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Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Defensa y Justicia are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.05,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Instituto De Córdoba are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.16,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"149 yellow cards in this referee's last 35 games, where 161 would be usual in this league, and 11 reds.","evidence":{"matches":35,"yellows_per_match":4.26,"reds_per_match":0.314,"league_yellows_per_match":4.59,"league_reds_per_match":0.264,"yellow_ratio":0.93,"red_ratio":1.19},"strength":0.1,"moves":[{"channel":"cards","side":"both","pct":-1.6}]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Routine trip of 670 km for Instituto De Córdoba.","evidence":{"travel_km":670},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.","evidence":{"rain_mm":null,"wind_kph":17.9,"temperature_c":24,"description":"clear"},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.23242142615661424},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: value","preview":"Everything underneath the results points to Instituto De Córdoba. Instituto De Córdoba have created the better chances in seven of their last ten games. On top of that, away from home, they have made the better chances in four of their last five away games. And they have scored 17 in their last ten from chances that would usually bring about 12. That finishing is running hot. If that carries on, Instituto De Córdoba should have the better of it.","external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":5178,"created_at":"2026-10-11T02:15:32Z","event":{"id":223818,"event_date":"2026-10-16T22:00:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":3136,"home_team":"Defensa y Justicia","away_team_id":4996,"away_team":"Instituto De Córdoba","league_id":85,"league_name":"Liga Profesional de Fútbol"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"A","favorite_prob":36.8,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.3677,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}}},"computed_at":1792037796,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":"#0a7635","away":"#d41117"},"venue":{"name":"Estadio Norberto Tomaghello","city":"Gobernador Julio A. Costa","capacity":12000},"pulled":[],"published":[]}