{"id":223848,"league_id":85,"league":"Liga Profesional de Fútbol","kickoff":1792872000,"home":"CA Talleres","away":"Defensa y Justicia","home_id":2391,"away_id":3136,"venue_id":1760,"rank":4,"status":"finished","provisional":false,"lineup_status":"confirmed","confidence":0.711,"score":[1,2],"live_score":null,"lambda":[1.09,1.13],"odds_1x2":{"HOME":0.47063641760103153,"DRAW":0.2888912250688596,"AWAY":0.24047235733010877},"read":null,"top_pick":{"market":"over_under_35","outcome":"under","line":3.5,"odds":1.25,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.25}],"prob":0.793,"lean":false},"pass":null,"confident":[{"market":"over_under_35","outcome":"under","line":3.5,"prob":0.793,"odds":1.25,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.25}],"lean":false,"caveat":false}],"flags":[],"lambda_home":1.0909462484083263,"lambda_away":1.1347000317343303,"corner_rate":9.78,"card_rate":0.291,"lineups":{"status":"confirmed","confidence":null,"home":{"formation":"4-2-3-1","players":[{"id":10263,"name":"Ezequiel Unsaín","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":90556,"name":"Augusto Schott","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":56502,"name":"Matías Catalán","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":20152,"name":"Román Riquelme","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":16913,"name":"Alexandro Maidana","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":20156,"name":"Federico Fattori","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":90561,"name":"Matias Galarza","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":90563,"name":"Rick","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":90571,"name":"Giovanni Baroni","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":90565,"name":"Valentín Depietri","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":4912,"name":"Agustín Álvarez","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":90737,"name":"Mateo Caceres","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":90572,"name":"Lautaro Ortiz","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":10337,"name":"Diego Valoyes","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":90568,"name":"Santino Barbi","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":90562,"name":"Gabriel Báez","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":90557,"name":"Santiago Fernandez","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":90558,"name":"Valentín Fascendini","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":90560,"name":"Timoteo Chamorro","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":3828,"name":"Juan Sforza","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":97183,"name":"Jeremías Gallard","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":90567,"name":"Valentin Davila","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":90564,"name":"Emiliano Chiavassa","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null}],"confidence":null},"away":{"formation":"4-2-3-1","players":[{"id":23729,"name":"Matías Borgogno","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":89328,"name":"Valentín Loza","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":89321,"name":"Damián Fernández","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":9860,"name":"David Martínez","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":94732,"name":"Demian Dominguez","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":89315,"name":"Santiago Sosa","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":56277,"name":"César Pérez","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":93958,"name":"Jeremías Lucco","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":89307,"name":"David Barbona","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":68428,"name":"Juan Manuel Gutiérrez","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":20161,"name":"Leandro Fernández","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":96208,"name":"Maximiliano Porcel","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":89312,"name":"Aaron Molinas","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":90472,"name":"Tiziano Perrotta","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":89306,"name":"Agustín Hausch","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":89324,"name":"Ayrton Portillo","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":89330,"name":"Lautaro Amade","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":122729,"name":"Ezequiel Burdin","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":89327,"name":"Nazareno Roselli","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":89326,"name":"Samuel Lucero","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":89316,"name":"Julián López","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":10292,"name":"Domingo Blanco","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":22746,"name":"Tomás Pérez","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null}],"confidence":null},"unavailable":[{"id":618,"name":"Franco Cristaldo","team_id":null,"side":"home","reason":"Physical Discomfort"},{"id":90738,"name":"Matías Gómez","team_id":null,"side":"home","reason":"Sprained Knee Injury"},{"id":89322,"name":"Fernando Román","team_id":null,"side":"away","reason":"Muscle Injury"}]},"people":[{"id":10263,"name":"Ezequiel Unsaín","side":"home"},{"id":90556,"name":"Augusto Schott","side":"home"},{"id":56502,"name":"Matías Catalán","side":"home"},{"id":20152,"name":"Román Riquelme","side":"home"},{"id":16913,"name":"Alexandro Maidana","side":"home"},{"id":20156,"name":"Federico Fattori","side":"home"},{"id":90561,"name":"Matias Galarza","side":"home"},{"id":90563,"name":"Rick","side":"home"},{"id":90571,"name":"Giovanni Baroni","side":"home"},{"id":90565,"name":"Valentín Depietri","side":"home"},{"id":4912,"name":"Agustín Álvarez","side":"home"},{"id":90737,"name":"Mateo Caceres","side":"home"},{"id":90572,"name":"Lautaro Ortiz","side":"home"},{"id":10337,"name":"Diego Valoyes","side":"home"},{"id":90568,"name":"Santino Barbi","side":"home"},{"id":90562,"name":"Gabriel Báez","side":"home"},{"id":90557,"name":"Santiago Fernandez","side":"home"},{"id":90558,"name":"Valentín Fascendini","side":"home"},{"id":90560,"name":"Timoteo Chamorro","side":"home"},{"id":3828,"name":"Juan Sforza","side":"home"},{"id":97183,"name":"Jeremías Gallard","side":"home"},{"id":90567,"name":"Valentin Davila","side":"home"},{"id":90564,"name":"Emiliano Chiavassa","side":"home"},{"id":90569,"name":"Thiago Baroni","side":"home"},{"id":95076,"name":"Tomas Olmos","side":"home"},{"id":618,"name":"Franco Cristaldo","side":"home"},{"id":90738,"name":"Matías Gómez","side":"home"},{"id":90573,"name":"Bruno Trey","side":"home"},{"id":54883,"name":"Ronaldo Martinez","side":"home"},{"id":94783,"name":"Martín Rio","side":"home"},{"id":23729,"name":"Matías Borgogno","side":"away"},{"id":89328,"name":"Valentín Loza","side":"away"},{"id":89321,"name":"Damián Fernández","side":"away"},{"id":9860,"name":"David Martínez","side":"away"},{"id":94732,"name":"Demian Dominguez","side":"away"},{"id":89315,"name":"Santiago Sosa","side":"away"},{"id":56277,"name":"César Pérez","side":"away"},{"id":93958,"name":"Jeremías Lucco","side":"away"},{"id":89307,"name":"David Barbona","side":"away"},{"id":68428,"name":"Juan Manuel Gutiérrez","side":"away"},{"id":20161,"name":"Leandro Fernández","side":"away"},{"id":96208,"name":"Maximiliano Porcel","side":"away"},{"id":89312,"name":"Aaron Molinas","side":"away"},{"id":90472,"name":"Tiziano Perrotta","side":"away"},{"id":89306,"name":"Agustín Hausch","side":"away"},{"id":89324,"name":"Ayrton Portillo","side":"away"},{"id":89330,"name":"Lautaro Amade","side":"away"},{"id":122729,"name":"Ezequiel Burdin","side":"away"},{"id":89327,"name":"Nazareno Roselli","side":"away"},{"id":89326,"name":"Samuel Lucero","side":"away"},{"id":89316,"name":"Julián López","side":"away"},{"id":10292,"name":"Domingo Blanco","side":"away"},{"id":22746,"name":"Tomás Pérez","side":"away"},{"id":89322,"name":"Fernando Román","side":"away"},{"id":89325,"name":"Lucas Souto","side":"away"},{"id":90419,"name":"Máximo Rodríguez","side":"away"},{"id":143763,"name":"T Perez","side":"away"},{"id":89318,"name":"Facundo Altamira","side":"away"},{"id":89311,"name":"Éver Banega","side":"away"},{"id":89317,"name":"Nicolas Palavecino","side":"away"},{"id":90420,"name":"Thiago Martínez","side":"away"},{"id":74907,"name":"Elías Pereyra","side":"away"},{"id":17529,"name":"Juan Miritello","side":"away"},{"id":57529,"name":"Emiliano Amor","side":"away"},{"id":89313,"name":"Rubén Botta","side":"away"}],"players":null,"extras":{"teams":{"home":2391,"away":3136},"split":{"home":{"above":{"w":1,"d":3,"l":6},"below":null},"away":{"above":{"w":0,"d":0,"l":1},"below":{"w":6,"d":2,"l":1}}},"referee":null,"managers":{"home":{"id":3839,"name":"Omar De Felippe","vs":null},"away":{"id":2845,"name":"Julio Vaccari","vs":{"w":0,"d":0,"l":1,"last":{"kickoff":1776108600,"score":"1-2","result":"L"}}}},"best_xi":[],"players":{}},"notable":[{"id":90496,"name":"Agustín Modica","goals":14,"rank":1},{"id":89255,"name":"Cristian Tarragona","goals":14,"rank":2},{"id":16891,"name":"Jordy Caicedo","goals":14,"rank":3},{"id":90686,"name":"Junior Marabel","goals":14,"rank":4},{"id":16919,"name":"Gabriel Ávalos","goals":11,"rank":5},{"id":23759,"name":"Ángel Di María","goals":10,"rank":6},{"id":21998,"name":"Miguel Merentiel","goals":10,"rank":7},{"id":16914,"name":"Alex Arce","goals":9,"rank":8},{"id":90550,"name":"Michael Santos","goals":9,"rank":9},{"id":22760,"name":"Fabrizio Sartori","goals":8,"rank":10},{"id":22793,"name":"Ignacio Russo","goals":8,"rank":11},{"id":90724,"name":"Marcelo Torres","goals":8,"rank":12},{"id":90625,"name":"Agustín Auzmendi","goals":7,"rank":13},{"id":90601,"name":"Alex Luna","goals":7,"rank":14},{"id":22792,"name":"David Romero","goals":7,"rank":15}],"round_label":"Clausura, Group A · Matchday 14","neutral":false,"h2h":{"total_matches":9,"home_wins":4,"draws":2,"away_wins":3,"home_goals":9,"away_goals":12,"avg_total_goals":2.3333333333333335,"home_win_rate":0.4444444444444444,"away_win_rate":0.3333333333333333,"recent_matches":[{"away":"CA Talleres","date":"2026-04-13T19:30:00+00:00","home":"Defensa y Justicia","score":"1-2","event_id":223839,"away_score":2,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":2391,"home_team_id":3136},{"away":"Defensa y Justicia","date":"2024-07-24T20:00:00+00:00","home":"CA Talleres","score":"1-1","event_id":236340,"away_score":1,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":3136,"home_team_id":2391},{"away":"CA Talleres","date":"2023-03-11T22:15:00+00:00","home":"Defensa y Justicia","score":"1-1","event_id":245935,"away_score":1,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":2391,"home_team_id":3136},{"away":"Defensa y Justicia","date":"2022-09-11T23:00:00+00:00","home":"CA Talleres","score":"1-0","event_id":257319,"away_score":0,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":3136,"home_team_id":2391},{"away":"CA Talleres","date":"2021-10-04T21:00:00+00:00","home":"Defensa y Justicia","score":"3-0","event_id":270322,"away_score":0,"home_score":3,"away_team_id":2391,"home_team_id":3136},{"away":"CA Talleres","date":"2020-01-26T20:35:00+00:00","home":"Defensa y Justicia","score":"4-1","event_id":292453,"away_score":1,"home_score":4,"away_team_id":2391,"home_team_id":3136},{"away":"CA Talleres","date":"2018-10-19T22:00:00+00:00","home":"Defensa y Justicia","score":"2-0","event_id":333269,"away_score":0,"home_score":2,"away_team_id":2391,"home_team_id":3136},{"away":"Defensa y Justicia","date":"2018-03-17T23:00:00+00:00","home":"CA Talleres","score":"1-0","event_id":349591,"away_score":0,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":3136,"home_team_id":2391},{"away":"Defensa y Justicia","date":"2016-10-22T00:15:00+00:00","home":"CA Talleres","score":"2-0","event_id":364460,"away_score":0,"home_score":2,"away_team_id":3136,"home_team_id":2391}]},"standings":{"home":{"team_id":2391,"position":12,"played":30,"points":35,"goal_diff":-5,"team_name":"CA Talleres","won":9,"drawn":8,"lost":13,"goals_for":30,"goals_against":35,"group":"Clausura, Group A"},"away":{"team_id":3136,"position":5,"played":30,"points":46,"goal_diff":4,"team_name":"Defensa y Justicia","won":12,"drawn":10,"lost":8,"goals_for":38,"goals_against":34,"group":"Clausura, Group A"},"size":30},"form":{"home":{"matches":6,"ppg":0.67,"record":"1-1-4","goals_for":0.67,"goals_against":1.33,"clean_sheets":1,"streak":"winless 4","sequence":"LWLLDL","venue_ppg":1.33},"away":{"matches":6,"ppg":1.67,"record":"3-1-2","goals_for":1.5,"goals_against":0.67,"clean_sheets":3,"streak":"none","sequence":"LWDWWL","venue_ppg":1.33}},"ledger":[{"id":"availability.home.absences","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"CA Talleres are without 2 players, none of them central to how the side plays.","evidence":{"count":2,"measured":1,"combined_goal_share":0.042,"combined_importance":0.042,"players":[{"player":"Franco Cristaldo","role":"MID","reason":"Physical Discomfort","goal_share":0.042,"importance":0.042,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":9},{"player":"Matías Gómez","role":"MID","reason":"Sprained Knee Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.05,"measured":false,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":9}]},"strength":0.15,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"home","pct":-0.5},{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":0.2},{"channel":"corners","side":"home","pct":-0.2},{"channel":"cards","side":"both","pct":0.3}]},{"id":"availability.away.absences","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Defensa y Justicia are without 1 player, none of them central to how the side plays.","evidence":{"count":1,"measured":1,"combined_goal_share":0.031,"combined_importance":0.031,"players":[{"player":"Fernando Román","role":"DEF","reason":"Muscle Injury","goal_share":0.031,"importance":0.031,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":10}]},"strength":0.15,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":0},{"channel":"goals","side":"home","pct":0.2},{"channel":"cards","side":"both","pct":0.1}]},{"id":"availability.lineup_confirmed","section":"§3.1","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The starting elevens are confirmed, so selection is known rather than guessed.","evidence":{"lineup_status":"confirmed","changes":null},"strength":0.3,"moves":[]},{"id":"form.home","section":"§2.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"CA Talleres have taken 0.67 points a game from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.3, and 1.33 a game at home.","evidence":{"matches":6,"ppg":0.67,"record":"1-1-4","goals_for":0.67,"goals_against":1.33,"clean_sheets":1,"streak":"winless 4","sequence":"LWLLDL","venue_ppg":1.33},"strength":0.456,"moves":[]},{"id":"form.away","section":"§2.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Defensa y Justicia have taken 1.67 points a game from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.7, and 1.33 a game on the road.","evidence":{"matches":6,"ppg":1.67,"record":"3-1-2","goals_for":1.5,"goals_against":0.67,"clean_sheets":3,"streak":"none","sequence":"LWDWWL","venue_ppg":1.33},"strength":0.211,"moves":[]},{"id":"stakes.table","section":"§5.1","tier":2,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"A cup or a group stage, so there is no league table to read what either side is playing for.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.derby","section":"§5.2","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Not a local derby.","evidence":{"derby":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.revenge","section":"§5.3","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The reverse fixture finished 1-2, too close to carry a revenge motive.","evidence":{"reverse_margin":1},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.home.settling","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Omar De Felippe is 7 games into the job at CA Talleres, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.","evidence":{"manager":"Omar De Felippe","matches_in_charge":7,"tenure_days":50,"ppm":0.57,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":0.7,"after_ppm":0.57,"delta":null}},"strength":0.3,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.away.established","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Julio Vaccari has 31 matches in charge at Defensa y Justicia, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.","evidence":{"manager":"Julio Vaccari","matches_in_charge":31,"tenure_days":290,"ppm":1.58,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1,"after_ppm":1.6,"delta":null}},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.home","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"CA Talleres come in on 8 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":7.8125,"matchesIn7":0,"matchesIn14":2,"days_rest":7.8},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.away","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Defensa y Justicia come in on 8 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":7.916666666666667,"matchesIn7":0,"matchesIn14":1,"days_rest":7.9},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.opponent_adjustment","section":"§4.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form.","evidence":{"home":{"attack":-0.083,"defence":-0.048,"effective_matches":15.1,"shrunk":0.35},"away":{"attack":0.104,"defence":-0.006,"effective_matches":14.6,"shrunk":0.35}},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":54.3,"shots":14.1,"xg_per_shot":0.084,"corners":4.2,"corners_per_shot":0.296,"finishing_vs_xg":-0.18},"away":{"matches":12,"possession":53.1,"shots":15.4,"xg_per_shot":0.104,"corners":4.2,"corners_per_shot":0.27,"finishing_vs_xg":-0.19},"possession_gap":1.2},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"CA Talleres are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.18,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Defensa y Justicia are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.19,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"42 yellow cards in this referee's last 10 games, where 46 would be usual in this league, and 1 red. — though 10 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.","evidence":{"matches":10,"yellows_per_match":4.2,"reds_per_match":0.1,"league_yellows_per_match":4.61,"league_reds_per_match":0.245,"yellow_ratio":0.91,"red_ratio":0.41,"sample":10,"required":30},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Routine trip of 676 km for Defensa y Justicia.","evidence":{"travel_km":676},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.","evidence":{"rain_mm":null,"wind_kph":4.8,"temperature_c":14,"description":"cloudy"},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"THIN","note":"Pitch condition reported as 1, but the provider documents no scale for it. Recorded and excluded until the scale is confirmed — set PITCH_SCALE_MAX once known.","evidence":{"pitch_condition":1},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.19314163224249947},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.overround","section":"§7.3","tier":7,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The bookmakers are taking a 7.3% cut on this match. The bigger their cut, the further out a price has to be before it is worth backing.","evidence":{"overround":1.0732,"margin_pct":7.32,"devig_method":"shin","books_quoting":3},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.movement","section":"§7.1","tier":7,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The line has barely moved since it opened.","evidence":{"moves":[{"outcome":"HOME","move_pct":0,"direction":null},{"outcome":"DRAW","move_pct":0,"direction":null},{"outcome":"AWAY","move_pct":0,"direction":null}]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.sharp_reference","section":"§7.1","tier":7,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"The sharp reference book is not quoting this fixture.","evidence":{"entitled":true},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.prediction_market","section":"§7.2","tier":7,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No prediction-market prices for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"markets":[{"market":"1x2","line":null,"confidence":0.711,"model":{"HOME":0.3328,"DRAW":0.3125,"AWAY":0.3547},"book":{"HOME":0.4706,"DRAW":0.2889,"AWAY":0.2405},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":2.01,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"DRAW":{"odds":3.2,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":3.8,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0732,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.4706,"DRAW":0.2889,"AWAY":0.2405}}},{"market":"double_chance","line":null,"confidence":0.711,"model":{"12":0.6875,"1X":0.6453,"X2":0.6672},"book":{"12":0.7111,"1X":0.7595,"X2":0.5294},"best":{"12":{"odds":1.364,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"1X":{"odds":1.25,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"X2":{"odds":1.727,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0561,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"12":0.7111,"1X":0.7595,"X2":0.5294}}},{"market":"draw_no_bet","line":null,"confidence":0.711,"model":{"HOME":0.4841,"AWAY":0.5159},"book":{"HOME":0.6618,"AWAY":0.3382},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.63,"bookmaker":"Betsson"},"AWAY":{"odds":2.25,"bookmaker":"Betsson"}},"overround":1.0759,"books":11,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.6618,"AWAY":0.3382}}},{"market":"btts","line":null,"confidence":0.711,"model":{"yes":0.4622,"no":0.5378},"book":{"yes":0.5093,"no":0.4907},"best":{"yes":{"odds":1.87,"bookmaker":"fonbet"},"no":{"odds":1.95,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0758,"books":14,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"yes":0.5058,"no":0.4942}}},{"market":"over_under_05","line":0.5,"confidence":0.711,"model":{"over":0.8804,"under":0.1196},"book":{"over":0.908,"under":0.092},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.071,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"under":{"odds":8.5,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0514,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"over":0.908,"under":0.092}}},{"market":"over_under_15","line":1.5,"confidence":0.711,"model":{"over":0.6633,"under":0.3367},"book":{"over":0.7212,"under":0.2788},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.333,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"under":{"odds":3.25,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0579,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"over":0.7212,"under":0.2788}}},{"market":"over_under_25","line":2.5,"confidence":0.711,"model":{"over":0.3842,"under":0.6158},"book":{"over":0.444,"under":0.556},"best":{"over":{"odds":2.1,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"under":{"odds":1.7,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0644,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"over":0.444,"under":0.556}}},{"market":"over_under_35","line":3.5,"confidence":0.711,"model":{"over":0.1857,"under":0.8143},"book":{"over":0.2333,"under":0.7667},"best":{"over":{"odds":3.75,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"under":{"odds":1.25,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0667,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"over":0.2333,"under":0.7667}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-2.5,"confidence":0.711,"model":{"HOME":0.0417,"AWAY":0.9583},"book":{"HOME":0.066,"AWAY":0.934},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":8.9,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.02,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0928,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.066,"AWAY":0.934}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-2,"confidence":0.711,"model":{"HOME":0.0461,"AWAY":0.9539},"book":{"HOME":0.083,"AWAY":0.917},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":7.9,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.041,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0872,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.0535,"AWAY":0.9465}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-1.75,"confidence":0.711,"model":{"HOME":0.0938,"AWAY":0.9062},"book":{"HOME":0.1291,"AWAY":0.8709},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":6.25,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.12,"bookmaker":"Novibet"}},"overround":1.0708,"books":3,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.136,"AWAY":0.864}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-1.5,"confidence":0.711,"model":{"HOME":0.137,"AWAY":0.863},"book":{"HOME":0.1816,"AWAY":0.8184},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":4.92,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.19,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0758,"books":5,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.1904,"AWAY":0.8096}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-1.25,"confidence":0.711,"model":{"HOME":0.1519,"AWAY":0.8481},"book":{"HOME":0.2062,"AWAY":0.7938},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":4.15,"bookmaker":"Novibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.22,"bookmaker":"Novibet"}},"overround":1.0726,"books":4,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.2154,"AWAY":0.7846}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-1,"confidence":0.711,"model":{"HOME":0.1704,"AWAY":0.8296},"book":{"HOME":0.2377,"AWAY":0.7623},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":3.885,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.27,"bookmaker":"Interwetten"}},"overround":1.0742,"books":5,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.248,"AWAY":0.752}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-0.75,"confidence":0.711,"model":{"HOME":0.2604,"AWAY":0.7396},"book":{"HOME":0.3317,"AWAY":0.6683},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":2.75,"bookmaker":"Novibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.44,"bookmaker":"Novibet"}},"overround":1.0681,"books":5,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.3421,"AWAY":0.6579}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-0.5,"confidence":0.711,"model":{"HOME":0.3328,"AWAY":0.6672},"book":{"HOME":0.413,"AWAY":0.587},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":2.3,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.615,"bookmaker":"888Sport"}},"overround":1.0727,"books":10,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.4242,"AWAY":0.5758}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-0.25,"confidence":0.711,"model":{"HOME":0.3944,"AWAY":0.6056},"book":{"HOME":0.4842,"AWAY":0.5158},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.975,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.85,"bookmaker":"fonbet"}},"overround":1.0645,"books":6,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.4998,"AWAY":0.5002}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0,"confidence":0.711,"model":{"HOME":0.4841,"AWAY":0.5159},"book":{"HOME":0.582,"AWAY":0.418},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.653,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":2.25,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0669,"books":6,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.5999,"AWAY":0.4001}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0.25,"confidence":0.711,"model":{"HOME":0.5796,"AWAY":0.4204},"book":{"HOME":0.6537,"AWAY":0.3463},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.46,"bookmaker":"Novibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":2.675,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0707,"books":5,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.6692,"AWAY":0.3308}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0.5,"confidence":0.711,"model":{"HOME":0.6453,"AWAY":0.3547},"book":{"HOME":0.7083,"AWAY":0.2917},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.36,"bookmaker":"Novibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":3.1,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0683,"books":3,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.7231,"AWAY":0.2769}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0.75,"confidence":0.711,"model":{"HOME":0.7186,"AWAY":0.2814},"book":{"HOME":0.7831,"AWAY":0.2169},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.24,"bookmaker":"Novibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":4,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0745,"books":4,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.7921,"AWAY":0.2079}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":1,"confidence":0.711,"model":{"HOME":0.8108,"AWAY":0.1892},"book":{"HOME":0.8687,"AWAY":0.1313},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.125,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":6.33,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0725,"books":4,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.8777,"AWAY":0.1223}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":1.25,"confidence":0.711,"model":{"HOME":0.8323,"AWAY":0.1677},"book":{"HOME":0.8809,"AWAY":0.1191},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.11,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":6.6,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.072,"books":3,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.8873,"AWAY":0.1127}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":1.5,"confidence":0.711,"model":{"HOME":0.8494,"AWAY":0.1506},"book":{"HOME":0.8951,"AWAY":0.1049},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.1,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":7,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.079,"books":3,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.8976,"AWAY":0.1024}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":9.5,"confidence":0.711,"model":{"over":0.5042,"under":0.4958},"book":{"over":0.4605,"under":0.5395},"best":{"over":{"odds":2,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"under":{"odds":1.727,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.079,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"over":0.4605,"under":0.5395}}},{"market":"corners_1x2","line":null,"confidence":0.569,"model":{"HOME":0.656,"DRAW":0.1029,"AWAY":0.2411},"book":{},"best":{},"overround":1,"books":0,"sharp":null,"open":null},{"market":"red_card","line":null,"confidence":0.498,"model":{"yes":0.2528,"no":0.7472},"book":{},"best":{},"overround":1,"books":0,"sharp":null,"open":null}],"candidates":[{"market":"draw_no_bet","outcome":"AWAY","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.5159,"book_prob":0.3382,"edge":0.1778,"shrunk_edge":0.1322,"odds":2.25,"bookmaker":"Betsson","prices":[{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":2.25},{"slug":"betano","book":"Betano","odds":2.2},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":2.2},{"slug":"bwin","book":"Bwin","odds":2.2},{"slug":"sportingbet","book":"SportingBet","odds":2.2},{"slug":"betway","book":"Betway","odds":2.2},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":2.2},{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":2.2},{"slug":"vistabet","book":"Vistabet","odds":2.2},{"slug":"888sport","book":"888Sport","odds":2.15},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":2.15}],"kelly":0.0322,"confidence":0.711,"family":"result"},{"market":"double_chance","outcome":"X2","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.6672,"book_prob":0.5294,"edge":0.1378,"shrunk_edge":0.1025,"odds":1.727,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.727}],"kelly":0.0524,"confidence":0.711,"family":"result"},{"market":"1x2","outcome":"AWAY","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.3547,"book_prob":0.2405,"edge":0.1143,"shrunk_edge":0.085,"odds":3.8,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":3.8}],"kelly":0.0311,"confidence":0.711,"family":"result"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":0,"push":"full","model_prob":0.5159,"book_prob":0.418,"edge":0.0979,"shrunk_edge":0.0735,"odds":2.25,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":2.25},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":2.234},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":2.2},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":2.2},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":2.2},{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":2.2}],"kelly":0.0322,"confidence":0.711,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-0.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.6056,"book_prob":0.5158,"edge":0.0898,"shrunk_edge":0.0673,"odds":1.85,"bookmaker":"fonbet","prices":[{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.85},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.835},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":1.83},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.825},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.81},{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":1.8}],"kelly":0.0354,"confidence":0.711,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-0.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.6672,"book_prob":0.587,"edge":0.0802,"shrunk_edge":0.0601,"odds":1.615,"bookmaker":"888Sport","prices":[{"slug":"888sport","book":"888Sport","odds":1.615},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":1.615},{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":1.615},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.61},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":1.6},{"slug":"bwin","book":"Bwin","odds":1.6},{"slug":"sportingbet","book":"SportingBet","odds":1.6},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.6},{"slug":"vistabet","book":"Vistabet","odds":1.6},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":1.59}],"kelly":0.0315,"confidence":0.711,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":0.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.4204,"book_prob":0.3463,"edge":0.0741,"shrunk_edge":0.0556,"odds":2.675,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":2.675},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":2.65},{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":2.625},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":2.586},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":2.55}],"kelly":0.0186,"confidence":0.711,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-0.75,"push":"half","model_prob":0.7396,"book_prob":0.6683,"edge":0.0713,"shrunk_edge":0.0535,"odds":1.44,"bookmaker":"Novibet","prices":[{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.44},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":1.44},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.425},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.413},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.4}],"kelly":0.0369,"confidence":0.711,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"over_under_25","outcome":"under","line":2.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.6158,"book_prob":0.556,"edge":0.0598,"shrunk_edge":0.0508,"odds":1.7,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.7}],"kelly":0.0168,"confidence":0.711,"family":"goals"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-1,"push":"full","model_prob":0.8296,"book_prob":0.7623,"edge":0.0673,"shrunk_edge":0.0505,"odds":1.27,"bookmaker":"Interwetten","prices":[{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":1.27},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.26},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.26},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.231},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.23}],"kelly":0.0497,"confidence":0.711,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"over_under_15","outcome":"under","line":1.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.3367,"book_prob":0.2788,"edge":0.058,"shrunk_edge":0.0493,"odds":3.25,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":3.25}],"kelly":0.0105,"confidence":0.711,"family":"goals"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":0.75,"push":"half","model_prob":0.2814,"book_prob":0.2169,"edge":0.0645,"shrunk_edge":0.0484,"odds":4,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":4},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":4},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":3.9},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":3.815}],"kelly":0.0105,"confidence":0.711,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":0.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.3547,"book_prob":0.2917,"edge":0.0631,"shrunk_edge":0.0473,"odds":3.1,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":3.1},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":3.05},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":3.05}],"kelly":0.0119,"confidence":0.711,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":1,"push":"full","model_prob":0.1892,"book_prob":0.1313,"edge":0.0579,"shrunk_edge":0.0434,"odds":6.33,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":6.33},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":6},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":5.8},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":5.8}],"kelly":0.0093,"confidence":0.711,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-1.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.8481,"book_prob":0.7938,"edge":0.0543,"shrunk_edge":0.0407,"odds":1.22,"bookmaker":"Novibet","prices":[{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.22},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.22},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.2},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.172}],"kelly":0.0395,"confidence":0.711,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"over_under_35","outcome":"under","line":3.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.8143,"book_prob":0.7667,"edge":0.0476,"shrunk_edge":0.0405,"odds":1.25,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.25}],"kelly":0.0179,"confidence":0.711,"family":"goals"},{"market":"btts","outcome":"no","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.5378,"book_prob":0.4907,"edge":0.0471,"shrunk_edge":0.04,"odds":1.95,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.95},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.92},{"slug":"betway","book":"Betway","odds":1.909},{"slug":"888sport","book":"888Sport","odds":1.909},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":1.909},{"slug":"betano","book":"Betano","odds":1.9},{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":1.9},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.884},{"slug":"bwin","book":"Bwin","odds":1.88},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":1.88},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.88},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":1.85}],"kelly":0.0128,"confidence":0.711,"family":"goals"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":1.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.1677,"book_prob":0.1191,"edge":0.0486,"shrunk_edge":0.0365,"odds":6.6,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":6.6},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":6.4},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":6.3}],"kelly":0.0048,"confidence":0.711,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":1.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.1506,"book_prob":0.1049,"edge":0.0456,"shrunk_edge":0.0342,"odds":7,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":7},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":6.95},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":6.8}],"kelly":0.0023,"confidence":0.711,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-1.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.863,"book_prob":0.8184,"edge":0.0446,"shrunk_edge":0.0334,"odds":1.19,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.19},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.18},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":1.17},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.15},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.141}],"kelly":0.0355,"confidence":0.711,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-2,"push":"full","model_prob":0.9539,"book_prob":0.917,"edge":0.0368,"shrunk_edge":0.0276,"odds":1.041,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.041}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.711,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-1.75,"push":"half","model_prob":0.9062,"book_prob":0.8709,"edge":0.0352,"shrunk_edge":0.0264,"odds":1.12,"bookmaker":"Novibet","prices":[{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.12},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.12},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.063}],"kelly":0.031,"confidence":0.711,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"total_corners","outcome":"over","line":9.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.5042,"book_prob":0.4605,"edge":0.0437,"shrunk_edge":0.024,"odds":2,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":2}],"kelly":0.0021,"confidence":0.711,"family":"corners"},{"market":"over_under_05","outcome":"under","line":0.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.1196,"book_prob":0.092,"edge":0.0277,"shrunk_edge":0.0235,"odds":8.5,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":8.5}],"kelly":0.0006,"confidence":0.711,"family":"goals"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-2.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.9583,"book_prob":0.934,"edge":0.0242,"shrunk_edge":0.0182,"odds":1.02,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.02}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.711,"family":"handicap"}],"verdicts":[{"candidate":{"market":"over_under_35","outcome":"under","line":3.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.7927,"book_prob":0.7667,"edge":0.0261,"shrunk_edge":0.0221,"odds":1.25,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.25}],"kelly":0,"confidence":1,"family":"goals"},"lean":false,"narrative":"Defensa y Justicia will arrive as the tighter, more clinical unit in this 4-2-3-1 tactical battle. While Talleres sit 12th, their recent output reveals a team struggling to generate opportunities, having been out-created in seven of their last ten outings. That lack of invention explains why they have stumbled through four losses in six. Conversely, Julio Vaccari has his side sitting 5th by balancing structure with efficiency, keeping three clean sheets in six matches. Though Talleres transform at home, their depleted engine room will struggle to dictate the tempo. Expect Defensa to control the middle and restrict space, as the game hinges on whether Agustín Álvarez can overcome a sturdy defensive line.","why":"Defensa y Justicia have built a solid foundation, keeping half of their recent matches clean. Since Talleres are struggling to create meaningful openings and lack key creative figures, they will likely fail to break down a well-drilled opponent. Even if Leandro Fernández manages to find space, both sides are prioritising shape over risk, ensuring we stay under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.25. The plan fails only if an early individual error opens the game up prematurely.","drivers":[],"set_aside":[{"id":"availability.lineup_confirmed","section":"§3.1","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The starting elevens are confirmed, so selection is known rather than guessed.","evidence":{"lineup_status":"confirmed","changes":null},"strength":0.3,"moves":[]},{"id":"form.home","section":"§2.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"CA Talleres have taken 0.67 points a game from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.3, and 1.33 a game at home.","evidence":{"matches":6,"ppg":0.67,"record":"1-1-4","goals_for":0.67,"goals_against":1.33,"clean_sheets":1,"streak":"winless 4","sequence":"LWLLDL","venue_ppg":1.33},"strength":0.456,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.home.settling","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Omar De Felippe is 7 games into the job at CA Talleres, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.","evidence":{"manager":"Omar De Felippe","matches_in_charge":7,"tenure_days":50,"ppm":0.57,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":0.7,"after_ppm":0.57,"delta":null}},"strength":0.3,"moves":[]}]}],"pass_reason":null,"preview":null,"external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":5653,"created_at":"2026-10-18T02:15:31Z","event":{"id":223848,"event_date":"2026-10-24T20:00:00Z","status":"finished","home_team_id":2391,"home_team":"CA Talleres","away_team_id":3136,"away_team":"Defensa y Justicia","league_id":85,"league_name":"Liga Profesional de Fútbol"},"markets":{"match_result":{"prob_home":46.4,"prob_draw":29.1,"prob_away":24.5,"predicted":"H"},"expected_goals":{"home":1.26,"away":1.07},"over_under":{"prob_over_15":70.7,"prob_over_25":44.6,"prob_over_35":23.7},"btts":{"prob_yes":50.5},"score":{"most_likely":"1-1"},"draw_no_bet":{"prob_home":57.1},"corners":{"prob_over_85":62.7,"prob_over_95":51,"prob_over_105":39.6}},"recommendations":{"favorite":"H","favorite_prob":46.4,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.4636,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}}},"computed_at":1792890367,"report":{"fetched_at":1792890535,"ht":[1,0],"attendance":null,"highlights":[{"kind":"full","title":"Talleres 1 - 2 Def y Justicia — Full Highlights","url":"https://youtu.be/Xj7MwVCd3b4","thumbnail":"https://i.ytimg.com/vi/Xj7MwVCd3b4/hqdefault.jpg"}],"events":[{"t":"goal","minute":32,"added":null,"side":"home","player":"A. Álvarez","player_id":4912,"assist":null,"kind":"regular","score":[1,0]},{"t":"card","minute":42,"added":null,"side":"home","player":"R. Riquelme","player_id":20152,"card":"yellow","reason":"Argument"},{"t":"goal","minute":47,"added":null,"side":"away","player":"L. Fernández","player_id":20161,"assist":"J. M. Gutiérrez","kind":"regular","score":[1,1]},{"t":"card","minute":60,"added":null,"side":"away","player":"D. Fernández","player_id":89321,"card":"yellow","reason":"Foul"},{"t":"sub","minute":63,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"L. Ortiz","in_id":90572,"out":"F. Fattori","out_id":20156},{"t":"sub","minute":63,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"M. Caceres","in_id":90737,"out":"G. Baroni","out_id":90571},{"t":"sub","minute":67,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"M. Porcel","in_id":96208,"out":"C. Pérez","out_id":56277},{"t":"sub","minute":67,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"A. Molinas","in_id":89312,"out":"D. Barbona","out_id":89307},{"t":"card","minute":74,"added":null,"side":"home","player":"L. Ortiz","player_id":90572,"card":"yellow","reason":"Foul"},{"t":"sub","minute":78,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"T. Perrotta","in_id":90472,"out":"L. Fernández","out_id":20161},{"t":"sub","minute":78,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"A. Hausch","in_id":89306,"out":"J. Lucco","out_id":93958},{"t":"sub","minute":81,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"D. Valoyes","in_id":10337,"out":"Rick","out_id":90563},{"t":"goal","minute":88,"added":null,"side":"away","player":"J. M. Gutiérrez","player_id":68428,"assist":"V. Loza","kind":"regular","score":[1,2]},{"t":"card","minute":90,"added":1,"side":"home","player":"A. Maidana","player_id":16913,"card":"yellow","reason":"Foul"},{"t":"sub","minute":90,"added":2,"side":"away","in":"A. Portillo","in_id":89324,"out":"J. M. Gutiérrez","out_id":68428}],"players":[{"id":90565,"team_id":2391,"minutes":90,"rating":6.8,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":5,"on_target":1,"key_passes":1},{"id":90556,"team_id":2391,"minutes":90,"rating":6.7,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":56502,"team_id":2391,"minutes":90,"rating":6.5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":20152,"team_id":2391,"minutes":90,"rating":6.8,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":1,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":16913,"team_id":2391,"minutes":90,"rating":6.7,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":1,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":4912,"team_id":2391,"minutes":90,"rating":7.5,"goals":1,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":4,"on_target":1,"key_passes":6},{"id":90561,"team_id":2391,"minutes":90,"rating":6.8,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":2,"on_target":1,"key_passes":1},{"id":10263,"team_id":2391,"minutes":90,"rating":6.9,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":4,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":90563,"team_id":2391,"minutes":81,"rating":6.6,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":3,"on_target":2,"key_passes":1},{"id":90571,"team_id":2391,"minutes":63,"rating":6.7,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":1,"key_passes":6},{"id":20156,"team_id":2391,"minutes":63,"rating":6.8,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":90737,"team_id":2391,"minutes":27,"rating":6.5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":90572,"team_id":2391,"minutes":27,"rating":6.4,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":1,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":1,"key_passes":0},{"id":10337,"team_id":2391,"minutes":9,"rating":6.3,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":90562,"team_id":2391,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":90568,"team_id":2391,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":90557,"team_id":2391,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":90558,"team_id":2391,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":90560,"team_id":2391,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":3828,"team_id":2391,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":97183,"team_id":2391,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":90567,"team_id":2391,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":90564,"team_id":2391,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":23729,"team_id":3136,"minutes":90,"rating":6.9,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":6,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":89315,"team_id":3136,"minutes":90,"rating":7.4,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":9860,"team_id":3136,"minutes":90,"rating":7.3,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":94732,"team_id":3136,"minutes":90,"rating":7.1,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":2,"on_target":2,"key_passes":0},{"id":89328,"team_id":3136,"minutes":90,"rating":6.8,"goals":0,"assists":1,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":2},{"id":89321,"team_id":3136,"minutes":90,"rating":7.1,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":1,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":68428,"team_id":3136,"minutes":89,"rating":8.1,"goals":1,"assists":1,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":1,"key_passes":2},{"id":20161,"team_id":3136,"minutes":78,"rating":7.4,"goals":1,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":4,"on_target":1,"key_passes":1},{"id":93958,"team_id":3136,"minutes":78,"rating":6.7,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":3,"on_target":1,"key_passes":0},{"id":89307,"team_id":3136,"minutes":67,"rating":6.3,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":1,"key_passes":1},{"id":56277,"team_id":3136,"minutes":67,"rating":7.2,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":2},{"id":89312,"team_id":3136,"minutes":23,"rating":6.8,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":96208,"team_id":3136,"minutes":23,"rating":6.7,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":90472,"team_id":3136,"minutes":12,"rating":6.6,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":89306,"team_id":3136,"minutes":12,"rating":6.5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":89324,"team_id":3136,"minutes":1,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":89326,"team_id":3136,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":10292,"team_id":3136,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":22746,"team_id":3136,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":89330,"team_id":3136,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":122729,"team_id":3136,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":89327,"team_id":3136,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":89316,"team_id":3136,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0}],"stats":{"home":{"possession":49,"shots":20,"on_target":7,"corners":8,"fouls":11,"yellow":3,"red":0,"big_chances":1,"passes":417,"pass_pct":81.8,"offsides":1,"saves":4},"away":{"possession":51,"shots":12,"on_target":6,"corners":3,"fouls":12,"yellow":1,"red":0,"big_chances":0,"passes":456,"pass_pct":84.9,"offsides":2,"saves":6}},"lineups":{"home":{"formation":"4-2-3-1","players":[{"id":10263,"name":"Ezequiel Unsaín","position":"G","number":32,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":90556,"name":"Augusto Schott","position":"D","number":20,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":56502,"name":"Matías Catalán","position":"D","number":4,"captain":true,"starting":true},{"id":20152,"name":"Román Riquelme","position":"D","number":6,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":16913,"name":"Alexandro Maidana","position":"D","number":3,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":20156,"name":"Federico Fattori","position":"M","number":8,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":90561,"name":"Matias Galarza","position":"M","number":5,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":90563,"name":"Rick","position":"M","number":37,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":90571,"name":"Giovanni Baroni","position":"M","number":10,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":90565,"name":"Valentín Depietri","position":"M","number":11,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":4912,"name":"Agustín Álvarez","position":"F","number":9,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":90737,"name":"Mateo Caceres","position":"M","number":26,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":90572,"name":"Lautaro Ortiz","position":"M","number":39,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":10337,"name":"Diego Valoyes","position":"F","number":7,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":90568,"name":"Santino Barbi","position":"G","number":1,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":90562,"name":"Gabriel Báez","position":"D","number":23,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":90557,"name":"Santiago Fernandez","position":"D","number":44,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":90558,"name":"Valentín Fascendini","position":"D","number":13,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":90560,"name":"Timoteo Chamorro","position":"D","number":2,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":3828,"name":"Juan Sforza","position":"M","number":15,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":97183,"name":"Jeremías Gallard","position":"M","number":27,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":90567,"name":"Valentin Davila","position":"F","number":49,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":90564,"name":"Emiliano Chiavassa","position":"F","number":36,"captain":false,"starting":false}]},"away":{"formation":"4-2-3-1","players":[{"id":23729,"name":"Matías Borgogno","position":"G","number":1,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":89328,"name":"Valentín Loza","position":"D","number":28,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":89321,"name":"Damián Fernández","position":"D","number":29,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":9860,"name":"David Martínez","position":"D","number":21,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":94732,"name":"Demian Dominguez","position":"D","number":30,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":89315,"name":"Santiago Sosa","position":"M","number":15,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":56277,"name":"César Pérez","position":"M","number":8,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":93958,"name":"Jeremías Lucco","position":"M","number":26,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":89307,"name":"David Barbona","position":"M","number":19,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":68428,"name":"Juan Manuel Gutiérrez","position":"M","number":24,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":20161,"name":"Leandro Fernández","position":"F","number":9,"captain":true,"starting":true},{"id":96208,"name":"Maximiliano Porcel","position":"M","number":22,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":89312,"name":"Aaron Molinas","position":"M","number":10,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":90472,"name":"Tiziano Perrotta","position":"F","number":11,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":89306,"name":"Agustín Hausch","position":"F","number":17,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":89324,"name":"Ayrton Portillo","position":"M","number":16,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":89330,"name":"Lautaro Amade","position":"G","number":36,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":122729,"name":"Ezequiel Burdin","position":"D","number":6,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":89327,"name":"Nazareno Roselli","position":"D","number":32,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":89326,"name":"Samuel Lucero","position":"D","number":2,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":89316,"name":"Julián López","position":"M","number":5,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":10292,"name":"Domingo Blanco","position":"M","number":27,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":22746,"name":"Tomás Pérez","position":"F","number":7,"captain":false,"starting":false}]}}},"colors":{"home":null,"away":"#0a7635"},"venue":{"name":"Mario Alberto Kempes","city":"Cordoba","capacity":57000},"pulled":[],"published":[]}