{"id": 223757, "h2h": {"draws": 2, "away_wins": 2, "home_wins": 1, "away_goals": 7, "home_goals": 6, "away_win_rate": 0.4, "home_win_rate": 0.2, "total_matches": 5, "recent_matches": [{"away": "CA Independiente", "date": "2026-03-17T01:15:00+00:00", "home": "Instituto De Córdoba", "score": "2-1", "event_id": 223749, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 2, "away_team_id": 2390, "home_team_id": 4996}, {"away": "CA Independiente", "date": "2025-08-30T00:15:00+00:00", "home": "Instituto De Córdoba", "score": "0-0", "event_id": 228554, "away_score": 0, "home_score": 0, "away_team_id": 2390, "home_team_id": 4996}, {"away": "Instituto De Córdoba", "date": "2025-02-22T21:00:00+00:00", "home": "CA Independiente", "score": "2-0", "event_id": 228814, "away_score": 0, "home_score": 2, "away_team_id": 4996, "home_team_id": 2390}, {"away": "CA Independiente", "date": "2024-07-19T00:00:00+00:00", "home": "Instituto De Córdoba", "score": "3-1", "event_id": 236324, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 3, "away_team_id": 2390, "home_team_id": 4996}, {"away": "Instituto De Córdoba", "date": "2023-03-05T20:00:00+00:00", "home": "CA Independiente", "score": "2-2", "event_id": 245924, "away_score": 2, "home_score": 2, "away_team_id": 4996, "home_team_id": 2390}], "avg_total_goals": 2.6}, "away": "Instituto De Córdoba", "form": {"away": {"ppg": 2.17, "record": "4-1-1", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "WDWLWW", "goals_for": 1.5, "venue_ppg": 1.33, "clean_sheets": 3, "goals_against": 0.83}, "home": {"ppg": 1.83, "record": "3-2-1", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "WDLWDW", "goals_for": 1.17, "venue_ppg": 0.67, "clean_sheets": 2, "goals_against": 1}}, "home": "CA Independiente", "pass": null, "rank": 4, "read": null, "flags": [{"id": "form.away", "note": "Instituto De Córdoba have taken 2.17 points a game from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.8, and 1.33 a game on the road.", "section": "§2.1"}], "score": null, "venue": {"city": "Buenos Aires", "name": "Libertadores de America", "capacity": 52000}, "colors": {"away": "#d41117", "home": "#b80f17"}, "extras": {"split": {"away": {"above": null, "below": {"d": 1, "l": 2, "w": 7}}, "home": {"above": {"d": 1, "l": 2, "w": 0}, "below": {"d": 1, "l": 1, "w": 5}}}, "teams": {"away": 4996, "home": 2390}, "best_xi": [], "players": {"90601": {"caps": null, "goals": null, "signed": {"at": 1768348800, "fee": 1000000, "from": "Atlético de Rafaela"}, "country": null}}, "referee": null, "managers": {"away": {"id": 3189, "vs": {"d": 1, "l": 0, "w": 1, "last": {"score": "2-1", "result": "W", "kickoff": 1773710100}}, "name": "Diego Flores"}, "home": {"id": 3558, "vs": null, "name": "Jadson Viera"}}}, "lambda": [0.99, 0.97], "league": "Liga Profesional de Fútbol", "ledger": [{"id": "availability.home.absences", "note": "CA Independiente are without 2 players, none of them central to how the side plays.", "tier": 1, "moves": [{"pct": -0.1, "side": "home", "channel": "goals"}, {"pct": 0.3, "side": "away", "channel": "goals"}, {"pct": 0.1, "side": "both", "channel": "cards"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"count": 2, "players": [{"role": "ATT", "player": "Chimy Ávila", "reason": "Hamstring Injury", "doubtful": true, "measured": true, "goal_share": 0, "importance": 0.001, "cover_at_position": 7}, {"role": "DEF", "player": "Jonathan De Irastorza", "reason": "Cruciate Ligament Injury", "doubtful": false, "measured": false, "goal_share": 0, "importance": 0.05, "cover_at_position": 10}], "measured": 1, "combined_goal_share": 0, "combined_importance": 0.001}, "strength": 0.15}, {"id": "availability.away.absences", "note": "Instituto De Córdoba are without 1 player, none of them central to how the side plays.", "tier": 1, "moves": [{"pct": -0.6, "side": "away", "channel": "goals"}, {"pct": -0.3, "side": "away", "channel": "corners"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"count": 1, "players": [{"role": "ATT", "player": "Luca Rafaelli", "reason": "Hamstring Injury", "doubtful": false, "measured": true, "goal_share": 0.037, "importance": 0.059, "cover_at_position": 7}], "measured": 1, "combined_goal_share": 0.037, "combined_importance": 0.059}, "strength": 0.15}, {"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0.832, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 0.168}, {"id": "form.home", "note": "CA Independiente have taken 1.83 points a game from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.0, and 0.67 a game at home.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"ppg": 1.83, "record": "3-2-1", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "WDLWDW", "goals_for": 1.17, "venue_ppg": 0.67, "clean_sheets": 2, "goals_against": 1}, "strength": 0.322}, {"id": "form.away", "note": "Instituto De Córdoba have taken 2.17 points a game from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.8, and 1.33 a game on the road.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"ppg": 2.17, "record": "4-1-1", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "WDWLWW", "goals_for": 1.5, "venue_ppg": 1.33, "clean_sheets": 3, "goals_against": 0.83}, "strength": 0.544}, {"id": "stakes.table", "note": "A cup or a group stage, so there is no league table to read what either side is playing for.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§5.1", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.derby", "note": "Not a local derby.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.2", "evidence": {"derby": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "The reverse fixture finished 2-1, too close to carry a revenge motive.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.3", "evidence": {"reverse_margin": -1}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "manager.home.bounce", "note": "Jadson Viera is 5 games into the job at CA Independiente. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.", "tier": 3, "moves": [{"pct": 1, "side": "home", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 1.6, "manager": "Jadson Viera", "tenure_days": 42, "matches_in_charge": 5, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 1.6, "before_ppm": 1.6}}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "manager.away.established", "note": "Diego Flores has 26 matches in charge at Instituto De Córdoba, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 1.65, "manager": "Diego Flores", "tenure_days": 253, "matches_in_charge": 26, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 1.1, "before_ppm": 1.1}}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.home", "note": "CA Independiente come in on 13 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 13.104166666666666, "days_rest": 13.1, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 1}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.away", "note": "Instituto De Córdoba come in on 13 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 12.916666666666666, "days_rest": 12.9, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 1}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.opponent_adjustment", "note": "Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§4.1", "evidence": {"away": {"attack": 0.088, "shrunk": 0.37, "defence": 0.159, "effective_matches": 13.9}, "home": {"attack": 0.01, "shrunk": 0.36, "defence": 0.046, "effective_matches": 14.4}}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence.", "tier": 5, "moves": [{"pct": -3, "side": "home", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"away": {"shots": 14.8, "corners": 5.7, "matches": 12, "possession": 47.8, "xg_per_shot": 0.104, "finishing_vs_xg": -0.21, "corners_per_shot": 0.382}, "home": {"shots": 13.2, "corners": 5.9, "matches": 12, "possession": 50.6, "xg_per_shot": 0.078, "finishing_vs_xg": 0.06, "corners_per_shot": 0.449}, "possession_gap": 2.8}, "strength": 0.11}, {"id": "style.press_matchup", "note": "Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"requires": ["ppda", "defensive_line_height"]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.home", "note": "CA Independiente are scoring about what their chances are worth.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": 0.06}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.finishing.away", "note": "Instituto De Córdoba are scoring about what their chances are worth.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": -0.21}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "referee.tendency", "note": "81 yellow cards in this referee's last 21 games, where 96 would be usual in this league, and 4 reds. — though 21 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§13", "evidence": {"sample": 21, "matches": 21, "required": 30, "red_ratio": 0.76, "yellow_ratio": 0.85, "reds_per_match": 0.19, "yellows_per_match": 3.86, "league_reds_per_match": 0.25, "league_yellows_per_match": 4.56}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.travel", "note": "Routine trip of 655 km for Instituto De Córdoba.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§6.4", "evidence": {"travel_km": 655}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.weather", "note": "Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§6.2", "evidence": {"rain_mm": null, "wind_kph": 16.5, "description": "rain", "temperature_c": 18}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.pitch", "note": "No pitch condition reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.venue", "note": "Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.1", "evidence": {"home_adv": 0.222194187430449}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "market.overround", "note": "The bookmakers are taking a 10.0% cut on this match. The bigger their cut, the further out a price has to be before it is worth backing.", "tier": 7, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§7.3", "evidence": {"overround": 1.0995, "margin_pct": 9.95, "devig_method": "shin", "books_quoting": 3}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "market.movement", "note": "The line has barely moved since it opened.", "tier": 7, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§7.1", "evidence": {"moves": [{"outcome": "HOME", "move_pct": 0, "direction": null}, {"outcome": "DRAW", "move_pct": 0, "direction": null}, {"outcome": "AWAY", "move_pct": 0, "direction": null}]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "market.sharp_reference", "note": "The sharp reference book is not quoting this fixture.", "tier": 7, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§7.1", "evidence": {"entitled": true}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "market.prediction_market", "note": "No prediction-market prices for this fixture.", "tier": 7, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§7.2", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}], "people": [{"id": 79001, "name": "Rodrigo Rey", "side": "home"}, {"id": 78997, "name": "Facundo Zabala", "side": "home"}, {"id": 10475, "name": "Juan Fedorco", "side": "home"}, {"id": 90389, "name": "Juan Miguel Arrayago", "side": "home"}, {"id": 5061, "name": "Leonardo Godoy", "side": "home"}, {"id": 37118, "name": "Maxi Meza", "side": "home"}, {"id": 78994, "name": "Iván Marcone", "side": "home"}, {"id": 78996, "name": "Mateo Perez Curci", "side": "home"}, {"id": 56274, "name": "Matías Abaldo", "side": "home"}, {"id": 59899, "name": "Lautaro Millán", "side": "home"}, {"id": 78992, "name": "Santiago Montiel", "side": "home"}, {"id": 94, "name": "Santiago Arias", "side": "home"}, {"id": 78999, "name": "Sebastián Valdez", "side": "home"}, {"id": 95106, "name": "Josias Palais", "side": "home"}, {"id": 78991, "name": "Felipe Tempone", "side": "home"}, {"id": 11575, "name": "David Martínez", "side": "home"}, {"id": 19377, "name": "Franco Calderón", "side": "home"}, {"id": 20162, "name": "Iván Morales", "side": "home"}, {"id": 54872, "name": "Luciano Cabral", "side": "home"}, {"id": 159850, "name": "Ramiro Martino", "side": "home"}, {"id": 1583, "name": "Chimy Ávila", "side": "home"}, {"id": 90388, "name": "Facundo Cruz", "side": "home"}, {"id": 10182, "name": "Santiago Mele", "side": "home"}, {"id": 78998, "name": "Jonathan De Irastorza", "side": "home"}, {"id": 92688, "name": "Fernando Closter", "side": "home"}, {"id": 95324, "name": "Luciano Barros", "side": "home"}, {"id": 208701, "name": "Martino", "side": "home"}, {"id": 94822, "name": "Rodrigo Márquez", "side": "home"}, {"id": 94828, "name": "Simon Bodnar", "side": "home"}, {"id": 185927, "name": "Nahuel Junco", "side": "home"}, {"id": 95107, "name": "Mathias De Las Carreras", "side": "home"}, {"id": 184894, "name": "Horacio Junco", "side": "home"}, {"id": 79002, "name": "Joaquín Blázquez", "side": "home"}, {"id": 89058, "name": "Manuel Tasso", "side": "home"}, {"id": 54448, "name": "Miguel Rodríguez", "side": "home"}, {"id": 64993, "name": "Imanol Machuca", "side": "home"}, {"id": 95098, "name": "Tomás Parmo", "side": "home"}, {"id": 90510, "name": "Joel Medina", "side": "home"}, {"id": 184893, "name": "Joshua Velárdez", "side": "home"}, {"id": 16919, "name": "Gabriel Ávalos", "side": "home"}, {"id": 21140, "name": "Maximiliano Gutiérrez", "side": "home"}, {"id": 89265, "name": "Ignacio Malcorra", "side": "home"}, {"id": 78989, "name": "Ignacio Pussetto", "side": "home"}, {"id": 90593, "name": "Marcos Ledesma", "side": "away"}, {"id": 90595, "name": "Leonel Mosevich", "side": "away"}, {"id": 90594, "name": "Jonathan Galván", "side": "away"}, {"id": 90596, "name": "Fernando Alarcón", "side": "away"}, {"id": 90600, "name": "Diego Alejandro Sosa", "side": "away"}, {"id": 90597, "name": "Giuliano Cerato", "side": "away"}, {"id": 90598, "name": "Gustavo Abregú", "side": "away"}, {"id": 90602, "name": "Matías Tissera", "side": "away"}, {"id": 90599, "name": "Matías Gallardo", "side": "away"}, {"id": 90601, "name": "Alex Luna", "side": "away"}, {"id": 63263, "name": "Jhon Córdoba", "side": "away"}, {"id": 90603, "name": "Jeremías Lázaro", "side": "away"}, {"id": 90609, "name": "Hernán de la Fuente", "side": "away"}, {"id": 90610, "name": "Agustín Massaccesi", "side": "away"}, {"id": 90614, "name": "Facundo Suárez", "side": "away"}, {"id": 90726, "name": "Ignacio Méndez", "side": "away"}, {"id": 90613, "name": "Jonas Acevedo", "side": "away"}, {"id": 90604, "name": "Nicolás Guerra", "side": "away"}, {"id": 90605, "name": "Matías Fonseca", "side": "away"}, {"id": 90607, "name": "Agustín Bravo", "side": "away"}, {"id": 90606, "name": "Emanuel Sittaro", "side": "away"}, {"id": 90608, "name": "Juan Meli", "side": "away"}, {"id": 22139, "name": "Wílder Viera", "side": "away"}, {"id": 95112, "name": "Lorenzo Albarracín", "side": "away"}, {"id": 90735, "name": "Luca Rafaelli", "side": "away"}, {"id": 10465, "name": "Franco Moyano", "side": "away"}, {"id": 29037, "name": "Lucas Sanseviero", "side": "away"}, {"id": 90612, "name": "Augusto Coronel", "side": "away"}, {"id": 94760, "name": "Joaquín Medina", "side": "away"}, {"id": 94751, "name": "Franco Jara", "side": "away"}], "status": "notstarted", "away_id": 4996, "home_id": 2390, "kickoff": 1790979300, "lineups": {"away": {"players": [{"id": 90593, "name": "Marcos Ledesma", "ai_score": 0.85, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 90595, "name": "Leonel Mosevich", "ai_score": 0.884, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 90594, "name": "Jonathan Galván", "ai_score": 0.798, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 90596, "name": "Fernando Alarcón", "ai_score": 0.773, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 90600, "name": "Diego Alejandro Sosa", "ai_score": 0.87, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 90597, "name": "Giuliano Cerato", "ai_score": 0.883, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 90598, "name": "Gustavo Abregú", "ai_score": 0.823, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 90602, "name": "Matías Tissera", "ai_score": 0.693, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 90599, "name": "Matías Gallardo", "ai_score": 0.815, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 90601, "name": "Alex Luna", "ai_score": 0.81, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 63263, "name": "Jhon Córdoba", "ai_score": 0.523, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 90603, "name": "Jeremías Lázaro", "ai_score": 0.478, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 90609, "name": "Hernán de la Fuente", "ai_score": 0.332, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 90610, "name": "Agustín Massaccesi", "ai_score": 0.299, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 90614, "name": "Facundo Suárez", "ai_score": 0.294, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 90726, "name": "Ignacio Méndez", "ai_score": 0.294, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 90613, "name": "Jonas Acevedo", "ai_score": 0.29, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 90604, "name": "Nicolás Guerra", "ai_score": 0.218, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 90605, "name": "Matías Fonseca", "ai_score": 0.174, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 90607, "name": "Agustín Bravo", "ai_score": 0.05, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 90606, "name": "Emanuel Sittaro", "ai_score": 0.05, "position": "G", "starting": false}, {"id": 90608, "name": "Juan Meli", "ai_score": 0.05, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 22139, "name": "Wílder Viera", "ai_score": 0.02, "position": "M", "starting": false}], "formation": "3-4-3", "confidence": 0.932}, "home": {"players": [{"id": 79001, "name": "Rodrigo Rey", "ai_score": 0.869, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 78997, "name": "Facundo Zabala", "ai_score": 0.791, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 10475, "name": "Juan Fedorco", "ai_score": 0.686, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 90389, "name": "Juan Miguel Arrayago", "ai_score": 0.65, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 5061, "name": "Leonardo Godoy", "ai_score": 0.615, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 37118, "name": "Maxi Meza", "ai_score": 0.465, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 78994, "name": "Iván Marcone", "ai_score": 0.875, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 78996, "name": "Mateo Perez Curci", "ai_score": 0.742, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 56274, "name": "Matías Abaldo", "ai_score": 0.5, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 59899, "name": "Lautaro Millán", "ai_score": 0.444, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 78992, "name": "Santiago Montiel", "ai_score": 0.89, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 94, "name": "Santiago Arias", "ai_score": 0.453, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 78999, "name": "Sebastián Valdez", "ai_score": 0.362, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 95106, "name": "Josias Palais", "ai_score": 0.333, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 78991, "name": "Felipe Tempone", "ai_score": 0.328, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 11575, "name": "David Martínez", "ai_score": 0.288, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 19377, "name": "Franco Calderón", "ai_score": 0.215, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 20162, "name": "Iván Morales", "ai_score": 0.174, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 54872, "name": "Luciano Cabral", "ai_score": 0.164, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 159850, "name": "Ramiro Martino", "ai_score": 0.148, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 1583, "name": "Chimy Ávila", "ai_score": 0.124, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 90388, "name": "Facundo Cruz", "ai_score": 0.044, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 10182, "name": "Santiago Mele", "ai_score": 0.035, "position": "G", "starting": false}], "formation": "4-3-3", "confidence": 0.832}, "status": "predicted", "confidence": 0.832, "unavailable": [{"id": 78998, "name": "Jonathan De Irastorza", "side": "home", "reason": "Cruciate Ligament Injury", "team_id": null}, {"id": 90735, "name": "Luca Rafaelli", "side": "away", "reason": "Hamstring Injury", "team_id": null}]}, "markets": [{"best": {"AWAY": {"odds": 3.4, "bookmaker": "Bet365"}, "DRAW": {"odds": 2.85, "bookmaker": "Bet365"}, "HOME": {"odds": 2.2, "bookmaker": "Bet365"}}, "book": {"AWAY": 0.2627, "DRAW": 0.318, "HOME": 0.4192}, "line": null, "open": {"book": "consensus", "fair": {"AWAY": 0.2627, "DRAW": 0.318, "HOME": 0.4192}}, "books": 1, "model": {"AWAY": 0.3289, "DRAW": 0.3351, "HOME": 0.336}, "sharp": null, "market": "1x2", "overround": 1.0995, "confidence": 0.57}, {"best": {"12": {"odds": 1.4, "bookmaker": "Bet365"}, "1X": {"odds": 1.3, "bookmaker": "Bet365"}, "X2": {"odds": 1.615, "bookmaker": "Bet365"}}, "book": {"12": 0.682, "1X": 0.7373, "X2": 0.5808}, "line": null, "open": {"book": "consensus", "fair": {"12": 0.682, "1X": 0.7373, "X2": 0.5808}}, "books": 1, "model": {"12": 0.6649, "1X": 0.6711, "X2": 0.664}, "sharp": null, "market": "double_chance", "overround": 1.0514, "confidence": 0.57}, {"best": {"AWAY": {"odds": 2.25, "bookmaker": "Bet365"}, "HOME": {"odds": 1.571, "bookmaker": "Bet365"}}, "book": {"AWAY": 0.3852, "HOME": 0.6148}, "line": null, "open": {"book": "consensus", "fair": {"AWAY": 0.3852, "HOME": 0.6148}}, "books": 1, "model": {"AWAY": 0.4947, "HOME": 0.5053}, "sharp": null, "market": "draw_no_bet", "overround": 1.081, "confidence": 0.57}, {"best": {"no": {"odds": 1.667, "bookmaker": "Bet365"}, "yes": {"odds": 2.1, "bookmaker": "Bet365"}}, "book": {"no": 0.5618, "yes": 0.4382}, "line": null, "open": {"book": "consensus", "fair": {"no": 0.5618, "yes": 0.4382}}, "books": 1, "model": {"no": 0.5992, "yes": 0.4008}, "sharp": null, "market": "btts", "overround": 1.0761, "confidence": 0.57}, {"best": {"over": {"odds": 1.111, "bookmaker": "Bet365"}, "under": {"odds": 6.5, "bookmaker": "Bet365"}}, "book": {"over": 0.8731, "under": 0.1269}, "line": 0.5, "open": {"book": "consensus", "fair": {"over": 0.8731, "under": 0.1269}}, "books": 1, "model": {"over": 0.8475, "under": 0.1525}, "sharp": null, "market": "over_under_05", "overround": 1.0539, "confidence": 0.57}, {"best": {"over": {"odds": 1.5, "bookmaker": "Bet365"}, "under": {"odds": 2.5, "bookmaker": "Bet365"}}, "book": {"over": 0.6333, "under": 0.3667}, "line": 1.5, "open": {"book": "consensus", "fair": {"over": 0.6333, "under": 0.3667}}, "books": 1, "model": {"over": 0.5935, "under": 0.4065}, "sharp": null, "market": "over_under_15", "overround": 1.0667, "confidence": 0.57}, {"best": {"over": {"odds": 2.6, "bookmaker": "Bet365"}, "under": {"odds": 1.475, "bookmaker": "Bet365"}}, "book": {"over": 0.3533, "under": 0.6467}, "line": 2.5, "open": {"book": "consensus", "fair": {"over": 0.3533, "under": 0.6467}}, "books": 1, "model": {"over": 0.3117, "under": 0.6883}, "sharp": null, "market": "over_under_25", "overround": 1.0626, "confidence": 0.57}, {"best": {"over": {"odds": 5, "bookmaker": "Bet365"}, "under": {"odds": 1.167, "bookmaker": "Bet365"}}, "book": {"over": 0.1716, "under": 0.8284}, "line": 3.5, "open": {"book": "consensus", "fair": {"over": 0.1716, "under": 0.8284}}, "books": 1, "model": {"over": 0.1352, "under": 0.8648}, "sharp": null, "market": "over_under_35", "overround": 1.0569, "confidence": 0.57}, {"best": {}, "book": {}, "line": null, "open": null, "books": 0, "model": {"AWAY": 0.3449, "DRAW": 0.1141, "HOME": 0.541}, "sharp": null, "market": "corners_1x2", "overround": 1, "confidence": 0.456}, {"best": {}, "book": {}, "line": null, "open": null, "books": 0, "model": {"no": 0.7912, "yes": 0.2088}, "sharp": null, "market": "red_card", "overround": 1, "confidence": 0.399}], "neutral": false, "notable": [{"id": 89255, "name": "Cristian Tarragona", "rank": 1, "goals": 14}, {"id": 16891, "name": "Jordy Caicedo", "rank": 2, "goals": 13}, {"id": 90686, "name": "Junior Marabel", "rank": 3, "goals": 13}, {"id": 90496, "name": "Agustín Modica", "rank": 4, "goals": 12}, {"id": 16919, "name": "Gabriel Ávalos", "rank": 5, "goals": 11}, {"id": 16914, "name": "Alex Arce", "rank": 6, "goals": 9}, {"id": 23759, "name": "Ángel Di María", "rank": 7, "goals": 8}, {"id": 22760, "name": "Fabrizio Sartori", "rank": 8, "goals": 8}, {"id": 22793, "name": "Ignacio Russo", "rank": 9, "goals": 8}, {"id": 21998, "name": "Miguel Merentiel", "rank": 10, "goals": 8}, {"id": 90625, "name": "Agustín Auzmendi", "rank": 11, "goals": 7}, {"id": 22792, "name": "David Romero", "rank": 12, "goals": 7}, {"id": 90399, "name": "Leandro Díaz", "rank": 13, "goals": 7}, {"id": 90724, "name": "Marcelo Torres", "rank": 14, "goals": 7}, {"id": 90550, "name": "Michael Santos", "rank": 15, "goals": 7}], "players": [{"id": 78998, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Jonathan De Irastorza", "role": "DEF", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "CA Independiente", "reason": "Cruciate Ligament Injury", "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "out", "country": null, "position": "LB", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 1583, "club": null, "load": {"games": 1, "country": 0, "minutes": 21}, "name": "Chimy Ávila", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "CA Independiente", "reason": "Hamstring Injury", "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "country": 2, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": {"apps": 3, "goals": 0, "starts": 1, "assists": 0, "team_games": 31, "big_chances": 1, "clean_sheets": 0, "tracked_apps": 3, "tracked_starts": 1}, "status": "doubtful", "country": {"apps": 4, "team": null, "goals": 0, "lately": null, "assists": 1, "tournament": null}, "position": "ST", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.001, "expected_return": "2026-10-04"}, {"id": 16919, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Gabriel Ávalos", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": ["top_scorer", "top_creator", "chance_creator"], "team": "CA Independiente", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": {"apps": 23, "goals": 11, "starts": 23, "assists": 5, "team_games": 31, "big_chances": 9, "clean_sheets": 7, "tracked_apps": 23, "tracked_starts": 23}, "status": "fit", "country": {"apps": 5, "team": null, "goals": 0, "lately": null, "assists": 0, "tournament": {"apps": 4, "name": "World Cup 2026", "ended": 1783198800, "goals": 0, "assists": 0}}, "position": "ST", "standout": {"won": false, "goals": 2, "score": "4-4", "assists": 1, "kickoff": 1773182700, "opponent": "Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe"}, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.335, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 90735, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Luca Rafaelli", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Instituto De Córdoba", "reason": "Hamstring Injury", "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 1, "assists": 0, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": {"apps": 9, "goals": 1, "starts": 2, "assists": 1, "team_games": 26, "big_chances": 1, "clean_sheets": 0, "tracked_apps": 9, "tracked_starts": 2}, "status": "out", "country": null, "position": "FWD", "standout": {"won": false, "goals": 1, "score": "1-2", "assists": 0, "kickoff": 1772403300, "opponent": "Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe"}, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.059, "expected_return": "2026-10-20"}, {"id": 90601, "club": null, "load": {"games": 1, "country": 0, "minutes": 65}, "name": "Alex Luna", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": ["top_scorer", "top_creator", "ever_present"], "team": "Instituto De Córdoba", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 0, "assists": 3, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": {"apps": 24, "goals": 6, "starts": 24, "assists": 3, "team_games": 26, "big_chances": 1, "clean_sheets": 10, "tracked_apps": 24, "tracked_starts": 24}, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": {"won": true, "goals": 1, "score": "2-1", "assists": 0, "kickoff": 1773710100, "opponent": "CA Independiente"}, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.306, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 90602, "club": null, "load": {"games": 1, "country": 0, "minutes": 45}, "name": "Matías Tissera", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Instituto De Córdoba", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": {"apps": 16, "goals": 2, "starts": 8, "assists": 0, "team_games": 26, "big_chances": 0, "clean_sheets": 7, "tracked_apps": 16, "tracked_starts": 8}, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": {"won": true, "goals": 1, "score": "2-0", "assists": 0, "kickoff": 1775520900, "opponent": "Defensa y Justicia"}, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.055, "expected_return": null}], "external": {"bsd_prediction": {"id": 4058, "event": {"id": 223757, "status": "notstarted", "away_team": "Instituto De Córdoba", "home_team": "CA Independiente", "league_id": 85, "event_date": "2026-10-02T22:15:00Z", "league_name": "Liga Profesional de Fútbol", "away_team_id": 4996, "home_team_id": 2390}, "model": {"version": "dc-blend-v1", "confidence": 0.4134}, "markets": {"btts": {"prob_yes": 44.4}, "score": {"most_likely": "1-0"}, "corners": {"prob_over_85": 61.8, "prob_over_95": 50, "prob_over_105": 38.5}, "over_under": {"prob_over_15": 62.7, "prob_over_25": 36.4, "prob_over_35": 18.7}, "draw_no_bet": {"prob_home": 65.5}, "match_result": {"predicted": "H", "prob_away": 26.8, "prob_draw": 31.9, "prob_home": 41.3}, "expected_goals": {"away": 0.9, "home": 1.3}}, "created_at": "2026-09-26T02:15:26Z", "recommendations": {"btts": false, "winner": false, "over_15": false, "over_25": false, "over_35": false, "favorite": "H", "bet_favorite": false, "favorite_prob": 41.3}}}, "odds_1x2": {"AWAY": 0.26270803518426084, "DRAW": 0.31804716202387356, "HOME": 0.4192448027918656}, "top_pick": {"lean": false, "line": 3.5, "odds": 1.167, "prob": 0.851, "market": "over_under_35", "prices": [{"book": "Bet365", "odds": 1.167, "slug": "bet365"}], "outcome": "under", "bookmaker": "Bet365"}, "venue_id": 1771, "verdicts": [{"why": "Do not expect a goalfest. Instituto De Córdoba have kept three clean sheets in six, and they travel badly. CA Independiente are oddly poor at home and missing Chimy Ávila up front. Instituto are also missing Luca Rafaelli, who has one goal and one assist this season. Their last meeting finished 2-1, staying low. Back under 3.5 goals, at odds of 1.17.", "lean": false, "drivers": [{"id": "manager.home.bounce", "note": "Jadson Viera is 5 games into the job at CA Independiente. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.", "tier": 3, "moves": [{"pct": 1, "side": "home", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 1.6, "manager": "Jadson Viera", "tenure_days": 42, "matches_in_charge": 5, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 1.6, "before_ppm": 1.6}}, "strength": 0.2}], "candidate": {"edge": 0.0225, "line": 3.5, "odds": 1.167, "push": null, "kelly": 0, "family": "goals", "market": "over_under_35", "prices": [{"book": "Bet365", "odds": 1.167, "slug": "bet365"}], "outcome": "under", "book_prob": 0.8284, "bookmaker": "Bet365", "confidence": 1, "model_prob": 0.8509, "shrunk_edge": 0.0193}, "narrative": "CA Independiente are flattered by sitting 5th in the table, and they look terribly vulnerable. They are oddly poor at home. Losing Jonathan De Irastorza to a cruciate ligament problem hurts the back line, while Chimy Ávila is a doubt up front and not expected back until 4 October. Instituto De Córdoba travel badly, but they sit 3rd after winning four of their last six. Even without Luca Rafaelli, who has a hamstring problem, Instituto have real punch. Matías Tissera, Alex Luna and Jhon Córdoba are expected to start up front. Independiente have won none of their last three against sides above them.", "set_aside": [{"id": "form.away", "note": "Instituto De Córdoba have taken 2.17 points a game from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.8, and 1.33 a game on the road.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"ppg": 2.17, "record": "4-1-1", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "WDWLWW", "goals_for": 1.5, "venue_ppg": 1.33, "clean_sheets": 3, "goals_against": 0.83}, "strength": 0.544}, {"id": "form.home", "note": "CA Independiente have taken 1.83 points a game from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.0, and 0.67 a game at home.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"ppg": 1.83, "record": "3-2-1", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "WDLWDW", "goals_for": 1.17, "venue_ppg": 0.67, "clean_sheets": 2, "goals_against": 1}, "strength": 0.322}]}], "card_rate": 0.234, "confident": [{"lean": false, "line": 3.5, "odds": 1.167, "prob": 0.851, "caveat": false, "market": "over_under_35", "prices": [{"book": "Bet365", "odds": 1.167, "slug": "bet365"}], "outcome": "under", "bookmaker": "Bet365"}], "free_call": true, "league_id": 85, "published": [{"why": "Do not expect a goalfest. Instituto De Córdoba have kept three clean sheets in six, and they travel badly. CA Independiente are oddly poor at home and missing Chimy Ávila up front. Instituto are also missing Luca Rafaelli, who has one goal and one assist this season. Their last meeting finished 2-1, staying low. Back under 3.5 goals, at odds of 1.17.", "line": 3.5, "odds": 1.167, "market": "over_under_35", "result": null, "outcome": "under", "settled": false, "bookmaker": "Bet365", "narrative": "CA Independiente are flattered by sitting 5th in the table, and they look terribly vulnerable. They are oddly poor at home. Losing Jonathan De Irastorza to a cruciate ligament problem hurts the back line, while Chimy Ávila is a doubt up front and not expected back until 4 October. Instituto De Córdoba travel badly, but they sit 3rd after winning four of their last six. Even without Luca Rafaelli, who has a hamstring problem, Instituto have real punch. Matías Tissera, Alex Luna and Jhon Córdoba are expected to start up front. Independiente have won none of their last three against sides above them.", "model_prob": 0.85094921820454, "postmortem": null}], "standings": {"away": {"won": 13, "lost": 9, "drawn": 4, "group": "Clausura, Group A", "played": 26, "points": 43, "team_id": 4996, "position": 3, "goal_diff": 6, "goals_for": 30, "team_name": "Instituto De Córdoba", "goals_against": 24}, "home": {"won": 11, "lost": 7, "drawn": 8, "group": "Clausura, Group A", "played": 26, "points": 41, "team_id": 2390, "position": 5, "goal_diff": 6, "goals_for": 34, "team_name": "CA Independiente", "goals_against": 28}, "size": 30}, "candidates": [{"edge": 0.1094, "line": null, "odds": 2.25, "push": null, "kelly": 0.0226, "family": "result", "market": "draw_no_bet", "prices": [{"book": "Bet365", "odds": 2.25, "slug": "bet365"}], "outcome": "AWAY", "book_prob": 0.3852, "bookmaker": "Bet365", "confidence": 0.57, "model_prob": 0.4947, "shrunk_edge": 0.0613}, {"edge": 0.0833, "line": null, "odds": 1.615, "push": null, "kelly": 0.0294, "family": "result", "market": "double_chance", "prices": [{"book": "Bet365", "odds": 1.615, "slug": "bet365"}], "outcome": "X2", "book_prob": 0.5808, "bookmaker": "Bet365", "confidence": 0.57, "model_prob": 0.664, "shrunk_edge": 0.0466}, {"edge": 0.0662, "line": null, "odds": 3.4, "push": null, "kelly": 0.0123, "family": "result", "market": "1x2", "prices": [{"book": "Bet365", "odds": 3.4, "slug": "bet365"}], "outcome": "AWAY", "book_prob": 0.2627, "bookmaker": "Bet365", "confidence": 0.57, "model_prob": 0.3289, "shrunk_edge": 0.0371}, {"edge": 0.0416, "line": 2.5, "odds": 1.475, "push": null, "kelly": 0.008, "family": "goals", "market": "over_under_25", "prices": [{"book": "Bet365", "odds": 1.475, "slug": "bet365"}], "outcome": "under", "book_prob": 0.6467, "bookmaker": "Bet365", "confidence": 0.57, "model_prob": 0.6883, "shrunk_edge": 0.0358}, {"edge": 0.0398, "line": 1.5, "odds": 2.5, "push": null, "kelly": 0.0027, "family": "goals", "market": "over_under_15", "prices": [{"book": "Bet365", "odds": 2.5, "slug": "bet365"}], "outcome": "under", "book_prob": 0.3667, "bookmaker": "Bet365", "confidence": 0.57, "model_prob": 0.4065, "shrunk_edge": 0.0342}, {"edge": 0.0373, "line": null, "odds": 1.667, "push": null, "kelly": 0, "family": "goals", "market": "btts", "prices": [{"book": "Bet365", "odds": 1.667, "slug": "bet365"}], "outcome": "no", "book_prob": 0.5618, "bookmaker": "Bet365", "confidence": 0.57, "model_prob": 0.5992, "shrunk_edge": 0.0321}, {"edge": 0.0363, "line": 3.5, "odds": 1.167, "push": null, "kelly": 0.0138, "family": "goals", "market": "over_under_35", "prices": [{"book": "Bet365", "odds": 1.167, "slug": "bet365"}], "outcome": "under", "book_prob": 0.8284, "bookmaker": "Bet365", "confidence": 0.57, "model_prob": 0.8648, "shrunk_edge": 0.0312}, {"edge": 0.0257, "line": 0.5, "odds": 6.5, "push": null, "kelly": 0, "family": "goals", "market": "over_under_05", "prices": [{"book": "Bet365", "odds": 6.5, "slug": "bet365"}], "outcome": "under", "book_prob": 0.1269, "bookmaker": "Bet365", "confidence": 0.57, "model_prob": 0.1525, "shrunk_edge": 0.0221}, {"edge": 0.0171, "line": null, "odds": 2.85, "push": null, "kelly": 0, "family": "result", "market": "1x2", "prices": [{"book": "Bet365", "odds": 2.85, "slug": "bet365"}], "outcome": "DRAW", "book_prob": 0.318, "bookmaker": "Bet365", "confidence": 0.57, "model_prob": 0.3351, "shrunk_edge": 0.0096}, {"edge": -0.0171, "line": null, "odds": 1.4, "push": null, "kelly": 0, "family": "result", "market": "double_chance", "prices": [{"book": "Bet365", "odds": 1.4, "slug": "bet365"}], "outcome": "12", "book_prob": 0.682, "bookmaker": "Bet365", "confidence": 0.57, "model_prob": 0.6649, "shrunk_edge": -0.0096}, {"edge": -0.0257, "line": 0.5, "odds": 1.111, "push": null, "kelly": 0, "family": "goals", "market": "over_under_05", "prices": [{"book": "Bet365", "odds": 1.111, "slug": "bet365"}], "outcome": "over", "book_prob": 0.8731, "bookmaker": "Bet365", "confidence": 0.57, "model_prob": 0.8475, "shrunk_edge": -0.0221}, {"edge": -0.0363, "line": 3.5, "odds": 5, "push": null, "kelly": 0, "family": "goals", "market": "over_under_35", "prices": [{"book": "Bet365", "odds": 5, "slug": "bet365"}], "outcome": "over", "book_prob": 0.1716, "bookmaker": "Bet365", "confidence": 0.57, "model_prob": 0.1352, "shrunk_edge": -0.0312}, {"edge": -0.0373, "line": null, "odds": 2.1, "push": null, "kelly": 0, "family": "goals", "market": "btts", "prices": [{"book": "Bet365", "odds": 2.1, "slug": "bet365"}], "outcome": "yes", "book_prob": 0.4382, "bookmaker": "Bet365", "confidence": 0.57, "model_prob": 0.4008, "shrunk_edge": -0.0321}, {"edge": -0.0398, "line": 1.5, "odds": 1.5, "push": null, "kelly": 0, "family": "goals", "market": "over_under_15", "prices": [{"book": "Bet365", "odds": 1.5, "slug": "bet365"}], "outcome": "over", "book_prob": 0.6333, "bookmaker": "Bet365", "confidence": 0.57, "model_prob": 0.5935, "shrunk_edge": -0.0342}, {"edge": -0.0416, "line": 2.5, "odds": 2.6, "push": null, "kelly": 0, "family": "goals", "market": "over_under_25", "prices": [{"book": "Bet365", "odds": 2.6, "slug": "bet365"}], "outcome": "over", "book_prob": 0.3533, "bookmaker": "Bet365", "confidence": 0.57, "model_prob": 0.3117, "shrunk_edge": -0.0358}, {"edge": -0.0662, "line": null, "odds": 1.3, "push": null, "kelly": 0, "family": "result", "market": "double_chance", "prices": [{"book": "Bet365", "odds": 1.3, "slug": "bet365"}], "outcome": "1X", "book_prob": 0.7373, "bookmaker": "Bet365", "confidence": 0.57, "model_prob": 0.6711, "shrunk_edge": -0.0371}, {"edge": -0.0833, "line": null, "odds": 2.2, "push": null, "kelly": 0, "family": "result", "market": "1x2", "prices": [{"book": "Bet365", "odds": 2.2, "slug": "bet365"}], "outcome": "HOME", "book_prob": 0.4192, "bookmaker": "Bet365", "confidence": 0.57, "model_prob": 0.336, "shrunk_edge": -0.0466}, {"edge": -0.1094, "line": null, "odds": 1.571, "push": null, "kelly": 0, "family": "result", "market": "draw_no_bet", "prices": [{"book": "Bet365", "odds": 1.571, "slug": "bet365"}], "outcome": "HOME", "book_prob": 0.6148, "bookmaker": "Bet365", "confidence": 0.57, "model_prob": 0.5053, "shrunk_edge": -0.0613}], "confidence": 0.57, "live_score": null, "computed_at": 1790871972, "corner_rate": 9.88, "lambda_away": 0.971854525861161, "lambda_home": 0.9852630459438565, "pass_reason": null, "provisional": true, "round_label": "Clausura, Group A · Matchday 11", "lineup_status": "predicted"}