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Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.29477602351293314},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: short","preview":"Eyüpspor will struggle to find a spark in this local derby. The bottom side are slipping: their recent four games have produced their worst football for creating and conceding openings. Opponents have produced better quality chances in seven of their last eight games. Even on home turf, they have been second best in three of their last four. However, they only converted 2 in their last eight from chances where you would expect 7, so goals should follow soon. A big chunk of that threat disappears with Ahmed Abdullahi suspended. His absence up front means less pressure on a Kasımpaşa back line missing three regular defenders. Nerve in front of goal will decide it.","external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":5839,"created_at":"2026-10-18T02:15:33Z","event":{"id":216026,"event_date":"2026-10-24T10:30:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":191,"home_team":"Eyüpspor","away_team_id":187,"away_team":"Kasımpaşa","league_id":11,"league_name":"Trendyol Super Lig"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"A","favorite_prob":58.1,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.5806,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}},"polymarket":{"event_id":216026,"event_date":"2026-10-24T10:30:00Z","home_team":"Eyüpspor","away_team":"Kasımpaşa","polymarket_event_id":"1170978","liquidity":{"volume_24hr":7912.488184,"volume_1wk":8106.442651,"volume_1mo":8106.442651,"volume_1yr":8106.442651,"open_interest":6305.0741370000005,"liquidity_clob":74286.6499,"liquidity_amm":null},"pricing":{"best_bid":0.17,"best_ask":0.18,"change_1d":0.02,"change_1wk":-0.19,"change_1mo":null},"goalscorers":null,"exact_scores":{"Any Other Score":0.21,"Eyüpspor 0 - 0 Kasımpaşa SK":0.077,"Eyüpspor 0 - 1 Kasımpaşa SK":0.135,"Eyüpspor 0 - 2 Kasımpaşa SK":0.11,"Eyüpspor 0 - 3 Kasımpaşa SK":0.061,"Eyüpspor 0 - 4 Kasımpaşa SK":0.019,"Eyüpspor 0 - 5 Kasımpaşa SK":0.125,"Eyüpspor 1 - 0 Kasımpaşa SK":0.0635,"Eyüpspor 1 - 1 Kasımpaşa SK":0.12,"Eyüpspor 1 - 2 Kasımpaşa SK":0.105,"Eyüpspor 1 - 3 Kasımpaşa SK":0.0555,"Eyüpspor 1 - 4 Kasımpaşa SK":0.018,"Eyüpspor 1 - 5 Kasımpaşa SK":0.23,"Eyüpspor 2 - 0 Kasımpaşa SK":0.0265,"Eyüpspor 2 - 1 Kasımpaşa SK":0.0485,"Eyüpspor 2 - 2 Kasımpaşa SK":0.0445,"Eyüpspor 2 - 3 Kasımpaşa SK":0.025,"Eyüpspor 2 - 4 Kasımpaşa SK":0.149,"Eyüpspor 2 - 5 Kasımpaşa SK":0.14,"Eyüpspor 3 - 0 Kasımpaşa SK":0.0085,"Eyüpspor 3 - 1 Kasımpaşa SK":0.0135,"Eyüpspor 3 - 2 Kasımpaşa SK":0.0115,"Eyüpspor 3 - 3 Kasımpaşa SK":0.008,"Eyüpspor 3 - 4 Kasımpaşa SK":0.149,"Eyüpspor 3 - 5 Kasımpaşa SK":0.14,"Eyüpspor 4 - 0 Kasımpaşa SK":0.1405,"Eyüpspor 4 - 1 Kasımpaşa SK":0.141,"Eyüpspor 4 - 2 Kasımpaşa SK":0.07,"Eyüpspor 4 - 3 Kasımpaşa SK":0.1375,"Eyüpspor 4 - 4 Kasımpaşa SK":0.035,"Eyüpspor 4 - 5 Kasımpaşa SK":0.14,"Eyüpspor 5 - 0 Kasımpaşa SK":0.215,"Eyüpspor 5 - 1 Kasımpaşa SK":0.14,"Eyüpspor 5 - 2 Kasımpaşa SK":0.045,"Eyüpspor 5 - 3 Kasımpaşa SK":0.12,"Eyüpspor 5 - 4 Kasımpaşa SK":0.14,"Eyüpspor 5 - 5 Kasımpaşa SK":0.045},"updated_at":"2026-10-24T07:57:09Z"}},"computed_at":1792836241,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":"#552679","away":"#304ca6"},"venue":{"name":"Esenyurt Necmi Kadioglu Stadi","city":"Esenyurt","capacity":7500},"pulled":[],"published":[]}