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Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Eyüpspor have scored 4 fewer than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.29,"matches":12},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Kocaelispor are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.01,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"24 yellow cards in this referee's last 7 games, where 30 would be usual in this league, and 3 reds. — though 7 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.","evidence":{"matches":7,"yellows_per_match":3.43,"reds_per_match":0.429,"league_yellows_per_match":4.3,"league_reds_per_match":0.219,"yellow_ratio":0.8,"red_ratio":1.95,"sample":7,"required":30},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Routine trip of 84 km for Kocaelispor.","evidence":{"travel_km":84},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.","evidence":{"rain_mm":null,"wind_kph":12.2,"temperature_c":15,"description":"rain"},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.29757736784975797},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: short","preview":"Eyüpspor look set to break their losing streak against a lucky side. Although the hosts sit bottom of the league, their creative output suggests they should have found the net far more often than they have recently. Kocaelispor reside higher in the table, yet their defensive record masks a porous backline that relies entirely on a goalkeeper to overperform. With the visitors missing defensive cover through injury, they will struggle to contain the pressure Eyüpspor creates. The hosts need to capitalize on these gaps to overcome their poor form. Eyüpspor controls the tempo here, but their ability to finally finish those chances will decide if they leave with a result.","external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":7164,"created_at":"2026-11-01T02:15:23Z","event":{"id":216043,"event_date":"2026-11-07T10:30:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":191,"home_team":"Eyüpspor","away_team_id":198,"away_team":"Kocaelispor","league_id":11,"league_name":"Trendyol Super Lig"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"A","favorite_prob":48.2,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.4819,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}},"polymarket":{"event_id":216043,"event_date":"2026-11-07T10:30:00Z","home_team":"Eyüpspor","away_team":"Kocaelispor","polymarket_event_id":"1252746","liquidity":{"volume_24hr":2097.487669,"volume_1wk":2381.503716,"volume_1mo":2381.503716,"volume_1yr":2381.503716,"open_interest":2357.883715,"liquidity_clob":75379.6266,"liquidity_amm":null},"pricing":{"best_bid":0.21,"best_ask":0.22,"change_1d":-0.01,"change_1wk":-0.095,"change_1mo":null},"goalscorers":null,"exact_scores":{"Any Other Score":0.13,"Eyüpspor 0 - 0 Kocaelispor":0.085,"Eyüpspor 0 - 1 Kocaelispor":0.13,"Eyüpspor 0 - 2 Kocaelispor":0.09,"Eyüpspor 0 - 3 Kocaelispor":0.0475,"Eyüpspor 0 - 4 Kocaelispor":0.0145,"Eyüpspor 0 - 5 Kocaelispor":0.1,"Eyüpspor 1 - 0 Kocaelispor":0.07,"Eyüpspor 1 - 1 Kocaelispor":0.13,"Eyüpspor 1 - 2 Kocaelispor":0.1,"Eyüpspor 1 - 3 Kocaelispor":0.048,"Eyüpspor 1 - 4 Kocaelispor":0.0145,"Eyüpspor 1 - 5 Kocaelispor":0.11,"Eyüpspor 2 - 0 Kocaelispor":0.033,"Eyüpspor 2 - 1 Kocaelispor":0.06,"Eyüpspor 2 - 2 Kocaelispor":0.0515,"Eyüpspor 2 - 3 Kocaelispor":0.026,"Eyüpspor 2 - 4 Kocaelispor":0.2485,"Eyüpspor 2 - 5 Kocaelispor":0.23,"Eyüpspor 3 - 0 Kocaelispor":0.0095,"Eyüpspor 3 - 1 Kocaelispor":0.017,"Eyüpspor 3 - 2 Kocaelispor":0.015,"Eyüpspor 3 - 3 Kocaelispor":0.0075,"Eyüpspor 3 - 4 Kocaelispor":0.0395,"Eyüpspor 3 - 5 Kocaelispor":0.14,"Eyüpspor 4 - 0 Kocaelispor":0.2495,"Eyüpspor 4 - 1 Kocaelispor":0.2495,"Eyüpspor 4 - 2 Kocaelispor":0.0495,"Eyüpspor 4 - 3 Kocaelispor":0.1635,"Eyüpspor 4 - 4 Kocaelispor":0.035,"Eyüpspor 4 - 5 Kocaelispor":0.2225,"Eyüpspor 5 - 0 Kocaelispor":0.09,"Eyüpspor 5 - 1 Kocaelispor":0.11,"Eyüpspor 5 - 2 Kocaelispor":0.045,"Eyüpspor 5 - 3 Kocaelispor":0.22,"Eyüpspor 5 - 4 Kocaelispor":0.146,"Eyüpspor 5 - 5 Kocaelispor":0.05},"updated_at":"2026-11-07T06:57:11Z"}},"computed_at":1794046605,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"live_minute":88,"colors":{"home":"#552679","away":null},"venue":{"name":"Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium","city":"Istanbul","capacity":14234},"pulled":[],"published":[]}