{"id": 223119, "h2h": {"draws": 0, "away_wins": 1, "home_wins": 1, "away_goals": 5, "home_goals": 2, "away_win_rate": 0.5, "home_win_rate": 0.5, "total_matches": 2, "recent_matches": [{"away": "Saint Kitts and Nevis", "date": "2024-11-18T19:00:00+00:00", "home": "Cuba", "score": "4-0", "event_id": 209175, "away_score": 0, "home_score": 4, "away_team_id": 2294, "home_team_id": 683}, {"away": "Cuba", "date": "2024-11-14T23:00:00+00:00", "home": "Saint Kitts and Nevis", "score": "2-1", "event_id": 209187, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 2, "away_team_id": 683, "home_team_id": 2294}], "avg_total_goals": 3.5}, "away": "Cuba", "form": {"away": {"ppg": 2.33, "record": "4-2-0", "streak": "unbeaten 6", "matches": 6, "sequence": "WWDDWW", "goals_for": 2.17, "venue_ppg": 2, "clean_sheets": 4, "goals_against": 0.5}, "home": {"ppg": 1.17, "record": "2-1-3", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "LLDLWW", "goals_for": 1.83, "venue_ppg": 1, "clean_sheets": 2, "goals_against": 2.67}}, "home": "Saint Kitts and Nevis", "plan": "monthly", "rank": 5, "flags": [{"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "section": "§3.1"}, {"id": "form.away", "note": "Cuba have taken 2.33 points a game from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 0.5, and 2.00 a game on the road.", "section": "§2.1"}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "Cuba average 13 points more possession than Saint Kitts and Nevis, so this should be one side with the ball and one without it; Cuba work noticeably more of their attacks into wide areas.", "section": "§4.2"}], "score": null, "venue": {"city": "Port Of Spain", "name": "Hasely Crawford Stadium", "capacity": 27000}, "colors": {"away": "#0b2e83", "home": "#39930c"}, "extras": {"split": {"away": {"above": null, "below": {"d": 0, "l": 0, "w": 2}}, "home": {"above": null, "below": {"d": 0, "l": 0, "w": 2}}}, "teams": {"away": 683, "home": 2294}, "best_xi": [], "players": {"11577": {"caps": 2, "goals": 0, "signed": null, "country": "Cuba"}, "37334": {"caps": 3, "goals": 0, "signed": null, "country": "Saint Kitts and Nevis"}, "55255": {"caps": 26, "goals": 9, "signed": null, "country": "Saint Kitts and Nevis"}}, "referee": null, "managers": {"away": {"id": 42, "vs": {"d": 0, "l": 1, "w": 1, "last": {"score": "4-0", "result": "W", "kickoff": 1731956400}}, "name": "Pedro Pereira"}, "home": {"id": 1715, "vs": {"d": 0, "l": 1, "w": 1, "last": {"score": "0-4", "result": "L", "kickoff": 1731956400}}, "name": "Marcelo Serrano"}}}, "lambda": [1.64, 1.44], "league": "CONCACAF Nations League", "ledger": [{"id": "availability.home.full_strength", "note": "Saint Kitts and Nevis report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.away.full_strength", "note": "Cuba report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0.268, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 0.732}, {"id": "stakes.table", "note": "A cup or a group stage, so there is no league table to read what either side is playing for.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§5.1", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.derby", "note": "Not a local derby.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.2", "evidence": {"derby": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "Saint Kitts and Nevis lost the reverse fixture by 4 goals and tend to show up better than form implies in the return.", "tier": 2, "moves": [{"pct": 3.6, "side": "home", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.3", "evidence": {"beaten_side": "Saint Kitts and Nevis", "reverse_date": 1731956400, "reverse_score": "4-0", "reverse_margin": 4}, "strength": 0.48}, {"id": "manager.home.settling", "note": "Marcelo Serrano is 12 games into the job at Saint Kitts and Nevis, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 1.83, "manager": "Marcelo Serrano", "tenure_days": 848, "matches_in_charge": 12, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 1.9, "before_ppm": 0.8}}, "strength": 0.3}, {"id": "manager.away.bounce", "note": "Pedro Pereira is 3 games into the job at Cuba. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.", "tier": 3, "moves": [{"pct": 2.1, "side": "away", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 2.33, "manager": "Pedro Pereira", "tenure_days": 188, "matches_in_charge": 3, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 2.33, "before_ppm": 1.3}}, "strength": 0.35}, {"id": "fatigue.home", "note": "Saint Kitts and Nevis come in on 4 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 3.875, "days_rest": 3.9, "matchesIn7": 2, "matchesIn14": 2}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.away", "note": "Cuba come in on 4 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 4, "days_rest": 4, "matchesIn7": 2, "matchesIn14": 2}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.opponent_adjustment", "note": "Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form. — though 2.00824584282386 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.1", "evidence": {"away": {"attack": 0.091, "shrunk": 0.8, "defence": 0.171, "effective_matches": 2}, "home": {"attack": 0.09, "shrunk": 0.8, "defence": 0.109, "effective_matches": 2}, "sample": 2.00824584282386, "required": 6}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "Cuba average 13 points more possession than Saint Kitts and Nevis, so this should be one side with the ball and one without it; Cuba work noticeably more of their attacks into wide areas.", "tier": 5, "moves": [{"pct": 2.6, "side": "away", "channel": "corners"}, {"pct": -2.6, "side": "home", "channel": "corners"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"away": {"shots": 18.3, "corners": 7.5, "matches": 12, "possession": 66, "xg_per_shot": 0.084, "finishing_vs_xg": -0.2, "corners_per_shot": 0.411}, "home": {"shots": 14, "corners": 4.3, "matches": 12, "possession": 53.5, "xg_per_shot": 0.096, "finishing_vs_xg": 0.24, "corners_per_shot": 0.304}, "possession_gap": -12.5}, "strength": 0.5}, {"id": "style.press_matchup", "note": "Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"requires": ["ppda", "defensive_line_height"]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.home", "note": "Saint Kitts and Nevis are scoring about what their chances are worth.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": 0.24}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.finishing.away", "note": "Cuba are scoring about what their chances are worth.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": -0.2}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "referee.tendency", "note": "No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§13", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.travel", "note": "No travel distance reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.4", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.weather", "note": "Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§6.2", "evidence": {"rain_mm": null, "wind_kph": 9.1, "description": null, "temperature_c": 27}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.pitch", "note": "No pitch condition reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.venue", "note": "Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.1", "evidence": {"home_adv": 0.17844396388005}, "strength": 0}], "locked": true, "people": [{"id": 55249, "name": "Julani Archibald", "side": "home"}, {"id": 154216, "name": "Micaah Garnette", "side": "home"}, {"id": 55251, "name": "Lois Maynard", "side": "home"}, {"id": 55605, "name": "Andre Burley", "side": "home"}, {"id": 33610, "name": "Jordan Bowery", "side": "home"}, {"id": 55604, "name": "Omari Sterling-James", "side": "home"}, {"id": 55256, "name": "Romaine Sawyers", "side": "home"}, {"id": 55254, "name": "Yohannes Mitchum", "side": "home"}, {"id": 55255, "name": "Tiquanny Williams", "side": "home"}, {"id": 37334, "name": "Tyreece Simpson", "side": "home"}, {"id": 55266, "name": "Harry Panayiotou", "side": "home"}, {"id": 33916, "name": "Rico Browne", "side": "home"}, {"id": 56717, "name": "Malique Roberts", "side": "home"}, {"id": 55253, "name": "Mervin Lewis", "side": "home"}, {"id": 56722, "name": "Kyle Kelly", "side": "home"}, {"id": 55257, "name": "Gvaune Amory", "side": "home"}, {"id": 57698, "name": "Theo Wharton", "side": "home"}, {"id": 68718, "name": "Luca Crolla", "side": "home"}, {"id": 55250, "name": "Denis Fleming", "side": "home"}, {"id": 55260, "name": "Nequan Browne", "side": "home"}, {"id": 33754, "name": "Tyrese Shade", "side": "home"}, {"id": 60325, "name": "Daron Thomas", "side": "home"}, {"id": 60321, "name": "Savi-K Morton", "side": "home"}, {"id": 55242, "name": "Ismel Morgado", "side": "away"}, {"id": 55231, "name": "Karel Pérez", "side": "away"}, {"id": 55230, "name": "Carlos Alberto Cavafe", "side": "away"}, {"id": 55239, "name": "Camilo Pinillo", "side": "away"}, {"id": 55228, "name": "Orlando Calvo", "side": "away"}, {"id": 55229, "name": "Karel Espino", "side": "away"}, {"id": 56450, "name": "Yunior Pérez", "side": "away"}, {"id": 55235, "name": "Yasniel Matos", "side": "away"}, {"id": 55238, "name": "Marcos Campos", "side": "away"}, {"id": 55234, "name": "Dairon Reyes", "side": "away"}, {"id": 11577, "name": "Jorge Aguirre", "side": "away"}, {"id": 55232, "name": "Diego Catasus", "side": "away"}, {"id": 59920, "name": "Eloy Nebreda", "side": "away"}, {"id": 11931, "name": "Luis Paradela", "side": "away"}, {"id": 55233, "name": "Pedro Bravo", "side": "away"}, {"id": 55236, "name": "Alessio Raballo", "side": "away"}, {"id": 56716, "name": "Michael Camejo", "side": "away"}, {"id": 56453, "name": "Daniel Díaz", "side": "away"}, {"id": 214345, "name": "Didier Reinoso", "side": "away"}, {"id": 52841, "name": "Raiko Arozarena", "side": "away"}, {"id": 214347, "name": "Maikol Vega", "side": "away"}, {"id": 56452, "name": "Alejandro Delgado", "side": "away"}, {"id": 55227, "name": "Yurdy Hodelín", "side": "away"}], "status": "notstarted", "away_id": 683, "home_id": 2294, "kickoff": 1790974800, "lineups": {"away": {"players": [{"id": 55242, "name": "Ismel Morgado", "ai_score": 0.399, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 55231, "name": "Karel Pérez", "ai_score": 0.508, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 55230, "name": "Carlos Alberto Cavafe", "ai_score": 0.318, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 55239, "name": "Camilo Pinillo", "ai_score": 0.223, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 55228, "name": "Orlando Calvo", "ai_score": 0.333, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 55229, "name": "Karel Espino", "ai_score": 0.503, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 56450, "name": "Yunior Pérez", "ai_score": 0.389, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 55235, "name": "Yasniel Matos", "ai_score": 0.346, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 55238, "name": "Marcos Campos", "ai_score": 0.377, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 55234, "name": "Dairon Reyes", "ai_score": 0.426, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 11577, "name": "Jorge Aguirre", "ai_score": 0.322, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 55232, "name": "Diego Catasus", "ai_score": 0.419, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 59920, "name": "Eloy Nebreda", "ai_score": 0.341, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 11931, "name": "Luis Paradela", "ai_score": 0.338, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 55233, "name": "Pedro Bravo", "ai_score": 0.331, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 55236, "name": "Alessio Raballo", "ai_score": 0.317, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 56716, "name": "Michael Camejo", "ai_score": 0.311, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 56453, "name": "Daniel Díaz", "ai_score": 0.281, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 214345, "name": "Didier Reinoso", "ai_score": 0.281, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 52841, "name": "Raiko Arozarena", "ai_score": 0.273, "position": "G", "starting": false}, {"id": 214347, "name": "Maikol Vega", "ai_score": 0.267, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 56452, "name": "Alejandro Delgado", "ai_score": 0.265, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 55227, "name": "Yurdy Hodelín", "ai_score": 0.241, "position": "G", "starting": false}], "formation": "4-2-3-1", "confidence": 0.268}, "home": {"players": [{"id": 55249, "name": "Julani Archibald", "ai_score": 0.583, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 154216, "name": "Micaah Garnette", "ai_score": 0.343, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 55251, "name": "Lois Maynard", "ai_score": 0.326, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 55605, "name": "Andre Burley", "ai_score": 0.275, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 33610, "name": "Jordan Bowery", "ai_score": 0.483, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 55604, "name": "Omari Sterling-James", "ai_score": 0.407, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 55256, "name": "Romaine Sawyers", "ai_score": 0.556, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 55254, "name": "Yohannes Mitchum", "ai_score": 0.352, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 55255, "name": "Tiquanny Williams", "ai_score": 0.568, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 37334, "name": "Tyreece Simpson", "ai_score": 0.381, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 55266, "name": "Harry Panayiotou", "ai_score": 0.323, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 33916, "name": "Rico Browne", "ai_score": 0.352, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 56717, "name": "Malique Roberts", "ai_score": 0.351, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 55253, "name": "Mervin Lewis", "ai_score": 0.347, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 56722, "name": "Kyle Kelly", "ai_score": 0.34, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 55257, "name": "Gvaune Amory", "ai_score": 0.331, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 57698, "name": "Theo Wharton", "ai_score": 0.317, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 68718, "name": "Luca Crolla", "ai_score": 0.263, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 55250, "name": "Denis Fleming", "ai_score": 0.248, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 55260, "name": "Nequan Browne", "ai_score": 0.244, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 33754, "name": "Tyrese Shade", "ai_score": 0.194, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 60325, "name": "Daron Thomas", "ai_score": 0.187, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 60321, "name": "Savi-K Morton", "ai_score": 0.185, "position": "F", "starting": false}], "formation": "4-4-2", "confidence": 0.364}, "status": "predicted", "confidence": 0.268, "unavailable": []}, "neutral": false, "notable": [{"id": 55255, "name": "Tiquanny Williams", "rank": 1, "goals": 5}, {"id": 22232, "name": "Kenji Gorré", "rank": 2, "goals": 4}, {"id": 56664, "name": "Axel Raga Rigobert", "rank": 3, "goals": 3}, {"id": 214319, "name": "Djamalee Boisné", "rank": 4, "goals": 3}, {"id": 55187, "name": "Kegan Caull", "rank": 5, "goals": 3}, {"id": 59557, "name": "William Jehú Fajardo", "rank": 6, "goals": 3}, {"id": 48454, "name": "Ashley Boatswain", "rank": 7, "goals": 2}, {"id": 56946, "name": "Billy Forbes", "rank": 8, "goals": 2}, {"id": 17159, "name": "Brayan Gil", "rank": 9, "goals": 2}, {"id": 11191, "name": "Carlos Mora", "rank": 10, "goals": 2}, {"id": 214211, "name": "Christopher Douglas", "rank": 11, "goals": 2}, {"id": 29825, "name": "Heinz Mörschel", "rank": 12, "goals": 2}, {"id": 57500, "name": "Jannick Liburd", "rank": 13, "goals": 2}, {"id": 60336, "name": "Jordan Alexandre", "rank": 14, "goals": 2}, {"id": 5352, "name": "Justin Lonwijk", "rank": 15, "goals": 2}], "players": [{"id": 55255, "club": null, "load": {"games": 2, "country": 2, "minutes": 169}, "name": "Tiquanny Williams", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": ["in_form"], "team": "Saint Kitts and Nevis", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 2, "goals": 5, "assists": 0, "country": 2, "scoredIn": 2}, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": {"apps": 2, "team": "Saint Kitts and Nevis", "goals": 5, "lately": {"apps": 2, "goals": 5, "assists": 0}, "assists": 0, "tournament": null}, "position": "RW", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 37334, "club": "Port Vale", "load": {"games": 2, "country": 2, "minutes": 91}, "name": "Tyreece Simpson", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Saint Kitts and Nevis", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "country": 2, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": {"apps": 4, "goals": 0, "starts": 0, "assists": 0, "team_games": 13, "big_chances": 0, "clean_sheets": 0, "tracked_apps": 4, "tracked_starts": 0}, "status": "fit", "country": {"apps": 2, "team": "Saint Kitts and Nevis", "goals": 0, "lately": {"apps": 2, "goals": 0, "assists": 0}, "assists": 0, "tournament": null}, "position": "ST", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 11577, "club": "Torreense", "load": null, "name": "Jorge Aguirre", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Cuba", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}], "external": {"bsd_prediction": {"id": 4060, "event": {"id": 223119, "status": "notstarted", "away_team": "Cuba", "home_team": "Saint Kitts and Nevis", "league_id": 65, "event_date": "2026-10-02T21:00:00Z", "league_name": "CONCACAF Nations League", "away_team_id": 683, "home_team_id": 2294}, "model": {"version": "dc-blend-v1", "confidence": 0.4932}, "created_at": "2026-09-26T02:15:26Z", "recommendations": {"btts": false, "winner": false, "over_15": false, "over_25": false, "over_35": false, "favorite": "A", "bet_favorite": false, "favorite_prob": 49.3}}}, "venue_id": 1463, "verdicts": [{"drivers": [{"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "Saint Kitts and Nevis lost the reverse fixture by 4 goals and tend to show up better than form implies in the return.", "tier": 2, "moves": [{"pct": 3.6, "side": "home", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.3", "evidence": {"beaten_side": "Saint Kitts and Nevis", "reverse_date": 1731956400, "reverse_score": "4-0", "reverse_margin": 4}, "strength": 0.48}, {"id": "manager.away.bounce", "note": "Pedro Pereira is 3 games into the job at Cuba. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.", "tier": 3, "moves": [{"pct": 2.1, "side": "away", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 2.33, "manager": "Pedro Pereira", "tenure_days": 188, "matches_in_charge": 3, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 2.33, "before_ppm": 1.3}}, "strength": 0.35}], "narrative": "Saint Kitts and Nevis are completely flattered by being 2nd in the table. Marcelo Serrano is still settling in at Saint Kitts and Nevis, and his side have lost three of their last six. They line up in a 4-4-2 with Julani Archibald in goal, while Tiquanny Williams, Tyreece Simpson and Harry Panayiotou are expected to start up front. Cuba are top of the table. Pedro Pereira took over at Cuba only three games ago, but they have won four of their last six and kept four clean sheets in six. With Ismel Morgado in goal and Jorge Aguirre expected to start up front in a 4-2-3-1, Cuba look far better.", "set_aside": [{"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0.268, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 0.732}, {"id": "manager.home.settling", "note": "Marcelo Serrano is 12 games into the job at Saint Kitts and Nevis, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 1.83, "manager": "Marcelo Serrano", "tenure_days": 848, "matches_in_charge": 12, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 1.9, "before_ppm": 0.8}}, "strength": 0.3}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "Cuba average 13 points more possession than Saint Kitts and Nevis, so this should be one side with the ball and one without it; Cuba work noticeably more of their attacks into wide areas.", "tier": 5, "moves": [{"pct": 2.6, "side": "away", "channel": "corners"}, {"pct": -2.6, "side": "home", "channel": "corners"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"away": {"shots": 18.3, "corners": 7.5, "matches": 12, "possession": 66, "xg_per_shot": 0.084, "finishing_vs_xg": -0.2, "corners_per_shot": 0.411}, "home": {"shots": 14, "corners": 4.3, "matches": 12, "possession": 53.5, "xg_per_shot": 0.096, "finishing_vs_xg": 0.24, "corners_per_shot": 0.304}, "possession_gap": -12.5}, "strength": 0.5}]}], "card_rate": 0.47, "league_id": 65, "published": [], "standings": {"away": {"won": 2, "lost": 0, "drawn": 0, "group": "League B, Group C", "played": 2, "points": 6, "team_id": 683, "position": 1, "goal_diff": 5, "goals_for": 5, "team_name": "Cuba", "goals_against": 0}, "home": {"won": 2, "lost": 0, "drawn": 0, "group": "League B, Group C", "played": 2, "points": 6, "team_id": 2294, "position": 2, "goal_diff": 4, "goals_for": 5, "team_name": "Saint Kitts and Nevis", "goals_against": 1}, "size": 37}, "confidence": 0.321, "live_score": null, "computed_at": 1790871973, "corner_rate": 9.1, "lambda_away": 1.4441916177949012, "lambda_home": 1.644932740555577, "provisional": true, "round_label": "League B, Group C · Matchday 3", "locked_calls": 1, "lineup_status": "predicted"}