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Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Samsunspor are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.09,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Konyaspor have scored 3 fewer than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.25,"matches":12},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"101 yellow cards in this referee's last 21 games, where 90 would be usual in this league, and 6 reds. — though 21 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.","evidence":{"matches":21,"yellows_per_match":4.81,"reds_per_match":0.286,"league_yellows_per_match":4.29,"league_reds_per_match":0.217,"yellow_ratio":1.12,"red_ratio":1.31,"sample":21,"required":30},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Routine trip of 504 km for Konyaspor.","evidence":{"travel_km":504},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.","evidence":{"rain_mm":null,"wind_kph":4.1,"temperature_c":16,"description":"rain"},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.2876177262676736},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: short","preview":"Samsunspor are in trouble, and not only on results. Samsunspor have been out-created in eight of their last ten games. On top of that, they have faced six or more efforts on target in four of their last six games. They are getting opened up. Meanwhile, Konyaspor have scored only 6 in their last nine from chances that would usually bring about 10. The goals are coming. Until Samsunspor sort that out, they are there to be got at.","external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":7149,"created_at":"2026-11-01T02:15:23Z","event":{"id":216242,"event_date":"2026-11-07T13:00:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":184,"home_team":"Samsunspor","away_team_id":192,"away_team":"Konyaspor","league_id":11,"league_name":"Trendyol Super Lig"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"H","favorite_prob":39.8,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.3977,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}},"polymarket":{"event_id":216242,"event_date":"2026-11-07T13:00:00Z","home_team":"Samsunspor","away_team":"Konyaspor","polymarket_event_id":"1252745","liquidity":{"volume_24hr":271.327223,"volume_1wk":361.998596,"volume_1mo":361.998596,"volume_1yr":361.998596,"open_interest":440.184309,"liquidity_clob":34980.9985,"liquidity_amm":null},"pricing":{"best_bid":0.41,"best_ask":0.42,"change_1d":0.01,"change_1wk":-0.045,"change_1mo":null},"goalscorers":null,"exact_scores":{"Any Other Score":0.115,"Samsunspor 0 - 0 Konyaspor":0.08,"Samsunspor 0 - 1 Konyaspor":0.08,"Samsunspor 0 - 2 Konyaspor":0.047,"Samsunspor 0 - 3 Konyaspor":0.019,"Samsunspor 0 - 4 Konyaspor":0.107,"Samsunspor 0 - 5 Konyaspor":0.11,"Samsunspor 1 - 0 Konyaspor":0.1,"Samsunspor 1 - 1 Konyaspor":0.135,"Samsunspor 1 - 2 Konyaspor":0.075,"Samsunspor 1 - 3 Konyaspor":0.0285,"Samsunspor 1 - 4 Konyaspor":0.154,"Samsunspor 1 - 5 Konyaspor":0.125,"Samsunspor 2 - 0 Konyaspor":0.07,"Samsunspor 2 - 1 Konyaspor":0.09,"Samsunspor 2 - 2 Konyaspor":0.061,"Samsunspor 2 - 3 Konyaspor":0.0225,"Samsunspor 2 - 4 Konyaspor":0.0495,"Samsunspor 2 - 5 Konyaspor":0.055,"Samsunspor 3 - 0 Konyaspor":0.034,"Samsunspor 3 - 1 Konyaspor":0.043,"Samsunspor 3 - 2 Konyaspor":0.0275,"Samsunspor 3 - 3 Konyaspor":0.012,"Samsunspor 3 - 4 Konyaspor":0.0395,"Samsunspor 3 - 5 Konyaspor":0.14,"Samsunspor 4 - 0 Konyaspor":0.013,"Samsunspor 4 - 1 Konyaspor":0.0135,"Samsunspor 4 - 2 Konyaspor":0.152,"Samsunspor 4 - 3 Konyaspor":0.134,"Samsunspor 4 - 4 Konyaspor":0.055,"Samsunspor 4 - 5 Konyaspor":0.1345,"Samsunspor 5 - 0 Konyaspor":0.115,"Samsunspor 5 - 1 Konyaspor":0.115,"Samsunspor 5 - 2 Konyaspor":0.045,"Samsunspor 5 - 3 Konyaspor":0.13,"Samsunspor 5 - 4 Konyaspor":0.104,"Samsunspor 5 - 5 Konyaspor":0.0495},"updated_at":"2026-11-07T08:57:11Z"}},"computed_at":1794053849,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":"#c01010","away":"#0b875b"},"venue":{"name":"Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu","city":"Samsun","capacity":33919},"pulled":[],"published":[]}