{"id":220309,"league_id":80,"league":"Categoría Primera A","kickoff":1793827200,"home":"Jaguares de Córdoba","away":"Atlético Bucaramanga","home_id":4785,"away_id":771,"venue_id":1655,"rank":5,"status":"cancelled","provisional":true,"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.613,"score":null,"live_score":null,"lambda":[1.07,1.28],"read":null,"pass":null,"flags":[{"id":"availability.home.absences","section":"§2.4","note":"Jaguares de Córdoba are without 3 players, and Andrés Rentería is a real loss."},{"id":"fatigue.home","section":"§5.5","note":"Jaguares de Córdoba have had 0.9 days' rest and this is their 4th match in seven days."},{"id":"fatigue.away","section":"§2.8","note":"Atlético Bucaramanga have had 1.8 days' rest."}],"lambda_home":1.0746936323638943,"lambda_away":1.2816505289910627,"corner_rate":7.84,"card_rate":0.495,"lineups":{"status":"predicted","confidence":0.718,"home":{"formation":"4-2-3-1","players":[{"id":74726,"name":"Franklin Mosquera","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.593},{"id":74730,"name":"Jonathan Lovera","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.737},{"id":74728,"name":"Luis Jiménez","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.733},{"id":74734,"name":"Carlos Henao","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.62},{"id":79425,"name":"Edwin Martinez","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.259},{"id":74740,"name":"Rafael Bustamante","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.881},{"id":74861,"name":"Royscer Colpa","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.659},{"id":74762,"name":"Johar Mejía","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.543},{"id":74749,"name":"Cristian Alvarez","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.599},{"id":74814,"name":"Johan Beltrán","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.431},{"id":74750,"name":"Santiago Cubides","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.263},{"id":79426,"name":"Jerson Malagón","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.577},{"id":74771,"name":"Diego Martínez","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.485},{"id":91552,"name":"Juan Franco","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.471},{"id":217806,"name":"Jose Yanez","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.436},{"id":74768,"name":"Darwin Lopez","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.412},{"id":95366,"name":"Juan Pérez","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.399},{"id":74746,"name":"Wilfrido De la Rosa","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.367},{"id":74759,"name":"Duvan Rodríguez","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.274},{"id":23272,"name":"Faber Andrés Gil","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.272},{"id":74866,"name":"Diego Zuluaga","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.166},{"id":79427,"name":"Andrés Felipe Alfonso Ciprian","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.164},{"id":91553,"name":"Carlos Cantillo","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.131}],"confidence":0.718},"away":{"formation":"3-4-3","players":[{"id":55180,"name":"Cristopher Fiermarín","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.684},{"id":18235,"name":"José Ortiz","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.862},{"id":19039,"name":"José García","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.671},{"id":19040,"name":"Freddy Hinestroza","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.653},{"id":17566,"name":"Nilson Castrillón","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.651},{"id":19046,"name":"Carlos Romaña","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.606},{"id":19041,"name":"Felix Charrupí","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.883},{"id":3827,"name":"Emerson Batalla","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.864},{"id":19043,"name":"Fabián Sambueza","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.719},{"id":19045,"name":"Luciano Pons","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.869},{"id":19048,"name":"Fredy Salazar","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.265},{"id":19037,"name":"Aldair Gutiérrez","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.544},{"id":19047,"name":"Leonardo Flores","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.471},{"id":23271,"name":"Adrián Murillo","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.263},{"id":62930,"name":"Omar Albornoz","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.249},{"id":19052,"name":"Brandon Caicedo","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.204},{"id":19055,"name":"Luis Matheus","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.199},{"id":19044,"name":"Kevin Londoño","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.173},{"id":19049,"name":"Martín Rea","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.163},{"id":19057,"name":"Aldair Zárate","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.158},{"id":12348,"name":"Víctor Cantillo","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.145},{"id":69528,"name":"Nilzo Ramírez","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.02},{"id":79611,"name":"Emmanuel Largacha","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.015}],"confidence":0.818},"unavailable":[{"id":74754,"name":"Andrés Rentería","team_id":null,"side":"home","reason":"Strain Injury"},{"id":74735,"name":"Jáder Maza","team_id":null,"side":"home","reason":"Knock Injury"},{"id":74743,"name":"Johan Hinestroza","team_id":null,"side":"home","reason":"Knee Injury"},{"id":19437,"name":"Diego Novoa","team_id":null,"side":"away","reason":"Knee Injury"},{"id":23273,"name":"Fabry Castro","team_id":null,"side":"away","reason":"Knock Injury"}]},"people":[{"id":74726,"name":"Franklin Mosquera","side":"home"},{"id":74730,"name":"Jonathan Lovera","side":"home"},{"id":74728,"name":"Luis Jiménez","side":"home"},{"id":74734,"name":"Carlos Henao","side":"home"},{"id":79425,"name":"Edwin Martinez","side":"home"},{"id":74740,"name":"Rafael Bustamante","side":"home"},{"id":74861,"name":"Royscer Colpa","side":"home"},{"id":74762,"name":"Johar Mejía","side":"home"},{"id":74749,"name":"Cristian Alvarez","side":"home"},{"id":74814,"name":"Johan Beltrán","side":"home"},{"id":74750,"name":"Santiago Cubides","side":"home"},{"id":79426,"name":"Jerson Malagón","side":"home"},{"id":74771,"name":"Diego Martínez","side":"home"},{"id":91552,"name":"Juan Franco","side":"home"},{"id":217806,"name":"Jose Yanez","side":"home"},{"id":74768,"name":"Darwin Lopez","side":"home"},{"id":95366,"name":"Juan Pérez","side":"home"},{"id":74746,"name":"Wilfrido De la Rosa","side":"home"},{"id":74759,"name":"Duvan Rodríguez","side":"home"},{"id":23272,"name":"Faber Andrés Gil","side":"home"},{"id":74866,"name":"Diego Zuluaga","side":"home"},{"id":79427,"name":"Andrés Felipe Alfonso Ciprian","side":"home"},{"id":91553,"name":"Carlos Cantillo","side":"home"},{"id":209141,"name":"Moises Florez","side":"home"},{"id":209140,"name":"Ronald Perez","side":"home"},{"id":147755,"name":"Andres F Alfonso","side":"home"},{"id":147754,"name":"Juan Esteban Franco","side":"home"},{"id":74835,"name":"Yan Mosquera","side":"home"},{"id":30172,"name":"Nicolás Giraldo","side":"home"},{"id":97639,"name":"Juan Pablo Arcila","side":"home"},{"id":74880,"name":"John Altamiranda","side":"home"},{"id":147751,"name":"Johar Mejia","side":"home"},{"id":74754,"name":"Andrés Rentería","side":"home"},{"id":94720,"name":"Gildardo Ramirez","side":"home"},{"id":94546,"name":"Elio López","side":"home"},{"id":74743,"name":"Johan Hinestroza","side":"home"},{"id":74735,"name":"Jáder Maza","side":"home"},{"id":209139,"name":"Faber Garcia","side":"home"},{"id":74777,"name":"Faber Gracia","side":"home"},{"id":91554,"name":"Ronal Pérez","side":"home"},{"id":217807,"name":"Cristian Castro","side":"home"},{"id":74764,"name":"Yairo Moreno","side":"home"},{"id":55180,"name":"Cristopher Fiermarín","side":"away"},{"id":18235,"name":"José Ortiz","side":"away"},{"id":19039,"name":"José García","side":"away"},{"id":19040,"name":"Freddy Hinestroza","side":"away"},{"id":17566,"name":"Nilson Castrillón","side":"away"},{"id":19046,"name":"Carlos Romaña","side":"away"},{"id":19041,"name":"Felix Charrupí","side":"away"},{"id":3827,"name":"Emerson Batalla","side":"away"},{"id":19043,"name":"Fabián Sambueza","side":"away"},{"id":19045,"name":"Luciano Pons","side":"away"},{"id":19048,"name":"Fredy Salazar","side":"away"},{"id":19037,"name":"Aldair Gutiérrez","side":"away"},{"id":19047,"name":"Leonardo Flores","side":"away"},{"id":23271,"name":"Adrián Murillo","side":"away"},{"id":62930,"name":"Omar Albornoz","side":"away"},{"id":19052,"name":"Brandon Caicedo","side":"away"},{"id":19055,"name":"Luis Matheus","side":"away"},{"id":19044,"name":"Kevin Londoño","side":"away"},{"id":19049,"name":"Martín Rea","side":"away"},{"id":19057,"name":"Aldair Zárate","side":"away"},{"id":12348,"name":"Víctor Cantillo","side":"away"},{"id":69528,"name":"Nilzo Ramírez","side":"away"},{"id":79611,"name":"Emmanuel Largacha","side":"away"},{"id":225102,"name":"Andrés Gómez","side":"away"},{"id":79612,"name":"Keyson Quinto","side":"away"},{"id":94501,"name":"Emmanuel   Valencia","side":"away"},{"id":19437,"name":"Diego Novoa","side":"away"},{"id":19053,"name":"Luis Vásquez","side":"away"},{"id":19050,"name":"Juan Mosquera","side":"away"},{"id":23273,"name":"Fabry Castro","side":"away"},{"id":23274,"name":"Santiago Velasquez","side":"away"},{"id":141317,"name":"Jhon Ordonez","side":"away"}],"players":[{"id":74754,"name":"Andrés Rentería","side":"home","team":"Jaguares de Córdoba","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"out","reason":"Strain Injury","expected_return":"2026-12-10","season":{"apps":29,"starts":28,"goals":12,"assists":3,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":9,"team_games":40,"tracked_apps":29,"tracked_starts":28},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":2,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Independiente Santa Fe","kickoff":1771369200,"goals":2,"assists":0,"score":"3-1","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_scorer"],"importance":0.357,"country":null,"load":{"games":3,"minutes":270,"country":0}},{"id":74735,"name":"Jáder Maza","side":"home","team":"Jaguares de Córdoba","club":null,"role":"MID","position":"LW","status":"out","reason":"Knock Injury","expected_return":"2026-11-17","season":{"apps":21,"starts":14,"goals":1,"assists":0,"big_chances":1,"clean_sheets":6,"team_games":40,"tracked_apps":21,"tracked_starts":14},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Independiente Santa Fe","kickoff":1771369200,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"3-1","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.036,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":74743,"name":"Johan Hinestroza","side":"home","team":"Jaguares de Córdoba","club":null,"role":"MID","position":"CM","status":"out","reason":"Knee Injury","expected_return":"2026-11-10","season":{"apps":28,"starts":21,"goals":0,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":6,"team_games":40,"tracked_apps":28,"tracked_starts":21},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.028,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":74762,"name":"Johar Mejía","side":"home","team":"Jaguares de Córdoba","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"FWD","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":26,"starts":14,"goals":0,"assists":1,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":3,"team_games":40,"tracked_apps":26,"tracked_starts":14},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Independiente Medellín","kickoff":1773616800,"goals":0,"assists":1,"score":"1-2","won":false},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.024,"country":null,"load":{"games":4,"minutes":251,"country":0}},{"id":74814,"name":"Johan Beltrán","side":"home","team":"Jaguares de Córdoba","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"FWD","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":13,"starts":3,"goals":1,"assists":2,"big_chances":1,"clean_sheets":0,"team_games":40,"tracked_apps":13,"tracked_starts":3},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":1,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Deportes Tolima","kickoff":1791752700,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"3-2","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.058,"country":null,"load":{"games":3,"minutes":111,"country":0}},{"id":23273,"name":"Fabry Castro","side":"away","team":"Atlético Bucaramanga","club":null,"role":"MID","position":"MID","status":"out","reason":"Knock Injury","expected_return":"2026-11-20","season":{"apps":16,"starts":10,"goals":2,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":2,"team_games":42,"tracked_apps":16,"tracked_starts":10},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":1,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Once Caldas","kickoff":1790385300,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"3-1","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.044,"country":null,"load":{"games":4,"minutes":273,"country":0}},{"id":19437,"name":"Diego Novoa","side":"away","team":"Atlético Bucaramanga","club":null,"role":"GK","position":"GK","status":"out","reason":"Knee Injury","expected_return":"2026-11-07","season":{"apps":3,"starts":2,"goals":0,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":0,"team_games":42,"tracked_apps":3,"tracked_starts":2},"recent":{"apps":3,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Once Caldas","kickoff":1790385300,"goals":0,"assists":0,"score":"3-1","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.005,"country":null,"load":{"games":1,"minutes":59,"country":0}},{"id":19045,"name":"Luciano Pons","side":"away","team":"Atlético Bucaramanga","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"FWD","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":37,"starts":36,"goals":16,"assists":5,"big_chances":2,"clean_sheets":13,"team_games":42,"tracked_apps":37,"tracked_starts":36},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":4,"assists":0,"scoredIn":3,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Deportivo Pereira","kickoff":1773184800,"goals":2,"assists":0,"score":"3-0","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_scorer","ever_present","in_form"],"importance":0.317,"country":null,"load":{"games":4,"minutes":354,"country":0}}],"extras":{"teams":{"home":4785,"away":771},"split":{"home":{"above":{"w":2,"d":1,"l":5},"below":{"w":0,"d":0,"l":2}},"away":{"above":{"w":4,"d":4,"l":1},"below":{"w":0,"d":0,"l":1}}},"referee":null,"managers":{"home":{"id":4165,"name":"Julio Méndez","vs":null},"away":{"id":2690,"name":"Pablo Peirano","vs":{"w":0,"d":1,"l":0,"last":{"kickoff":1777143600,"score":"2-2","result":"D"}}}},"best_xi":[],"players":{}},"notable":[{"id":3963,"name":"Yeison Guzmán","goals":20,"rank":1},{"id":54879,"name":"Dayro Moreno","goals":16,"rank":2},{"id":9577,"name":"Luis Muriel","goals":16,"rank":3},{"id":19045,"name":"Luciano Pons","goals":15,"rank":4},{"id":19425,"name":"Alfredo Morelos","goals":14,"rank":5},{"id":23854,"name":"Hugo Rodallega","goals":14,"rank":6},{"id":65462,"name":"Andrey Estupiñán","goals":13,"rank":7},{"id":74630,"name":"Jefry Zapata","goals":13,"rank":8},{"id":74754,"name":"Andrés Rentería","goals":12,"rank":9},{"id":3827,"name":"Emerson Batalla","goals":12,"rank":10},{"id":19446,"name":"Leonardo Castro","goals":12,"rank":11},{"id":19424,"name":"Andrés Sarmiento","goals":11,"rank":12},{"id":67371,"name":"Jorge Rivaldo","goals":11,"rank":13},{"id":23862,"name":"Nahuel Bustos","goals":11,"rank":14},{"id":74711,"name":"Steven Rodríguez","goals":11,"rank":15}],"round_label":"League phase · Matchday 18","neutral":false,"h2h":{"total_matches":13,"home_wins":2,"draws":7,"away_wins":4,"home_goals":12,"away_goals":14,"avg_total_goals":2,"home_win_rate":0.15384615384615385,"away_win_rate":0.3076923076923077,"recent_matches":[{"away":"Jaguares de Córdoba","date":"2026-04-25T19:00:00+00:00","home":"Atlético Bucaramanga","score":"2-2","event_id":220295,"away_score":2,"home_score":2,"away_team_id":4785,"home_team_id":771},{"away":"Atlético Bucaramanga","date":"2024-02-02T23:10:00+00:00","home":"Jaguares de Córdoba","score":"0-1","event_id":230948,"away_score":1,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":771,"home_team_id":4785},{"away":"Atlético Bucaramanga","date":"2023-02-11T01:10:00+00:00","home":"Jaguares de Córdoba","score":"1-1","event_id":240513,"away_score":1,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":771,"home_team_id":4785},{"away":"Jaguares de Córdoba","date":"2022-03-26T19:00:00+00:00","home":"Atlético Bucaramanga","score":"1-0","event_id":251119,"away_score":0,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":4785,"home_team_id":771},{"away":"Atlético Bucaramanga","date":"2021-01-24T23:05:00+00:00","home":"Jaguares de Córdoba","score":"2-1","event_id":264279,"away_score":1,"home_score":2,"away_team_id":771,"home_team_id":4785},{"away":"Atlético Bucaramanga","date":"2020-12-04T01:00:00+00:00","home":"Jaguares de Córdoba","score":"0-0","event_id":276707,"away_score":0,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":771,"home_team_id":4785},{"away":"Jaguares de Córdoba","date":"2020-11-07T21:30:00+00:00","home":"Atlético Bucaramanga","score":"2-2","event_id":276872,"away_score":2,"home_score":2,"away_team_id":4785,"home_team_id":771},{"away":"Atlético Bucaramanga","date":"2019-04-28T21:00:00+00:00","home":"Jaguares de Córdoba","score":"1-1","event_id":286589,"away_score":1,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":771,"home_team_id":4785},{"away":"Jaguares de Córdoba","date":"2018-08-31T00:30:00+00:00","home":"Atlético Bucaramanga","score":"1-0","event_id":298332,"away_score":0,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":4785,"home_team_id":771},{"away":"Atlético Bucaramanga","date":"2018-08-16T00:00:00+00:00","home":"Jaguares de Córdoba","score":"2-1","event_id":298377,"away_score":1,"home_score":2,"away_team_id":771,"home_team_id":4785}]},"standings":{"home":{"team_id":4785,"position":19,"played":36,"points":31,"goal_diff":-27,"team_name":"Jaguares de Córdoba","won":8,"drawn":7,"lost":21,"goals_for":37,"goals_against":64,"group":null},"away":{"team_id":771,"position":8,"played":36,"points":52,"goal_diff":15,"team_name":"Atlético Bucaramanga","won":12,"drawn":16,"lost":8,"goals_for":52,"goals_against":37,"group":null},"size":20},"form":{"home":{"matches":6,"ppg":1,"record":"2-0-4","goals_for":1,"goals_against":1.83,"clean_sheets":1,"streak":"none","sequence":"WLLWLL","venue_ppg":3},"away":{"matches":6,"ppg":1,"record":"1-3-2","goals_for":1,"goals_against":1.17,"clean_sheets":0,"streak":"none","sequence":"DDLLWD","venue_ppg":0}},"ledger":[{"id":"availability.home.absences","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Jaguares de Córdoba are without 3 players, and Andrés Rentería is a real loss.","evidence":{"count":3,"measured":3,"combined_goal_share":0.382,"combined_importance":0.421,"players":[{"player":"Andrés Rentería","role":"ATT","reason":"Strain Injury","goal_share":0.353,"importance":0.357,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":5,"tags":["top_scorer"]},{"player":"Jáder Maza","role":"MID","reason":"Knock Injury","goal_share":0.029,"importance":0.036,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":15},{"player":"Johan Hinestroza","role":"MID","reason":"Knee Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.028,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":15}]},"strength":1,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"home","pct":-3.9},{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":0.1},{"channel":"corners","side":"home","pct":-2},{"channel":"cards","side":"both","pct":0.2}]},{"id":"availability.away.absences","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Atlético Bucaramanga are without 2 players, none of them central to how the side plays.","evidence":{"count":2,"measured":2,"combined_goal_share":0.04,"combined_importance":0.049,"players":[{"player":"Fabry Castro","role":"MID","reason":"Knock Injury","goal_share":0.04,"importance":0.044,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":12},{"player":"Diego Novoa","role":"GK","reason":"Knee Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.005,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":3}]},"strength":0.15,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":-0.2},{"channel":"goals","side":"home","pct":0.1},{"channel":"corners","side":"away","pct":-0.1},{"channel":"cards","side":"both","pct":0.1}]},{"id":"availability.rotation_risk","section":"§3.1","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.","evidence":{"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.718,"cup_tie":false},"strength":0.282,"moves":[]},{"id":"stakes.season","section":"§5.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing much riding on this one for either side yet.","evidence":{"games_left":20,"home":{"state":"mid_table","position":19,"points":31,"games_left":20,"gap_to_leader":45,"gap_to_safety":-3,"gap_to_europe":23},"away":{"state":"mid_table","position":8,"points":52,"games_left":20,"gap_to_leader":24,"gap_to_safety":18,"gap_to_europe":2},"six_pointer":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.derby","section":"§5.2","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Not a local derby.","evidence":{"derby":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.revenge","section":"§5.3","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The reverse fixture finished 2-2, too close to carry a revenge motive.","evidence":{"reverse_margin":0},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.home.settling","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Julio Méndez is 6 games into the job at Jaguares de Córdoba, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.","evidence":{"manager":"Julio Méndez","matches_in_charge":6,"tenure_days":33,"ppm":1,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":0.7,"after_ppm":1,"delta":null}},"strength":0.3,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.away.established","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Pablo Peirano has 41 matches in charge at Atlético Bucaramanga, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.","evidence":{"manager":"Pablo Peirano","matches_in_charge":41,"tenure_days":296,"ppm":1.34,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.9,"after_ppm":1.4,"delta":null}},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.opponent_adjustment","section":"§4.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form.","evidence":{"home":{"attack":-0.139,"defence":-0.255,"effective_matches":16.9,"shrunk":0.32},"away":{"attack":0.044,"defence":-0.016,"effective_matches":17.5,"shrunk":0.31}},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence; Jaguares de Córdoba work noticeably more of their attacks into wide areas.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":48.5,"shots":10.5,"xg_per_shot":0.073,"corners":4,"corners_per_shot":0.381,"finishing_vs_xg":0.48},"away":{"matches":12,"possession":42.4,"shots":10.9,"xg_per_shot":0.085,"corners":2.5,"corners_per_shot":0.229,"finishing_vs_xg":0.74},"possession_gap":6.1},"strength":0.243,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"home","pct":-3}]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Jaguares de Córdoba have scored 6 more than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.48,"matches":12},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Atlético Bucaramanga have scored 9 more than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.74,"matches":12},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Routine trip of 354 km for Atlético Bucaramanga.","evidence":{"travel_km":354},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No weather reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.34758223152732637},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"No market is priced for this fixture yet.","preview":null,"external":{"polymarket":{"event_id":220309,"event_date":"2026-11-04T21:20:00Z","home_team":"Jaguares de Córdoba","away_team":"Atlético Bucaramanga","polymarket_event_id":"1170045","liquidity":{"volume_24hr":50.94438,"volume_1wk":50.94438,"volume_1mo":50.94438,"volume_1yr":50.94438,"open_interest":50.94438,"liquidity_clob":null,"liquidity_amm":null},"pricing":{"best_bid":null,"best_ask":null,"change_1d":null,"change_1wk":null,"change_1mo":null},"goalscorers":null,"exact_scores":{"Any Other Score":0.375,"Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 0 - 0 CA Sarmiento":0.1,"Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 0 - 1 CA Sarmiento":0.07,"Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 0 - 2 CA Sarmiento":0.335,"Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 0 - 3 CA Sarmiento":0.05,"Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 0 - 4 CA Sarmiento":0.37,"Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 0 - 5 CA Sarmiento":0.375,"Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 1 - 0 CA Sarmiento":0.155,"Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 1 - 1 CA Sarmiento":0.12,"Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 1 - 2 CA Sarmiento":0.285,"Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 1 - 3 CA Sarmiento":0.05,"Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 1 - 4 CA Sarmiento":0.37,"Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 1 - 5 CA Sarmiento":0.375,"Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 2 - 0 CA Sarmiento":0.11,"Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 2 - 1 CA Sarmiento":0.1,"Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 2 - 2 CA Sarmiento":0.275,"Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 2 - 3 CA Sarmiento":0.05,"Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 2 - 4 CA Sarmiento":0.05,"Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 2 - 5 CA Sarmiento":0.045,"Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 3 - 0 CA Sarmiento":0.045,"Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 3 - 1 CA Sarmiento":0.3,"Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 3 - 2 CA Sarmiento":0.3405,"Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 3 - 3 CA Sarmiento":0.05,"Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 3 - 4 CA Sarmiento":0.37,"Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 3 - 5 CA Sarmiento":0.375,"Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 4 - 0 CA Sarmiento":0.331,"Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 4 - 1 CA Sarmiento":0.285,"Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 4 - 2 CA Sarmiento":0.362,"Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 4 - 3 CA Sarmiento":0.361,"Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 4 - 4 CA Sarmiento":0.035,"Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 4 - 5 CA Sarmiento":0.375,"Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 5 - 0 CA Sarmiento":0.37,"Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 5 - 1 CA Sarmiento":0.37,"Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 5 - 2 CA Sarmiento":0.37,"Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 5 - 3 CA Sarmiento":0.37,"Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 5 - 4 CA Sarmiento":0.37,"Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 5 - 5 CA Sarmiento":0.04},"updated_at":"2026-10-20T17:27:25Z"}},"computed_at":1793825183,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":"#197a0a","away":"#0a7639"},"venue":{"name":"Estadio Jaraguay","city":"Monteria","capacity":12000},"pulled":[],"published":[]}