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in charge at Estudiantes de La Plata, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.","evidence":{"manager":"Alexander Medina","matches_in_charge":26,"tenure_days":185,"ppm":1.54,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.7,"after_ppm":1.6,"delta":null}},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.home","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Central Córdoba come in on 5 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":5.010416666666667,"matchesIn7":1,"matchesIn14":1,"days_rest":5},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.away","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Estudiantes de La Plata come in on 5 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":4.916666666666667,"matchesIn7":1,"matchesIn14":1,"days_rest":4.9},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.opponent_adjustment","section":"§4.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form.","evidence":{"home":{"attack":-0.134,"defence":-0.121,"effective_matches":14.4,"shrunk":0.36},"away":{"attack":0.069,"defence":0.121,"effective_matches":15.2,"shrunk":0.35}},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Estudiantes de La Plata average 12 points more possession than Central Córdoba, so this should be one side with the ball and one without it.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":46.8,"shots":13.6,"xg_per_shot":0.076,"corners":5,"corners_per_shot":0.368,"finishing_vs_xg":-0.28},"away":{"matches":12,"possession":59.1,"shots":15.4,"xg_per_shot":0.089,"corners":4.5,"corners_per_shot":0.292,"finishing_vs_xg":-0.04},"possession_gap":-12.3},"strength":0.49,"moves":[{"channel":"corners","side":"away","pct":2.6},{"channel":"corners","side":"home","pct":-2.6},{"channel":"goals","side":"home","pct":-3}]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. 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Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.22319934174553013},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: value","preview":null,"external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":4433,"created_at":"2026-10-04T02:15:22Z","event":{"id":223787,"event_date":"2026-10-10T20:00:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":4995,"home_team":"Central Córdoba","away_team_id":787,"away_team":"Estudiantes de La Plata","league_id":85,"league_name":"Liga Profesional de Fútbol"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"A","favorite_prob":44.1,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.4413,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}}},"computed_at":1791460523,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":null,"away":null},"venue":{"name":"Estadio Alfredo Terrera","city":"Santiago del Estero","capacity":20000},"pulled":[],"published":[]}