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nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":7.729166666666667,"matchesIn7":0,"matchesIn14":2,"days_rest":7.7},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.away","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Eibar come in on 7 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":6.90625,"matchesIn7":1,"matchesIn14":2,"days_rest":6.9},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.opponent_adjustment","section":"§4.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form.","evidence":{"home":{"attack":0.119,"defence":-0.146,"effective_matches":16.1,"shrunk":0.33},"away":{"attack":0.113,"defence":0.129,"effective_matches":16.1,"shrunk":0.33}},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Córdoba average 12 points more possession than Eibar, so this should be one side with the ball and one without it.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":56.4,"shots":15.7,"xg_per_shot":0.112,"corners":5,"corners_per_shot":0.318,"finishing_vs_xg":-0.34},"away":{"matches":12,"possession":44.7,"shots":12,"xg_per_shot":0.104,"corners":3.4,"corners_per_shot":0.28,"finishing_vs_xg":0.92},"possession_gap":11.6},"strength":0.465,"moves":[{"channel":"corners","side":"home","pct":2.4},{"channel":"corners","side":"away","pct":-2.4}]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Córdoba have scored 4 fewer than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.34,"matches":12},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Eibar have scored 11 more than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.92,"matches":12},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"28 yellow cards in this referee's last 4 games, where 21 would be usual in this league, with nobody sent off. — though 4 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.","evidence":{"matches":4,"yellows_per_match":7,"reds_per_match":0,"league_yellows_per_match":5.25,"league_reds_per_match":0.29,"yellow_ratio":1.33,"red_ratio":0,"sample":4,"required":30},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Routine trip of 623 km for Eibar.","evidence":{"travel_km":623},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.","evidence":{"rain_mm":null,"wind_kph":6.1,"temperature_c":27,"description":"unknown"},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.24777582025099937},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: value","preview":"Look past the results and this is Córdoba's game. Córdoba have had most of the ball in six of their last eight games, and they turn it into chances. As for the other side, Eibar have faced six or more efforts on target in four of their last six games. They are getting opened up. And they have scored 20 in their last ten from chances that would usually bring about 12. That finishing is running hot. If that carries on, Córdoba should have the better of it.","external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":5818,"created_at":"2026-10-18T02:15:33Z","event":{"id":214881,"event_date":"2026-10-24T12:00:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":1265,"home_team":"Córdoba","away_team_id":1397,"away_team":"Eibar","league_id":38,"league_name":"Segunda División"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"H","favorite_prob":43.6,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.4359,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}}},"computed_at":1792836349,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":"#0a7649","away":"#0e6eac"},"venue":{"name":"Estadio Nuevo Arcángel","city":"Cordoba","capacity":21384},"pulled":[],"published":[]}