{"id":219780,"league_id":24,"league":"Stoiximan Super League","kickoff":1791727200,"home":"POT Iraklis","away":"APO Levadiakos","home_id":3781,"away_id":334,"venue_id":1651,"rank":6,"status":"notstarted","provisional":true,"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.464,"score":null,"live_score":null,"lambda":[1.34,1.02],"read":{"text":"Too close to call. A draw is live","side":null},"pass":"POT Iraklis v APO Levadiakos is one to leave alone. It is too open to call with any conviction.","flags":[{"id":"availability.rotation_risk","section":"§3.1","note":"Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection."}],"lambda_home":1.3414792293763924,"lambda_away":1.0196817168018,"corner_rate":8.77,"card_rate":0.293,"lineups":{"status":"predicted","confidence":0.477,"home":{"formation":"5-4-1","players":[{"id":10665,"name":"Giorgos Athanasiadis","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.486},{"id":28146,"name":"Iñigo Piña","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.49},{"id":79488,"name":"Praxitelis Vouros","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.471},{"id":10982,"name":"Yohan Roche","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.438},{"id":6675,"name":"Rob Nizet","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.405},{"id":10625,"name":"Carles Soria","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.473},{"id":79489,"name":"Marco Krainz","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.278},{"id":11334,"name":"Vasilios Sourlis","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.474},{"id":10252,"name":"Yoel Bárcenas","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.307},{"id":26606,"name":"Nanú","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.419},{"id":124250,"name":"Pedro Marques","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.248},{"id":26551,"name":"Kylian Kaiboue","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.275},{"id":13996,"name":"Ivi López","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.273},{"id":9458,"name":"Nemanja Radoja","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.258},{"id":11590,"name":"Soufiane Chakla","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.256},{"id":79497,"name":"Kristjan Kushta","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.228},{"id":11742,"name":"Elvir Koljić","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.225},{"id":79493,"name":"Carlos Rodriguez","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.177},{"id":79490,"name":"Daniel Muñoz","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.151},{"id":26607,"name":"Vitor Meer","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.144},{"id":79496,"name":"Nikolaos Anastasiadis","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.063},{"id":10896,"name":"Panagiotis Tsintotas","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.035},{"id":65958,"name":"Georgios Karakasidis","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.03}],"confidence":0.477},"away":{"formation":"4-2-3-1","players":[{"id":10758,"name":"Lucas Anacker","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.403},{"id":10730,"name":"Marios Vichos","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.593},{"id":10763,"name":"Giannis Tsivelekidis","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.631},{"id":11116,"name":"Panagiotis Liagas","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.474},{"id":3092,"name":"Alexandru Grigoras Pantea","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.552},{"id":10733,"name":"Giannis Kosti","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.617},{"id":10723,"name":"Georgios Kornezos","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.444},{"id":96182,"name":"Agustín Urzi","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.476},{"id":19427,"name":"Juan Bauza","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.243},{"id":80860,"name":"Moses David Cobnan","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.398},{"id":10753,"name":"Ognjen Ožegović","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.256},{"id":10750,"name":"Georgios Nikas","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.434},{"id":13037,"name":"Niv Eliasi","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.39},{"id":10909,"name":"Dimitrios Emmanouilidis","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.327},{"id":3084,"name":"Adrian Șut","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.282},{"id":11039,"name":"Mahamadou Balde","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.275},{"id":11109,"name":"Panagiotis Symelidis","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.273},{"id":10765,"name":"Konstantinos Goumas","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.246},{"id":65699,"name":"Georgios Vrakas","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.235},{"id":10768,"name":"Georgios Manthatis","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.234},{"id":10770,"name":"Christos Papadopoulos","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.221},{"id":22977,"name":"Gregorio Rodriguez","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.218},{"id":3091,"name":"Octavian Popescu","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.203}],"confidence":0.477},"unavailable":[]},"people":[{"id":10665,"name":"Giorgos Athanasiadis","side":"home"},{"id":28146,"name":"Iñigo Piña","side":"home"},{"id":79488,"name":"Praxitelis Vouros","side":"home"},{"id":10982,"name":"Yohan Roche","side":"home"},{"id":6675,"name":"Rob Nizet","side":"home"},{"id":10625,"name":"Carles Soria","side":"home"},{"id":79489,"name":"Marco Krainz","side":"home"},{"id":11334,"name":"Vasilios Sourlis","side":"home"},{"id":10252,"name":"Yoel Bárcenas","side":"home"},{"id":26606,"name":"Nanú","side":"home"},{"id":124250,"name":"Pedro Marques","side":"home"},{"id":26551,"name":"Kylian Kaiboue","side":"home"},{"id":13996,"name":"Ivi López","side":"home"},{"id":9458,"name":"Nemanja Radoja","side":"home"},{"id":11590,"name":"Soufiane Chakla","side":"home"},{"id":79497,"name":"Kristjan Kushta","side":"home"},{"id":11742,"name":"Elvir Koljić","side":"home"},{"id":79493,"name":"Carlos Rodriguez","side":"home"},{"id":79490,"name":"Daniel Muñoz","side":"home"},{"id":26607,"name":"Vitor Meer","side":"home"},{"id":79496,"name":"Nikolaos Anastasiadis","side":"home"},{"id":10896,"name":"Panagiotis Tsintotas","side":"home"},{"id":65958,"name":"Georgios Karakasidis","side":"home"},{"id":26819,"name":"Rasmus Lauritsen","side":"home"},{"id":99257,"name":"Georgios Giannoutsos","side":"home"},{"id":79491,"name":"Nikolaos Tsiligeridis","side":"home"},{"id":79492,"name":"Stelios Karagogos","side":"home"},{"id":79494,"name":"Efstratios Tachmetzidis","side":"home"},{"id":90370,"name":"Adam Zulevic","side":"home"},{"id":204795,"name":"Georgios Simseropoulos","side":"home"},{"id":11741,"name":"Jakub Hromada","side":"home"},{"id":79495,"name":"Orestis Tsintonis","side":"home"},{"id":150604,"name":"Panagiotis Panagiotidis","side":"home"},{"id":209461,"name":"Christos Papazoglou","side":"home"},{"id":10758,"name":"Lucas Anacker","side":"away"},{"id":10730,"name":"Marios Vichos","side":"away"},{"id":10763,"name":"Giannis Tsivelekidis","side":"away"},{"id":11116,"name":"Panagiotis Liagas","side":"away"},{"id":3092,"name":"Alexandru Grigoras Pantea","side":"away"},{"id":10733,"name":"Giannis Kosti","side":"away"},{"id":10723,"name":"Georgios Kornezos","side":"away"},{"id":96182,"name":"Agustín Urzi","side":"away"},{"id":19427,"name":"Juan Bauza","side":"away"},{"id":80860,"name":"Moses David Cobnan","side":"away"},{"id":10753,"name":"Ognjen Ožegović","side":"away"},{"id":10750,"name":"Georgios Nikas","side":"away"},{"id":13037,"name":"Niv Eliasi","side":"away"},{"id":10909,"name":"Dimitrios Emmanouilidis","side":"away"},{"id":3084,"name":"Adrian Șut","side":"away"},{"id":11039,"name":"Mahamadou Balde","side":"away"},{"id":11109,"name":"Panagiotis Symelidis","side":"away"},{"id":10765,"name":"Konstantinos Goumas","side":"away"},{"id":65699,"name":"Georgios Vrakas","side":"away"},{"id":10768,"name":"Georgios Manthatis","side":"away"},{"id":10770,"name":"Christos Papadopoulos","side":"away"},{"id":22977,"name":"Gregorio Rodriguez","side":"away"},{"id":3091,"name":"Octavian Popescu","side":"away"},{"id":10760,"name":"Taxiarchis Filon","side":"away"},{"id":99285,"name":"Nikolaos Tsaras","side":"away"},{"id":1507,"name":"Jonathan Panzo","side":"away"},{"id":8193,"name":"Norbert Gyömbér","side":"away"},{"id":86867,"name":"Aliou Badji","side":"away"},{"id":11113,"name":"Stelios Vallindras","side":"away"},{"id":10737,"name":"Lamarana Jallow","side":"away"},{"id":58452,"name":"Mohamed Elneny","side":"away"},{"id":139126,"name":"Mohamed Ndiaye","side":"away"}],"players":[{"id":124250,"name":"Pedro Marques","side":"home","team":"POT Iraklis","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":3,"starts":1,"goals":0,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":1,"team_games":8,"tracked_apps":3,"tracked_starts":1},"recent":{"apps":3,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.002,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":96182,"name":"Agustín Urzi","side":"away","team":"APO Levadiakos","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"LW","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":5,"starts":4,"goals":0,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":1,"team_games":9,"tracked_apps":5,"tracked_starts":4},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.018,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":80860,"name":"Moses David Cobnan","side":"away","team":"APO Levadiakos","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"RW","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":5,"starts":3,"goals":0,"assists":0,"big_chances":1,"clean_sheets":3,"team_games":9,"tracked_apps":5,"tracked_starts":3},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.011,"country":null,"load":null}],"extras":null,"notable":[{"id":3435,"name":"Barnabás Varga","goals":4,"rank":1},{"id":11376,"name":"Luka Jović","goals":4,"rank":2},{"id":10963,"name":"Andreas Tetteh","goals":3,"rank":3},{"id":4148,"name":"Dimitrios Pelkas","goals":3,"rank":4},{"id":2959,"name":"Vicente Taborda","goals":3,"rank":5},{"id":3271,"name":"Andrija Živković","goals":2,"rank":6},{"id":6633,"name":"Cherif Ndiaye","goals":2,"rank":7},{"id":84306,"name":"Erik Hamza","goals":2,"rank":8},{"id":10668,"name":"Fabiano","goals":2,"rank":9},{"id":10886,"name":"Federico Macheda","goals":2,"rank":10},{"id":10808,"name":"Gustav Granath","goals":2,"rank":11},{"id":11251,"name":"Jorge Pombo","goals":2,"rank":12},{"id":4948,"name":"Jota Silva","goals":2,"rank":13},{"id":23802,"name":"Jovanny Bolívar","goals":2,"rank":14},{"id":29056,"name":"Kenan Kodro","goals":2,"rank":15}],"round_label":"Regular season · Matchday 6","neutral":false,"h2h":{"total_matches":24,"home_wins":12,"draws":3,"away_wins":9,"home_goals":31,"away_goals":28,"avg_total_goals":2.4583333333333335,"home_win_rate":0.5,"away_win_rate":0.375,"recent_matches":[{"away":"APO Levadiakos","date":"2017-04-05T14:15:00+00:00","home":"POT Iraklis","score":"1-0","event_id":369100,"away_score":0,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":334,"home_team_id":3781},{"away":"POT Iraklis","date":"2016-11-27T15:15:00+00:00","home":"APO Levadiakos","score":"3-0","event_id":368980,"away_score":0,"home_score":3,"away_team_id":3781,"home_team_id":334},{"away":"POT Iraklis","date":"2016-01-16T17:30:00+00:00","home":"APO Levadiakos","score":"1-1","event_id":388231,"away_score":1,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":3781,"home_team_id":334},{"away":"APO Levadiakos","date":"2015-09-14T16:30:00+00:00","home":"POT Iraklis","score":"0-1","event_id":388108,"away_score":1,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":334,"home_team_id":3781},{"away":"APO Levadiakos","date":"2010-02-20T14:45:00+00:00","home":"POT Iraklis","score":"1-1","event_id":471961,"away_score":1,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":334,"home_team_id":3781},{"away":"POT Iraklis","date":"2009-10-25T12:30:00+00:00","home":"APO Levadiakos","score":"1-0","event_id":471842,"away_score":0,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":3781,"home_team_id":334},{"away":"POT Iraklis","date":"2009-03-01T13:00:00+00:00","home":"APO Levadiakos","score":"3-0","event_id":483101,"away_score":0,"home_score":3,"away_team_id":3781,"home_team_id":334},{"away":"APO Levadiakos","date":"2008-11-09T17:00:00+00:00","home":"POT Iraklis","score":"1-0","event_id":482982,"away_score":0,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":334,"home_team_id":3781},{"away":"POT Iraklis","date":"2008-02-20T13:00:00+00:00","home":"APO Levadiakos","score":"3-0","event_id":487735,"away_score":0,"home_score":3,"away_team_id":3781,"home_team_id":334},{"away":"APO Levadiakos","date":"2007-10-27T16:00:00+00:00","home":"POT Iraklis","score":"1-0","event_id":487609,"away_score":0,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":334,"home_team_id":3781}]},"standings":{"home":{"team_id":3781,"position":8,"played":5,"points":6,"goal_diff":-2,"team_name":"POT Iraklis","won":1,"drawn":3,"lost":1,"goals_for":4,"goals_against":6,"group":null},"away":{"team_id":334,"position":14,"played":5,"points":1,"goal_diff":-9,"team_name":"APO Levadiakos","won":0,"drawn":1,"lost":4,"goals_for":0,"goals_against":9,"group":null},"size":14},"form":{"home":{"matches":6,"ppg":1.17,"record":"1-4-1","goals_for":0.83,"goals_against":1.17,"clean_sheets":2,"streak":"unbeaten 4","sequence":"DLDWDD"},"away":{"matches":6,"ppg":0.67,"record":"1-1-4","goals_for":0.17,"goals_against":1.5,"clean_sheets":2,"streak":"winless 5","sequence":"WLLLDL","venue_ppg":1.33}},"ledger":[{"id":"availability.home.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"POT Iraklis report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.away.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"APO Levadiakos report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.rotation_risk","section":"§3.1","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.","evidence":{"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.477,"cup_tie":false},"strength":0.523,"moves":[]},{"id":"stakes.season","section":"§5.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing much riding on this one for either side yet.","evidence":{"games_left":20,"home":{"state":"mid_table","position":8,"points":6,"games_left":20,"gap_to_leader":9,"gap_to_safety":4,"gap_to_europe":4},"away":{"state":"mid_table","position":14,"points":1,"games_left":20,"gap_to_leader":14,"gap_to_safety":-1,"gap_to_europe":9},"six_pointer":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.derby","section":"§5.2","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Not a local derby.","evidence":{"derby":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.revenge","section":"§5.3","tier":2,"state":"THIN","note":"No reverse fixture on record this season, so there is no revenge angle to read.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.home.settling","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Walter Mazzarri is 8 games into the job at POT Iraklis, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.","evidence":{"manager":"Walter Mazzarri","matches_in_charge":8,"tenure_days":79,"ppm":1,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.5,"after_ppm":1,"delta":null}},"strength":0.3,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.away.bounce","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Elias Charalambous is 5 games into the job at APO Levadiakos. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.","evidence":{"manager":"Elias Charalambous","matches_in_charge":5,"tenure_days":51,"ppm":0.2,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.9,"after_ppm":0.2,"delta":null}},"strength":0.2,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":0.7}]},{"id":"fatigue.home","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"THIN","note":"POT Iraklis have no prior fixture on record in the window, so days of rest cannot be computed.","evidence":{"daysRest":null,"matchesIn7":0,"matchesIn14":0},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.away","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"APO Levadiakos come in on 21 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":21,"matchesIn7":0,"matchesIn14":0,"days_rest":21},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.opponent_adjustment","section":"§4.1","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form. — though 4.059553118721523 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.","evidence":{"home":{"attack":-0.132,"defence":0.024,"effective_matches":4.1,"shrunk":0.66},"away":{"attack":-0.015,"defence":-0.087,"effective_matches":10.9,"shrunk":0.42},"sample":4.059553118721523,"required":6},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence; POT Iraklis work noticeably more of their attacks into wide areas.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":8,"possession":42.2,"shots":7.3,"xg_per_shot":0.081,"corners":3.2,"corners_per_shot":0.437,"finishing_vs_xg":0.17},"away":{"matches":12,"possession":49.3,"shots":10.4,"xg_per_shot":0.106,"corners":3.3,"corners_per_shot":0.318,"finishing_vs_xg":-0.27},"possession_gap":-7.1},"strength":0.285,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"POT Iraklis are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.17,"matches":8},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"APO Levadiakos have scored 3 fewer than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.27,"matches":12},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No travel distance reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No weather reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.28706304242383934},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: open","preview":null,"external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":4719,"created_at":"2026-10-05T02:15:28Z","event":{"id":219780,"event_date":"2026-10-11T14:00:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":3781,"home_team":"POT Iraklis","away_team_id":334,"away_team":"APO Levadiakos","league_id":24,"league_name":"Stoiximan Super League"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"H","favorite_prob":41.2,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.4118,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}}},"computed_at":1791473140,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":"#232060","away":"#6dbe68"},"venue":{"name":"Kaftanzoglio Stadio","city":"Thessaloniki","capacity":27770},"pulled":[],"published":[]}