":{},"overround":1,"books":0,"sharp":null,"open":null}],"candidates":[{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-1,"push":"full","model_prob":0.6884,"book_prob":0.4865,"edge":0.2019,"shrunk_edge":0.1309,"odds":2,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":2},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":1.98},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.95},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":1.91},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":1.9},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.89},{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":1.87},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.838}],"kelly":0.0942,"confidence":0.696,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-1.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.7325,"book_prob":0.5491,"edge":0.1834,"shrunk_edge":0.1189,"odds":1.75,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.75},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.75},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.71},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.71},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":1.71},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":1.7},{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":1.7}],"kelly":0.0939,"confidence":0.696,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-0.75,"push":"half","model_prob":0.5911,"book_prob":0.4157,"edge":0.1754,"shrunk_edge":0.1137,"odds":2.34,"bookmaker":"Betsson","prices":[{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":2.34},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":2.3},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":2.2},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":2.2},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":2.2},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":2.164},{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":2.15}],"kelly":0.0715,"confidence":0.696,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-1.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.7656,"book_prob":0.6137,"edge":0.1519,"shrunk_edge":0.0985,"odds":1.575,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.575},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.563},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.56},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":1.56},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":1.55},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":1.55},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.55},{"slug":"bwin","book":"Bwin","odds":1.52},{"slug":"sportingbet","book":"SportingBet","odds":1.52},{"slug":"vistabet","book":"Vistabet","odds":1.52},{"slug":"888sport","book":"888Sport","odds":1.5},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":1.5}],"kelly":0.0895,"confidence":0.696,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-0.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.4325,"book_prob":0.2806,"edge":0.1518,"shrunk_edge":0.0984,"odds":3.3,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":3.3},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":3.25},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":3.1},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":3.085},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":3.05}],"kelly":0.0464,"confidence":0.696,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-0.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.5179,"book_prob":0.3674,"edge":0.1505,"shrunk_edge":0.0976,"odds":2.6,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":2.6},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":2.59},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":2.5},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":2.5},{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":2.5},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":2.45},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":2.4},{"slug":"888sport","book":"888Sport","odds":2.3}],"kelly":0.0541,"confidence":0.696,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"draw_no_bet","outcome":"AWAY","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.3104,"book_prob":0.1841,"edge":0.1263,"shrunk_edge":0.0919,"odds":5,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":5},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":4.75},{"slug":"888sport","book":"888Sport","odds":4.6},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":4.6},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":4.5},{"slug":"betway","book":"Betway","odds":4.5},{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":4.5},{"slug":"betano","book":"Betano","odds":4.4},{"slug":"bwin","book":"Bwin","odds":4.4},{"slug":"sportingbet","book":"SportingBet","odds":4.4},{"slug":"vistabet","book":"Vistabet","odds":4.4},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":4.35}],"kelly":0.0345,"confidence":0.696,"family":"result"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-1.75,"push":"half","model_prob":0.8267,"book_prob":0.6862,"edge":0.1405,"shrunk_edge":0.0911,"odds":1.425,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.425},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.39},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":1.37},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.37},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.352}],"kelly":0.1048,"confidence":0.696,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":0,"push":"full","model_prob":0.3104,"book_prob":0.1801,"edge":0.1303,"shrunk_edge":0.0844,"odds":4.8,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":4.8},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":4.6},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":4.6},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":4.5},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":4.45},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":4.4}],"kelly":0.0322,"confidence":0.696,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-2,"push":"full","model_prob":0.8985,"book_prob":0.7692,"edge":0.1293,"shrunk_edge":0.0838,"odds":1.275,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.275},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":1.25},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.25},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":1.23},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.23},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.196}],"kelly":0.1323,"confidence":0.696,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-2.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.9066,"book_prob":0.7948,"edge":0.1117,"shrunk_edge":0.0724,"odds":1.23,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.23},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.22},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":1.2},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.157}],"kelly":0.1251,"confidence":0.696,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":0.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.2555,"book_prob":0.1586,"edge":0.0968,"shrunk_edge":0.0628,"odds":5.5,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":5.5},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":5.23},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":5},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":4.95}],"kelly":0.0225,"confidence":0.696,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-2.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.9135,"book_prob":0.8169,"edge":0.0966,"shrunk_edge":0.0626,"odds":1.2,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.2},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.19},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":1.17},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.16},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.131}],"kelly":0.1202,"confidence":0.696,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":0.75,"push":"half","model_prob":0.1553,"book_prob":0.0711,"edge":0.0842,"shrunk_edge":0.0546,"odds":8.1,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":8.1}],"kelly":0.0091,"confidence":0.696,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-2.75,"push":"half","model_prob":0.9421,"book_prob":0.8668,"edge":0.0753,"shrunk_edge":0.0488,"odds":1.13,"bookmaker":"Novibet","prices":[{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.13},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.125},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.06}],"kelly":0.1242,"confidence":0.696,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"btts","outcome":"no","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.5799,"book_prob":0.5227,"edge":0.0573,"shrunk_edge":0.0487,"odds":1.84,"bookmaker":"Novibet","prices":[{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.84},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.82},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":1.8},{"slug":"betway","book":"Betway","odds":1.8},{"slug":"888sport","book":"888Sport","odds":1.8},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":1.8},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.8},{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":1.8},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":1.78},{"slug":"bwin","book":"Bwin","odds":1.77},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.761},{"slug":"betano","book":"Betano","odds":1.75}],"kelly":0.02,"confidence":0.696,"family":"goals"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":0.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.217,"book_prob":0.1449,"edge":0.0721,"shrunk_edge":0.0468,"odds":6,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":6},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":5.5},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":5.45}],"kelly":0.0151,"confidence":0.696,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-3,"push":"full","model_prob":0.9726,"book_prob":0.9266,"edge":0.0461,"shrunk_edge":0.0299,"odds":1.033,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.033}],"kelly":0.0357,"confidence":0.696,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-3.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.9743,"book_prob":0.9364,"edge":0.0379,"shrunk_edge":0.0245,"odds":1.02,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.02}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.696,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-3.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.0257,"book_prob":0.0636,"edge":-0.0379,"shrunk_edge":-0.0245,"odds":9.3,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":9.3}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.696,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-3,"push":"full","model_prob":0.0274,"book_prob":0.0734,"edge":-0.0461,"shrunk_edge":-0.0299,"odds":8.7,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":8.7}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.696,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":0.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.783,"book_prob":0.8551,"edge":-0.0721,"shrunk_edge":-0.0468,"odds":1.14,"bookmaker":"Novibet","prices":[{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.14},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.125},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":1.12}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.696,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"btts","outcome":"yes","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.4201,"book_prob":0.4773,"edge":-0.0573,"shrunk_edge":-0.0487,"odds":1.95,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.95},{"slug":"betano","book":"Betano","odds":1.95},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":1.95},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":1.95},{"slug":"bwin","book":"Bwin","odds":1.95},{"slug":"sportingbet","book":"SportingBet","odds":1.95},{"slug":"betway","book":"Betway","odds":1.95},{"slug":"888sport","book":"888Sport","odds":1.95},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":1.95},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.95},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":1.95},{"slug":"vistabet","book":"Vistabet","odds":1.95}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.696,"family":"goals"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-2.75,"push":"half","model_prob":0.0579,"book_prob":0.1332,"edge":-0.0753,"shrunk_edge":-0.0488,"odds":6.15,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":6.15},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":5.9},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":5.7}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.696,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":0.75,"push":"half","model_prob":0.8447,"book_prob":0.9289,"edge":-0.0842,"shrunk_edge":-0.0546,"odds":1.019,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.019}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.696,"family":"handicap"}],"verdicts":[],"pass_reason":"call rule: value","preview":null,"external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":6471,"created_at":"2026-10-26T02:15:17Z","event":{"id":223875,"event_date":"2026-11-01T23:45:00Z","status":"2nd_half","home_team_id":785,"home_team":"CA Lanús","away_team_id":3125,"away_team":"Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza","league_id":85,"league_name":"Liga Profesional de Fútbol"},"markets":{"match_result":{"prob_home":59.9,"prob_draw":24.8,"prob_away":15.3,"predicted":"H"},"expected_goals":{"home":1.5,"away":0.79},"over_under":{"prob_over_15":70.6,"prob_over_25":45.2,"prob_over_35":23.5},"btts":{"prob_yes":47.4},"score":{"most_likely":"1-0"},"draw_no_bet":{"prob_home":75.9},"corners":{"prob_over_85":64.2,"prob_over_95":52.5,"prob_over_105":41.2}},"recommendations":{"favorite":"H","favorite_prob":59.9,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.5993,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}}},"computed_at":1793582353,"report":{"fetched_at":1793585824,"ht":[1,0],"attendance":null,"highlights":[],"events":[{"t":"sub","minute":15,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"G. Perez","in_id":22118,"out":"J. Canale","out_id":16912},{"t":"card","minute":44,"added":null,"side":"away","player":"N. Barboza","player_id":90498,"card":"yellow","reason":"Foul"},{"t":"goal","minute":45,"added":4,"side":"home","player":"G. Lobos","player_id":206651,"assist":"F. P. Biafore","kind":"regular","score":[1,0]},{"t":"sub","minute":46,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"B. Andrada","in_id":90505,"out":"N. Barboza","out_id":90498},{"t":"sub","minute":46,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"L. Cingolani","in_id":90497,"out":"A. Modica","out_id":90496},{"t":"sub","minute":46,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"R. Loaiza","in_id":22108,"out":"A. Cardozo","out_id":22109},{"t":"sub","minute":46,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"L. Besozzi","in_id":22106,"out":"M. Sepúlveda","out_id":22103},{"t":"sub","minute":66,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"R. Carrera","in_id":22111,"out":"G. Lobos","out_id":206651},{"t":"sub","minute":69,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"U. Sánchez","in_id":90506,"out":"F. Antonini","out_id":90492},{"t":"sub","minute":69,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"M. Vargas","in_id":8020,"out":"E. Fernández","out_id":90491},{"t":"goal","minute":72,"added":null,"side":"away","player":"R. Loaiza","player_id":22108,"assist":null,"kind":"ownGoal","score":[1,1]},{"t":"sub","minute":79,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"M. Moreno","in_id":22102,"out":"E. Salvio","out_id":22104},{"t":"sub","minute":89,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"M. Úbeda","in_id":93951,"out":"F. Lencioni","out_id":90494}],"players":[{"id":22124,"team_id":785,"minutes":90,"rating":7.5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":5,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":22119,"team_id":785,"minutes":90,"rating":7.9,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":0,"key_passes":2},{"id":22114,"team_id":785,"minutes":90,"rating":6.8,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":22107,"team_id":785,"minutes":90,"rating":7.2,"goals":0,"assists":1,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":2,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":22115,"team_id":785,"minutes":90,"rating":6.8,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":22970,"team_id":785,"minutes":90,"rating":7.1,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":2},{"id":22104,"team_id":785,"minutes":79,"rating":6.3,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":3,"on_target":1,"key_passes":1},{"id":22118,"team_id":785,"minutes":75,"rating":7.7,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":206651,"team_id":785,"minutes":66,"rating":7.6,"goals":1,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":1,"key_passes":2},{"id":22103,"team_id":785,"minutes":45,"rating":6.2,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":22109,"team_id":785,"minutes":45,"rating":6.8,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":22108,"team_id":785,"minutes":45,"rating":6.6,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":1,"key_passes":0},{"id":22106,"team_id":785,"minutes":45,"rating":6.6,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":2,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":22111,"team_id":785,"minutes":24,"rating":6.5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":1,"key_passes":0},{"id":16912,"team_id":785,"minutes":15,"rating":6.6,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":22102,"team_id":785,"minutes":11,"rating":6.9,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":22125,"team_id":785,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":184892,"team_id":785,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":22120,"team_id":785,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":22112,"team_id":785,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":22122,"team_id":785,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":22113,"team_id":785,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":22099,"team_id":785,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":90486,"team_id":3125,"minutes":90,"rating":7.1,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":3,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":90500,"team_id":3125,"minutes":90,"rating":6.2,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":2},{"id":90679,"team_id":3125,"minutes":90,"rating":6.9,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":90488,"team_id":3125,"minutes":90,"rating":7.3,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":90490,"team_id":3125,"minutes":90,"rating":6.7,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":2,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":90499,"team_id":3125,"minutes":90,"rating":6.3,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":2,"on_target":2,"key_passes":0},{"id":90494,"team_id":3125,"minutes":89,"rating":7.6,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":0,"key_passes":2},{"id":90492,"team_id":3125,"minutes":69,"rating":6.6,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":90491,"team_id":3125,"minutes":69,"rating":7.1,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":0,"key_passes":2},{"id":90497,"team_id":3125,"minutes":45,"rating":7,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":3,"on_target":1,"key_passes":1},{"id":90498,"team_id":3125,"minutes":45,"rating":7.1,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":1,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":90496,"team_id":3125,"minutes":45,"rating":6.5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":90505,"team_id":3125,"minutes":45,"rating":6.1,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":1,"key_passes":0},{"id":90506,"team_id":3125,"minutes":21,"rating":6.5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":8020,"team_id":3125,"minutes":21,"rating":6.5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":1,"key_passes":1},{"id":93951,"team_id":3125,"minutes":1,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":1,"key_passes":0},{"id":90501,"team_id":3125,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":90502,"team_id":3125,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":94735,"team_id":3125,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":90493,"team_id":3125,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":90503,"team_id":3125,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":90507,"team_id":3125,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":90495,"team_id":3125,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0}],"stats":{"home":{"possession":45,"shots":13,"on_target":4,"corners":4,"fouls":7,"yellow":0,"red":0,"big_chances":1,"passes":401,"pass_pct":72.8,"offsides":2,"saves":5},"away":{"possession":55,"shots":14,"on_target":6,"corners":6,"fouls":9,"yellow":1,"red":0,"big_chances":2,"passes":492,"pass_pct":77.8,"offsides":0,"saves":3}},"lineups":{"home":{"formation":"4-4-2","players":[{"id":22124,"name":"Nahuel Losada","position":"G","number":26,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":22119,"name":"Tomás Guidara","position":"D","number":33,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":22114,"name":"Ronaldo De Jesus","position":"D","number":35,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":16912,"name":"José Canale","position":"D","number":13,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":22115,"name":"Sasha Marcich","position":"D","number":6,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":22103,"name":"Matías Sepúlveda","position":"M","number":16,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":22107,"name":"Felipe Peña Biafore","position":"M","number":5,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":22109,"name":"Agustín Cardozo","position":"M","number":30,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":22104,"name":"Eduardo Salvio","position":"M","number":11,"captain":true,"starting":true},{"id":206651,"name":"Gonzalo Lobos","position":"F","number":42,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":22970,"name":"Allan Wlk","position":"F","number":20,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":22118,"name":"Gonzalo Perez","position":"D","number":4,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":22108,"name":"Raúl Loaiza","position":"M","number":15,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":22106,"name":"Lucas Besozzi","position":"F","number":77,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":22111,"name":"Ramiro Carrera","position":"M","number":23,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":22102,"name":"Marcelino Moreno","position":"M","number":10,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":22125,"name":"Franco Petroli","position":"G","number":1,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":184892,"name":"Tomás López","position":"D","number":40,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":22120,"name":"Nicolás Morgantini","position":"D","number":3,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":22112,"name":"Franco Watson","position":"M","number":8,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":22122,"name":"Facundo Sánchez","position":"D","number":27,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":22113,"name":"Benjamin Acosta","position":"F","number":38,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":22099,"name":"Yoshan Valois","position":"F","number":19,"captain":false,"starting":false}]},"away":{"formation":"4-2-3-1","players":[{"id":90486,"name":"Cesar Rigamonti","position":"G","number":23,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":90500,"name":"Luciano Paredes","position":"D","number":32,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":90679,"name":"Diego Mondino","position":"D","number":2,"captain":true,"starting":true},{"id":90488,"name":"Lautaro Carrera","position":"D","number":42,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":90490,"name":"Matias Recalde","position":"D","number":3,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":90492,"name":"Fermin Antonini","position":"M","number":21,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":90498,"name":"Nahuel Barboza","position":"M","number":5,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":90499,"name":"Ignacio Sabatini","position":"M","number":17,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":90491,"name":"Esteban Fernández","position":"M","number":30,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":90494,"name":"Facundo Lencioni","position":"M","number":26,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":90496,"name":"Agustín Modica","position":"F","number":9,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":90505,"name":"Brian Andrada","position":"F","number":33,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":90497,"name":"Luciano Cingolani","position":"F","number":7,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":90506,"name":"Ulises Sánchez","position":"M","number":15,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":8020,"name":"Matías Vargas","position":"F","number":8,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":93951,"name":"Martín Úbeda","position":"D","number":25,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":90501,"name":"Lautaro Petruchi","position":"G","number":31,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":90502,"name":"Gerónimo Patritti","position":"M","number":41,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":94735,"name":"Ismael Cortez","position":"D","number":36,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":90493,"name":"Julian Ceballos","position":"M","number":19,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":90503,"name":"Nicolás Romano","position":"F","number":10,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":90507,"name":"Valentino Simoni","position":"F","number":35,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":90495,"name":"Santiago Rodríguez","position":"F","number":11,"captain":false,"starting":false}]}}},"colors":{"home":"#5c2635","away":"#999999"},"venue":{"name":"Estadio Ciudad de Lanus","city":"Buenos Aires","capacity":46619},"pulled":[],"published":[]}