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areas.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":42.8,"shots":8.6,"xg_per_shot":0.1,"corners":5.3,"corners_per_shot":0.621,"finishing_vs_xg":0.05},"away":{"matches":12,"possession":42.6,"shots":10.7,"xg_per_shot":0.076,"corners":2.1,"corners_per_shot":0.195,"finishing_vs_xg":0.94},"possession_gap":0.2},"strength":0.1,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":-3}]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Boyacá Chicó FC are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.05,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Atlético Bucaramanga have scored 11 more than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.94,"matches":12},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"153 yellow cards in this referee's last 33 games, where 183 would be usual in this league, and 13 reds.","evidence":{"matches":33,"yellows_per_match":4.64,"reds_per_match":0.394,"league_yellows_per_match":5.56,"league_reds_per_match":0.469,"yellow_ratio":0.83,"red_ratio":0.84},"strength":0.149,"moves":[{"channel":"cards","side":"both","pct":-3.7}]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Routine trip of 180 km for Atlético Bucaramanga.","evidence":{"travel_km":180},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.","evidence":{"rain_mm":null,"wind_kph":7.4,"temperature_c":13,"description":null},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.31207446989630305},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: value","preview":"Atlético Bucaramanga will likely struggle to sustain their fortunate run against a desperate Boyacá Chicó FC. Both sides consistently fail to create quality chances, yet Bucaramanga sits 9th while their hosts linger in 18th. The visitors have relied on unsustainable finishing and goalkeeper heroics to mask defensive cracks that suggest they should have surrendered more goals. With key absences in defense and goal for the visitors, their luck must run dry. Boyacá Chicó FC has lost 4 of 6, but Jairo Molina remains a threat with 4 goals in the last 5 outings. Expect the hosts to exploit a depleted away defense and find the net. Efficiency in front of goal will decide this one.","external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":5547,"created_at":"2026-10-17T02:15:26Z","event":{"id":220264,"event_date":"2026-10-23T23:00:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":4784,"home_team":"Boyacá Chicó FC","away_team_id":771,"away_team":"Atlético Bucaramanga","league_id":80,"league_name":"Categoría Primera A"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"A","favorite_prob":45.7,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.4571,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}},"polymarket":{"event_id":220264,"event_date":"2026-10-23T23:00:00Z","home_team":"Boyacá Chicó FC","away_team":"Atlético Bucaramanga","polymarket_event_id":"1182040","liquidity":{"volume_24hr":null,"volume_1wk":null,"volume_1mo":null,"volume_1yr":null,"open_interest":343.937428,"liquidity_clob":9393.4189,"liquidity_amm":null},"pricing":{"best_bid":0.27,"best_ask":0.29,"change_1d":-0.025,"change_1wk":0.015,"change_1mo":null},"goalscorers":null,"exact_scores":{"Any Other Score":0.365,"CA Central Córdoba 0 - 0 CA Vélez Sarsfield":0.095,"CA Central Córdoba 0 - 1 CA Vélez Sarsfield":0.12,"CA Central Córdoba 0 - 2 CA Vélez Sarsfield":0.065,"CA Central Córdoba 0 - 3 CA Vélez Sarsfield":0.065,"CA Central Córdoba 0 - 4 CA Vélez Sarsfield":0.195,"CA Central Córdoba 0 - 5 CA Vélez Sarsfield":0.325,"CA Central Córdoba 1 - 0 CA Vélez Sarsfield":0.095,"CA Central Córdoba 1 - 1 CA Vélez Sarsfield":0.13,"CA Central Córdoba 1 - 2 CA Vélez Sarsfield":0.085,"CA Central Córdoba 1 - 3 CA Vélez Sarsfield":0.055,"CA Central Córdoba 1 - 4 CA Vélez Sarsfield":0.125,"CA Central Córdoba 1 - 5 CA Vélez Sarsfield":0.35,"CA Central Córdoba 2 - 0 CA Vélez Sarsfield":0.06,"CA Central Córdoba 2 - 1 CA Vélez Sarsfield":0.07,"CA Central Córdoba 2 - 2 CA Vélez Sarsfield":0.0295,"CA Central Córdoba 2 - 3 CA Vélez Sarsfield":0.026,"CA Central Córdoba 2 - 4 CA Vélez Sarsfield":0.042,"CA Central Córdoba 2 - 5 CA Vélez Sarsfield":0.37,"CA Central Córdoba 3 - 0 CA Vélez Sarsfield":0.026,"CA Central Córdoba 3 - 1 CA Vélez Sarsfield":0.026,"CA Central Córdoba 3 - 2 CA Vélez Sarsfield":0.0255,"CA Central Córdoba 3 - 3 CA Vélez Sarsfield":0.036,"CA Central Córdoba 3 - 4 CA Vélez Sarsfield":0.026,"CA Central Córdoba 3 - 5 CA Vélez Sarsfield":0.36,"CA Central Córdoba 4 - 0 CA Vélez Sarsfield":0.105,"CA Central Córdoba 4 - 1 CA Vélez Sarsfield":0.165,"CA Central Córdoba 4 - 2 CA Vélez Sarsfield":0.037,"CA Central Córdoba 4 - 3 CA Vélez Sarsfield":0.245,"CA Central Córdoba 4 - 4 CA Vélez Sarsfield":0.0345,"CA Central Córdoba 4 - 5 CA Vélez Sarsfield":0.375,"CA Central Córdoba 5 - 0 CA Vélez Sarsfield":0.48,"CA Central Córdoba 5 - 1 CA Vélez Sarsfield":0.24,"CA Central Córdoba 5 - 2 CA Vélez Sarsfield":0.2315,"CA Central Córdoba 5 - 3 CA Vélez Sarsfield":0.475,"CA Central Córdoba 5 - 4 CA Vélez Sarsfield":0.25,"CA Central Córdoba 5 - 5 CA Vélez Sarsfield":0.05},"updated_at":"2026-10-23T12:27:16Z"}},"computed_at":1792767210,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":"#121e6d","away":"#0a7639"},"venue":{"name":"Estadio La Independencia","city":"Tunja","capacity":21000},"pulled":[],"published":[]}