{"id": 223115, "h2h": {"draws": 1, "away_wins": 1, "home_wins": 0, "away_goals": 4, "home_goals": 2, "away_win_rate": 0.5, "home_win_rate": 0, "total_matches": 2, "recent_matches": [{"away": "Suriname", "date": "2025-11-19T01:00:00+00:00", "home": "Guatemala", "score": "3-1", "event_id": 208865, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 3, "away_team_id": 2291, "home_team_id": 660}, {"away": "Guatemala", "date": "2025-10-10T21:00:00+00:00", "home": "Suriname", "score": "1-1", "event_id": 208825, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 1, "away_team_id": 660, "home_team_id": 2291}], "avg_total_goals": 3}, "away": "Guatemala", "form": {"away": {"ppg": 0.5, "record": "1-0-5", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "LLLLLW", "goals_for": 1.5, "venue_ppg": 0, "clean_sheets": 1, "goals_against": 2.83}, "home": {"ppg": 1.83, "record": "3-2-1", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "DDWLWW", "goals_for": 2, "venue_ppg": 2.33, "clean_sheets": 1, "goals_against": 1.33}}, "home": "Suriname", "pass": "Nothing to take on Suriname against Guatemala. It is too close to call with any conviction.", "rank": 5, "read": {"side": null, "text": "Too close to call"}, "flags": [{"id": "form.away", "note": "Guatemala have taken 0.50 points a game from their last 6 (1W 0D 5L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.8, and 0.00 a game on the road.", "section": "§2.1"}], "score": null, "venue": {"city": "Paramaribo", "name": "Dr. Ir. Franklin Essed Stadion", "capacity": 3500}, "colors": {"away": "#4997d0", "home": "#af0e2f"}, "extras": {"split": {"away": {"above": null, "below": {"d": 0, "l": 1, "w": 1}}, "home": {"above": null, "below": {"d": 0, "l": 0, "w": 2}}}, "teams": {"away": 660, "home": 2291}, "best_xi": [], "players": {"4190": {"caps": 14, "goals": 1, "signed": null, "country": "Suriname"}, "5352": {"caps": 15, "goals": 4, "signed": null, "country": "Suriname"}, "7304": {"caps": 15, "goals": 1, "signed": null, "country": "Suriname"}, "16678": {"caps": 53, "goals": 1, "signed": null, "country": "Guatemala"}, "59557": {"caps": 5, "goals": 3, "signed": null, "country": "Guatemala"}}, "referee": null, "managers": {"away": {"id": 695, "vs": {"d": 1, "l": 0, "w": 1, "last": {"score": "3-1", "result": "W", "kickoff": 1763514000}}, "name": "Luis Fernando Tena"}, "home": {"id": 3924, "vs": {"d": 1, "l": 1, "w": 0, "last": {"score": "1-3", "result": "L", "kickoff": 1763514000}}, "name": "Henk Fraser"}}}, "lambda": [1.89, 1.86], "league": "CONCACAF Nations League", "ledger": [{"id": "availability.home.full_strength", "note": "Suriname report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.away.full_strength", "note": "Guatemala report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0.673, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 0.327}, {"id": "stakes.table", "note": "A cup or a group stage, so there is no league table to read what either side is playing for.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§5.1", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.derby", "note": "Not a local derby.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.2", "evidence": {"derby": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "The reverse fixture finished 3-1, too close to carry a revenge motive.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.3", "evidence": {"reverse_margin": -2}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "manager.home.settling", "note": "Henk Fraser is 14 games into the job at Suriname, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 2.21, "manager": "Henk Fraser", "tenure_days": 850, "matches_in_charge": 14, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 1.9, "before_ppm": 1}}, "strength": 0.3}, {"id": "manager.away.settling", "note": "Luis Fernando Tena is 6 games into the job at Guatemala, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 0.5, "manager": "Luis Fernando Tena", "tenure_days": 258, "matches_in_charge": 6, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 0.5, "before_ppm": 1.2}}, "strength": 0.3}, {"id": "fatigue.home", "note": "Suriname come in on 4 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 4, "days_rest": 4, "matchesIn7": 2, "matchesIn14": 2}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.away", "note": "Guatemala come in on 4 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 3.8333333333333335, "days_rest": 3.8, "matchesIn7": 2, "matchesIn14": 2}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.opponent_adjustment", "note": "Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form. — though 1.98690187608644 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.1", "evidence": {"away": {"attack": 0.258, "shrunk": 0.8, "defence": 0.007, "effective_matches": 2}, "home": {"attack": 0.101, "shrunk": 0.8, "defence": 0.004, "effective_matches": 2}, "sample": 1.98690187608644, "required": 6}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"away": {"shots": 12.2, "corners": 4.6, "matches": 12, "possession": 44.9, "xg_per_shot": 0.091, "finishing_vs_xg": 0.31, "corners_per_shot": 0.381}, "home": {"shots": 10.1, "corners": 3.8, "matches": 12, "possession": 51.8, "xg_per_shot": 0.105, "finishing_vs_xg": 0.44, "corners_per_shot": 0.372}, "possession_gap": 6.9}, "strength": 0.277}, {"id": "style.press_matchup", "note": "Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"requires": ["ppda", "defensive_line_height"]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.home", "note": "Suriname have scored 5 more than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": 0.44}, "strength": 0.25}, {"id": "style.finishing.away", "note": "Guatemala have scored 4 more than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": 0.31}, "strength": 0.25}, {"id": "referee.tendency", "note": "No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§13", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.travel", "note": "No travel distance reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.4", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.weather", "note": "Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§6.2", "evidence": {"rain_mm": null, "wind_kph": 12.7, "description": "unknown", "temperature_c": 28}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.pitch", "note": "No pitch condition reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.venue", "note": "Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.1", "evidence": {"home_adv": 0.17844396388005}, "strength": 0}], "locked": false, "people": [{"id": 5383, "name": "Etienne Vaessen", "side": "home"}, {"id": 6585, "name": "Kenneth Paal", "side": "home"}, {"id": 6674, "name": "Myenty Abena", "side": "home"}, {"id": 29136, "name": "Liam Van Gelderen", "side": "home"}, {"id": 54059, "name": "Djavan Anderson", "side": "home"}, {"id": 8194, "name": "Shaquille Riley Pinas", "side": "home"}, {"id": 28112, "name": "Radinio Balker", "side": "home"}, {"id": 4190, "name": "Richonell Margaret", "side": "home"}, {"id": 5456, "name": "Tjaronn Chery", "side": "home"}, {"id": 7304, "name": "Gyrano Kerk", "side": "home"}, {"id": 2675, "name": "Sheraldo Becker", "side": "home"}, {"id": 5352, "name": "Justin Lonwijk", "side": "home"}, {"id": 11286, "name": "Denzel Jubitana", "side": "home"}, {"id": 13399, "name": "Dhoraso Moreo Klas", "side": "home"}, {"id": 29126, "name": "Jean-Paul Boëtius", "side": "home"}, {"id": 5377, "name": "Djevencio van der Kust", "side": "home"}, {"id": 15939, "name": "Warner Hahn", "side": "home"}, {"id": 6504, "name": "Stefano Denswil", "side": "home"}, {"id": 35056, "name": "Gleofilo Vlijter", "side": "home"}, {"id": 5410, "name": "Yannick Leliendal", "side": "home"}, {"id": 36069, "name": "Shiloh 't Zand", "side": "home"}, {"id": 3914, "name": "Immanuel Pherai", "side": "home"}, {"id": 29746, "name": "Ridgeciano Haps", "side": "home"}, {"id": 9739, "name": "Nicholas Hagen", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16673, "name": "José Morales", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16672, "name": "Nicolás Samayoa", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16671, "name": "José Pinto", "side": "away"}, {"id": 9734, "name": "Aaron Herrera", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16675, "name": "Jonathan Franco", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16682, "name": "José Rosales", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16676, "name": "Rudy Muñoz", "side": "away"}, {"id": 54056, "name": "Antonio López", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16677, "name": "Óscar Santis", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16678, "name": "Darwin Lom", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16669, "name": "Kenderson Navarro", "side": "away"}, {"id": 9600, "name": "Olger Escobar", "side": "away"}, {"id": 52929, "name": "Rubio Rubin", "side": "away"}, {"id": 117592, "name": "Jorge Aparicio", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16904, "name": "Allen Yanes", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16670, "name": "José Ardón", "side": "away"}, {"id": 59557, "name": "William Jehú Fajardo", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16906, "name": "Stheven Robles", "side": "away"}, {"id": 54058, "name": "Carlos Salvador Estrada", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16681, "name": "Matthew Evans", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16688, "name": "Pedro Altán", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16905, "name": "Marcelo Hernández", "side": "away"}], "status": "notstarted", "away_id": 660, "home_id": 2291, "kickoff": 1790978400, "lineups": {"away": {"players": [{"id": 9739, "name": "Nicholas Hagen", "ai_score": 0.607, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 16673, "name": "José Morales", "ai_score": 0.715, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 16672, "name": "Nicolás Samayoa", "ai_score": 0.616, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 16671, "name": "José Pinto", "ai_score": 0.601, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 9734, "name": "Aaron Herrera", "ai_score": 0.699, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 16675, "name": "Jonathan Franco", "ai_score": 0.539, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 16682, "name": "José Rosales", "ai_score": 0.488, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 16676, "name": "Rudy Muñoz", "ai_score": 0.358, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 54056, "name": "Antonio López", "ai_score": 0.264, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 16677, "name": "Óscar Santis", "ai_score": 0.53, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 16678, "name": "Darwin Lom", "ai_score": 0.548, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 16669, "name": "Kenderson Navarro", "ai_score": 0.372, "position": "G", "starting": false}, {"id": 9600, "name": "Olger Escobar", "ai_score": 0.356, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 52929, "name": "Rubio Rubin", "ai_score": 0.35, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 117592, "name": "Jorge Aparicio", "ai_score": 0.348, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 16904, "name": "Allen Yanes", "ai_score": 0.332, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 16670, "name": "José Ardón", "ai_score": 0.318, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 59557, "name": "William Jehú Fajardo", "ai_score": 0.316, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 16906, "name": "Stheven Robles", "ai_score": 0.299, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 54058, "name": "Carlos Salvador Estrada", "ai_score": 0.288, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 16681, "name": "Matthew Evans", "ai_score": 0.282, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 16688, "name": "Pedro Altán", "ai_score": 0.259, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 16905, "name": "Marcelo Hernández", "ai_score": 0.256, "position": "D", "starting": false}], "formation": "4-2-3-1", "confidence": 0.673}, "home": {"players": [{"id": 5383, "name": "Etienne Vaessen", "ai_score": 0.74, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 6585, "name": "Kenneth Paal", "ai_score": 0.803, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 6674, "name": "Myenty Abena", "ai_score": 0.695, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 29136, "name": "Liam Van Gelderen", "ai_score": 0.621, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 54059, "name": "Djavan Anderson", "ai_score": 0.558, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 8194, "name": "Shaquille Riley Pinas", "ai_score": 0.773, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 28112, "name": "Radinio Balker", "ai_score": 0.538, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 4190, "name": "Richonell Margaret", "ai_score": 0.769, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 5456, "name": "Tjaronn Chery", "ai_score": 0.496, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 7304, "name": "Gyrano Kerk", "ai_score": 0.536, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 2675, "name": "Sheraldo Becker", "ai_score": 0.476, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 5352, "name": "Justin Lonwijk", "ai_score": 0.478, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 11286, "name": "Denzel Jubitana", "ai_score": 0.463, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 13399, "name": "Dhoraso Moreo Klas", "ai_score": 0.434, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 29126, "name": "Jean-Paul Boëtius", "ai_score": 0.391, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 5377, "name": "Djevencio van der Kust", "ai_score": 0.385, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 15939, "name": "Warner Hahn", "ai_score": 0.365, "position": "G", "starting": false}, {"id": 6504, "name": "Stefano Denswil", "ai_score": 0.346, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 35056, "name": "Gleofilo Vlijter", "ai_score": 0.329, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 5410, "name": "Yannick Leliendal", "ai_score": 0.283, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 36069, "name": "Shiloh 't Zand", "ai_score": 0.278, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 3914, "name": "Immanuel Pherai", "ai_score": 0.259, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 29746, "name": "Ridgeciano Haps", "ai_score": 0.243, "position": "M", "starting": false}], "formation": "4-2-3-1", "confidence": 0.691}, "status": "predicted", "confidence": 0.673, "unavailable": []}, "neutral": false, "notable": [{"id": 55255, "name": "Tiquanny Williams", "rank": 1, "goals": 5}, {"id": 22232, "name": "Kenji Gorré", "rank": 2, "goals": 4}, {"id": 56664, "name": "Axel Raga Rigobert", "rank": 3, "goals": 3}, {"id": 214319, "name": "Djamalee Boisné", "rank": 4, "goals": 3}, {"id": 55187, "name": "Kegan Caull", "rank": 5, "goals": 3}, {"id": 59557, "name": "William Jehú Fajardo", "rank": 6, "goals": 3}, {"id": 48454, "name": "Ashley Boatswain", "rank": 7, "goals": 2}, {"id": 56946, "name": "Billy Forbes", "rank": 8, "goals": 2}, {"id": 17159, "name": "Brayan Gil", "rank": 9, "goals": 2}, {"id": 11191, "name": "Carlos Mora", "rank": 10, "goals": 2}, {"id": 214211, "name": "Christopher Douglas", "rank": 11, "goals": 2}, {"id": 29825, "name": "Heinz Mörschel", "rank": 12, "goals": 2}, {"id": 57500, "name": "Jannick Liburd", "rank": 13, "goals": 2}, {"id": 60336, "name": "Jordan Alexandre", "rank": 14, "goals": 2}, {"id": 5352, "name": "Justin Lonwijk", "rank": 15, "goals": 2}], "players": [{"id": 5352, "club": "Dynamo Kyiv", "load": {"games": 2, "country": 2, "minutes": 115}, "name": "Justin Lonwijk", "role": "MID", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Suriname", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 2, "goals": 2, "assists": 0, "country": 2, "scoredIn": 2}, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": {"apps": 2, "team": "Suriname", "goals": 2, "lately": {"apps": 2, "goals": 2, "assists": 0}, "assists": 0, "tournament": null}, "position": "CM", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 4190, "club": "Go Ahead Eagles", "load": {"games": 2, "country": 2, "minutes": 114}, "name": "Richonell Margaret", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Suriname", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "country": 2, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": {"apps": 3, "goals": 0, "starts": 0, "assists": 0, "team_games": 13, "big_chances": 0, "clean_sheets": 0, "tracked_apps": 3, "tracked_starts": 0}, "status": "fit", "country": {"apps": 2, "team": "Suriname", "goals": 0, "lately": {"apps": 2, "goals": 0, "assists": 0}, "assists": 0, "tournament": null}, "position": "LW", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 7304, "club": "Erzurumspor FK", "load": {"games": 3, "country": 2, "minutes": 197}, "name": "Gyrano Kerk", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Suriname", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 1, "assists": 2, "country": 2, "scoredIn": 1}, "season": {"apps": 4, "goals": 0, "starts": 0, "assists": 0, "team_games": 8, "big_chances": 1, "clean_sheets": 0, "tracked_apps": 4, "tracked_starts": 0}, "status": "fit", "country": {"apps": 2, "team": "Suriname", "goals": 1, "lately": {"apps": 2, "goals": 1, "assists": 2}, "assists": 2, "tournament": null}, "position": "RW", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 59557, "club": "Antigua GFC", "load": {"games": 2, "country": 2, "minutes": 123}, "name": "William Jehú Fajardo", "role": "MID", "side": "away", "tags": ["in_form"], "team": "Guatemala", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 3, "goals": 3, "assists": 1, "country": 3, "scoredIn": 1}, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": {"apps": 3, "team": "Guatemala", "goals": 3, "lately": {"apps": 2, "goals": 3, "assists": 1}, "assists": 1, "tournament": null}, "position": "RW", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 16678, "club": "The Strongest", "load": {"games": 2, "country": 2, "minutes": 156}, "name": "Darwin Lom", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Guatemala", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 4, "goals": 1, "assists": 1, "country": 4, "scoredIn": 1}, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": {"apps": 4, "team": "Guatemala", "goals": 1, "lately": {"apps": 2, "goals": 1, "assists": 1}, "assists": 1, "tournament": null}, "position": "ST", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}], "external": {"bsd_prediction": {"id": 4059, "event": {"id": 223115, "status": "notstarted", "away_team": "Guatemala", "home_team": "Suriname", "league_id": 65, "event_date": "2026-10-02T22:00:00Z", "league_name": "CONCACAF Nations League", "away_team_id": 660, "home_team_id": 2291}, "model": {"version": "dc-blend-v1", "confidence": 0.3733}, "created_at": "2026-09-26T02:15:26Z", "recommendations": {"btts": false, "winner": false, "over_15": false, "over_25": false, "over_35": false, "favorite": "A", "bet_favorite": false, "favorite_prob": 37.3}}}, "venue_id": 1456, "verdicts": [], "card_rate": 0.464, "league_id": 65, "published": [], "standings": {"away": {"won": 1, "lost": 1, "drawn": 0, "group": "League A, Group B", "played": 2, "points": 3, "team_id": 660, "position": 2, "goal_diff": 5, "goals_for": 8, "team_name": "Guatemala", "goals_against": 3}, "home": {"won": 2, "lost": 0, "drawn": 0, "group": "League A, Group B", "played": 2, "points": 6, "team_id": 2291, "position": 1, "goal_diff": 2, "goals_for": 5, "team_name": "Suriname", "goals_against": 3}, "size": 37}, "confidence": 0.324, "live_score": null, "computed_at": 1790871220, "corner_rate": 7.73, "lambda_away": 1.8573996413301523, "lambda_home": 1.8914540264279647, "pass_reason": "Nothing is mispriced enough to call. The closest was home win at 2.70, where the model confidence of 32% is below the threshold.", "provisional": true, "round_label": "League A, Group B · Matchday 3", "lineup_status": "predicted"}