{"id":223856,"league_id":85,"league":"Liga Profesional de Fútbol","kickoff":1792880100,"home":"San Lorenzo","away":"Newell's Old Boys","home_id":742,"away_id":4997,"venue_id":548,"rank":4,"status":"finished","provisional":false,"lineup_status":"confirmed","confidence":0.708,"score":[0,0],"live_score":null,"lambda":[0.9,0.88],"odds_1x2":{},"read":null,"top_pick":null,"pass":"No call on San Lorenzo against Newell's Old Boys. There is a likely outcome here, but every bookmaker has it shorter than it deserves, so there is nothing to take.","confident":[],"flags":[],"lambda_home":0.8970658092071976,"lambda_away":0.8774152117916595,"corner_rate":8.67,"card_rate":0.158,"lineups":{"status":"confirmed","confidence":null,"home":{"formation":"3-4-1-2","players":[{"id":22992,"name":"José Devecchi","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":22975,"name":"Guzmán Corujo","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":48053,"name":"Danilo Arboleda","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":57529,"name":"Emiliano Amor","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":22979,"name":"Nicolás Tripichio","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":84552,"name":"Gonzalo Alassia","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":22986,"name":"Facundo Gulli","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":22981,"name":"Teo Rodríguez Pagano","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":22386,"name":"Facundo Farías","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":22982,"name":"Alexis Cuello","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":22983,"name":"Rodrigo Auzmendi","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":22994,"name":"Agustin Ladstatter","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":10324,"name":"Gustavo del Prete","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":94783,"name":"Martín Rio","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":208312,"name":"Uriel Ojeda","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":22985,"name":"Mathias de Ritis","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":30717,"name":"Facundo Altamirano","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":22974,"name":"Ezequiel Herrera","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":30710,"name":"Nahuel Arias","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":30711,"name":"Daniel Herrera","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":30713,"name":"Alejo Cordoba","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":22978,"name":"Manuel Insaurralde","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":217796,"name":"Maximo Simon Atrio","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null}],"confidence":null},"away":{"formation":"4-2-3-1","players":[{"id":90511,"name":"Josué Reinatti","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":90729,"name":"Martín Ortega","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":90512,"name":"Bruno Cabrera","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":82480,"name":"Lucas Carrizo","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":90521,"name":"Jeronimo Russo","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":90515,"name":"Luca Regiardo","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":90727,"name":"Jerónimo Gómez Mattar","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":90516,"name":"Walter Mazzantti","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":90518,"name":"Facundo Guch","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":22742,"name":"Santiago Solari","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":10316,"name":"Matías Cóccaro","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":95994,"name":"Alejo Montero","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":90519,"name":"Walter Nuñez","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":137,"name":"Juan Ignacio Ramírez","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":20163,"name":"Lucas Gómez","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":56501,"name":"Gabriel Arias","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":9787,"name":"Franco Escobar","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":90523,"name":"Nicolás Goitea","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":90524,"name":"Óscar Salomón","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":90514,"name":"David Sotelo","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":22138,"name":"Alan Soñora","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":90520,"name":"Lautaro Rios","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":90522,"name":"Francisco Scarpeccio","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null}],"confidence":null},"unavailable":[{"id":22980,"name":"Nahuel Barrios","team_id":null,"side":"home","reason":"Cruciate Ligament Injury"},{"id":56501,"name":"Gabriel Arias","team_id":null,"side":"away","reason":"Calf Injury"},{"id":10390,"name":"Mateo García","team_id":null,"side":"away","reason":"Cruciate Ligament Injury"},{"id":90523,"name":"Nicolás Goitea","team_id":null,"side":"away","reason":"Hernia"},{"id":90730,"name":"Rodrigo Herrera","team_id":null,"side":"away","reason":"Foot Injury"}]},"people":[{"id":22992,"name":"José Devecchi","side":"home"},{"id":22975,"name":"Guzmán Corujo","side":"home"},{"id":48053,"name":"Danilo Arboleda","side":"home"},{"id":57529,"name":"Emiliano Amor","side":"home"},{"id":22979,"name":"Nicolás Tripichio","side":"home"},{"id":84552,"name":"Gonzalo Alassia","side":"home"},{"id":22986,"name":"Facundo Gulli","side":"home"},{"id":22981,"name":"Teo Rodríguez Pagano","side":"home"},{"id":22386,"name":"Facundo Farías","side":"home"},{"id":22982,"name":"Alexis Cuello","side":"home"},{"id":22983,"name":"Rodrigo Auzmendi","side":"home"},{"id":22994,"name":"Agustin Ladstatter","side":"home"},{"id":10324,"name":"Gustavo del Prete","side":"home"},{"id":94783,"name":"Martín Rio","side":"home"},{"id":208312,"name":"Uriel Ojeda","side":"home"},{"id":22985,"name":"Mathias de Ritis","side":"home"},{"id":30717,"name":"Facundo Altamirano","side":"home"},{"id":22974,"name":"Ezequiel Herrera","side":"home"},{"id":30710,"name":"Nahuel Arias","side":"home"},{"id":30711,"name":"Daniel Herrera","side":"home"},{"id":30713,"name":"Alejo Cordoba","side":"home"},{"id":22978,"name":"Manuel Insaurralde","side":"home"},{"id":217796,"name":"Maximo Simon Atrio","side":"home"},{"id":30709,"name":"Gastón Alan Hernández","side":"home"},{"id":22990,"name":"Franco Lorenzon","side":"home"},{"id":22989,"name":"Diego Herazo","side":"home"},{"id":30699,"name":"Branco Salinardi","side":"home"},{"id":208311,"name":"Enzo Alan Salas","side":"home"},{"id":209545,"name":"Enzo Salas","side":"home"},{"id":30718,"name":"Mateo Clemente","side":"home"},{"id":22988,"name":"Ignacio Perruzzi","side":"home"},{"id":30702,"name":"Ezequiel Cerutti","side":"home"},{"id":30704,"name":"Juan Rattalino","side":"home"},{"id":30705,"name":"Mauricio Cardillo","side":"home"},{"id":84551,"name":"Juan Álvarez","side":"home"},{"id":22984,"name":"Gonzalo Abrego","side":"home"},{"id":22980,"name":"Nahuel Barrios","side":"home"},{"id":22977,"name":"Gregorio Rodriguez","side":"home"},{"id":22987,"name":"Luciano Vietto","side":"home"},{"id":22991,"name":"Fabricio López","side":"home"},{"id":90511,"name":"Josué Reinatti","side":"away"},{"id":90729,"name":"Martín Ortega","side":"away"},{"id":90512,"name":"Bruno Cabrera","side":"away"},{"id":82480,"name":"Lucas Carrizo","side":"away"},{"id":90521,"name":"Jeronimo Russo","side":"away"},{"id":90515,"name":"Luca Regiardo","side":"away"},{"id":90727,"name":"Jerónimo Gómez Mattar","side":"away"},{"id":90516,"name":"Walter Mazzantti","side":"away"},{"id":90518,"name":"Facundo Guch","side":"away"},{"id":22742,"name":"Santiago Solari","side":"away"},{"id":10316,"name":"Matías Cóccaro","side":"away"},{"id":95994,"name":"Alejo Montero","side":"away"},{"id":90519,"name":"Walter Nuñez","side":"away"},{"id":137,"name":"Juan Ignacio Ramírez","side":"away"},{"id":20163,"name":"Lucas Gómez","side":"away"},{"id":56501,"name":"Gabriel Arias","side":"away"},{"id":9787,"name":"Franco Escobar","side":"away"},{"id":90523,"name":"Nicolás Goitea","side":"away"},{"id":90524,"name":"Óscar Salomón","side":"away"},{"id":90514,"name":"David Sotelo","side":"away"},{"id":22138,"name":"Alan Soñora","side":"away"},{"id":90520,"name":"Lautaro Rios","side":"away"},{"id":90522,"name":"Francisco Scarpeccio","side":"away"},{"id":9948,"name":"Ian Glavinovich","side":"away"},{"id":90513,"name":"Martín Luciano","side":"away"},{"id":56078,"name":"Saúl Salcedo","side":"away"},{"id":6584,"name":"Lautaro Giannetti","side":"away"},{"id":206485,"name":"Valentin Rosso","side":"away"},{"id":216332,"name":"Francisco Sciarini","side":"away"},{"id":91551,"name":"Valentino Acuña","side":"away"},{"id":10390,"name":"Mateo García","side":"away"},{"id":90730,"name":"Rodrigo Herrera","side":"away"},{"id":113028,"name":"Fabricio Tirado","side":"away"},{"id":90728,"name":"Marcelo Esponda","side":"away"},{"id":94753,"name":"Franco García","side":"away"},{"id":76967,"name":"Michael Hoyos","side":"away"}],"players":[{"id":22980,"name":"Nahuel Barrios","side":"home","team":"San Lorenzo","club":null,"role":"MID","position":"AM","status":"out","reason":"Cruciate Ligament Injury","expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":16,"starts":3,"goals":0,"assists":2,"big_chances":1,"clean_sheets":1,"team_games":38,"tracked_apps":16,"tracked_starts":3},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":1,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"River Plate","kickoff":1778450400,"goals":0,"assists":1,"score":"2-2","won":false},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.042,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":22386,"name":"Facundo Farías","side":"home","team":"San Lorenzo","club":null,"role":"MID","position":"MID","status":"doubtful","reason":"Sprained Knee Injury","expected_return":"2026-11-02","season":{"apps":6,"starts":5,"goals":1,"assists":0,"big_chances":1,"clean_sheets":2,"team_games":38,"tracked_apps":6,"tracked_starts":5},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":1,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"CA Independiente","kickoff":1789337700,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"1-1","won":false},"strengths":[],"tags":["best_performer","chance_creator"],"importance":0.046,"country":null,"load":{"games":2,"minutes":171,"country":0}},{"id":22983,"name":"Rodrigo Auzmendi","side":"home","team":"San Lorenzo","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"FWD","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":27,"starts":21,"goals":8,"assists":1,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":9,"team_games":38,"tracked_apps":27,"tracked_starts":21},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":1,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Defensa y Justicia","kickoff":1773696600,"goals":2,"assists":0,"score":"2-5","won":false},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_scorer"],"importance":0.271,"country":null,"load":{"games":2,"minutes":176,"country":0}},{"id":22982,"name":"Alexis Cuello","side":"home","team":"San Lorenzo","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"FWD","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":34,"starts":31,"goals":6,"assists":4,"big_chances":4,"clean_sheets":16,"team_games":38,"tracked_apps":34,"tracked_starts":31},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":1,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"CA Lanús","kickoff":1769205600,"goals":2,"assists":0,"score":"2-3","won":false},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_creator","ever_present"],"importance":0.284,"country":null,"load":{"games":1,"minutes":60,"country":0}},{"id":56501,"name":"Gabriel Arias","side":"away","team":"Newell's Old Boys","club":null,"role":"GK","position":"GK","status":"out","reason":"Calf Injury","expected_return":"2026-10-31","season":{"apps":7,"starts":7,"goals":0,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":0,"team_games":29,"tracked_apps":7,"tracked_starts":7},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.027,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":10390,"name":"Mateo García","side":"away","team":"Newell's Old Boys","club":null,"role":"MID","position":"RW","status":"out","reason":"Cruciate Ligament Injury","expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":5,"starts":0,"goals":0,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":0,"team_games":29,"tracked_apps":5,"tracked_starts":0},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":90523,"name":"Nicolás Goitea","side":"away","team":"Newell's Old Boys","club":null,"role":"DEF","position":"DEF","status":"out","reason":"Hernia","expected_return":"2026-10-31","season":{"apps":12,"starts":11,"goals":0,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":2,"team_games":29,"tracked_apps":12,"tracked_starts":11},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.032,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":90730,"name":"Rodrigo Herrera","side":"away","team":"Newell's Old Boys","club":null,"role":"MID","position":"CM","status":"out","reason":"Foot Injury","expected_return":"2026-11-10","season":{"apps":24,"starts":18,"goals":0,"assists":0,"big_chances":1,"clean_sheets":5,"team_games":29,"tracked_apps":24,"tracked_starts":18},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.034,"country":null,"load":{"games":2,"minutes":179,"country":0}},{"id":10316,"name":"Matías Cóccaro","side":"away","team":"Newell's Old Boys","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"FWD","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":21,"starts":15,"goals":6,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":5,"team_games":29,"tracked_apps":21,"tracked_starts":15},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Banfield","kickoff":1787443200,"goals":2,"assists":0,"score":"2-1","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_scorer"],"importance":0.195,"country":null,"load":{"games":2,"minutes":177,"country":0}}],"extras":{"teams":{"home":742,"away":4997},"split":{"home":{"above":{"w":0,"d":2,"l":3},"below":{"w":4,"d":1,"l":0}},"away":{"above":{"w":0,"d":3,"l":0},"below":{"w":4,"d":2,"l":1}}},"referee":null,"managers":{"home":{"id":492,"name":"Ruben Dario Insua","vs":null},"away":{"id":3192,"name":"Frank Kudelka","vs":{"w":0,"d":1,"l":0,"last":{"kickoff":1776016800,"score":"0-0","result":"D"}}}},"best_xi":[{"id":90511,"name":"Josué Reinatti","team_id":4997,"position":"G","matches":19,"goals":0,"assists":0},{"id":82480,"name":"Lucas Carrizo","team_id":4997,"position":"D","matches":9,"goals":0,"assists":0},{"id":22386,"name":"Facundo Farías","team_id":742,"position":"M","matches":7,"goals":1,"assists":0}],"players":{"90730":{"caps":null,"goals":null,"country":null,"signed":{"from":"Defensa y Justicia","fee":1300000,"at":1769040000}}}},"notable":[{"id":90496,"name":"Agustín Modica","goals":14,"rank":1},{"id":89255,"name":"Cristian Tarragona","goals":14,"rank":2},{"id":16891,"name":"Jordy Caicedo","goals":14,"rank":3},{"id":90686,"name":"Junior Marabel","goals":14,"rank":4},{"id":16919,"name":"Gabriel Ávalos","goals":11,"rank":5},{"id":23759,"name":"Ángel Di María","goals":10,"rank":6},{"id":21998,"name":"Miguel Merentiel","goals":10,"rank":7},{"id":16914,"name":"Alex Arce","goals":9,"rank":8},{"id":90550,"name":"Michael Santos","goals":9,"rank":9},{"id":22760,"name":"Fabrizio Sartori","goals":8,"rank":10},{"id":22793,"name":"Ignacio Russo","goals":8,"rank":11},{"id":90724,"name":"Marcelo Torres","goals":8,"rank":12},{"id":90625,"name":"Agustín Auzmendi","goals":7,"rank":13},{"id":90601,"name":"Alex Luna","goals":7,"rank":14},{"id":22792,"name":"David Romero","goals":7,"rank":15}],"round_label":"Clausura, Group A · Matchday 14","neutral":false,"h2h":{"total_matches":23,"home_wins":5,"draws":12,"away_wins":6,"home_goals":21,"away_goals":23,"avg_total_goals":1.9130434782608696,"home_win_rate":0.21739130434782608,"away_win_rate":0.2608695652173913,"recent_matches":[{"away":"San Lorenzo","date":"2026-04-12T18:00:00+00:00","home":"Newell's Old Boys","score":"0-0","event_id":223835,"away_score":0,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":742,"home_team_id":4997},{"away":"Newell's Old Boys","date":"2024-07-27T20:00:00+00:00","home":"San Lorenzo","score":"1-1","event_id":236351,"away_score":1,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":4997,"home_team_id":742},{"away":"San Lorenzo","date":"2023-03-20T21:30:00+00:00","home":"Newell's Old Boys","score":"1-0","event_id":245957,"away_score":0,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":742,"home_team_id":4997},{"away":"San Lorenzo","date":"2022-06-09T23:00:00+00:00","home":"Newell's Old Boys","score":"0-0","event_id":257082,"away_score":0,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":742,"home_team_id":4997},{"away":"Newell's Old Boys","date":"2021-12-12T20:00:00+00:00","home":"San Lorenzo","score":"3-2","event_id":270463,"away_score":2,"home_score":3,"away_team_id":4997,"home_team_id":742},{"away":"San Lorenzo","date":"2020-02-04T00:10:00+00:00","home":"Newell's Old Boys","score":"1-0","event_id":292467,"away_score":0,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":742,"home_team_id":4997},{"away":"Newell's Old Boys","date":"2019-02-16T20:10:00+00:00","home":"San Lorenzo","score":"1-1","event_id":333409,"away_score":1,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":4997,"home_team_id":742},{"away":"Newell's Old Boys","date":"2018-02-17T20:00:00+00:00","home":"San Lorenzo","score":"1-0","event_id":349533,"away_score":0,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":4997,"home_team_id":742},{"away":"San Lorenzo","date":"2016-10-30T19:00:00+00:00","home":"Newell's Old Boys","score":"2-2","event_id":364484,"away_score":2,"home_score":2,"away_team_id":742,"home_team_id":4997},{"away":"San Lorenzo","date":"2015-05-09T23:15:00+00:00","home":"Newell's Old Boys","score":"1-1","event_id":384174,"away_score":1,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":742,"home_team_id":4997}]},"standings":{"home":{"team_id":742,"position":8,"played":30,"points":40,"goal_diff":-5,"team_name":"San Lorenzo","won":10,"drawn":10,"lost":10,"goals_for":21,"goals_against":26,"group":"Clausura, Group A"},"away":{"team_id":4997,"position":10,"played":30,"points":36,"goal_diff":-9,"team_name":"Newell's Old Boys","won":8,"drawn":12,"lost":10,"goals_for":28,"goals_against":37,"group":"Clausura, Group A"},"size":30},"form":{"home":{"matches":6,"ppg":1.67,"record":"3-1-2","goals_for":0.83,"goals_against":1.17,"clean_sheets":2,"streak":"none","sequence":"WDLLWW","venue_ppg":2},"away":{"matches":6,"ppg":1.5,"record":"2-3-1","goals_for":0.83,"goals_against":0.67,"clean_sheets":2,"streak":"none","sequence":"DDWDLW","venue_ppg":1.33}},"ledger":[{"id":"availability.home.absences","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"San Lorenzo are without 2 players, none of them central to how the side plays.","evidence":{"count":2,"measured":2,"combined_goal_share":0.056,"combined_importance":0.065,"players":[{"player":"Nahuel Barrios","role":"MID","reason":"Cruciate Ligament Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.042,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":14},{"player":"Facundo Farías","role":"MID","reason":"Sprained Knee Injury","goal_share":0.056,"importance":0.023,"measured":true,"doubtful":true,"cover_at_position":14,"tags":["best_performer","chance_creator"]}]},"strength":0.163,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"home","pct":-0.3},{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":0.1},{"channel":"corners","side":"home","pct":-0.1},{"channel":"cards","side":"both","pct":0.2}]},{"id":"availability.away.absences","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Newell's Old Boys are without 4 players, none of them central to how the side plays.","evidence":{"count":4,"measured":4,"combined_goal_share":0,"combined_importance":0.093,"players":[{"player":"Rodrigo Herrera","role":"MID","reason":"Foot Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.034,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":10},{"player":"Nicolás Goitea","role":"DEF","reason":"Hernia","goal_share":0,"importance":0.032,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":12},{"player":"Gabriel Arias","role":"GK","reason":"Calf Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.027,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":2},{"player":"Mateo García","role":"MID","reason":"Cruciate Ligament Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":10}]},"strength":0.232,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":-0.2},{"channel":"goals","side":"home","pct":0.7},{"channel":"corners","side":"away","pct":-0.1},{"channel":"cards","side":"both","pct":0.2}]},{"id":"availability.lineup_confirmed","section":"§3.1","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The starting elevens are confirmed, so selection is known rather than guessed.","evidence":{"lineup_status":"confirmed","changes":null},"strength":0.3,"moves":[]},{"id":"form.home","section":"§2.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"San Lorenzo have taken 1.67 points a game from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2, and 2.00 a game at home.","evidence":{"matches":6,"ppg":1.67,"record":"3-1-2","goals_for":0.83,"goals_against":1.17,"clean_sheets":2,"streak":"none","sequence":"WDLLWW","venue_ppg":2},"strength":0.211,"moves":[]},{"id":"form.away","section":"§2.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Newell's Old Boys have taken 1.50 points a game from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.7, and 1.33 a game on the road.","evidence":{"matches":6,"ppg":1.5,"record":"2-3-1","goals_for":0.83,"goals_against":0.67,"clean_sheets":2,"streak":"none","sequence":"DDWDLW","venue_ppg":1.33},"strength":0.15,"moves":[]},{"id":"stakes.table","section":"§5.1","tier":2,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"A cup or a group stage, so there is no league table to read what either side is playing for.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.derby","section":"§5.2","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Not a local derby.","evidence":{"derby":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.revenge","section":"§5.3","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The reverse fixture finished 0-0, too close to carry a revenge motive.","evidence":{"reverse_margin":0},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.home.settling","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Ruben Dario Insua is 6 games into the job at San Lorenzo, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.","evidence":{"manager":"Ruben Dario Insua","matches_in_charge":6,"tenure_days":42,"ppm":1.33,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.1,"after_ppm":1.33,"delta":null}},"strength":0.3,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.away.established","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Frank Kudelka has 30 matches in charge at Newell's Old Boys, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.","evidence":{"manager":"Frank Kudelka","matches_in_charge":30,"tenure_days":274,"ppm":1.2,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":0.8,"after_ppm":0.3,"delta":null}},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.home","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"San Lorenzo come in on 6 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":6.052083333333333,"matchesIn7":1,"matchesIn14":2,"days_rest":6.1},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.away","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Newell's Old Boys come in on 5 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":5.010416666666667,"matchesIn7":1,"matchesIn14":2,"days_rest":5},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.opponent_adjustment","section":"§4.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form.","evidence":{"home":{"attack":-0.192,"defence":0.039,"effective_matches":15.2,"shrunk":0.34},"away":{"attack":-0.063,"defence":0.055,"effective_matches":14.7,"shrunk":0.35}},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":48.7,"shots":12,"xg_per_shot":0.069,"corners":3.9,"corners_per_shot":0.326,"finishing_vs_xg":-0.24},"away":{"matches":12,"possession":50,"shots":10.3,"xg_per_shot":0.101,"corners":4.2,"corners_per_shot":0.403,"finishing_vs_xg":-0.05},"possession_gap":-1.3},"strength":0.1,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"home","pct":-3}]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"San Lorenzo are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.24,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Newell's Old Boys are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.05,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"168 yellow cards in this referee's last 39 games, where 180 would be usual in this league, and 4 reds.","evidence":{"matches":39,"yellows_per_match":4.31,"reds_per_match":0.103,"league_yellows_per_match":4.61,"league_reds_per_match":0.245,"yellow_ratio":0.93,"red_ratio":0.42},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Routine trip of 279 km for Newell's Old Boys.","evidence":{"travel_km":279},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.","evidence":{"rain_mm":null,"wind_kph":16.2,"temperature_c":16,"description":"cloudy"},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"THIN","note":"Pitch condition reported as 1, but the provider documents no scale for it. Recorded and excluded until the scale is confirmed — set PITCH_SCALE_MAX once known.","evidence":{"pitch_condition":1},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.19314163224249947},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.overround","section":"§7.3","tier":7,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No priced match-odds market for this fixture yet.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.movement","section":"§7.1","tier":7,"state":"THIN","note":"No opening price on record for this market, so movement cannot be read.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.sharp_reference","section":"§7.1","tier":7,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"The sharp reference book is not quoting this fixture.","evidence":{"entitled":true},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.prediction_market","section":"§7.2","tier":7,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No prediction-market prices for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"markets":[{"market":"1x2","line":null,"confidence":0.708,"model":{"HOME":0.3279,"DRAW":0.3549,"AWAY":0.3171},"book":{},"best":{},"overround":1,"books":0,"sharp":null,"open":null},{"market":"double_chance","line":null,"confidence":0.708,"model":{"12":0.6451,"1X":0.6829,"X2":0.6721},"book":{},"best":{},"overround":1,"books":0,"sharp":null,"open":null},{"market":"draw_no_bet","line":null,"confidence":0.708,"model":{"HOME":0.5084,"AWAY":0.4916},"book":{"HOME":0.5601,"AWAY":0.4399},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.7,"bookmaker":"Betsson"},"AWAY":{"odds":2.15,"bookmaker":"Betsson"}},"overround":1.0763,"books":11,"sharp":null,"open":null},{"market":"btts","line":null,"confidence":0.708,"model":{"yes":0.3576,"no":0.6424},"book":{"yes":0.415,"no":0.585},"best":{"yes":{"odds":2.25,"bookmaker":"Bwin"},"no":{"odds":1.65,"bookmaker":"Novibet"}},"overround":1.0771,"books":14,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"yes":0.412,"no":0.588}}},{"market":"over_under_05","line":0.5,"confidence":0.708,"model":{"over":0.8188,"under":0.1812},"book":{},"best":{},"overround":1,"books":0,"sharp":null,"open":null},{"market":"over_under_15","line":1.5,"confidence":0.708,"model":{"over":0.5411,"under":0.4589},"book":{},"best":{},"overround":1,"books":0,"sharp":null,"open":null},{"market":"over_under_25","line":2.5,"confidence":0.708,"model":{"over":0.2626,"under":0.7374},"book":{},"best":{},"overround":1,"books":0,"sharp":null,"open":null},{"market":"over_under_35","line":3.5,"confidence":0.708,"model":{"over":0.1046,"under":0.8954},"book":{},"best":{},"overround":1,"books":0,"sharp":null,"open":null},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-1.75,"confidence":0.708,"model":{"HOME":0.0786,"AWAY":0.9214},"book":{"HOME":0.0883,"AWAY":0.9117},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":7.1,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.037,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.1052,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.0883,"AWAY":0.9117}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-1.5,"confidence":0.708,"model":{"HOME":0.1192,"AWAY":0.8808},"book":{"HOME":0.1391,"AWAY":0.8609},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":5.8,"bookmaker":"fonbet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.14,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.076,"books":4,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.1375,"AWAY":0.8625}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-1.25,"confidence":0.708,"model":{"HOME":0.1331,"AWAY":0.8669},"book":{"HOME":0.1619,"AWAY":0.8381},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":5.25,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.16,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0672,"books":3,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.1589,"AWAY":0.8411}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-1,"confidence":0.708,"model":{"HOME":0.1506,"AWAY":0.8494},"book":{"HOME":0.1815,"AWAY":0.8185},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":4.8,"bookmaker":"fonbet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.19,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0761,"books":5,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.1849,"AWAY":0.8151}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-0.75,"confidence":0.708,"model":{"HOME":0.2496,"AWAY":0.7504},"book":{"HOME":0.2848,"AWAY":0.7152},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":3.3,"bookmaker":"fonbet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.35,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0705,"books":5,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.2874,"AWAY":0.7126}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-0.5,"confidence":0.708,"model":{"HOME":0.3279,"AWAY":0.6721},"book":{"HOME":0.3683,"AWAY":0.6317},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":2.59,"bookmaker":"Betsson"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.525,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0768,"books":10,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.3714,"AWAY":0.6286}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-0.25,"confidence":0.708,"model":{"HOME":0.3987,"AWAY":0.6013},"book":{"HOME":0.4483,"AWAY":0.5517},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":2.13,"bookmaker":"Betsson"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.737,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0662,"books":6,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.4461,"AWAY":0.5539}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0,"confidence":0.708,"model":{"HOME":0.5084,"AWAY":0.4916},"book":{"HOME":0.56,"AWAY":0.44},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.71,"bookmaker":"Novibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":2.182,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0648,"books":6,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.5557,"AWAY":0.4443}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0.25,"confidence":0.708,"model":{"HOME":0.6144,"AWAY":0.3856},"book":{"HOME":0.6488,"AWAY":0.3512},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.5,"bookmaker":"fonbet"},"AWAY":{"odds":2.675,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0697,"books":5,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.6419,"AWAY":0.3581}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0.5,"confidence":0.708,"model":{"HOME":0.6829,"AWAY":0.3171},"book":{"HOME":0.705,"AWAY":0.295},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.36,"bookmaker":"Novibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":3.1,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0682,"books":3,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.7036,"AWAY":0.2964}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0.75,"confidence":0.708,"model":{"HOME":0.7604,"AWAY":0.2396},"book":{"HOME":0.7889,"AWAY":0.2111},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.23,"bookmaker":"Novibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":4.1,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0737,"books":4,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.7855,"AWAY":0.2145}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":1,"confidence":0.708,"model":{"HOME":0.8578,"AWAY":0.1422},"book":{"HOME":0.8765,"AWAY":0.1235},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.12,"bookmaker":"Interwetten"},"AWAY":{"odds":6.95,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0748,"books":5,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.8761,"AWAY":0.1239}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":1.25,"confidence":0.708,"model":{"HOME":0.874,"AWAY":0.126},"book":{"HOME":0.8904,"AWAY":0.1096},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.105,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":6.85,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.074,"books":2,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.8904,"AWAY":0.1096}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":1.5,"confidence":0.708,"model":{"HOME":0.8868,"AWAY":0.1132},"book":{"HOME":0.9081,"AWAY":0.0919},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.06,"bookmaker":"fonbet"},"AWAY":{"odds":7.4,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0967,"books":2,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.9069,"AWAY":0.0931}}},{"market":"corners_1x2","line":null,"confidence":0.566,"model":{"HOME":0.5881,"DRAW":0.1183,"AWAY":0.2936},"book":{},"best":{},"overround":1,"books":0,"sharp":null,"open":null},{"market":"red_card","line":null,"confidence":0.495,"model":{"yes":0.1466,"no":0.8534},"book":{},"best":{},"overround":1,"books":0,"sharp":null,"open":null}],"candidates":[{"market":"btts","outcome":"no","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.6424,"book_prob":0.585,"edge":0.0575,"shrunk_edge":0.0488,"odds":1.65,"bookmaker":"Novibet","prices":[{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.65},{"slug":"888sport","book":"888Sport","odds":1.65},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":1.65},{"slug":"betano","book":"Betano","odds":1.62},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.608},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":1.6},{"slug":"bwin","book":"Bwin","odds":1.6},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.6},{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":1.6},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":1.59},{"slug":"sportingbet","book":"SportingBet","odds":1.58},{"slug":"vistabet","book":"Vistabet","odds":1.58}],"kelly":0.0231,"confidence":0.708,"family":"goals"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":0,"push":"full","model_prob":0.4916,"book_prob":0.44,"edge":0.0516,"shrunk_edge":0.0387,"odds":2.182,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":2.182},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":2.15},{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":2.15},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":2.09},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":2.08},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":2.05}],"kelly":0.0154,"confidence":0.708,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"draw_no_bet","outcome":"AWAY","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.4916,"book_prob":0.4399,"edge":0.0517,"shrunk_edge":0.0384,"odds":2.15,"bookmaker":"Betsson","prices":[{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":2.15},{"slug":"betano","book":"Betano","odds":2.12},{"slug":"betway","book":"Betway","odds":2.1},{"slug":"888sport","book":"888Sport","odds":2.1},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":2.1},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":2.1},{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":2.1},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":2.09},{"slug":"bwin","book":"Bwin","odds":2.05},{"slug":"sportingbet","book":"SportingBet","odds":2.05},{"slug":"vistabet","book":"Vistabet","odds":2.05}],"kelly":0.0124,"confidence":0.708,"family":"result"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-0.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.6013,"book_prob":0.5517,"edge":0.0496,"shrunk_edge":0.0372,"odds":1.737,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.737},{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":1.727},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.725},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.7},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.69},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":1.68}],"kelly":0.0151,"confidence":0.708,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-0.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.6721,"book_prob":0.6317,"edge":0.0403,"shrunk_edge":0.0302,"odds":1.525,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.525},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.5},{"slug":"888sport","book":"888Sport","odds":1.5},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":1.5},{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":1.5},{"slug":"bwin","book":"Bwin","odds":1.49},{"slug":"sportingbet","book":"SportingBet","odds":1.49},{"slug":"vistabet","book":"Vistabet","odds":1.49},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":1.47},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":1.45}],"kelly":0.0119,"confidence":0.708,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-0.75,"push":"half","model_prob":0.7504,"book_prob":0.7152,"edge":0.0352,"shrunk_edge":0.0264,"odds":1.35,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.35},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":1.35},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.341},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.34},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.28}],"kelly":0.0093,"confidence":0.708,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":0.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.3856,"book_prob":0.3512,"edge":0.0344,"shrunk_edge":0.0258,"odds":2.675,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":2.675},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":2.617},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":2.6},{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":2.6},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":2.45}],"kelly":0.0047,"confidence":0.708,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-1,"push":"full","model_prob":0.8494,"book_prob":0.8185,"edge":0.0309,"shrunk_edge":0.0232,"odds":1.19,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.19},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.18},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":1.17},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.162},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.13}],"kelly":0.0142,"confidence":0.708,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-1.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.8669,"book_prob":0.8381,"edge":0.0288,"shrunk_edge":0.0216,"odds":1.16,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.16},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.15},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.126}],"kelly":0.0088,"confidence":0.708,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":0.75,"push":"half","model_prob":0.2396,"book_prob":0.2111,"edge":0.0285,"shrunk_edge":0.0214,"odds":4.1,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":4.1},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":4.05},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":4.015},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":3.95}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.708,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":0.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.3171,"book_prob":0.295,"edge":0.0221,"shrunk_edge":0.0166,"odds":3.1,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":3.1},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":3.05},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":2.95}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.708,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":1.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.1132,"book_prob":0.0919,"edge":0.0213,"shrunk_edge":0.0159,"odds":7.4,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":7.4},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":6.9}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.708,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-1.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.8808,"book_prob":0.8609,"edge":0.0199,"shrunk_edge":0.0149,"odds":1.14,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.14},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.12},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.091},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.09}],"kelly":0.0074,"confidence":0.708,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":1,"push":"full","model_prob":0.1422,"book_prob":0.1235,"edge":0.0187,"shrunk_edge":0.0141,"odds":6.95,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":6.95},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":6.6},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":6.3},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":5.9},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":5.5}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.708,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":1.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.126,"book_prob":0.1096,"edge":0.0164,"shrunk_edge":0.0123,"odds":6.85,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":6.85},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":6.8}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.708,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-1.75,"push":"half","model_prob":0.9214,"book_prob":0.9117,"edge":0.0096,"shrunk_edge":0.0072,"odds":1.037,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.037}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.708,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-1.75,"push":"half","model_prob":0.0786,"book_prob":0.0883,"edge":-0.0096,"shrunk_edge":-0.0072,"odds":7.1,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":7.1}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.708,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":1.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.874,"book_prob":0.8904,"edge":-0.0164,"shrunk_edge":-0.0123,"odds":1.105,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.105},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.042}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.708,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":1,"push":"full","model_prob":0.8578,"book_prob":0.8765,"edge":-0.0187,"shrunk_edge":-0.0141,"odds":1.12,"bookmaker":"Interwetten","prices":[{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":1.12},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.105},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.1},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.08},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.061}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.708,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-1.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.1192,"book_prob":0.1391,"edge":-0.0199,"shrunk_edge":-0.0149,"odds":5.8,"bookmaker":"fonbet","prices":[{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":5.8},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":5.75},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":5.7},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":5.3}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.708,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":1.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.8868,"book_prob":0.9081,"edge":-0.0213,"shrunk_edge":-0.0159,"odds":1.06,"bookmaker":"fonbet","prices":[{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.06},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.03}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.708,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":0.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.6829,"book_prob":0.705,"edge":-0.0221,"shrunk_edge":-0.0166,"odds":1.36,"bookmaker":"Novibet","prices":[{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.36},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":1.35},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.35}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.708,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":0.75,"push":"half","model_prob":0.7604,"book_prob":0.7889,"edge":-0.0285,"shrunk_edge":-0.0214,"odds":1.23,"bookmaker":"Novibet","prices":[{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.23},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.225},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.2},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.183}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.708,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-1.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.1331,"book_prob":0.1619,"edge":-0.0288,"shrunk_edge":-0.0216,"odds":5.25,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":5.25},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":5.2},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":4.85}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.708,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-1,"push":"full","model_prob":0.1506,"book_prob":0.1815,"edge":-0.0309,"shrunk_edge":-0.0232,"odds":4.8,"bookmaker":"fonbet","prices":[{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":4.8},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":4.65},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":4.5},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":4.455},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":4.4}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.708,"family":"handicap"}],"verdicts":[],"pass_reason":"call rule: value","preview":null,"external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":5645,"created_at":"2026-10-18T02:15:31Z","event":{"id":223856,"event_date":"2026-10-24T22:15:00Z","status":"finished","home_team_id":742,"home_team":"San Lorenzo","away_team_id":4997,"away_team":"Newell's Old Boys","league_id":85,"league_name":"Liga Profesional de Fútbol"},"markets":{"match_result":{"prob_home":37.1,"prob_draw":32.9,"prob_away":29.9,"predicted":"H"},"expected_goals":{"home":1.18,"away":0.81},"over_under":{"prob_over_15":56.2,"prob_over_25":30.7,"prob_over_35":13.8},"btts":{"prob_yes":42.2},"score":{"most_likely":"1-0"},"draw_no_bet":{"prob_home":65.5},"corners":{"prob_over_85":57.6,"prob_over_95":45.8,"prob_over_105":34}},"recommendations":{"favorite":"H","favorite_prob":37.1,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.3713,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}}},"computed_at":1792890508,"report":{"fetched_at":1792890535,"ht":[0,0],"attendance":null,"highlights":[],"events":[{"t":"card","minute":37,"added":null,"side":"home","player":"N. Tripichio","player_id":22979,"card":"yellow","reason":"Foul"},{"t":"sub","minute":46,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"A. Montero","in_id":95994,"out":"J. G. Mattar","out_id":90727},{"t":"sub","minute":46,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"G. d. Prete","in_id":10324,"out":"G. Alassia","out_id":84552},{"t":"sub","minute":46,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"A. Ladstatter","in_id":22994,"out":"R. Auzmendi","out_id":22983},{"t":"sub","minute":57,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"M. Rio","in_id":94783,"out":"A. Cuello","out_id":22982},{"t":"card","minute":64,"added":null,"side":"away","player":"L. Regiardo","player_id":90515,"card":"yellow","reason":"Foul"},{"t":"sub","minute":72,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"U. Ojeda","in_id":208312,"out":"F. Gulli","out_id":22986},{"t":"card","minute":78,"added":null,"side":"away","player":"A. Montero","player_id":95994,"card":"yellow","reason":"Foul"},{"t":"sub","minute":80,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"W. Nuñez","in_id":90519,"out":"M. Cóccaro","out_id":10316},{"t":"sub","minute":80,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"J. I. Ramírez","in_id":137,"out":"S. Solari","out_id":22742},{"t":"sub","minute":83,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"M. D. Ritis","in_id":22985,"out":"G. Corujo","out_id":22975},{"t":"card","minute":84,"added":null,"side":"away","player":"L. Carrizo","player_id":82480,"card":"yellow","reason":"Foul"},{"t":"sub","minute":90,"added":1,"side":"away","in":"L. Gómez","in_id":20163,"out":"F. Gauch","out_id":90518}],"players":[{"id":48053,"team_id":742,"minutes":95,"rating":7,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":22979,"team_id":742,"minutes":95,"rating":6.8,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":1,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":22386,"team_id":742,"minutes":95,"rating":7.3,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":0,"key_passes":3},{"id":22981,"team_id":742,"minutes":95,"rating":6.9,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":57529,"team_id":742,"minutes":95,"rating":7.3,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":22992,"team_id":742,"minutes":95,"rating":7.8,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":3,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":22975,"team_id":742,"minutes":83,"rating":7.1,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":3,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":22986,"team_id":742,"minutes":72,"rating":7.4,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":3,"on_target":1,"key_passes":2},{"id":22982,"team_id":742,"minutes":57,"rating":6.1,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":22994,"team_id":742,"minutes":50,"rating":6.4,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":10324,"team_id":742,"minutes":50,"rating":6.4,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":84552,"team_id":742,"minutes":45,"rating":7,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":22983,"team_id":742,"minutes":45,"rating":6.8,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":2,"on_target":2,"key_passes":0},{"id":94783,"team_id":742,"minutes":38,"rating":7.1,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":208312,"team_id":742,"minutes":23,"rating":6.4,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":22985,"team_id":742,"minutes":12,"rating":6.7,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":1,"key_passes":0},{"id":217796,"team_id":742,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":30710,"team_id":742,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":30713,"team_id":742,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":30717,"team_id":742,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":22974,"team_id":742,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":22978,"team_id":742,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":30711,"team_id":742,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":90515,"team_id":4997,"minutes":95,"rating":7,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":1,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":90511,"team_id":4997,"minutes":95,"rating":7.4,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":4,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":90729,"team_id":4997,"minutes":95,"rating":7.1,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":90512,"team_id":4997,"minutes":95,"rating":8,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":2,"on_target":1,"key_passes":0},{"id":82480,"team_id":4997,"minutes":95,"rating":7.4,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":1,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":90521,"team_id":4997,"minutes":95,"rating":7.6,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":1,"key_passes":0},{"id":90516,"team_id":4997,"minutes":95,"rating":6.6,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":3,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":90518,"team_id":4997,"minutes":91,"rating":6.6,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":3,"on_target":1,"key_passes":2},{"id":22742,"team_id":4997,"minutes":80,"rating":6.6,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":10316,"team_id":4997,"minutes":80,"rating":6.3,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":2,"on_target":1,"key_passes":1},{"id":95994,"team_id":4997,"minutes":50,"rating":6.7,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":1,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":90727,"team_id":4997,"minutes":45,"rating":7,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":137,"team_id":4997,"minutes":15,"rating":6.6,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":90519,"team_id":4997,"minutes":15,"rating":6.6,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":20163,"team_id":4997,"minutes":4,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":9787,"team_id":4997,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":56501,"team_id":4997,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":90523,"team_id":4997,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":90524,"team_id":4997,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":90514,"team_id":4997,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":22138,"team_id":4997,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":90520,"team_id":4997,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":90522,"team_id":4997,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0}],"stats":{"home":{"possession":48,"shots":12,"on_target":4,"corners":6,"fouls":17,"yellow":1,"red":0,"big_chances":0,"passes":340,"pass_pct":67.6,"offsides":0,"saves":3},"away":{"possession":52,"shots":11,"on_target":4,"corners":5,"fouls":13,"yellow":3,"red":0,"big_chances":1,"passes":386,"pass_pct":73.1,"offsides":3,"saves":4}},"lineups":{"home":{"formation":"3-4-1-2","players":[{"id":22992,"name":"José Devecchi","position":"G","number":25,"captain":true,"starting":true},{"id":22975,"name":"Guzmán Corujo","position":"D","number":16,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":48053,"name":"Danilo Arboleda","position":"D","number":2,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":57529,"name":"Emiliano Amor","position":"D","number":19,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":22979,"name":"Nicolás Tripichio","position":"M","number":24,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":84552,"name":"Gonzalo Alassia","position":"M","number":62,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":22986,"name":"Facundo Gulli","position":"M","number":10,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":22981,"name":"Teo Rodríguez Pagano","position":"M","number":3,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":22386,"name":"Facundo Farías","position":"F","number":38,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":22982,"name":"Alexis Cuello","position":"F","number":9,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":22983,"name":"Rodrigo Auzmendi","position":"F","number":29,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":22994,"name":"Agustin Ladstatter","position":"F","number":14,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":10324,"name":"Gustavo del Prete","position":"F","number":21,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":94783,"name":"Martín Rio","position":"M","number":27,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":208312,"name":"Uriel Ojeda","position":"M","number":39,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":22985,"name":"Mathias de Ritis","position":"D","number":6,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":30717,"name":"Facundo Altamirano","position":"G","number":20,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":22974,"name":"Ezequiel Herrera","position":"D","number":32,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":30710,"name":"Nahuel Arias","position":"D","number":30,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":30711,"name":"Daniel Herrera","position":"D","number":36,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":30713,"name":"Alejo Cordoba","position":"D","number":35,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":22978,"name":"Manuel Insaurralde","position":"M","number":8,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":217796,"name":"Maximo Simon Atrio","position":"M","number":34,"captain":false,"starting":false}]},"away":{"formation":"4-2-3-1","players":[{"id":90511,"name":"Josué Reinatti","position":"G","number":30,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":90729,"name":"Martín Ortega","position":"D","number":6,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":90512,"name":"Bruno Cabrera","position":"D","number":25,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":82480,"name":"Lucas Carrizo","position":"D","number":16,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":90521,"name":"Jeronimo Russo","position":"D","number":28,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":90515,"name":"Luca Regiardo","position":"M","number":5,"captain":true,"starting":true},{"id":90727,"name":"Jerónimo Gómez Mattar","position":"M","number":19,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":90516,"name":"Walter Mazzantti","position":"M","number":7,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":90518,"name":"Facundo Guch","position":"M","number":20,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":22742,"name":"Santiago Solari","position":"M","number":32,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":10316,"name":"Matías Cóccaro","position":"F","number":9,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":95994,"name":"Alejo Montero","position":"M","number":4,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":90519,"name":"Walter Nuñez","position":"F","number":33,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":137,"name":"Juan Ignacio Ramírez","position":"F","number":99,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":20163,"name":"Lucas Gómez","position":"M","number":27,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":56501,"name":"Gabriel Arias","position":"G","number":21,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":9787,"name":"Franco Escobar","position":"D","number":24,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":90523,"name":"Nicolás Goitea","position":"D","number":23,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":90524,"name":"Óscar Salomón","position":"D","number":22,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":90514,"name":"David Sotelo","position":"M","number":8,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":22138,"name":"Alan Soñora","position":"M","number":15,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":90520,"name":"Lautaro Rios","position":"M","number":39,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":90522,"name":"Francisco Scarpeccio","position":"F","number":36,"captain":false,"starting":false}]}}},"colors":{"home":null,"away":"#ed1f26"},"venue":{"name":"Pedro Bidegain","city":"Buenos Aires","capacity":47964},"pulled":[],"published":[]}