{"id":223857,"league_id":85,"league":"Liga Profesional de Fútbol","kickoff":1792800900,"home":"Tigre","away":"Atlético Tucumán","home_id":739,"away_id":3132,"venue_id":545,"rank":4,"status":"notstarted","provisional":true,"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.566,"score":null,"live_score":null,"lambda":[1.18,0.81],"read":null,"pass":"Tigre v Atlético Tucumán is one to leave alone. There is a likely outcome here, but every bookmaker has it shorter than it deserves, so there is nothing to take.","flags":[{"id":"form.home","section":"§2.1","note":"Tigre have taken 0.17 points a game from their last 6 (0W 1D 5L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.0, and 0.00 a game at home."}],"lambda_home":1.1833795991297809,"lambda_away":0.8137930440085434,"corner_rate":8.91,"card_rate":0.254,"lineups":{"status":"predicted","confidence":0.818,"home":{"formation":"4-4-2","players":[{"id":22783,"name":"Felipe Zenobio","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.795},{"id":22798,"name":"Federico Álvarez","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.518},{"id":22786,"name":"Alan Barrionuevo","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.888},{"id":22803,"name":"Juan Villalba","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.533},{"id":22796,"name":"Valentín Moreno","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.674},{"id":22795,"name":"Santiago López","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.681},{"id":30199,"name":"Santiago González","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.758},{"id":22789,"name":"Bruno Leyes","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.512},{"id":22788,"name":"Jabes Saralegui","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.761},{"id":22793,"name":"Ignacio Russo","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.83},{"id":87292,"name":"Mauro Méndez","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.516},{"id":30206,"name":"Martín Garay","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.627},{"id":22785,"name":"Joaquín Laso","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.505},{"id":26874,"name":"Jeronimo Domina","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.415},{"id":30191,"name":"Ignacio Peluffo","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.278},{"id":22797,"name":"Tiago Serrago","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.277},{"id":87490,"name":"Gonzalo Requena","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.272},{"id":23010,"name":"Ian Subiabre","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.272},{"id":23811,"name":"Lautaro Morales","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.267},{"id":30190,"name":"Manuel Fernandez","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.239},{"id":22790,"name":"Gonzalo Martínez","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.217},{"id":22799,"name":"Alfio Oviedo","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.181},{"id":66045,"name":"Luciano Minniti","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.045}],"confidence":0.818},"away":{"formation":"4-1-4-1","players":[{"id":90390,"name":"Luis Ingolotti","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.854},{"id":90551,"name":"Ignacio Galván","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.71},{"id":90393,"name":"Luciano Vallejo","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.881},{"id":90392,"name":"Clever Ferreira","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.774},{"id":5122,"name":"Leonel Di Plácido","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.801},{"id":90396,"name":"Leonel Vega","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.681},{"id":90400,"name":"Nicolás Laméndola","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.765},{"id":90395,"name":"Lautaro Agustin Godoy","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.882},{"id":90397,"name":"Franco Nicola","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.723},{"id":90398,"name":"Renzo Tesuri","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.596},{"id":90402,"name":"Ramiro Ruiz Rodríguez","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.519},{"id":90399,"name":"Leandro Díaz","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.461},{"id":19400,"name":"Julián Fernández","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.403},{"id":90406,"name":"Gianluca Ferrari","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.385},{"id":94759,"name":"Juan Infante","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.357},{"id":13570,"name":"Alexis Canelo","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.299},{"id":90410,"name":"Manuel Brondo","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.281},{"id":57532,"name":"Ezequiel Ham","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.272},{"id":90391,"name":"Maximiliano Villa","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.24},{"id":90404,"name":"Kevin Ortíz","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.198},{"id":90408,"name":"Gabriel Compagnucci","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.197},{"id":90409,"name":"Rodrigo Granillo","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.185},{"id":90394,"name":"Ramiro Paunero","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.061}],"confidence":0.873},"unavailable":[{"id":22804,"name":"Ramón Arias","team_id":null,"side":"home","reason":"Knee Injury"},{"id":30198,"name":"Simón Rivero","team_id":null,"side":"home","reason":"Cruciate Ligament Injury"},{"id":90740,"name":"Martín Benítez","team_id":null,"side":"away","reason":"Calf Injury"}]},"people":[{"id":22783,"name":"Felipe Zenobio","side":"home"},{"id":22798,"name":"Federico Álvarez","side":"home"},{"id":22786,"name":"Alan Barrionuevo","side":"home"},{"id":22803,"name":"Juan Villalba","side":"home"},{"id":22796,"name":"Valentín Moreno","side":"home"},{"id":22795,"name":"Santiago López","side":"home"},{"id":30199,"name":"Santiago González","side":"home"},{"id":22789,"name":"Bruno Leyes","side":"home"},{"id":22788,"name":"Jabes Saralegui","side":"home"},{"id":22793,"name":"Ignacio Russo","side":"home"},{"id":87292,"name":"Mauro Méndez","side":"home"},{"id":30206,"name":"Martín Garay","side":"home"},{"id":22785,"name":"Joaquín Laso","side":"home"},{"id":26874,"name":"Jeronimo Domina","side":"home"},{"id":30191,"name":"Ignacio Peluffo","side":"home"},{"id":22797,"name":"Tiago Serrago","side":"home"},{"id":87490,"name":"Gonzalo Requena","side":"home"},{"id":23010,"name":"Ian Subiabre","side":"home"},{"id":23811,"name":"Lautaro Morales","side":"home"},{"id":30190,"name":"Manuel Fernandez","side":"home"},{"id":22790,"name":"Gonzalo Martínez","side":"home"},{"id":22799,"name":"Alfio Oviedo","side":"home"},{"id":66045,"name":"Luciano Minniti","side":"home"},{"id":30209,"name":"Ángelo Marchese","side":"home"},{"id":22784,"name":"Guillermo Soto","side":"home"},{"id":30210,"name":"Tomas Fernandez","side":"home"},{"id":22804,"name":"Ramón Arias","side":"home"},{"id":30198,"name":"Simón Rivero","side":"home"},{"id":9321,"name":"Nicolas Dubersarsky","side":"home"},{"id":22800,"name":"Sebastián Medina","side":"home"},{"id":30200,"name":"Sebastian Lezcano","side":"home"},{"id":22792,"name":"David Romero","side":"home"},{"id":22802,"name":"Jalil Elias","side":"home"},{"id":90390,"name":"Luis Ingolotti","side":"away"},{"id":90551,"name":"Ignacio Galván","side":"away"},{"id":90393,"name":"Luciano Vallejo","side":"away"},{"id":90392,"name":"Clever Ferreira","side":"away"},{"id":5122,"name":"Leonel Di Plácido","side":"away"},{"id":90396,"name":"Leonel Vega","side":"away"},{"id":90400,"name":"Nicolás Laméndola","side":"away"},{"id":90395,"name":"Lautaro Agustin Godoy","side":"away"},{"id":90397,"name":"Franco Nicola","side":"away"},{"id":90398,"name":"Renzo Tesuri","side":"away"},{"id":90402,"name":"Ramiro Ruiz Rodríguez","side":"away"},{"id":90399,"name":"Leandro Díaz","side":"away"},{"id":19400,"name":"Julián Fernández","side":"away"},{"id":90406,"name":"Gianluca Ferrari","side":"away"},{"id":94759,"name":"Juan Infante","side":"away"},{"id":13570,"name":"Alexis Canelo","side":"away"},{"id":90410,"name":"Manuel Brondo","side":"away"},{"id":57532,"name":"Ezequiel Ham","side":"away"},{"id":90391,"name":"Maximiliano Villa","side":"away"},{"id":90404,"name":"Kevin Ortíz","side":"away"},{"id":90408,"name":"Gabriel Compagnucci","side":"away"},{"id":90409,"name":"Rodrigo Granillo","side":"away"},{"id":90394,"name":"Ramiro Paunero","side":"away"},{"id":90407,"name":"Tomás Jung","side":"away"},{"id":110713,"name":"Moisés Brandán","side":"away"},{"id":96043,"name":"Juan Gabriel Rodríguez","side":"away"},{"id":94748,"name":"Gastón Suso","side":"away"},{"id":90403,"name":"Facundo Pimienta","side":"away"},{"id":94773,"name":"Carlos Abeldano","side":"away"},{"id":131477,"name":"Patricio Albornoz","side":"away"},{"id":90405,"name":"Tomás Durso","side":"away"},{"id":90740,"name":"Martín Benítez","side":"away"},{"id":125277,"name":"Mauro Carrizo","side":"away"}],"players":[{"id":22804,"name":"Ramón Arias","side":"home","team":"Tigre","club":null,"role":"DEF","position":"CB","status":"out","reason":"Knee Injury","expected_return":"2026-10-31","season":{"apps":11,"starts":7,"goals":0,"assists":1,"big_chances":1,"clean_sheets":3,"team_games":39,"tracked_apps":11,"tracked_starts":7},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":1,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"América de Cali","kickoff":1777593600,"goals":0,"assists":1,"score":"2-0","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.022,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":30198,"name":"Simón Rivero","side":"home","team":"Tigre","club":null,"role":"MID","position":"CM","status":"out","reason":"Cruciate Ligament Injury","expected_return":"2026-11-10","season":null,"recent":null,"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":22793,"name":"Ignacio Russo","side":"home","team":"Tigre","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":38,"starts":36,"goals":11,"assists":4,"big_chances":6,"clean_sheets":13,"team_games":39,"tracked_apps":38,"tracked_starts":36},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":1,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"River Plate","kickoff":1770505200,"goals":2,"assists":1,"score":"4-1","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_scorer","ever_present","chance_creator"],"importance":0.29,"country":null,"load":{"games":2,"minutes":158,"country":0}},{"id":87292,"name":"Mauro Méndez","side":"home","team":"Tigre","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":8,"starts":5,"goals":1,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":2,"team_games":39,"tracked_apps":8,"tracked_starts":5},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":1,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Central Córdoba","kickoff":1787608800,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"2-1","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.02,"country":null,"load":{"games":1,"minutes":28,"country":0}},{"id":90740,"name":"Martín Benítez","side":"away","team":"Atlético Tucumán","club":null,"role":"MID","position":"AM","status":"out","reason":"Calf Injury","expected_return":"2026-10-31","season":{"apps":3,"starts":1,"goals":1,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":0,"team_games":31,"tracked_apps":3,"tracked_starts":1},"recent":{"apps":3,"goals":1,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Club Atlético Belgrano","kickoff":1771979400,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"1-3","won":false},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.017,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":90399,"name":"Leandro Díaz","side":"away","team":"Atlético Tucumán","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":22,"starts":17,"goals":7,"assists":2,"big_chances":3,"clean_sheets":8,"team_games":31,"tracked_apps":22,"tracked_starts":17},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":1,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Central Córdoba","kickoff":1785456900,"goals":2,"assists":0,"score":"2-0","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_scorer"],"importance":0.248,"country":null,"load":{"games":1,"minutes":90,"country":0}},{"id":90402,"name":"Ramiro Ruiz Rodríguez","side":"away","team":"Atlético Tucumán","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":17,"starts":6,"goals":2,"assists":3,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":2,"team_games":31,"tracked_apps":17,"tracked_starts":6},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":1,"assists":2,"scoredIn":1,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Rosario Central","kickoff":1792278000,"goals":1,"assists":1,"score":"2-3","won":false},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_creator"],"importance":0.116,"country":null,"load":{"games":1,"minutes":82,"country":0}}],"extras":{"teams":{"home":739,"away":3132},"split":{"home":{"above":{"w":1,"d":2,"l":4},"below":{"w":1,"d":1,"l":1}},"away":{"above":{"w":0,"d":3,"l":4},"below":{"w":2,"d":0,"l":1}}},"referee":null,"managers":{"home":{"id":504,"name":"Diego Dabove","vs":{"w":0,"d":1,"l":0,"last":{"kickoff":1776025800,"score":"0-0","result":"D"}}},"away":{"id":3193,"name":"Julio Cesar Falcioni","vs":{"w":0,"d":1,"l":0,"last":{"kickoff":1776025800,"score":"0-0","result":"D"}}}},"best_xi":[],"players":{"87292":{"caps":null,"goals":null,"country":null,"signed":{"from":"Estudiantes de La Plata","fee":1100000,"at":1786320000}}}},"notable":[{"id":89255,"name":"Cristian Tarragona","goals":14,"rank":1},{"id":16891,"name":"Jordy Caicedo","goals":14,"rank":2},{"id":90686,"name":"Junior Marabel","goals":14,"rank":3},{"id":90496,"name":"Agustín Modica","goals":13,"rank":4},{"id":16919,"name":"Gabriel Ávalos","goals":11,"rank":5},{"id":23759,"name":"Ángel Di María","goals":10,"rank":6},{"id":21998,"name":"Miguel Merentiel","goals":10,"rank":7},{"id":16914,"name":"Alex Arce","goals":9,"rank":8},{"id":90550,"name":"Michael Santos","goals":9,"rank":9},{"id":22760,"name":"Fabrizio Sartori","goals":8,"rank":10},{"id":22793,"name":"Ignacio Russo","goals":8,"rank":11},{"id":90724,"name":"Marcelo Torres","goals":8,"rank":12},{"id":90625,"name":"Agustín Auzmendi","goals":7,"rank":13},{"id":90601,"name":"Alex Luna","goals":7,"rank":14},{"id":22792,"name":"David Romero","goals":7,"rank":15}],"round_label":"Clausura, Group B · Matchday 14","neutral":false,"h2h":{"total_matches":10,"home_wins":3,"draws":5,"away_wins":2,"home_goals":12,"away_goals":9,"avg_total_goals":2.1,"home_win_rate":0.3,"away_win_rate":0.2,"recent_matches":[{"away":"Tigre","date":"2026-04-12T20:30:00+00:00","home":"Atlético Tucumán","score":"0-0","event_id":223836,"away_score":0,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":739,"home_team_id":3132},{"away":"Tigre","date":"2024-10-08T00:00:00+00:00","home":"Atlético Tucumán","score":"1-2","event_id":236491,"away_score":2,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":739,"home_team_id":3132},{"away":"Atlético Tucumán","date":"2023-05-21T00:30:00+00:00","home":"Tigre","score":"0-0","event_id":246083,"away_score":0,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":3132,"home_team_id":739},{"away":"Atlético Tucumán","date":"2022-08-17T19:30:00+00:00","home":"Tigre","score":"0-0","event_id":257255,"away_score":0,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":3132,"home_team_id":739},{"away":"Tigre","date":"2018-09-15T00:00:00+00:00","home":"Atlético Tucumán","score":"3-0","event_id":333213,"away_score":0,"home_score":3,"away_team_id":739,"home_team_id":3132},{"away":"Tigre","date":"2018-02-25T00:30:00+00:00","home":"Atlético Tucumán","score":"0-0","event_id":349549,"away_score":0,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":739,"home_team_id":3132},{"away":"Atlético Tucumán","date":"2016-12-20T00:15:00+00:00","home":"Tigre","score":"0-0","event_id":364578,"away_score":0,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":3132,"home_team_id":739},{"away":"Atlético Tucumán","date":"2016-03-07T22:00:00+00:00","home":"Tigre","score":"5-0","event_id":365017,"away_score":0,"home_score":5,"away_team_id":3132,"home_team_id":739},{"away":"Atlético Tucumán","date":"2010-04-06T20:00:00+00:00","home":"Tigre","score":"3-1","event_id":468917,"away_score":1,"home_score":3,"away_team_id":3132,"home_team_id":739},{"away":"Tigre","date":"2009-11-07T23:15:00+00:00","home":"Atlético Tucumán","score":"4-2","event_id":468912,"away_score":2,"home_score":4,"away_team_id":739,"home_team_id":3132}]},"standings":{"home":{"team_id":739,"position":10,"played":29,"points":33,"goal_diff":1,"team_name":"Tigre","won":7,"drawn":12,"lost":10,"goals_for":31,"goals_against":30,"group":"Clausura, Group B"},"away":{"team_id":3132,"position":13,"played":29,"points":28,"goal_diff":-6,"team_name":"Atlético Tucumán","won":6,"drawn":10,"lost":13,"goals_for":27,"goals_against":33,"group":"Clausura, Group B"},"size":30},"form":{"home":{"matches":6,"ppg":0.17,"record":"0-1-5","goals_for":1.17,"goals_against":2,"clean_sheets":0,"streak":"winless 6","sequence":"LLLLLD","venue_ppg":0},"away":{"matches":6,"ppg":0.67,"record":"1-1-4","goals_for":1.33,"goals_against":1.83,"clean_sheets":0,"streak":"winless 5","sequence":"WLLLDL","venue_ppg":1.33}},"ledger":[{"id":"availability.home.absences","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Tigre are without 2 players, none of them central to how the side plays.","evidence":{"count":2,"measured":1,"combined_goal_share":0,"combined_importance":0.022,"players":[{"player":"Ramón Arias","role":"DEF","reason":"Knee Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.022,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":10},{"player":"Simón Rivero","role":"MID","reason":"Cruciate Ligament Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.05,"measured":false,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":11}]},"strength":0.15,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"home","pct":-0.3},{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":0.3},{"channel":"corners","side":"home","pct":-0.1},{"channel":"cards","side":"both","pct":0.2}]},{"id":"availability.away.absences","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Atlético Tucumán are without 1 player, none of them central to how the side plays.","evidence":{"count":1,"measured":1,"combined_goal_share":0.038,"combined_importance":0.017,"players":[{"player":"Martín Benítez","role":"MID","reason":"Calf Injury","goal_share":0.038,"importance":0.017,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":11}]},"strength":0.15,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":-0.1},{"channel":"goals","side":"home","pct":0},{"channel":"corners","side":"away","pct":0},{"channel":"cards","side":"both","pct":0.1}]},{"id":"availability.rotation_risk","section":"§3.1","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.","evidence":{"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.818,"cup_tie":false},"strength":0.182,"moves":[]},{"id":"stakes.table","section":"§5.1","tier":2,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"A cup or a group stage, so there is no league table to read what either side is playing for.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.derby","section":"§5.2","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Not a local derby.","evidence":{"derby":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.revenge","section":"§5.3","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The reverse fixture finished 0-0, too close to carry a revenge motive.","evidence":{"reverse_margin":0},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.home.established","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Diego Dabove has 27 matches in charge at Tigre, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.","evidence":{"manager":"Diego Dabove","matches_in_charge":27,"tenure_days":199,"ppm":1.04,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.3,"after_ppm":1.2,"delta":null}},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.away.established","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Julio Cesar Falcioni has 29 matches in charge at Atlético Tucumán, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.","evidence":{"manager":"Julio Cesar Falcioni","matches_in_charge":29,"tenure_days":273,"ppm":0.97,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.5,"after_ppm":0.6,"delta":null}},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.home","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Tigre come in on 6 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":6.15625,"matchesIn7":1,"matchesIn14":2,"days_rest":6.2},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.away","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Atlético Tucumán come in on 6 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":6.052083333333333,"matchesIn7":1,"matchesIn14":1,"days_rest":6.1},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.opponent_adjustment","section":"§4.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form.","evidence":{"home":{"attack":-0.004,"defence":0.042,"effective_matches":15,"shrunk":0.35},"away":{"attack":-0.102,"defence":-0.005,"effective_matches":14.7,"shrunk":0.35}},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Tigre average 11 points more possession than Atlético Tucumán, so this should be one side with the ball and one without it.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":50.7,"shots":13.2,"xg_per_shot":0.1,"corners":5.1,"corners_per_shot":0.386,"finishing_vs_xg":-0.4},"away":{"matches":12,"possession":39.3,"shots":11.5,"xg_per_shot":0.073,"corners":5.6,"corners_per_shot":0.486,"finishing_vs_xg":0.16},"possession_gap":11.3},"strength":0.453,"moves":[{"channel":"corners","side":"home","pct":2.4},{"channel":"corners","side":"away","pct":-2.4},{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":-3}]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Tigre have scored 5 fewer than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.4,"matches":12},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Atlético Tucumán are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.16,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"10 yellow cards in this referee's last 3 games, where 14 would be usual in this league, with nobody sent off. — though 3 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.","evidence":{"matches":3,"yellows_per_match":3.33,"reds_per_match":0,"league_yellows_per_match":4.62,"league_reds_per_match":0.244,"yellow_ratio":0.72,"red_ratio":0,"sample":3,"required":30},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Atlético Tucumán travel 1063 km for this fixture.","evidence":{"travel_km":1063},"strength":0.1,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":-0.5},{"channel":"corners","side":"away","pct":-0.5}]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.","evidence":{"rain_mm":null,"wind_kph":11.2,"temperature_c":17,"description":"rain"},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.19759890818786438},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: value","preview":"Tigre will likely edge this meeting despite their recent struggles. Although they lost five of their last six, their recent output shows they are creating significantly better opportunities than before. Meanwhile, Tucumán frequently struggle to produce high-quality attacks, having been out-created in six of their last ten outings. The visitors often fail to beat teams placed above them in the table, suggesting their position of thirteenth is accurate. Without key creative and defensive figures, both teams must reorganize their spine. Ignacio Russo and Mauro Méndez will provide a constant threat for the hosts, who look sharper than their results suggest. A goal for either side could prove difficult to find, much like their last 0-0 draw, but the decisive factor will be the home side's surging creative form.","external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":5544,"created_at":"2026-10-17T02:15:26Z","event":{"id":223857,"event_date":"2026-10-24T00:15:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":739,"home_team":"Tigre","away_team_id":3132,"away_team":"Atlético Tucumán","league_id":85,"league_name":"Liga Profesional de Fútbol"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"H","favorite_prob":41.5,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.4152,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}}},"computed_at":1792767211,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":"#0b4588","away":"#45afed"},"venue":{"name":"Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna","city":"Buenos Aires","capacity":26282},"pulled":[],"published":[]}