{"id": 223109, "h2h": {"draws": 0, "away_wins": 0, "home_wins": 0, "away_goals": null, "home_goals": null, "away_win_rate": null, "home_win_rate": null, "total_matches": 0, "recent_matches": [], "avg_total_goals": null}, "away": "Haiti", "form": {"away": {"ppg": 1, "record": "2-0-4", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "LLLLWW", "goals_for": 1.33, "venue_ppg": 0, "clean_sheets": 1, "goals_against": 2}, "home": {"ppg": 1.5, "record": "2-3-1", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "DDDLWW", "goals_for": 1.67, "venue_ppg": 1.5, "clean_sheets": 1, "goals_against": 1.67}}, "home": "Dominican Republic", "pass": "No call on Dominican Republic against Haiti. It is too close to call with any conviction.", "rank": 5, "read": {"side": null, "text": "Too close to call"}, "flags": [{"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "section": "§3.1"}], "score": null, "venue": {"city": "Santo Domingo", "name": "Estadio Olimpico Felix Sanchez", "capacity": 27000}, "colors": {"away": "#0c2792", "home": "#ca1226"}, "extras": {"split": {"away": {"above": null, "below": {"d": 0, "l": 0, "w": 2}}, "home": {"above": null, "below": {"d": 0, "l": 0, "w": 2}}}, "teams": {"away": 465, "home": 688}, "best_xi": [], "players": {"353": {"caps": 9, "goals": 3, "signed": null, "country": "Haiti"}, "2364": {"caps": 4, "goals": 2, "signed": null, "country": "Dominican Republic"}, "9717": {"caps": 40, "goals": 8, "signed": null, "country": "Haiti"}, "29825": {"caps": 24, "goals": 10, "signed": null, "country": "Dominican Republic"}}, "referee": null, "managers": {"away": {"id": 3573, "vs": null, "name": "David Badia"}, "home": {"id": 41, "vs": null, "name": "Marcelo Neveleff"}}}, "lambda": [1.8, 1.54], "league": "CONCACAF Nations League", "ledger": [{"id": "availability.home.full_strength", "note": "Dominican Republic report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.away.full_strength", "note": "Haiti report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0.4, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 0.6}, {"id": "stakes.table", "note": "A cup or a group stage, so there is no league table to read what either side is playing for.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§5.1", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.derby", "note": "Not a local derby.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.2", "evidence": {"derby": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "No reverse fixture on record this season, so there is no revenge angle to read.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§5.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "manager.home.bounce", "note": "Marcelo Neveleff is 4 games into the job at Dominican Republic. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.", "tier": 3, "moves": [{"pct": 2.1, "side": "home", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 1.75, "manager": "Marcelo Neveleff", "tenure_days": 187, "matches_in_charge": 4, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 1.75, "before_ppm": 0.9}}, "strength": 0.233}, {"id": "manager.away.settling", "note": "David Badia is 14 games into the job at Haiti, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 2.5, "manager": "David Badia", "tenure_days": 848, "matches_in_charge": 14, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 3, "before_ppm": 1.5}}, "strength": 0.3}, {"id": "fatigue.home", "note": "Dominican Republic come in on 4 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 3.9583333333333335, "days_rest": 4, "matchesIn7": 2, "matchesIn14": 2}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.away", "note": "Haiti come in on 4 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 4.041666666666667, "days_rest": 4, "matchesIn7": 2, "matchesIn14": 2}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.opponent_adjustment", "note": "Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form. — though 1.99712710695175 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.1", "evidence": {"away": {"attack": 0.078, "shrunk": 0.8, "defence": 0.056, "effective_matches": 2}, "home": {"attack": 0.079, "shrunk": 0.8, "defence": 0.014, "effective_matches": 2}, "sample": 1.99712710695175, "required": 6}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "Haiti average 9 points more possession than Dominican Republic, so this should be one side with the ball and one without it; Haiti work noticeably more of their attacks into wide areas.", "tier": 5, "moves": [{"pct": 1.9, "side": "away", "channel": "corners"}, {"pct": -1.9, "side": "home", "channel": "corners"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"away": {"shots": 11.1, "corners": 3.3, "matches": 12, "possession": 49.3, "xg_per_shot": 0.093, "finishing_vs_xg": 0.31, "corners_per_shot": 0.301}, "home": {"shots": 15.8, "corners": 3.5, "matches": 12, "possession": 40.2, "xg_per_shot": 0.082, "finishing_vs_xg": -0.05, "corners_per_shot": 0.221}, "possession_gap": -9.1}, "strength": 0.363}, {"id": "style.press_matchup", "note": "Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"requires": ["ppda", "defensive_line_height"]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.home", "note": "Dominican Republic are scoring about what their chances are worth.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": -0.05}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.finishing.away", "note": "Haiti have scored 4 more than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": 0.31}, "strength": 0.25}, {"id": "referee.tendency", "note": "No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§13", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.travel", "note": "No travel distance reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.4", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.weather", "note": "Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§6.2", "evidence": {"rain_mm": null, "wind_kph": 8.6, "description": null, "temperature_c": 24}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.pitch", "note": "No pitch condition reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.venue", "note": "Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.1", "evidence": {"home_adv": 0.17844396388005}, "strength": 0}], "locked": false, "people": [{"id": 9783, "name": "Xavier Valdez", "side": "home"}, {"id": 1586, "name": "Junior Firpo", "side": "home"}, {"id": 52931, "name": "Noah Dollenmayer", "side": "home"}, {"id": 33391, "name": "Edgar Pujol", "side": "home"}, {"id": 55148, "name": "Luiyi de Lucas", "side": "home"}, {"id": 1002, "name": "Pablo Rosario", "side": "home"}, {"id": 55601, "name": "Jean Carlos López", "side": "home"}, {"id": 55149, "name": "Edarlyn Reyes", "side": "home"}, {"id": 29825, "name": "Heinz Mörschel", "side": "home"}, {"id": 4842, "name": "Peter González", "side": "home"}, {"id": 2364, "name": "Mariano Díaz", "side": "home"}, {"id": 22036, "name": "Dorny Romero", "side": "home"}, {"id": 29137, "name": "Juan Familia-Castillo", "side": "home"}, {"id": 55147, "name": "Joao Urbáez", "side": "home"}, {"id": 10950, "name": "Juanca Pineda", "side": "home"}, {"id": 42174, "name": "Jimmy Kaparos", "side": "home"}, {"id": 55155, "name": "Ronaldo Vásquez", "side": "home"}, {"id": 56853, "name": "Daniel Flores", "side": "home"}, {"id": 55156, "name": "Erick Japa", "side": "home"}, {"id": 53288, "name": "Edison Azcona", "side": "home"}, {"id": 55151, "name": "Lucas Bretón", "side": "home"}, {"id": 57744, "name": "Jeremy Báez", "side": "home"}, {"id": 55153, "name": "Miguel Lloyd", "side": "home"}, {"id": 26638, "name": "Johny Placide", "side": "away"}, {"id": 17099, "name": "Martin Expérience", "side": "away"}, {"id": 8568, "name": "Hannes Delcroix", "side": "away"}, {"id": 17095, "name": "Ricardo Adé", "side": "away"}, {"id": 1387, "name": "Carlens Arcus", "side": "away"}, {"id": 9069, "name": "Danley Jean Jacques", "side": "away"}, {"id": 532, "name": "Jean-Ricner Bellegarde", "side": "away"}, {"id": 17101, "name": "Ruben Providence", "side": "away"}, {"id": 2103, "name": "Josué Casimir", "side": "away"}, {"id": 9717, "name": "Louicius Don Deedson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 353, "name": "Wilson Isidor", "side": "away"}, {"id": 17094, "name": "Alexandre Pierre", "side": "away"}, {"id": 53103, "name": "Garven-Michee Metusala", "side": "away"}, {"id": 4809, "name": "Jean-Kévin Duverne", "side": "away"}, {"id": 9020, "name": "Frantzdy Pierrot", "side": "away"}, {"id": 17104, "name": "Carl Fred Sainté", "side": "away"}, {"id": 17097, "name": "Leverton Pierre", "side": "away"}, {"id": 17096, "name": "Duke Lacroix", "side": "away"}, {"id": 3439, "name": "Lenny Joseph", "side": "away"}, {"id": 17098, "name": "Yassin Fortune", "side": "away"}, {"id": 59655, "name": "Dominique Simon", "side": "away"}, {"id": 17100, "name": "Duckens Nazon", "side": "away"}, {"id": 9553, "name": "Derrick Etienne", "side": "away"}, {"id": 9082, "name": "Fafà Picault", "side": "away"}], "status": "notstarted", "away_id": 465, "home_id": 688, "kickoff": 1790899200, "lineups": {"away": {"players": [{"id": 26638, "name": "Johny Placide", "ai_score": 0.561, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 17099, "name": "Martin Expérience", "ai_score": 0.627, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 8568, "name": "Hannes Delcroix", "ai_score": 0.622, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 17095, "name": "Ricardo Adé", "ai_score": 0.568, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 1387, "name": "Carlens Arcus", "ai_score": 0.554, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 9069, "name": "Danley Jean Jacques", "ai_score": 0.636, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 532, "name": "Jean-Ricner Bellegarde", "ai_score": 0.63, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 17101, "name": "Ruben Providence", "ai_score": 0.616, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 2103, "name": "Josué Casimir", "ai_score": 0.41, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 9717, "name": "Louicius Don Deedson", "ai_score": 0.479, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 353, "name": "Wilson Isidor", "ai_score": 0.574, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 17094, "name": "Alexandre Pierre", "ai_score": 0.427, "position": "G", "starting": false}, {"id": 53103, "name": "Garven-Michee Metusala", "ai_score": 0.411, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 4809, "name": "Jean-Kévin Duverne", "ai_score": 0.349, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 9020, "name": "Frantzdy Pierrot", "ai_score": 0.331, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 17104, "name": "Carl Fred Sainté", "ai_score": 0.307, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 17097, "name": "Leverton Pierre", "ai_score": 0.264, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 17096, "name": "Duke Lacroix", "ai_score": 0.258, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 3439, "name": "Lenny Joseph", "ai_score": 0.257, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 17098, "name": "Yassin Fortune", "ai_score": 0.253, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 59655, "name": "Dominique Simon", "ai_score": 0.245, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 17100, "name": "Duckens Nazon", "ai_score": 0.18, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 9553, "name": "Derrick Etienne", "ai_score": 0.17, "position": "F", "starting": false}], "formation": "4-2-3-1", "confidence": 0.695}, "home": {"players": [{"id": 9783, "name": "Xavier Valdez", "ai_score": 0.487, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 1586, "name": "Junior Firpo", "ai_score": 0.425, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 52931, "name": "Noah Dollenmayer", "ai_score": 0.475, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 33391, "name": "Edgar Pujol", "ai_score": 0.338, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 55148, "name": "Luiyi de Lucas", "ai_score": 0.33, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 1002, "name": "Pablo Rosario", "ai_score": 0.497, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 55601, "name": "Jean Carlos López", "ai_score": 0.439, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 55149, "name": "Edarlyn Reyes", "ai_score": 0.346, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 29825, "name": "Heinz Mörschel", "ai_score": 0.446, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 4842, "name": "Peter González", "ai_score": 0.438, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 2364, "name": "Mariano Díaz", "ai_score": 0.406, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 22036, "name": "Dorny Romero", "ai_score": 0.391, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 29137, "name": "Juan Familia-Castillo", "ai_score": 0.281, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 55147, "name": "Joao Urbáez", "ai_score": 0.262, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 10950, "name": "Juanca Pineda", "ai_score": 0.252, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 42174, "name": "Jimmy Kaparos", "ai_score": 0.235, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 55155, "name": "Ronaldo Vásquez", "ai_score": 0.211, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 56853, "name": "Daniel Flores", "ai_score": 0.21, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 55156, "name": "Erick Japa", "ai_score": 0.183, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 53288, "name": "Edison Azcona", "ai_score": 0.16, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 55151, "name": "Lucas Bretón", "ai_score": 0.109, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 57744, "name": "Jeremy Báez", "ai_score": 0.045, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 55153, "name": "Miguel Lloyd", "ai_score": 0.025, "position": "G", "starting": false}], "formation": "4-2-3-1", "confidence": 0.4}, "status": "predicted", "confidence": 0.4, "unavailable": []}, "neutral": false, "notable": [{"id": 55255, "name": "Tiquanny Williams", "rank": 1, "goals": 5}, {"id": 22232, "name": "Kenji Gorré", "rank": 2, "goals": 4}, {"id": 56664, "name": "Axel Raga Rigobert", "rank": 3, "goals": 3}, {"id": 214319, "name": "Djamalee Boisné", "rank": 4, "goals": 3}, {"id": 55187, "name": "Kegan Caull", "rank": 5, "goals": 3}, {"id": 59557, "name": "William Jehú Fajardo", "rank": 6, "goals": 3}, {"id": 48454, "name": "Ashley Boatswain", "rank": 7, "goals": 2}, {"id": 56946, "name": "Billy Forbes", "rank": 8, "goals": 2}, {"id": 17159, "name": "Brayan Gil", "rank": 9, "goals": 2}, {"id": 11191, "name": "Carlos Mora", "rank": 10, "goals": 2}, {"id": 214211, "name": "Christopher Douglas", "rank": 11, "goals": 2}, {"id": 29825, "name": "Heinz Mörschel", "rank": 12, "goals": 2}, {"id": 57500, "name": "Jannick Liburd", "rank": 13, "goals": 2}, {"id": 60336, "name": "Jordan Alexandre", "rank": 14, "goals": 2}, {"id": 5352, "name": "Justin Lonwijk", "rank": 15, "goals": 2}], "players": [{"id": 29825, "club": "Vizela", "load": {"games": 2, "country": 2, "minutes": 156}, "name": "Heinz Mörschel", "role": "MID", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Dominican Republic", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 3, "goals": 2, "assists": 0, "country": 2, "scoredIn": 2}, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": {"apps": 2, "team": "Dominican Republic", "goals": 2, "lately": {"apps": 2, "goals": 2, "assists": 0}, "assists": 0, "tournament": null}, "position": "AM", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 2364, "club": "Deportivo Alavés", "load": {"games": 3, "country": 2, "minutes": 224}, "name": "Mariano Díaz", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": ["best_performer", "in_form"], "team": "Dominican Republic", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 2, "assists": 2, "country": 2, "scoredIn": 2}, "season": {"apps": 7, "goals": 3, "starts": 3, "assists": 3, "team_games": 11, "big_chances": 1, "clean_sheets": 1, "tracked_apps": 7, "tracked_starts": 3}, "status": "fit", "country": {"apps": 2, "team": "Dominican Republic", "goals": 2, "lately": {"apps": 2, "goals": 2, "assists": 2}, "assists": 2, "tournament": null}, "position": "ST", "standout": {"won": true, "goals": 1, "score": "3-0", "assists": 2, "kickoff": 1786815000, "opponent": "Getafe"}, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.196, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 353, "club": "Sunderland", "load": {"games": 3, "country": 2, "minutes": 215}, "name": "Wilson Isidor", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Haiti", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 1, "assists": 2, "country": 2, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": {"apps": 8, "goals": 1, "starts": 2, "assists": 0, "team_games": 12, "big_chances": 1, "clean_sheets": 2, "tracked_apps": 8, "tracked_starts": 2}, "status": "fit", "country": {"apps": 6, "team": "Haiti", "goals": 3, "lately": {"apps": 2, "goals": 1, "assists": 2}, "assists": 2, "tournament": {"apps": 3, "name": "World Cup 2026", "ended": 1782338400, "goals": 1, "assists": 0}}, "position": "ST", "standout": {"won": true, "goals": 1, "score": "1-0", "assists": 0, "kickoff": 1788094800, "opponent": "Fulham"}, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.028, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 9717, "club": "Sochaux", "load": {"games": 3, "country": 2, "minutes": 187}, "name": "Louicius Don Deedson", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Haiti", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "country": 3, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": {"apps": 2, "goals": 0, "starts": 1, "assists": 0, "team_games": 12, "big_chances": 0, "clean_sheets": 1, "tracked_apps": 2, "tracked_starts": 1}, "status": "fit", "country": {"apps": 6, "team": "Haiti", "goals": 0, "lately": {"apps": 2, "goals": 0, "assists": 0}, "assists": 1, "tournament": {"apps": 3, "name": "World Cup 2026", "ended": 1782338400, "goals": 0, "assists": 0}}, "position": "RW", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.001, "expected_return": null}], "external": {"bsd_prediction": {"id": 4022, "event": {"id": 223109, "status": "notstarted", "away_team": "Haiti", "home_team": "Dominican Republic", "league_id": 65, "event_date": "2026-10-02T00:00:00Z", "league_name": "CONCACAF Nations League", "away_team_id": 465, "home_team_id": 688}, "model": {"version": "dc-blend-v1", "confidence": 0.4326}, "created_at": "2026-09-25T02:15:24Z", "recommendations": {"btts": false, "winner": false, "over_15": false, "over_25": false, "over_35": false, "favorite": "A", "bet_favorite": false, "favorite_prob": 43.3}}}, "venue_id": 1488, "verdicts": [], "card_rate": 0.487, "league_id": 65, "published": [], "standings": {"away": {"won": 2, "lost": 0, "drawn": 0, "group": "League A, Group A", "played": 2, "points": 6, "team_id": 465, "position": 2, "goal_diff": 3, "goals_for": 5, "team_name": "Haiti", "goals_against": 2}, "home": {"won": 2, "lost": 0, "drawn": 0, "group": "League A, Group A", "played": 2, "points": 6, "team_id": 688, "position": 3, "goal_diff": 2, "goals_for": 5, "team_name": "Dominican Republic", "goals_against": 3}, "size": 37}, "confidence": 0.302, "live_score": null, "computed_at": 1790871289, "corner_rate": 8.05, "lambda_away": 1.5371138653882357, "lambda_home": 1.7994603621248975, "pass_reason": "Nothing is mispriced enough to call. The closest was home draw-no-bet at 2.45, where the model confidence of 30% is below the threshold.", "provisional": true, "round_label": "League A, Group A · Matchday 3", "lineup_status": "predicted"}