{"id":214866,"league_id":38,"league":"Segunda División","kickoff":1792350000,"home":"Burgos Club de Fútbol","away":"CE Sabadell","home_id":1401,"away_id":1467,"venue_id":853,"rank":5,"status":"finished","provisional":false,"lineup_status":"confirmed","confidence":0.68,"score":[1,0],"live_score":null,"lambda":[1.07,0.9],"odds_1x2":{"HOME":0.3410381876297441,"DRAW":0.3199610871443676,"AWAY":0.33900072522588826},"read":{"text":"Too close to call. A draw is live","side":null},"top_pick":null,"pass":"Passing on Burgos Club de Fútbol v CE Sabadell. There is a likely outcome here, but every bookmaker has it shorter than it deserves, so there is nothing to take.","confident":[],"flags":[{"id":"availability.away.absences","section":"§2.4","note":"CE Sabadell are without 2 players, and Nicholas Gioacchini and Edgar González are real losses."},{"id":"availability.lineup_confirmed","section":"§3.1","note":"The starting elevens are confirmed. Burgos Club de Fútbol have made six changes from the side expected, with Ignasi Vilarrasa, Sergio González and Alberto Dadie out of the eleven. CE Sabadell have made three changes from the side expected, with Miki Codina, Javi López-Pinto and Nikolay Obolskiy out of the eleven."}],"lambda_home":1.070601405857252,"lambda_away":0.8960286420414534,"corner_rate":8.04,"card_rate":0.326,"lineups":{"status":"confirmed","confidence":null,"home":{"formation":"4-2-3-1","players":[{"id":30383,"name":"Ander Cantero","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":31386,"name":"Álex Lizancos","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":1983,"name":"Oier Luengo","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":30386,"name":"Grego Sierra","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":30406,"name":"Brais Martínez","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":3929,"name":"Unai Vencedor","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":35480,"name":"Pablo Galdames","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":17136,"name":"Kevin Appin","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":30388,"name":"David González","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":2656,"name":"Javi Llabrés","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":4387,"name":"Jon Karrikaburu","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":30472,"name":"Curro Sánchez","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":30244,"name":"Alberto Dadie","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":1976,"name":"Álex Forés","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":31384,"name":"Víctor Mollejo","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":27290,"name":"José Gragera","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":26531,"name":"Bruno Iribarne","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":31388,"name":"Iván Martínez","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":30613,"name":"Saúl del Cerro","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":27146,"name":"Ignasi Vilarrasa","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":30310,"name":"Sergio González","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":31383,"name":"Fermín García","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":30395,"name":"Marcelo Expósito","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null}],"confidence":null},"away":{"formation":"3-1-4-2","players":[{"id":31648,"name":"Diego Fuoli","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":73857,"name":"José Luis Català","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":185603,"name":"Oscar Sanz Naval","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":31649,"name":"Arthur Bonaldo","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":31654,"name":"Albert Orriols","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":31652,"name":"Ton Ripoll","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":31653,"name":"Quadri Liameed","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":12555,"name":"Pere Pons","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":30393,"name":"Pipa","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":31658,"name":"Joel Priego","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":14082,"name":"Ángel Baena","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":31609,"name":"Eneko Aguilar","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":30470,"name":"Yanis Rahmani","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":27020,"name":"Gastón Valles","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":31672,"name":"Alain Ribeiro","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":27130,"name":"Nikolay Obolskiy","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":35668,"name":"José Ortega","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":4203,"name":"Marc Vidal","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":31650,"name":"Kaiser","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":210274,"name":"Yussif Owusu","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":31668,"name":"Quim Utges","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null}],"confidence":null},"unavailable":[{"id":30264,"name":"Edgar González","team_id":null,"side":"away","reason":"yellow_or_red_card_suspension"},{"id":10881,"name":"Nicholas Gioacchini","team_id":null,"side":"away","reason":"Cruciate Ligament Injury"}]},"people":[{"id":30383,"name":"Ander Cantero","side":"home"},{"id":31386,"name":"Álex Lizancos","side":"home"},{"id":1983,"name":"Oier Luengo","side":"home"},{"id":30386,"name":"Grego Sierra","side":"home"},{"id":30406,"name":"Brais Martínez","side":"home"},{"id":3929,"name":"Unai Vencedor","side":"home"},{"id":35480,"name":"Pablo Galdames","side":"home"},{"id":17136,"name":"Kevin Appin","side":"home"},{"id":30388,"name":"David González","side":"home"},{"id":2656,"name":"Javi Llabrés","side":"home"},{"id":4387,"name":"Jon Karrikaburu","side":"home"},{"id":30472,"name":"Curro Sánchez","side":"home"},{"id":30244,"name":"Alberto Dadie","side":"home"},{"id":1976,"name":"Álex Forés","side":"home"},{"id":31384,"name":"Víctor Mollejo","side":"home"},{"id":27290,"name":"José Gragera","side":"home"},{"id":26531,"name":"Bruno Iribarne","side":"home"},{"id":31388,"name":"Iván Martínez","side":"home"},{"id":30613,"name":"Saúl del Cerro","side":"home"},{"id":27146,"name":"Ignasi Vilarrasa","side":"home"},{"id":30310,"name":"Sergio González","side":"home"},{"id":31383,"name":"Fermín García","side":"home"},{"id":30395,"name":"Marcelo Expósito","side":"home"},{"id":90366,"name":"David Hernáiz","side":"home"},{"id":30603,"name":"Irian Ribas","side":"home"},{"id":30444,"name":"Marc Monedero","side":"home"},{"id":30397,"name":"Diego Gonzalez Presencio","side":"home"},{"id":30473,"name":"Mario Cantero","side":"home"},{"id":37117,"name":"Santiago Lencina","side":"home"},{"id":31648,"name":"Diego Fuoli","side":"away"},{"id":73857,"name":"José Luis Català","side":"away"},{"id":185603,"name":"Oscar Sanz Naval","side":"away"},{"id":31649,"name":"Arthur Bonaldo","side":"away"},{"id":31654,"name":"Albert Orriols","side":"away"},{"id":31652,"name":"Ton Ripoll","side":"away"},{"id":31653,"name":"Quadri Liameed","side":"away"},{"id":12555,"name":"Pere Pons","side":"away"},{"id":30393,"name":"Pipa","side":"away"},{"id":31658,"name":"Joel Priego","side":"away"},{"id":14082,"name":"Ángel Baena","side":"away"},{"id":31609,"name":"Eneko Aguilar","side":"away"},{"id":30470,"name":"Yanis Rahmani","side":"away"},{"id":27020,"name":"Gastón Valles","side":"away"},{"id":31672,"name":"Alain Ribeiro","side":"away"},{"id":27130,"name":"Nikolay Obolskiy","side":"away"},{"id":35668,"name":"José Ortega","side":"away"},{"id":4203,"name":"Marc Vidal","side":"away"},{"id":31650,"name":"Kaiser","side":"away"},{"id":210274,"name":"Yussif Owusu","side":"away"},{"id":31668,"name":"Quim Utges","side":"away"},{"id":31651,"name":"Genar Fornés","side":"away"},{"id":64980,"name":"Miki Codina","side":"away"},{"id":30264,"name":"Edgar González","side":"away"},{"id":10881,"name":"Nicholas Gioacchini","side":"away"},{"id":39430,"name":"Patrick Amiamo Nuamah","side":"away"},{"id":73861,"name":"Manel Estévez Rubio","side":"away"},{"id":30558,"name":"Javi López-Pinto","side":"away"},{"id":208737,"name":"Alain Ribeiro De Aguilar Miranda","side":"away"},{"id":32590,"name":"Xavi Moreno","side":"away"}],"players":null,"extras":{"teams":{"home":1401,"away":1467},"split":{"home":{"above":{"w":1,"d":1,"l":3},"below":{"w":4,"d":1,"l":0}},"away":{"above":{"w":1,"d":2,"l":1},"below":{"w":3,"d":2,"l":1}}},"referee":null,"managers":{"home":{"id":1954,"name":"Sergio Francisco","vs":null},"away":{"id":917,"name":"Ferran Costa","vs":null}},"best_xi":[],"players":{}},"notable":[{"id":27132,"name":"Adrian Fuentes","goals":6,"rank":1},{"id":27019,"name":"Enric Gallego","goals":6,"rank":2},{"id":26504,"name":"Miguel de la Fuente","goals":6,"rank":3},{"id":63714,"name":"Álvaro Marín","goals":5,"rank":4},{"id":1048,"name":"Yáser Asprilla","goals":5,"rank":5},{"id":32593,"name":"Adrián Arnu","goals":4,"rank":6},{"id":1270,"name":"Carlos Domínguez","goals":4,"rank":7},{"id":35188,"name":"Carlos Hernández","goals":4,"rank":8},{"id":30461,"name":"Israel Suero","goals":4,"rank":9},{"id":28229,"name":"Iván Gil","goals":4,"rank":10},{"id":32380,"name":"Jordi Cano","goals":4,"rank":11},{"id":4531,"name":"Jordi Escobar","goals":4,"rank":12},{"id":30429,"name":"Ousmane Camara","goals":4,"rank":13},{"id":1976,"name":"Álex Forés","goals":3,"rank":14},{"id":14082,"name":"Ángel Baena","goals":3,"rank":15}],"round_label":"Regular season · Matchday 10","neutral":false,"h2h":{"total_matches":2,"home_wins":1,"draws":0,"away_wins":1,"home_goals":5,"away_goals":3,"avg_total_goals":4,"home_win_rate":0.5,"away_win_rate":0.5,"recent_matches":[{"away":"CE Sabadell","date":"1972-04-09T15:00:00+00:00","home":"Burgos Club de Fútbol","score":"4-1","event_id":576638,"away_score":1,"home_score":4,"away_team_id":1467,"home_team_id":1401},{"away":"Burgos Club de Fútbol","date":"1971-12-05T15:00:00+00:00","home":"CE Sabadell","score":"2-1","event_id":576488,"away_score":1,"home_score":2,"away_team_id":1401,"home_team_id":1467}]},"standings":{"home":{"team_id":1401,"position":8,"played":10,"points":17,"goal_diff":3,"team_name":"Burgos Club de Fútbol","won":5,"drawn":2,"lost":3,"goals_for":13,"goals_against":10,"group":null},"away":{"team_id":1467,"position":10,"played":10,"points":16,"goal_diff":2,"team_name":"CE Sabadell","won":4,"drawn":4,"lost":2,"goals_for":10,"goals_against":8,"group":null},"size":22},"form":{"home":{"matches":6,"ppg":1.67,"record":"3-1-2","goals_for":1.17,"goals_against":0.83,"clean_sheets":2,"streak":"none","sequence":"DWWWLL","venue_ppg":2},"away":{"matches":6,"ppg":1.83,"record":"3-2-1","goals_for":1.5,"goals_against":1.17,"clean_sheets":1,"streak":"unbeaten 4","sequence":"WLWDDW","venue_ppg":1.33}},"ledger":[{"id":"availability.home.absences","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Burgos Club de Fútbol are without 2 players, none of whom register in the scoring records.","evidence":{"count":2,"measured":0,"combined_goal_share":0,"combined_importance":0,"players":[{"player":"Grego Sierra","role":"DEF","reason":"Muscle Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.05,"measured":false,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":9},{"player":"Marcelo Expósito","role":"MID","reason":"Muscle Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.05,"measured":false,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":9}]},"strength":0.15,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"home","pct":-0.3},{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":0.4},{"channel":"corners","side":"home","pct":-0.1},{"channel":"cards","side":"both","pct":0.3}]},{"id":"availability.away.absences","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"CE Sabadell are without 2 players, and Nicholas Gioacchini and Edgar González are real losses.","evidence":{"count":2,"measured":2,"combined_goal_share":0.4,"combined_importance":0.4,"players":[{"player":"Nicholas Gioacchini","role":"ATT","reason":"Cruciate Ligament Injury","goal_share":0.3,"importance":0.3,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":4},{"player":"Edgar González","role":"DEF","reason":"yellow_or_red_card_suspension","goal_share":0.1,"importance":0.1,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":7}]},"strength":1,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":-3.1},{"channel":"goals","side":"home","pct":0.7},{"channel":"corners","side":"away","pct":-1.5},{"channel":"cards","side":"both","pct":0.2}]},{"id":"availability.lineup_confirmed","section":"§3.1","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The starting elevens are confirmed. Burgos Club de Fútbol have made six changes from the side expected, with Ignasi Vilarrasa, Sergio González and Alberto Dadie out of the eleven. CE Sabadell have made three changes from the side expected, with Miki Codina, Javi López-Pinto and Nikolay Obolskiy out of the eleven.","evidence":{"lineup_status":"confirmed","changes":{"home":{"n":6,"out":["Ignasi Vilarrasa","Sergio González","Alberto Dadie","José Gragera","Curro Sánchez","Álex Forés"],"in":["Álex Lizancos","Grego Sierra","Brais Martínez","Pablo Galdames","Kevin Appin","Jon Karrikaburu"]},"away":{"n":3,"out":["Miki Codina","Javi López-Pinto","Nikolay Obolskiy"],"in":["Arthur Bonaldo","Pere Pons","Ángel Baena"]}}},"strength":0.8,"moves":[]},{"id":"form.home","section":"§2.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Burgos Club de Fútbol have taken 1.67 points a game from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.8, and 2.00 a game at home.","evidence":{"matches":6,"ppg":1.67,"record":"3-1-2","goals_for":1.17,"goals_against":0.83,"clean_sheets":2,"streak":"none","sequence":"DWWWLL","venue_ppg":2},"strength":0.211,"moves":[]},{"id":"form.away","section":"§2.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"CE Sabadell have taken 1.83 points a game from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.2, and 1.33 a game on the road.","evidence":{"matches":6,"ppg":1.83,"record":"3-2-1","goals_for":1.5,"goals_against":1.17,"clean_sheets":1,"streak":"unbeaten 4","sequence":"WLWDDW","venue_ppg":1.33},"strength":0.322,"moves":[]},{"id":"stakes.season","section":"§5.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing much riding on this one for either side yet.","evidence":{"games_left":32,"home":{"state":"mid_table","position":8,"points":17,"games_left":32,"gap_to_leader":7,"gap_to_safety":9,"gap_to_europe":1},"away":{"state":"mid_table","position":10,"points":16,"games_left":32,"gap_to_leader":8,"gap_to_safety":8,"gap_to_europe":2},"six_pointer":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.derby","section":"§5.2","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Not a local derby.","evidence":{"derby":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.revenge","section":"§5.3","tier":2,"state":"THIN","note":"No reverse fixture on record this season, so there is no revenge angle to read.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.home.established","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Sergio Francisco has 16 matches in charge at Burgos Club de Fútbol, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.","evidence":{"manager":"Sergio Francisco","matches_in_charge":16,"tenure_days":319,"ppm":1.75,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.6,"after_ppm":1.6,"delta":null}},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.away.established","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Ferran Costa has 18 matches in charge at CE Sabadell, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.","evidence":{"manager":"Ferran Costa","matches_in_charge":18,"tenure_days":319,"ppm":1.56,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.6,"after_ppm":1.4,"delta":null}},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.home","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Burgos Club de Fútbol come in on 6 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":6.197916666666667,"matchesIn7":1,"matchesIn14":1,"days_rest":6.2},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.away","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"CE Sabadell come in on 8 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":8.197916666666666,"matchesIn7":0,"matchesIn14":2,"days_rest":8.2},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.opponent_adjustment","section":"§4.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form.","evidence":{"home":{"attack":-0.11,"defence":0.19,"effective_matches":16.1,"shrunk":0.33},"away":{"attack":-0.01,"defence":0.208,"effective_matches":7.4,"shrunk":0.52}},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":49.1,"shots":10.9,"xg_per_shot":0.11,"corners":3.3,"corners_per_shot":0.301,"finishing_vs_xg":-0.11},"away":{"matches":12,"possession":42.9,"shots":14.9,"xg_per_shot":0.104,"corners":5.1,"corners_per_shot":0.342,"finishing_vs_xg":-0.29},"possession_gap":6.2},"strength":0.247,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Burgos Club de Fútbol are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.11,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"CE Sabadell have scored 4 fewer than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.29,"matches":12},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"212 yellow cards in this referee's last 35 games, where 184 would be usual in this league, and 12 reds.","evidence":{"matches":35,"yellows_per_match":6.06,"reds_per_match":0.343,"league_yellows_per_match":5.26,"league_reds_per_match":0.287,"yellow_ratio":1.15,"red_ratio":1.2},"strength":0.136,"moves":[{"channel":"cards","side":"both","pct":3.4}]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No travel distance reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.","evidence":{"rain_mm":null,"wind_kph":2.3,"temperature_c":12,"description":"clear"},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"THIN","note":"Pitch condition reported as 1, but the provider documents no scale for it. Recorded and excluded until the scale is confirmed — set PITCH_SCALE_MAX once known.","evidence":{"pitch_condition":1},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.2644087430353225},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.overround","section":"§7.3","tier":7,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The bookmakers are taking a 8.4% cut on this match. The bigger their cut, the further out a price has to be before it is worth backing.","evidence":{"overround":1.0839,"margin_pct":8.39,"devig_method":"shin","books_quoting":3},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.movement","section":"§7.1","tier":7,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The line has barely moved since it opened.","evidence":{"moves":[{"outcome":"HOME","move_pct":0,"direction":null},{"outcome":"DRAW","move_pct":0,"direction":null},{"outcome":"AWAY","move_pct":0,"direction":null}]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.sharp_reference","section":"§7.1","tier":7,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The sharp book and the wider market agree on this fixture.","evidence":{"sharp":{"HOME":0.3306,"DRAW":0.3329,"AWAY":0.3365},"consensus":{"HOME":0.341,"DRAW":0.32,"AWAY":0.339},"largest_gap":{"outcome":"DRAW","points":1.3},"sharp_overround":1.0322},"strength":0.162,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.prediction_market","section":"§7.2","tier":7,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No prediction-market prices for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"markets":[{"market":"1x2","line":null,"confidence":0.68,"model":{"HOME":0.3816,"DRAW":0.3287,"AWAY":0.2897},"book":{"HOME":0.341,"DRAW":0.32,"AWAY":0.339},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":2.95,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"DRAW":{"odds":3,"bookmaker":"betfair"},"AWAY":{"odds":2.99,"bookmaker":"MansionBet"}},"overround":1.0839,"books":16,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"HOME":0.3306,"DRAW":0.3329,"AWAY":0.3365}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"HOME":0.3306,"DRAW":0.3329,"AWAY":0.3365}}},{"market":"double_chance","line":null,"confidence":0.68,"model":{"12":0.6713,"1X":0.7103,"X2":0.6184},"book":{"12":0.68,"1X":0.661,"X2":0.659},"best":{"12":{"odds":1.41,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"1X":{"odds":1.46,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"X2":{"odds":1.444,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0433,"books":6,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"12":0.6671,"1X":0.6635,"X2":0.6694}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"12":0.6671,"1X":0.6635,"X2":0.6694}}},{"market":"draw_no_bet","line":null,"confidence":0.68,"model":{"HOME":0.5685,"AWAY":0.4315},"book":{"HOME":0.5015,"AWAY":0.4985},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.833,"bookmaker":"Betway"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.95,"bookmaker":"Novibet"}},"overround":1.0786,"books":12,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"HOME":0.4956,"AWAY":0.5044}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"HOME":0.4956,"AWAY":0.5044}}},{"market":"btts","line":null,"confidence":0.68,"model":{"yes":0.3983,"no":0.6017},"book":{"yes":0.4392,"no":0.5608},"best":{"yes":{"odds":2.2,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"no":{"odds":1.78,"bookmaker":"Unibet"}},"overround":1.0786,"books":16,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"yes":0.4454,"no":0.5546}}},{"market":"over_under_05","line":0.5,"confidence":0.68,"model":{"over":0.8507,"under":0.1493},"book":{"over":0.8788,"under":0.1212},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.13,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"under":{"odds":7,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0553,"books":4,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.8671,"under":0.1329}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.8671,"under":0.1329}}},{"market":"over_under_15","line":1.5,"confidence":0.68,"model":{"over":0.5942,"under":0.4058},"book":{"over":0.6224,"under":0.3776},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.57,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"under":{"odds":2.57,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0518,"books":4,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.6193,"under":0.3807}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.6193,"under":0.3807}}},{"market":"over_under_25","line":2.5,"confidence":0.68,"model":{"over":0.3143,"under":0.6857},"book":{"over":0.341,"under":0.659},"best":{"over":{"odds":2.86,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"under":{"odds":1.46,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"}},"overround":1.0602,"books":4,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.3324,"under":0.6676}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.3324,"under":0.6676}}},{"market":"over_under_35","line":3.5,"confidence":0.68,"model":{"over":0.1369,"under":0.8631},"book":{"over":0.1565,"under":0.8435},"best":{"over":{"odds":5.75,"bookmaker":"BetVictor"},"under":{"odds":1.167,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0564,"books":4,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.1562,"under":0.8438}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.1562,"under":0.8438}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-1.75,"confidence":0.68,"model":{"HOME":0.1082,"AWAY":0.8918},"book":{"HOME":0.0794,"AWAY":0.9206},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":8.35,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.06,"bookmaker":"Unibet"}},"overround":1.0862,"books":2,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.093,"AWAY":0.907}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-1.5,"confidence":0.68,"model":{"HOME":0.1569,"AWAY":0.8431},"book":{"HOME":0.1278,"AWAY":0.8722},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":6.5,"bookmaker":"Unibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.125,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0752,"books":5,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.1455,"AWAY":0.8545}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-1.25,"confidence":0.68,"model":{"HOME":0.1767,"AWAY":0.8233},"book":{"HOME":0.146,"AWAY":0.854},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":5.75,"bookmaker":"Unibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.15,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0696,"books":4,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.164,"AWAY":0.836}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-1,"confidence":0.68,"model":{"HOME":0.2023,"AWAY":0.7977},"book":{"HOME":0.1633,"AWAY":0.8367},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":5.25,"bookmaker":"Unibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.17,"bookmaker":"Novibet"}},"overround":1.0737,"books":5,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.1883,"AWAY":0.8117}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-0.75,"confidence":0.68,"model":{"HOME":0.3033,"AWAY":0.6967},"book":{"HOME":0.27,"AWAY":0.73},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":3.45,"bookmaker":"fonbet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.37,"bookmaker":"Betsson"}},"overround":1.0726,"books":6,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.2919,"AWAY":0.7081}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-0.5,"confidence":0.68,"model":{"HOME":0.3816,"AWAY":0.6184},"book":{"HOME":0.3455,"AWAY":0.6545},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":2.675,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.47,"bookmaker":"Novibet"}},"overround":1.0743,"books":10,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.3682,"AWAY":0.6318}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-0.25,"confidence":0.68,"model":{"HOME":0.4567,"AWAY":0.5433},"book":{"HOME":0.4157,"AWAY":0.5843},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":2.329,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.64,"bookmaker":"Novibet"}},"overround":1.0657,"books":7,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.4443,"AWAY":0.5557}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0,"confidence":0.68,"model":{"HOME":0.5685,"AWAY":0.4315},"book":{"HOME":0.5149,"AWAY":0.4851},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.905,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.975,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0655,"books":8,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.5464,"AWAY":0.4536}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0.25,"confidence":0.68,"model":{"HOME":0.6533,"AWAY":0.3467},"book":{"HOME":0.6068,"AWAY":0.3932},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.58,"bookmaker":"fonbet"},"AWAY":{"odds":2.4,"bookmaker":"Novibet"}},"overround":1.0766,"books":5,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.6334,"AWAY":0.3666}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0.5,"confidence":0.68,"model":{"HOME":0.7103,"AWAY":0.2897},"book":{"HOME":0.664,"AWAY":0.336},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.444,"bookmaker":"888Sport"},"AWAY":{"odds":2.85,"bookmaker":"Novibet"}},"overround":1.0782,"books":9,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.668,"AWAY":0.332}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0.75,"confidence":0.68,"model":{"HOME":0.7834,"AWAY":0.2166},"book":{"HOME":0.7542,"AWAY":0.2458},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.275,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":3.65,"bookmaker":"Novibet"}},"overround":1.0763,"books":5,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.7706,"AWAY":0.2294}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":1,"confidence":0.68,"model":{"HOME":0.8732,"AWAY":0.1268},"book":{"HOME":0.8503,"AWAY":0.1497},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.15,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":5.5,"bookmaker":"Unibet"}},"overround":1.0761,"books":5,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.8618,"AWAY":0.1382}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":1.25,"confidence":0.68,"model":{"HOME":0.8863,"AWAY":0.1137},"book":{"HOME":0.8686,"AWAY":0.1314},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.125,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":6.1,"bookmaker":"Novibet"}},"overround":1.0732,"books":4,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.8801,"AWAY":0.1199}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":1.5,"confidence":0.68,"model":{"HOME":0.8969,"AWAY":0.1031},"book":{"HOME":0.8797,"AWAY":0.1203},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.11,"bookmaker":"Novibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":6.6,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0769,"books":5,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.8857,"AWAY":0.1143}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":1.75,"confidence":0.68,"model":{"HOME":0.9325,"AWAY":0.0675},"book":{"HOME":0.9352,"AWAY":0.0648},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.012,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":8.5,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.1058,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.9392,"AWAY":0.0608}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":7.5,"confidence":0.68,"model":{"over":0.5369,"under":0.4631},"book":{"over":0.5987,"under":0.4013},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.58,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"under":{"odds":2.28,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"}},"overround":1.08,"books":2,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.5972,"under":0.4028}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.5972,"under":0.4028}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":8.5,"confidence":0.68,"model":{"over":0.4122,"under":0.5878},"book":{"over":0.4744,"under":0.5256},"best":{"over":{"odds":2,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"under":{"odds":1.8,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0657,"books":3,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.4707,"under":0.5293}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.4707,"under":0.5293}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":9.5,"confidence":0.68,"model":{"over":0.3009,"under":0.6991},"book":{"over":0.3532,"under":0.6468},"best":{"over":{"odds":2.55,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"under":{"odds":1.46,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"}},"overround":1.0852,"books":2,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.3536,"under":0.6464}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.3536,"under":0.6464}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":10.5,"confidence":0.68,"model":{"over":0.2092,"under":0.7908},"book":{"over":0.2504,"under":0.7496},"best":{"over":{"odds":3.12,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"under":{"odds":1.22,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.1402,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"over":0.2504,"under":0.7496}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":11.5,"confidence":0.68,"model":{"over":0.1389,"under":0.8611},"book":{"over":0.1741,"under":0.8259},"best":{"over":{"odds":4.15,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"under":{"odds":1.12,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.1338,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"over":0.1741,"under":0.8259}}},{"market":"corners_1x2","line":null,"confidence":0.544,"model":{"HOME":0.2002,"DRAW":0.1057,"AWAY":0.694},"book":{},"best":{},"overround":1,"books":0,"sharp":null,"open":null},{"market":"red_card","line":null,"confidence":0.476,"model":{"yes":0.2784,"no":0.7216},"book":{},"best":{},"overround":1,"books":0,"sharp":null,"open":null}],"candidates":[{"market":"draw_no_bet","outcome":"HOME","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.5685,"book_prob":0.5015,"edge":0.067,"shrunk_edge":0.0536,"odds":1.833,"bookmaker":"Betway","prices":[{"slug":"betway","book":"Betway","odds":1.833},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":1.83},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":1.83},{"slug":"betano","book":"Betano","odds":1.8},{"slug":"bwin","book":"Bwin","odds":1.8},{"slug":"sportingbet","book":"SportingBet","odds":1.8},{"slug":"888sport","book":"888Sport","odds":1.8},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":1.8},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.8},{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":1.8},{"slug":"vistabet","book":"Vistabet","odds":1.8},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.78}],"kelly":0.0126,"confidence":0.68,"family":"result"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":0,"push":"full","model_prob":0.5685,"book_prob":0.5149,"edge":0.0535,"shrunk_edge":0.0402,"odds":1.905,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.905},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":1.83},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":1.83},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.83},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.825},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":1.8},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.8},{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":1.8}],"kelly":0.0229,"confidence":0.68,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"double_chance","outcome":"1X","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.7103,"book_prob":0.661,"edge":0.0493,"shrunk_edge":0.0394,"odds":1.46,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.46},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":1.4},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.4},{"slug":"betfair","book":"betfair","odds":1.4},{"slug":"betvictor","book":"BetVictor","odds":1.4},{"slug":"sbo","book":"Sbo","odds":1.37}],"kelly":0.0201,"confidence":0.68,"family":"result"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":0.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.6533,"book_prob":0.6068,"edge":0.0466,"shrunk_edge":0.0349,"odds":1.58,"bookmaker":"fonbet","prices":[{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.58},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":1.55},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.55},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.54},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.53}],"kelly":0.0139,"confidence":0.68,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"btts","outcome":"no","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.6017,"book_prob":0.5608,"edge":0.0409,"shrunk_edge":0.0348,"odds":1.78,"bookmaker":"Unibet","prices":[{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":1.78},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.7},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.7},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.7},{"slug":"bwin","book":"Bwin","odds":1.68},{"slug":"betano","book":"Betano","odds":1.67},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":1.67},{"slug":"888sport","book":"888Sport","odds":1.667},{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":1.666},{"slug":"sportingbet","book":"SportingBet","odds":1.66},{"slug":"vistabet","book":"Vistabet","odds":1.66},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":1.65}],"kelly":0.0228,"confidence":0.68,"family":"goals"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":0.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.7103,"book_prob":0.664,"edge":0.0463,"shrunk_edge":0.0347,"odds":1.444,"bookmaker":"888Sport","prices":[{"slug":"888sport","book":"888Sport","odds":1.444},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":1.444},{"slug":"bwin","book":"Bwin","odds":1.43},{"slug":"sportingbet","book":"SportingBet","odds":1.43},{"slug":"vistabet","book":"Vistabet","odds":1.43},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":1.42},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.41},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":1.4},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.4}],"kelly":0.0145,"confidence":0.68,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"total_corners","outcome":"under","line":8.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.5878,"book_prob":0.5256,"edge":0.0622,"shrunk_edge":0.0342,"odds":1.8,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.8},{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":1.79},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.78}],"kelly":0.0181,"confidence":0.68,"family":"corners"},{"market":"total_corners","outcome":"under","line":7.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.4631,"book_prob":0.4013,"edge":0.0618,"shrunk_edge":0.034,"odds":2.28,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle","prices":[{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":2.28},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":2.22}],"kelly":0.0109,"confidence":0.68,"family":"corners"},{"market":"1x2","outcome":"HOME","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.3816,"book_prob":0.341,"edge":0.0406,"shrunk_edge":0.0325,"odds":2.95,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":2.95},{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":2.93},{"slug":"macauslot","book":"Macauslot","odds":2.92},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":2.9},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":2.75},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":2.75},{"slug":"bwin","book":"Bwin","odds":2.7},{"slug":"dafabet","book":"dafabet","odds":2.7},{"slug":"betvictor","book":"BetVictor","odds":2.7},{"slug":"coral","book":"coral","odds":2.62},{"slug":"ladbrokes","book":"ladbrokes","odds":2.62},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":2.6}],"kelly":0.0161,"confidence":0.68,"family":"result"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-0.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.4567,"book_prob":0.4157,"edge":0.041,"shrunk_edge":0.0308,"odds":2.329,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":2.329},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":2.25},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":2.25},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":2.24},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":2.2},{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":2.2},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":2.15}],"kelly":0.012,"confidence":0.68,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-1,"push":"full","model_prob":0.2023,"book_prob":0.1633,"edge":0.039,"shrunk_edge":0.0293,"odds":5.25,"bookmaker":"Unibet","prices":[{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":5.25},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":5},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":5},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":4.9},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":4.85}],"kelly":0.0037,"confidence":0.68,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"total_corners","outcome":"under","line":9.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.6991,"book_prob":0.6468,"edge":0.0523,"shrunk_edge":0.0288,"odds":1.46,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle","prices":[{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":1.46},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.42}],"kelly":0.0112,"confidence":0.68,"family":"corners"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-0.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.3816,"book_prob":0.3455,"edge":0.0361,"shrunk_edge":0.0271,"odds":2.675,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":2.675},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":2.65},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":2.65},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":2.65},{"slug":"888sport","book":"888Sport","odds":2.625},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":2.625},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":2.6},{"slug":"bwin","book":"Bwin","odds":2.55},{"slug":"sportingbet","book":"SportingBet","odds":2.55},{"slug":"vistabet","book":"Vistabet","odds":2.55}],"kelly":0.0031,"confidence":0.68,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-0.75,"push":"half","model_prob":0.3033,"book_prob":0.27,"edge":0.0334,"shrunk_edge":0.025,"odds":3.45,"bookmaker":"fonbet","prices":[{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":3.45},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":3.4},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":3.3},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":3.28},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":3.25},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":2.95}],"kelly":0.0047,"confidence":0.68,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"over_under_15","outcome":"under","line":1.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.4058,"book_prob":0.3776,"edge":0.0281,"shrunk_edge":0.0239,"odds":2.57,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":2.57},{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":2.51},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":2.5},{"slug":"betvictor","book":"BetVictor","odds":2.29}],"kelly":0.0068,"confidence":0.68,"family":"goals"},{"market":"over_under_05","outcome":"under","line":0.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.1493,"book_prob":0.1212,"edge":0.0281,"shrunk_edge":0.0239,"odds":7,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":7},{"slug":"betvictor","book":"BetVictor","odds":7},{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":6.63},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":6.35}],"kelly":0.0019,"confidence":0.68,"family":"goals"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-1.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.1767,"book_prob":0.146,"edge":0.0307,"shrunk_edge":0.023,"odds":5.75,"bookmaker":"Unibet","prices":[{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":5.75},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":5.55},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":5.5},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":5.35}],"kelly":0.0008,"confidence":0.68,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"over_under_25","outcome":"under","line":2.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.6857,"book_prob":0.659,"edge":0.0267,"shrunk_edge":0.0227,"odds":1.46,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle","prices":[{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":1.46},{"slug":"betvictor","book":"BetVictor","odds":1.45},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.44},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.44}],"kelly":0.0006,"confidence":0.68,"family":"goals"},{"market":"total_corners","outcome":"under","line":10.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.7908,"book_prob":0.7496,"edge":0.0412,"shrunk_edge":0.0227,"odds":1.22,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.22}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.68,"family":"corners"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":0.75,"push":"half","model_prob":0.7834,"book_prob":0.7542,"edge":0.0292,"shrunk_edge":0.0219,"odds":1.275,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.275},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":1.27},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.27},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.25},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.24}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.68,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-1.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.1569,"book_prob":0.1278,"edge":0.0291,"shrunk_edge":0.0218,"odds":6.5,"bookmaker":"Unibet","prices":[{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":6.5},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":6.1},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":6},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":5.9},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":5.8}],"kelly":0.0009,"confidence":0.68,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-1.75,"push":"half","model_prob":0.1082,"book_prob":0.0794,"edge":0.0288,"shrunk_edge":0.0216,"odds":8.35,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":8.35},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":8}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.68,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"total_corners","outcome":"under","line":11.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.8611,"book_prob":0.8259,"edge":0.0351,"shrunk_edge":0.0193,"odds":1.12,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.12}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.68,"family":"corners"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":1,"push":"full","model_prob":0.8732,"book_prob":0.8503,"edge":0.023,"shrunk_edge":0.0172,"odds":1.15,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.15},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.13},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":1.12},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.12},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.1}],"kelly":0.0071,"confidence":0.68,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"over_under_35","outcome":"under","line":3.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.8631,"book_prob":0.8435,"edge":0.0196,"shrunk_edge":0.0166,"odds":1.167,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.167},{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":1.16},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.12},{"slug":"betvictor","book":"BetVictor","odds":1.11}],"kelly":0.0108,"confidence":0.68,"family":"goals"}],"verdicts":[],"pass_reason":"call rule: value","preview":null,"external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":5205,"created_at":"2026-10-12T02:15:26Z","event":{"id":214866,"event_date":"2026-10-18T19:00:00Z","status":"finished","home_team_id":1401,"home_team":"Burgos Club de Fútbol","away_team_id":1467,"away_team":"CE Sabadell","league_id":38,"league_name":"Segunda División"},"markets":{"match_result":{"prob_home":34.1,"prob_draw":32,"prob_away":33.9,"predicted":"H"},"expected_goals":{"home":1.16,"away":0.94},"over_under":{"prob_over_15":61.9,"prob_over_25":35.7,"prob_over_35":17.2},"btts":{"prob_yes":44.1},"score":{"most_likely":"1-1"},"draw_no_bet":{"prob_home":58.7},"corners":{"prob_over_85":53.6,"prob_over_95":41.9,"prob_over_105":29.9}},"recommendations":{"favorite":"H","favorite_prob":34.1,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.3405,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}}},"computed_at":1792369214,"report":{"fetched_at":1792369446,"ht":[0,0],"attendance":null,"highlights":[],"events":[{"t":"card","minute":4,"added":null,"side":"home","player":"Á. Lizancos","player_id":31386,"card":"yellow","reason":"Foul"},{"t":"card","minute":13,"added":null,"side":"home","player":"G. Sierra","player_id":30386,"card":"yellow","reason":"Foul"},{"t":"card","minute":29,"added":null,"side":"away","player":"O. S. Naval","player_id":185603,"card":"yellow","reason":"Persistent fouling"},{"t":"card","minute":32,"added":null,"side":"home","player":"S. Francisco","player_id":null,"card":"yellow","reason":"Argument"},{"t":"sub","minute":34,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"C. Sanchez","in_id":30472,"out":"D. González","out_id":30388},{"t":"sub","minute":46,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"A. Dadie","in_id":30244,"out":"K. Appin","out_id":17136},{"t":"goal","minute":63,"added":null,"side":"home","player":"C. Sanchez","player_id":30472,"assist":null,"kind":"penalty","score":[1,0]},{"t":"sub","minute":64,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"G. Valles","in_id":27020,"out":"J. L. Catala","out_id":73857},{"t":"sub","minute":64,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"Y. Rahmani","in_id":30470,"out":"T. Ripoll","out_id":31652},{"t":"sub","minute":64,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"E. Aguilar","in_id":31609,"out":"P. Pons","out_id":12555},{"t":"sub","minute":75,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"Á. Forés","in_id":1976,"out":"J. Karrikaburu","out_id":4387},{"t":"sub","minute":76,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"V. Mollejo","in_id":31384,"out":"J. Llabrés","out_id":2656},{"t":"sub","minute":78,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"N. Obolskiy","in_id":27130,"out":"Q. Liameed","out_id":31653},{"t":"sub","minute":78,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"A. Ribeiro","in_id":31672,"out":"J. Priego","out_id":31658},{"t":"sub","minute":79,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"J. Gragera","in_id":27290,"out":"P. Galdames","out_id":35480}],"players":[{"id":1983,"team_id":1401,"minutes":94,"rating":6.6,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":30383,"team_id":1401,"minutes":94,"rating":6.8,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":2,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":31386,"team_id":1401,"minutes":94,"rating":6.8,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":1,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":0,"key_passes":2},{"id":3929,"team_id":1401,"minutes":94,"rating":7.2,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":30386,"team_id":1401,"minutes":94,"rating":7.8,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":1,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":1,"key_passes":0},{"id":30406,"team_id":1401,"minutes":94,"rating":7,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":35480,"team_id":1401,"minutes":79,"rating":6.8,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":2,"on_target":1,"key_passes":0},{"id":2656,"team_id":1401,"minutes":76,"rating":6.9,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":3,"on_target":2,"key_passes":1},{"id":4387,"team_id":1401,"minutes":75,"rating":7,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":4,"on_target":1,"key_passes":1},{"id":30472,"team_id":1401,"minutes":60,"rating":7.4,"goals":1,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":1,"key_passes":1},{"id":30244,"team_id":1401,"minutes":49,"rating":6.9,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":17136,"team_id":1401,"minutes":45,"rating":6.4,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":30388,"team_id":1401,"minutes":34,"rating":6.7,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":1976,"team_id":1401,"minutes":19,"rating":6.3,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":1,"key_passes":0},{"id":31384,"team_id":1401,"minutes":18,"rating":6.6,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":27290,"team_id":1401,"minutes":15,"rating":6.6,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":31388,"team_id":1401,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":26531,"team_id":1401,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":30613,"team_id":1401,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":27146,"team_id":1401,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":30310,"team_id":1401,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":31383,"team_id":1401,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":30395,"team_id":1401,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":30393,"team_id":1467,"minutes":94,"rating":6.7,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":14082,"team_id":1467,"minutes":94,"rating":6.6,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":2,"on_target":1,"key_passes":0},{"id":185603,"team_id":1467,"minutes":94,"rating":6.6,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":1,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":4,"on_target":1,"key_passes":0},{"id":31649,"team_id":1467,"minutes":94,"rating":7.3,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":31654,"team_id":1467,"minutes":94,"rating":6.8,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":31648,"team_id":1467,"minutes":94,"rating":8.3,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":6,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":31658,"team_id":1467,"minutes":78,"rating":6.6,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":3},{"id":31653,"team_id":1467,"minutes":78,"rating":6.4,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":73857,"team_id":1467,"minutes":64,"rating":6.5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":31652,"team_id":1467,"minutes":64,"rating":6.7,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":12555,"team_id":1467,"minutes":64,"rating":6.4,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":27020,"team_id":1467,"minutes":30,"rating":6.4,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":31609,"team_id":1467,"minutes":30,"rating":7,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":2},{"id":30470,"team_id":1467,"minutes":30,"rating":6.5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":31672,"team_id":1467,"minutes":16,"rating":6.7,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":27130,"team_id":1467,"minutes":16,"rating":6.7,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":35668,"team_id":1467,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":4203,"team_id":1467,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":31650,"team_id":1467,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":210274,"team_id":1467,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":31668,"team_id":1467,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0}],"stats":{"home":{"possession":56,"shots":13,"on_target":7,"corners":10,"fouls":10,"yellow":2,"red":0,"big_chances":5,"passes":375,"pass_pct":70.9,"offsides":2,"saves":2},"away":{"possession":44,"shots":7,"on_target":2,"corners":3,"fouls":21,"yellow":1,"red":0,"big_chances":0,"passes":296,"pass_pct":67.9,"offsides":4,"saves":6}},"lineups":{"home":{"formation":"4-2-3-1","players":[{"id":30383,"name":"Ander Cantero","position":"G","number":13,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":31386,"name":"Álex Lizancos","position":"D","number":2,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":1983,"name":"Oier Luengo","position":"D","number":15,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":30386,"name":"Grego Sierra","position":"D","number":8,"captain":true,"starting":true},{"id":30406,"name":"Brais Martínez","position":"D","number":22,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":3929,"name":"Unai Vencedor","position":"M","number":12,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":35480,"name":"Pablo Galdames","position":"M","number":4,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":17136,"name":"Kevin Appin","position":"M","number":10,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":30388,"name":"David González","position":"M","number":14,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":2656,"name":"Javi Llabrés","position":"M","number":19,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":4387,"name":"Jon Karrikaburu","position":"F","number":7,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":30472,"name":"Curro Sánchez","position":"M","number":16,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":30244,"name":"Alberto Dadie","position":"D","number":23,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":1976,"name":"Álex Forés","position":"F","number":9,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":31384,"name":"Víctor Mollejo","position":"F","number":11,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":27290,"name":"José Gragera","position":"M","number":20,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":26531,"name":"Bruno Iribarne","position":"G","number":1,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":31388,"name":"Iván Martínez","position":"D","number":36,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":30613,"name":"Saúl del Cerro","position":"M","number":18,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":27146,"name":"Ignasi Vilarrasa","position":"D","number":3,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":30310,"name":"Sergio González","position":"D","number":6,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":31383,"name":"Fermín García","position":"F","number":21,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":30395,"name":"Marcelo Expósito","position":"M","number":5,"captain":false,"starting":false}]},"away":{"formation":"3-1-4-2","players":[{"id":31648,"name":"Diego Fuoli","position":"G","number":1,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":73857,"name":"José Luis Català","position":"D","number":27,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":185603,"name":"Oscar Sanz Naval","position":"D","number":14,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":31649,"name":"Arthur Bonaldo","position":"D","number":5,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":31654,"name":"Albert Orriols","position":"M","number":20,"captain":true,"starting":true},{"id":31652,"name":"Ton Ripoll","position":"M","number":7,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":31653,"name":"Quadri Liameed","position":"M","number":22,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":12555,"name":"Pere Pons","position":"M","number":8,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":30393,"name":"Pipa","position":"M","number":2,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":31658,"name":"Joel Priego","position":"F","number":23,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":14082,"name":"Ángel Baena","position":"F","number":10,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":31609,"name":"Eneko Aguilar","position":"M","number":24,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":30470,"name":"Yanis Rahmani","position":"F","number":19,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":27020,"name":"Gastón Valles","position":"F","number":12,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":31672,"name":"Alain Ribeiro","position":"M","number":21,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":27130,"name":"Nikolay Obolskiy","position":"F","number":9,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":35668,"name":"José Ortega","position":"G","number":13,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":4203,"name":"Marc Vidal","position":"G","number":25,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":31650,"name":"Kaiser","position":"D","number":15,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":210274,"name":"Yussif Owusu","position":"M","number":18,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":31668,"name":"Quim Utges","position":"F","number":33,"captain":false,"starting":false}]}}},"colors":{"home":"#ceb411","away":"#ec1c13"},"venue":{"name":"Municipal El Plantio","city":"Burgos","capacity":12194},"pulled":[],"published":[]}