{"id":215285,"league_id":36,"league":"Liga F","kickoff":1792776600,"home":"Club Atlético de Madrid","away":"Valencia","home_id":920,"away_id":3885,"venue_id":700,"rank":5,"status":"notstarted","provisional":true,"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.549,"score":null,"live_score":null,"lambda":[1.95,1.15],"read":null,"pass":"No call on Club Atlético de Madrid against Valencia. No bookmaker is pricing it yet.","flags":[{"id":"form.away","section":"§2.1","note":"Valencia have taken 0.00 points a game from their last 6 (0W 0D 6L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 2.2, and 0.00 a game on the road."}],"lambda_home":1.9488438877870498,"lambda_away":1.1535881866002433,"corner_rate":9.05,"card_rate":0.215,"lineups":{"status":"predicted","confidence":0.627,"home":{"formation":"4-3-3","players":[{"id":17647,"name":"Lola Gallardo","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.832},{"id":17655,"name":"Rosa Otermin","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.749},{"id":17649,"name":"Xenia Perez","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.727},{"id":17648,"name":"Lauren","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.489},{"id":17705,"name":"Lucía Rodríguez","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.749},{"id":17653,"name":"Natalia Peñalvo","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.461},{"id":17652,"name":"Fiamma Benítez","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.89},{"id":17634,"name":"Maite Zubieta","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.559},{"id":17660,"name":"Gio Garbelini","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.595},{"id":17656,"name":"Synne Jensen","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.805},{"id":17658,"name":"Luany","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.592},{"id":65032,"name":"Henrietta Csiszár","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.546},{"id":65033,"name":"Viola Calligaris","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.463},{"id":17998,"name":"Allegra Poljak","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.43},{"id":17651,"name":"Alexia Fernández Díaz","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.391},{"id":143218,"name":"Celia Segura","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.366},{"id":17662,"name":"Kathrine Kühl","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.287},{"id":21258,"name":"Celia Gómez","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.236},{"id":113679,"name":"Gabi Nunes","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.231},{"id":21259,"name":"Claudia Barrios","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.218},{"id":135063,"name":"Jennifer Hermoso","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.216},{"id":17661,"name":"Lydia Rodríguez","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.174},{"id":65034,"name":"Génesis Pérez","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.148}],"confidence":0.759},"away":{"formation":"5-4-1","players":[{"id":64547,"name":"Alice Pinguet","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.687},{"id":64542,"name":"Lena Pérez","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.675},{"id":66051,"name":"Camila Sáez","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.658},{"id":64535,"name":"Nazareth Martin","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.498},{"id":64541,"name":"Pauleta","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.69},{"id":64538,"name":"Sara Tamarit","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.665},{"id":64530,"name":"Gema Climent Flordelis","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.484},{"id":64516,"name":"Yasmin Mrabet","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.549},{"id":17852,"name":"Carolina Marín","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.4},{"id":17743,"name":"Debora García","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.304},{"id":64508,"name":"Danielle Marcano","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.546},{"id":17757,"name":"Lucia Moral","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.453},{"id":64509,"name":"Rebecca Elloh","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.43},{"id":64537,"name":"Marta Mascarell","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.354},{"id":17732,"name":"Salomé Prat","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.325},{"id":64506,"name":"Teresa Morato","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.271},{"id":64519,"name":"Amanda Mbadi","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.252},{"id":64524,"name":"Esther Gómez Martínez","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.241},{"id":64513,"name":"Noa Marchena","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.238},{"id":64548,"name":"Marina Llàcer","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.035},{"id":101583,"name":"Celia Fernández","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.03}],"confidence":0.627},"unavailable":[]},"people":[{"id":17647,"name":"Lola Gallardo","side":"home"},{"id":17655,"name":"Rosa Otermin","side":"home"},{"id":17649,"name":"Xenia Perez","side":"home"},{"id":17648,"name":"Lauren","side":"home"},{"id":17705,"name":"Lucía Rodríguez","side":"home"},{"id":17653,"name":"Natalia Peñalvo","side":"home"},{"id":17652,"name":"Fiamma Benítez","side":"home"},{"id":17634,"name":"Maite Zubieta","side":"home"},{"id":17660,"name":"Gio Garbelini","side":"home"},{"id":17656,"name":"Synne Jensen","side":"home"},{"id":17658,"name":"Luany","side":"home"},{"id":65032,"name":"Henrietta Csiszár","side":"home"},{"id":65033,"name":"Viola Calligaris","side":"home"},{"id":17998,"name":"Allegra Poljak","side":"home"},{"id":17651,"name":"Alexia Fernández Díaz","side":"home"},{"id":143218,"name":"Celia Segura","side":"home"},{"id":17662,"name":"Kathrine Kühl","side":"home"},{"id":21258,"name":"Celia Gómez","side":"home"},{"id":113679,"name":"Gabi Nunes","side":"home"},{"id":21259,"name":"Claudia Barrios","side":"home"},{"id":135063,"name":"Jennifer Hermoso","side":"home"},{"id":17661,"name":"Lydia Rodríguez","side":"home"},{"id":65034,"name":"Génesis Pérez","side":"home"},{"id":21219,"name":"Silvia Lloris","side":"home"},{"id":205330,"name":"Gabriela de la Villa Fernández","side":"home"},{"id":24564,"name":"Raquel Gómez","side":"home"},{"id":64547,"name":"Alice Pinguet","side":"away"},{"id":64542,"name":"Lena Pérez","side":"away"},{"id":66051,"name":"Camila Sáez","side":"away"},{"id":64535,"name":"Nazareth Martin","side":"away"},{"id":64541,"name":"Pauleta","side":"away"},{"id":64538,"name":"Sara Tamarit","side":"away"},{"id":64530,"name":"Gema Climent Flordelis","side":"away"},{"id":64516,"name":"Yasmin Mrabet","side":"away"},{"id":17852,"name":"Carolina Marín","side":"away"},{"id":17743,"name":"Debora García","side":"away"},{"id":64508,"name":"Danielle Marcano","side":"away"},{"id":17757,"name":"Lucia Moral","side":"away"},{"id":64509,"name":"Rebecca Elloh","side":"away"},{"id":64537,"name":"Marta Mascarell","side":"away"},{"id":17732,"name":"Salomé Prat","side":"away"},{"id":64506,"name":"Teresa Morato","side":"away"},{"id":64519,"name":"Amanda Mbadi","side":"away"},{"id":64524,"name":"Esther Gómez Martínez","side":"away"},{"id":64513,"name":"Noa Marchena","side":"away"},{"id":64548,"name":"Marina Llàcer","side":"away"},{"id":101583,"name":"Celia Fernández","side":"away"},{"id":209711,"name":"Paula Sancho","side":"away"},{"id":63812,"name":"Jana Xin","side":"away"},{"id":209709,"name":"Uju Mbadi","side":"away"},{"id":209710,"name":"Teresa Armengol","side":"away"},{"id":64526,"name":"Andrea Recio","side":"away"}],"players":[{"id":17656,"name":"Synne Jensen","side":"home","team":"Club Atlético de Madrid","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":7,"starts":7,"goals":6,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":3,"team_games":6,"tracked_apps":6,"tracked_starts":6},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":3,"assists":0,"scoredIn":1,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Madrid CFF","kickoff":1792339200,"goals":2,"assists":0,"score":"4-0","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_scorer","ever_present"],"importance":0.451,"country":null,"load":{"games":1,"minutes":73,"country":0}},{"id":17660,"name":"Gio Garbelini","side":"home","team":"Club Atlético de Madrid","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":5,"starts":3,"goals":1,"assists":1,"big_chances":1,"clean_sheets":1,"team_games":6,"tracked_apps":4,"tracked_starts":2},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":1,"assists":1,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Real Club Deportivo de A Coruña","kickoff":1791036000,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"2-1","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.177,"country":null,"load":{"games":1,"minutes":90,"country":0}},{"id":64508,"name":"Danielle Marcano","side":"away","team":"Valencia","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":7,"starts":5,"goals":2,"assists":0,"big_chances":1,"clean_sheets":0,"team_games":6,"tracked_apps":6,"tracked_starts":4},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":2,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Real Madrid","kickoff":1789842600,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"1-3","won":false},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.52,"country":null,"load":{"games":1,"minutes":82,"country":0}}],"extras":{"teams":{"home":920,"away":3885},"split":{"home":{"above":{"w":1,"d":0,"l":3},"below":{"w":3,"d":0,"l":0}},"away":{"above":{"w":0,"d":0,"l":7},"below":null}},"referee":null,"managers":{"home":{"id":3750,"name":"David González","vs":null},"away":{"id":2004,"name":"Mikel Crespo Aguilar","vs":null}},"best_xi":[{"id":17647,"name":"Lola Gallardo","team_id":920,"position":"G","matches":7,"goals":0,"assists":0},{"id":17656,"name":"Synne Jensen","team_id":920,"position":"F","matches":7,"goals":6,"assists":0}],"players":{}},"notable":[{"id":17617,"name":"Clàudia Pina","goals":9,"rank":1},{"id":62039,"name":"Felicia Schröder","goals":6,"rank":2},{"id":17656,"name":"Synne Jensen","goals":6,"rank":3},{"id":17612,"name":"Caroline Graham Hansen","goals":4,"rank":4},{"id":21254,"name":"Millene Cabral Vieira","goals":4,"rank":5},{"id":63770,"name":"Ainhoa Guallar","goals":3,"rank":6},{"id":17636,"name":"Ane Azkona","goals":3,"rank":7},{"id":17677,"name":"Carlota Suarez","goals":3,"rank":8},{"id":17716,"name":"Cecilia Marcos","goals":3,"rank":9},{"id":17610,"name":"Esmee Brugts","goals":3,"rank":10},{"id":17752,"name":"Fatoumata Kanteh","goals":3,"rank":11},{"id":17652,"name":"Fiamma Benítez","goals":3,"rank":12},{"id":17685,"name":"Sakina Ouzraoui","goals":3,"rank":13},{"id":17591,"name":"Sara Däbritz","goals":3,"rank":14},{"id":17998,"name":"Allegra Poljak","goals":2,"rank":15}],"round_label":"Regular season · Matchday 8","neutral":false,"h2h":{"total_matches":24,"home_wins":16,"draws":7,"away_wins":1,"home_goals":51,"away_goals":13,"avg_total_goals":2.6666666666666665,"home_win_rate":0.6666666666666666,"away_win_rate":0.041666666666666664,"recent_matches":[{"away":"Valencia","date":"2025-03-29T18:00:00+00:00","home":"Club Atlético de Madrid","score":"3-0","event_id":235858,"away_score":0,"home_score":3,"away_team_id":3885,"home_team_id":920},{"away":"Club Atlético de Madrid","date":"2024-09-22T10:00:00+00:00","home":"Valencia","score":"0-4","event_id":235688,"away_score":4,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":920,"home_team_id":3885},{"away":"Valencia","date":"2024-03-30T15:00:00+00:00","home":"Club Atlético de Madrid","score":"1-0","event_id":245426,"away_score":0,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":3885,"home_team_id":920},{"away":"Club Atlético de Madrid","date":"2024-01-07T15:00:00+00:00","home":"Valencia","score":"1-6","event_id":245357,"away_score":6,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":920,"home_team_id":3885},{"away":"Valencia","date":"2023-04-01T16:15:00+00:00","home":"Club Atlético de Madrid","score":"6-2","event_id":256669,"away_score":2,"home_score":6,"away_team_id":3885,"home_team_id":920},{"away":"Club Atlético de Madrid","date":"2022-12-04T11:00:00+00:00","home":"Valencia","score":"0-1","event_id":256566,"away_score":1,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":920,"home_team_id":3885},{"away":"Valencia","date":"2022-03-26T12:00:00+00:00","home":"Club Atlético de Madrid","score":"3-0","event_id":269743,"away_score":0,"home_score":3,"away_team_id":3885,"home_team_id":920},{"away":"Club Atlético de Madrid","date":"2021-11-07T10:30:00+00:00","home":"Valencia","score":"1-1","event_id":269610,"away_score":1,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":920,"home_team_id":3885},{"away":"Club Atlético de Madrid","date":"2021-03-28T18:30:00+00:00","home":"Valencia","score":"0-0","event_id":281324,"away_score":0,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":920,"home_team_id":3885},{"away":"Valencia","date":"2021-02-14T10:30:00+00:00","home":"Club Atlético de Madrid","score":"4-1","event_id":281228,"away_score":1,"home_score":4,"away_team_id":3885,"home_team_id":920}]},"standings":{"home":{"team_id":920,"position":5,"played":7,"points":12,"goal_diff":3,"team_name":"Club Atlético de Madrid","won":4,"drawn":0,"lost":3,"goals_for":14,"goals_against":11,"group":null},"away":{"team_id":3885,"position":16,"played":7,"points":0,"goal_diff":-10,"team_name":"Valencia","won":0,"drawn":0,"lost":7,"goals_for":4,"goals_against":14,"group":null},"size":16},"form":{"home":{"matches":6,"ppg":1.5,"record":"3-0-3","goals_for":1.67,"goals_against":1.83,"clean_sheets":2,"streak":"none","sequence":"LWLWLW","venue_ppg":3},"away":{"matches":6,"ppg":0,"record":"0-0-6","goals_for":0.67,"goals_against":2.17,"clean_sheets":0,"streak":"lost 6","sequence":"LLLLLL","venue_ppg":0}},"ledger":[{"id":"availability.home.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Club Atlético de Madrid report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.away.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Valencia report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.rotation_risk","section":"§3.1","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.","evidence":{"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.627,"cup_tie":false},"strength":0.373,"moves":[]},{"id":"stakes.season","section":"§5.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing much riding on this one for either side yet.","evidence":{"games_left":22,"home":{"state":"mid_table","position":5,"points":12,"games_left":22,"gap_to_leader":6,"gap_to_safety":5,"gap_to_europe":1},"away":{"state":"mid_table","position":16,"points":0,"games_left":22,"gap_to_leader":18,"gap_to_safety":-7,"gap_to_europe":13},"six_pointer":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.derby","section":"§5.2","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Not a local derby.","evidence":{"derby":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.revenge","section":"§5.3","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Valencia lost the reverse fixture by 4 goals and tend to show up better than form implies in the return.","evidence":{"reverse_margin":4,"beaten_side":"Valencia","reverse_score":"0-4","reverse_date":1726999200},"strength":0.48,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":3.6}]},{"id":"manager.home.settling","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"David González is 7 games into the job at Club Atlético de Madrid, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.","evidence":{"manager":"David González","matches_in_charge":7,"tenure_days":55,"ppm":1.71,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.9,"after_ppm":1.71,"delta":null}},"strength":0.3,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.away.settling","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Mikel Crespo Aguilar is 7 games into the job at Valencia, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.","evidence":{"manager":"Mikel Crespo Aguilar","matches_in_charge":7,"tenure_days":55,"ppm":0,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.5,"after_ppm":0,"delta":null}},"strength":0.3,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.home","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Club Atlético de Madrid come in on 5 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":5.0625,"matchesIn7":1,"matchesIn14":1,"days_rest":5.1},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.away","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Valencia come in on 6 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":6.125,"matchesIn7":1,"matchesIn14":1,"days_rest":6.1},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.opponent_adjustment","section":"§4.1","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form. — though 5.556646021020384 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.","evidence":{"home":{"attack":0.223,"defence":0.048,"effective_matches":11.2,"shrunk":0.42},"away":{"attack":-0.096,"defence":-0.098,"effective_matches":5.6,"shrunk":0.59},"sample":5.556646021020384,"required":6},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence; Valencia work noticeably more of their attacks into wide areas.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":53.7,"shots":15.2,"xg_per_shot":0.11,"corners":4.3,"corners_per_shot":0.286,"finishing_vs_xg":0.17},"away":{"matches":12,"possession":46,"shots":11.2,"xg_per_shot":0.109,"corners":4.3,"corners_per_shot":0.388,"finishing_vs_xg":-0.13},"possession_gap":7.7},"strength":0.307,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Club Atlético de Madrid are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.17,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Valencia are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.13,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Routine trip of 276 km for Valencia.","evidence":{"travel_km":276},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No weather reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.0942120012697096},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: no-prices","preview":"Everything underneath the results points to Club Atlético de Madrid. At home, Club Atlético de Madrid have made the better chances in all of their last four home games. Meanwhile, Valencia have faced six or more efforts on target in four of their last six games. They are getting opened up. On top of that, away from home, they have been out-created in four of their last five away games. That is the pattern to trust here, and it favours Club Atlético de Madrid.","external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":5583,"created_at":"2026-10-17T02:15:26Z","event":{"id":215285,"event_date":"2026-10-23T17:30:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":920,"home_team":"Club Atlético de Madrid","away_team_id":3885,"away_team":"Valencia","league_id":36,"league_name":"Liga F"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"H","favorite_prob":70.6,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.7057,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}}},"computed_at":1792658234,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":"#28296d","away":"#ed3724"},"venue":{"name":"Centro Deportivo Wanda","city":"Alcala de Henares","capacity":null},"pulled":[],"published":[]}