{"id":223726,"league_id":85,"league":"Liga Profesional de Fútbol","kickoff":1789765200,"home":"Central Córdoba","away":"Defensa y Justicia","home_id":4995,"away_id":3136,"verdicts":[],"markets":[],"restored":true,"status":"finished","score":[2,2],"colors":{"home":null,"away":"#0a7635"},"venue":null,"pulled":[],"published":[{"market":"over_under_35","outcome":"under","line":3.5,"odds":1.167,"bookmaker":"Bet365","model_prob":0.81,"narrative":"Under 3.5 goals at 1.17. Neither attack is modelled to do much damage — 1.20 and 1.07 — so the goals market is where the confidence sits. Before anyone treats this as settled, one side wants the ball and the other is happy without it: 11 points of possession separate Defensa y Justicia and Central Córdoba across the season. Everything above points the same way: fewer than 3.5 goals in it. 81% likely, returning 17p in the pound. The confidence is the point here, not the payout.","why":null,"result":"LOST","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"missed","swing":1,"closeness":"knife-edge","shape":null,"expected_total":null,"actual_total":4,"market":null,"opening_odds":null,"closing_odds":null,"line":"One goal away from settling the other way."}}]}