{"id": 223765, "h2h": {"draws": 10, "away_wins": 7, "home_wins": 8, "away_goals": 31, "home_goals": 27, "away_win_rate": 0.28, "home_win_rate": 0.32, "total_matches": 25, "recent_matches": [{"away": "Newell's Old Boys", "date": "2026-03-17T22:00:00+00:00", "home": "CA Lanús", "score": "5-0", "event_id": 223750, "away_score": 0, "home_score": 5, "away_team_id": 4997, "home_team_id": 785}, {"away": "CA Lanús", "date": "2024-10-05T20:30:00+00:00", "home": "Newell's Old Boys", "score": "2-1", "event_id": 236482, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 2, "away_team_id": 785, "home_team_id": 4997}, {"away": "Newell's Old Boys", "date": "2023-05-21T00:30:00+00:00", "home": "CA Lanús", "score": "1-0", "event_id": 246082, "away_score": 0, "home_score": 1, "away_team_id": 4997, "home_team_id": 785}, {"away": "CA Lanús", "date": "2022-08-17T19:30:00+00:00", "home": "Newell's Old Boys", "score": "2-0", "event_id": 257254, "away_score": 0, "home_score": 2, "away_team_id": 785, "home_team_id": 4997}, {"away": "Newell's Old Boys", "date": "2021-09-20T18:45:00+00:00", "home": "CA Lanús", "score": "1-2", "event_id": 270295, "away_score": 2, "home_score": 1, "away_team_id": 4997, "home_team_id": 785}, {"away": "Newell's Old Boys", "date": "2020-02-16T22:40:00+00:00", "home": "CA Lanús", "score": "1-1", "event_id": 292487, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 1, "away_team_id": 4997, "home_team_id": 785}, {"away": "CA Lanús", "date": "2018-09-22T16:15:00+00:00", "home": "Newell's Old Boys", "score": "2-0", "event_id": 333227, "away_score": 0, "home_score": 2, "away_team_id": 785, "home_team_id": 4997}, {"away": "Newell's Old Boys", "date": "2017-09-25T22:05:00+00:00", "home": "CA Lanús", "score": "1-0", "event_id": 349370, "away_score": 0, "home_score": 1, "away_team_id": 4997, "home_team_id": 785}, {"away": "CA Lanús", "date": "2017-06-18T17:00:00+00:00", "home": "Newell's Old Boys", "score": "1-1", "event_id": 364890, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 1, "away_team_id": 785, "home_team_id": 4997}, {"away": "Newell's Old Boys", "date": "2016-03-05T00:30:00+00:00", "home": "CA Lanús", "score": "3-0", "event_id": 365007, "away_score": 0, "home_score": 3, "away_team_id": 4997, "home_team_id": 785}], "avg_total_goals": 2.32}, "away": "CA Lanús", "form": {"away": {"ppg": 1.67, "record": "3-1-2", "streak": "won 3", "matches": 6, "sequence": "LDLWWW", "goals_for": 1.33, "venue_ppg": 1.5, "clean_sheets": 2, "goals_against": 1}, "home": {"ppg": 2, "record": "3-3-0", "streak": "unbeaten 6", "matches": 6, "sequence": "WWDDDW", "goals_for": 1.17, "venue_ppg": 2.33, "clean_sheets": 3, "goals_against": 0.5}}, "home": "Newell's Old Boys", "pass": "Newell's Old Boys v CA Lanús is one to leave alone. The bookmakers have this one about right, so there is nothing to take.", "rank": 4, "read": {"side": null, "text": "Too close to call. A draw is live"}, "flags": [{"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "Newell's Old Boys lost the reverse fixture by 5 goals and tend to show up better than form implies in the return.", "section": "§5.3"}], "score": null, "venue": {"city": "Rosario", "name": "Estadio Marcelo Bielsa", "capacity": 49000}, "colors": {"away": "#5c2635", "home": "#ed1f26"}, "extras": null, "lambda": [1.06, 1.02], "league": "Liga Profesional de Fútbol", "ledger": [{"id": "availability.home.absences", "note": "Newell's Old Boys are without 4 players, none of them central to how the side plays.", "tier": 1, "moves": [{"pct": -0.1, "side": "home", "channel": "goals"}, {"pct": 0.7, "side": "away", "channel": "goals"}, {"pct": 0.2, "side": "both", "channel": "cards"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"count": 4, "players": [{"role": "DEF", "player": "Nicolás Goitea", "reason": "Hernia", "doubtful": false, "measured": true, "goal_share": 0, "importance": 0.036, "cover_at_position": 11}, {"role": "DEF", "player": "Franco Escobar", "reason": "Groin Strain", "doubtful": false, "measured": true, "goal_share": 0, "importance": 0.019, "cover_at_position": 11}, {"role": "DEF", "player": "Alejo Montero", "reason": "Knee Injury", "doubtful": false, "measured": false, "goal_share": 0, "importance": 0.05, "cover_at_position": 11}, {"role": "MID", "player": "Mateo García", "reason": "Cruciate Ligament Injury", "doubtful": false, "measured": true, "goal_share": 0, "importance": 0, "cover_at_position": 11}], "measured": 3, "combined_goal_share": 0, "combined_importance": 0.055}, "strength": 0.15}, {"id": "availability.away.absences", "note": "CA Lanús are without 4 players, none of them central to how the side plays.", "tier": 1, "moves": [{"pct": -0.5, "side": "away", "channel": "goals"}, {"pct": 0.7, "side": "home", "channel": "goals"}, {"pct": -0.2, "side": "away", "channel": "corners"}, {"pct": 0.5, "side": "both", "channel": "cards"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"count": 4, "players": [{"role": "DEF", "tags": ["defensive_rock"], "player": "José Canale", "reason": "national_team", "doubtful": false, "measured": true, "goal_share": 0, "importance": 0.071, "cover_at_position": 9}, {"role": "MID", "player": "Felipe Peña Biafore", "reason": "Muscle Injury", "doubtful": true, "measured": true, "goal_share": 0.136, "importance": 0.051, "cover_at_position": 9}, {"role": "MID", "tags": ["chance_creator"], "player": "Matías Sepúlveda", "reason": "national_team", "doubtful": false, "measured": true, "goal_share": 0, "importance": 0.041, "cover_at_position": 9}, {"role": "DEF", "player": "Luciano Romero", "reason": "Hamstring Injury", "doubtful": false, "measured": true, "goal_share": 0, "importance": 0.001, "cover_at_position": 9}], "measured": 4, "combined_goal_share": 0.136, "combined_importance": 0.164}, "strength": 0.41}, {"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0.809, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 0.191}, {"id": "stakes.table", "note": "A cup or a group stage, so there is no league table to read what either side is playing for.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§5.1", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.derby", "note": "Not a local derby.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.2", "evidence": {"derby": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "Newell's Old Boys lost the reverse fixture by 5 goals and tend to show up better than form implies in the return.", "tier": 2, "moves": [{"pct": 4.5, "side": "home", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.3", "evidence": {"beaten_side": "Newell's Old Boys", "reverse_date": 1773784800, "reverse_score": "5-0", "reverse_margin": 5}, "strength": 0.6}, {"id": "manager.home.established", "note": "Frank Kudelka has 26 matches in charge at Newell's Old Boys, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 1.19, "manager": "Frank Kudelka", "tenure_days": 253, "matches_in_charge": 26, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 0.3, "before_ppm": 0.8}}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "manager.away.established", "note": "Mauricio Pellegrino has 23 matches in charge at CA Lanús, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 1.43, "manager": "Mauricio Pellegrino", "tenure_days": 179, "matches_in_charge": 23, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 1.1, "before_ppm": 1.3}}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.home", "note": "Newell's Old Boys come in on 13 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 13, "days_rest": 13, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 1}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.away", "note": "CA Lanús come in on 12 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 11.822916666666666, "days_rest": 11.8, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 1}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.opponent_adjustment", "note": "Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§4.1", "evidence": {"away": {"attack": 0.074, "shrunk": 0.36, "defence": 0.093, "effective_matches": 14.5}, "home": {"attack": -0.053, "shrunk": 0.37, "defence": -0.016, "effective_matches": 13.8}}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"away": {"shots": 14.3, "corners": 5.2, "matches": 12, "possession": 49.7, "xg_per_shot": 0.096, "finishing_vs_xg": -0.12, "corners_per_shot": 0.363}, "home": {"shots": 9.4, "corners": 4.2, "matches": 12, "possession": 45.8, "xg_per_shot": 0.103, "finishing_vs_xg": 0.11, "corners_per_shot": 0.442}, "possession_gap": -3.8}, "strength": 0.153}, {"id": "style.press_matchup", "note": "Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"requires": ["ppda", "defensive_line_height"]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.home", "note": "Newell's Old Boys are scoring about what their chances are worth.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": 0.11}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.finishing.away", "note": "CA Lanús are scoring about what their chances are worth.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": -0.12}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "referee.tendency", "note": "213 yellow cards in this referee's last 43 games, where 196 would be usual in this league, and 15 reds.", "tier": 5, "moves": [{"pct": 1.9, "side": "both", "channel": "cards"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§13", "evidence": {"matches": 43, "red_ratio": 1.4, "yellow_ratio": 1.09, "reds_per_match": 0.349, "yellows_per_match": 4.95, "league_reds_per_match": 0.25, "league_yellows_per_match": 4.56}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.travel", "note": "No travel distance reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.4", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.weather", "note": "Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§6.2", "evidence": {"rain_mm": null, "wind_kph": 13.7, "description": "rain", "temperature_c": 22}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.pitch", "note": "No pitch condition reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.venue", "note": "Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.1", "evidence": {"home_adv": 0.222194187430449}, "strength": 0}], "locked": false, "people": [{"id": 90511, "name": "Josué Reinatti", "side": "home"}, {"id": 90521, "name": "Jeronimo Russo", "side": "home"}, {"id": 6584, "name": "Lautaro Giannetti", "side": "home"}, {"id": 82480, "name": "Lucas Carrizo", "side": "home"}, {"id": 90729, "name": "Martín Ortega", "side": "home"}, {"id": 90515, "name": "Luca Regiardo", "side": "home"}, {"id": 90516, "name": "Walter Mazzantti", "side": "home"}, {"id": 90520, "name": "Lautaro Rios", "side": "home"}, {"id": 90727, "name": "Jerónimo Gómez Mattar", "side": "home"}, {"id": 90518, "name": "Facundo Guch", "side": "home"}, {"id": 10316, "name": "Matías Cóccaro", "side": "home"}, {"id": 90512, "name": "Bruno Cabrera", "side": "home"}, {"id": 90730, "name": "Rodrigo Herrera", "side": "home"}, {"id": 22742, "name": "Santiago Solari", "side": "home"}, {"id": 137, "name": "Juan Ignacio Ramírez", "side": "home"}, {"id": 90514, "name": "David Sotelo", "side": "home"}, {"id": 22138, "name": "Alan Soñora", "side": "home"}, {"id": 90513, "name": "Martín Luciano", "side": "home"}, {"id": 90519, "name": "Walter Nuñez", "side": "home"}, {"id": 20163, "name": "Lucas Gómez", "side": "home"}, {"id": 90522, "name": "Francisco Scarpeccio", "side": "home"}, {"id": 90728, "name": "Marcelo Esponda", "side": "home"}, {"id": 90524, "name": "Óscar Salomón", "side": "home"}, {"id": 9948, "name": "Ian Glavinovich", "side": "home"}, {"id": 95994, "name": "Alejo Montero", "side": "home"}, {"id": 56078, "name": "Saúl Salcedo", "side": "home"}, {"id": 90523, "name": "Nicolás Goitea", "side": "home"}, {"id": 9787, "name": "Franco Escobar", "side": "home"}, {"id": 149511, "name": "Nestor Boretto", "side": "home"}, {"id": 206485, "name": "Valentin Rosso", "side": "home"}, {"id": 56501, "name": "Gabriel Arias", "side": "home"}, {"id": 91551, "name": "Valentino Acuña", "side": "home"}, {"id": 10390, "name": "Mateo García", "side": "home"}, {"id": 113028, "name": "Fabricio Tirado", "side": "home"}, {"id": 94753, "name": "Franco García", "side": "home"}, {"id": 76967, "name": "Michael Hoyos", "side": "home"}, {"id": 22124, "name": "Nahuel Losada", "side": "away"}, {"id": 22115, "name": "Sasha Marcich", "side": "away"}, {"id": 22116, "name": "Carlos Izquierdoz", "side": "away"}, {"id": 22114, "name": "Ronaldo De Jesus", "side": "away"}, {"id": 22119, "name": "Tomás Guidara", "side": "away"}, {"id": 22109, "name": "Agustín Cardozo", "side": "away"}, {"id": 22118, "name": "Gonzalo Perez", "side": "away"}, {"id": 22106, "name": "Lucas Besozzi", "side": "away"}, {"id": 22112, "name": "Franco Watson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 22104, "name": "Eduardo Salvio", "side": "away"}, {"id": 22970, "name": "Allan Wlk", "side": "away"}, {"id": 22111, "name": "Ramiro Carrera", "side": "away"}, {"id": 22099, "name": "Yoshan Valois", "side": "away"}, {"id": 22107, "name": "Felipe Peña Biafore", "side": "away"}, {"id": 22105, "name": "Agustín Medina", "side": "away"}, {"id": 206651, "name": "Gonzalo Lobos", "side": "away"}, {"id": 22113, "name": "Benjamin Acosta", "side": "away"}, {"id": 22120, "name": "Nicolás Morgantini", "side": "away"}, {"id": 22110, "name": "Thiago Laplace", "side": "away"}, {"id": 22102, "name": "Marcelino Moreno", "side": "away"}, {"id": 22125, "name": "Franco Petroli", "side": "away"}, {"id": 22122, "name": "Facundo Sánchez", "side": "away"}, {"id": 184892, "name": "Tomás López", "side": "away"}, {"id": 22121, "name": "Luciano Romero", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16912, "name": "José Canale", "side": "away"}, {"id": 22117, "name": "Octavio Ontivero", "side": "away"}, {"id": 35514, "name": "Mateo Ramírez", "side": "away"}, {"id": 96631, "name": "Jeremias Chavero", "side": "away"}, {"id": 22108, "name": "Raúl Loaiza", "side": "away"}, {"id": 22103, "name": "Matías Sepúlveda", "side": "away"}, {"id": 22098, "name": "Dylan Aquino", "side": "away"}, {"id": 22096, "name": "Walter Bou", "side": "away"}, {"id": 13632, "name": "Rodrigo Castillo", "side": "away"}], "status": "notstarted", "away_id": 785, "home_id": 4997, "kickoff": 1791057600, "lineups": {"away": {"players": [{"id": 22124, "name": "Nahuel Losada", "ai_score": 0.871, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 22115, "name": "Sasha Marcich", "ai_score": 0.86, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 22116, "name": "Carlos Izquierdoz", "ai_score": 0.889, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 22114, "name": "Ronaldo De Jesus", "ai_score": 0.551, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 22119, "name": "Tomás Guidara", "ai_score": 0.69, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 22109, "name": "Agustín Cardozo", "ai_score": 0.808, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 22118, "name": "Gonzalo Perez", "ai_score": 0.396, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 22106, "name": "Lucas 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"D", "starting": false}, {"id": 22110, "name": "Thiago Laplace", "ai_score": 0.125, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 22102, "name": "Marcelino Moreno", "ai_score": 0.116, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 22125, "name": "Franco Petroli", "ai_score": 0.05, "position": "G", "starting": false}, {"id": 22122, "name": "Facundo Sánchez", "ai_score": 0.035, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 184892, "name": "Tomás López", "ai_score": 0.03, "position": "D", "starting": false}], "formation": "4-2-3-1", "confidence": 0.832}, "home": {"players": [{"id": 90511, "name": "Josué Reinatti", "ai_score": 0.873, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 90521, "name": "Jeronimo Russo", "ai_score": 0.549, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 6584, "name": "Lautaro Giannetti", "ai_score": 0.84, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 82480, "name": "Lucas Carrizo", "ai_score": 0.582, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 90729, "name": "Martín Ortega", "ai_score": 0.692, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 90515, "name": "Luca Regiardo", "ai_score": 0.871, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 90516, "name": "Walter Mazzantti", "ai_score": 0.806, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 90520, "name": "Lautaro Rios", "ai_score": 0.432, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 90727, "name": "Jerónimo Gómez Mattar", "ai_score": 0.471, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 90518, "name": "Facundo Guch", "ai_score": 0.862, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 10316, "name": "Matías Cóccaro", "ai_score": 0.628, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 90512, "name": "Bruno Cabrera", "ai_score": 0.446, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 90730, "name": "Rodrigo Herrera", "ai_score": 0.441, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 22742, "name": "Santiago Solari", "ai_score": 0.412, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 137, "name": "Juan Ignacio Ramírez", "ai_score": 0.379, "position": "F", 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{"won": true, "goals": 2, "score": "3-0", "assists": 0, "kickoff": 1789423200, "opponent": "Deportivo Riestra"}, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.08, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 22106, "club": null, "load": {"games": 1, "country": 0, "minutes": 64}, "name": "Lucas Besozzi", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "CA Lanús", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": {"apps": 29, "goals": 0, "starts": 9, "assists": 3, "team_games": 35, "big_chances": 3, "clean_sheets": 7, "tracked_apps": 29, "tracked_starts": 9}, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "LW", "standout": {"won": true, "goals": 0, "score": "1-0", "assists": 1, "kickoff": 1776117600, "opponent": "Banfield"}, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.063, "expected_return": null}], "external": {"bsd_prediction": {"id": 4099, "event": {"id": 223765, "status": "notstarted", "away_team": "CA Lanús", "home_team": "Newell's Old Boys", "league_id": 85, "event_date": "2026-10-03T20:00:00Z", "league_name": "Liga Profesional de Fútbol", "away_team_id": 785, "home_team_id": 4997}, "model": {"version": "dc-blend-v1", "confidence": 0.3555}, "created_at": "2026-09-27T02:15:30Z", "recommendations": {"btts": false, "winner": false, "over_15": false, "over_25": false, "over_35": false, "favorite": "A", "bet_favorite": false, "favorite_prob": 35.5}}}, "venue_id": 1769, "verdicts": [], "card_rate": 0.334, "league_id": 85, "published": [], "standings": {"away": {"won": 11, "lost": 8, "drawn": 7, "group": "Clausura, Group A", "played": 26, "points": 40, "team_id": 785, "position": 6, "goal_diff": 7, "goals_for": 31, "team_name": "CA Lanús", "goals_against": 24}, "home": {"won": 7, "lost": 9, "drawn": 10, "group": "Clausura, Group A", "played": 26, "points": 31, "team_id": 4997, "position": 12, "goal_diff": -9, "goals_for": 26, "team_name": "Newell's Old Boys", "goals_against": 35}, "size": 30}, "confidence": 0.578, "live_score": null, "computed_at": 1790871772, "corner_rate": 9.02, "lambda_away": 1.023694712085327, "lambda_home": 1.0600679050570907, "pass_reason": "Nothing is mispriced enough to call. The closest was home draw-no-bet at 1.83, where the edge of 2.3 points does not clear the 8.1 needed against a 9.1% margin.", "provisional": true, "round_label": "Clausura, Group A · Matchday 11", "lineup_status": "predicted"}