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Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Argentinos Juniors are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Independiente Rivadavia are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.14,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"230 yellow cards in this referee's last 46 games, where 210 would be usual in this league, and 16 reds.","evidence":{"matches":46,"yellows_per_match":5,"reds_per_match":0.348,"league_yellows_per_match":4.57,"league_reds_per_match":0.249,"yellow_ratio":1.09,"red_ratio":1.4},"strength":0.1,"moves":[{"channel":"cards","side":"both","pct":2.1}]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Independiente Rivadavia travel 981 km for this fixture.","evidence":{"travel_km":981},"strength":0.1,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":-0.3},{"channel":"corners","side":"away","pct":-0.3}]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.","evidence":{"rain_mm":null,"wind_kph":16.2,"temperature_c":16,"description":"rain"},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.18181617318360685},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: value","preview":"Neither of these is in good shape underneath the results. Independiente Rivadavia are trending down: their last four games have been their poorest for the chances they make and allow. As for the other side, Argentinos Juniors have been out-created in six of their last ten games. And they have most of the ball in nearly every game but it goes nowhere: in four of the six they dominated it, they did not make the better chances. The side that stops giving up the better chances first takes this one.","external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":6074,"created_at":"2026-10-21T02:15:19Z","event":{"id":223844,"event_date":"2026-10-27T22:00:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":806,"home_team":"Argentinos Juniors","away_team_id":774,"away_team":"Independiente Rivadavia","league_id":85,"league_name":"Liga Profesional de Fútbol"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"H","favorite_prob":43.8,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.438,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}}},"computed_at":1793079388,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":"#1561a7","away":"#2c1b73"},"venue":{"name":"Diego Armando Maradona","city":"Buenos Aires","capacity":24380},"pulled":[],"published":[]}