{"id": 214853, "h2h": {"draws": 0, "away_wins": 0, "home_wins": 0, "away_goals": null, "home_goals": null, "away_win_rate": null, "home_win_rate": null, "total_matches": 0, "recent_matches": [], "avg_total_goals": null}, "away": "Celta Fortuna", "form": {"away": {"ppg": 1.17, "record": "2-1-3", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "WLWLLD", "goals_for": 1.33, "venue_ppg": 1.5, "clean_sheets": 1, "goals_against": 1.83}, "home": {"ppg": 1.5, "record": "3-0-3", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "WWLLWL", "goals_for": 0.83, "venue_ppg": 1, "clean_sheets": 2, "goals_against": 1}}, "home": "Sporting Gijón", "pass": null, "rank": 5, "read": {"side": "home", "text": "Sporting Gijón to win"}, "flags": [], "score": null, "venue": {"city": "Gijon", "name": "El Molinón", "capacity": 30000}, "colors": {"away": "#e5254e", "home": "#d21127"}, "extras": null, "lambda": [1.44, 0.97], "league": "Segunda División", "ledger": [{"id": "availability.home.absences", "note": "Sporting Gijón are without 3 players, and Nikita Iosifov is a real loss.", "tier": 1, "moves": [{"pct": -0.7, "side": "home", "channel": "goals"}, {"pct": 0.3, "side": "away", "channel": "goals"}, {"pct": -0.3, "side": "home", "channel": "corners"}, {"pct": 0.4, "side": "both", "channel": "cards"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"count": 3, "players": [{"role": "MID", "player": "Nikita Iosifov", "reason": "Muscle Injury", "doubtful": false, "measured": true, "goal_share": 0.2, "importance": 0.116, "cover_at_position": 6}, {"role": "MID", "player": "César Gelabert", "reason": "red_card_suspension", "doubtful": false, "measured": true, "goal_share": 0, "importance": 0.025, "cover_at_position": 6}, {"role": "MID", "player": "Hugo Guillamón", "reason": "Muscle Injury", "doubtful": false, "measured": true, "goal_share": 0, "importance": 0, "cover_at_position": 6}], "measured": 3, "combined_goal_share": 0.2, "combined_importance": 0.141}, "strength": 0.353}, {"id": "availability.away.absences", "note": "Celta Fortuna are without 4 players, and Bernard Somuah is a real loss.", "tier": 1, "moves": [{"pct": -1.2, "side": "away", "channel": "goals"}, {"pct": 0.1, "side": "home", "channel": "goals"}, {"pct": -0.6, "side": "away", "channel": "corners"}, {"pct": 0.1, "side": "both", "channel": "cards"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"count": 4, "players": [{"role": "ATT", "player": "Bernard Somuah", "reason": "Ankle Injury", "doubtful": false, "measured": true, "goal_share": 0.286, "importance": 0.106, "cover_at_position": 6}, {"role": "MID", "player": "Hugo Cuenca", "reason": "national_team", "doubtful": false, "measured": true, "goal_share": 0, "importance": 0.039, "cover_at_position": 8}, {"role": "DEF", "player": "Mateo Sobral", "reason": "national_team", "doubtful": false, "measured": true, "goal_share": 0, "importance": 0.004, "cover_at_position": 9}, {"role": "ATT", "player": "Vladimir Silva", "reason": "national_team", "doubtful": false, "measured": true, "goal_share": 0, "importance": 0, "cover_at_position": 6}], "measured": 4, "combined_goal_share": 0.286, "combined_importance": 0.149}, "strength": 0.372}, {"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0.591, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 0.409}, {"id": "stakes.season", "note": "Nothing much riding on this one for either side yet.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.1", "evidence": {"away": {"state": "mid_table", "points": 8, "position": 15, "games_left": 34, "gap_to_europe": 5, "gap_to_leader": 11, "gap_to_safety": 3}, "home": {"state": "mid_table", "points": 10, "position": 12, "games_left": 34, "gap_to_europe": 3, "gap_to_leader": 9, "gap_to_safety": 5}, "games_left": 34, "six_pointer": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.derby", "note": "Not a local derby.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.2", "evidence": {"derby": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "No reverse fixture on record this season, so there is no revenge angle to read.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§5.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "manager.home.settling", "note": "Nicolas Larcamon is 14 games into the job at Sporting Gijón, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 1.57, "manager": "Nicolas Larcamon", "tenure_days": 341, "matches_in_charge": 14, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 1.5, "before_ppm": 1.5}}, "strength": 0.3}, {"id": "manager.away.settling", "note": "Fredi Álvarez is 7 games into the job at Celta Fortuna, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 1.14, "manager": "Fredi Álvarez", "tenure_days": 51, "matches_in_charge": 7, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 1.14, "before_ppm": 2.6}}, "strength": 0.3}, {"id": "fatigue.home", "note": "Sporting Gijón come in on 7 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 6.802083333333333, "days_rest": 6.8, "matchesIn7": 1, "matchesIn14": 1}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.away", "note": "Celta Fortuna come in on 8 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 7.90625, "days_rest": 7.9, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 2}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.opponent_adjustment", "note": "Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form. — though 5.98487111884966 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.1", "evidence": {"away": {"attack": -0.062, "shrunk": 0.57, "defence": -0.078, "effective_matches": 6}, "home": {"attack": -0.04, "shrunk": 0.34, "defence": 0.077, "effective_matches": 15.5}, "sample": 5.98487111884966, "required": 6}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"away": {"shots": 11.7, "corners": 4, "matches": 12, "possession": 50.3, "xg_per_shot": 0.09, "finishing_vs_xg": 0.36, "corners_per_shot": 0.341}, "home": {"shots": 10.4, "corners": 3.7, "matches": 12, "possession": 52.8, "xg_per_shot": 0.087, "finishing_vs_xg": 0.35, "corners_per_shot": 0.355}, "possession_gap": 2.5}, "strength": 0.102}, {"id": "style.press_matchup", "note": "Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"requires": ["ppda", "defensive_line_height"]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.home", "note": "Sporting Gijón have scored 4 more than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": 0.35}, "strength": 0.25}, {"id": "style.finishing.away", "note": "Celta Fortuna have scored 4 more than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": 0.36}, "strength": 0.25}, {"id": "referee.tendency", "note": "No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§13", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.travel", "note": "No travel distance reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.4", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.weather", "note": "Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§6.2", "evidence": {"rain_mm": null, "wind_kph": 15.6, "description": "rain", "temperature_c": 19}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.pitch", "note": "No pitch condition reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.venue", "note": "Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.1", "evidence": {"home_adv": 0.211803664242771}, "strength": 0}], "locked": false, "people": [{"id": 29554, "name": "Rubén Yáñez", "side": "home"}, {"id": 29549, "name": "Pablo García", "side": "home"}, {"id": 29546, "name": "Pablo Vázquez", "side": "home"}, {"id": 31211, "name": "Aimar Duñabeitia", "side": "home"}, {"id": 29547, "name": "Guille Rosas", "side": "home"}, {"id": 29538, "name": "Nacho Martín", "side": "home"}, {"id": 29537, "name": "Álex Corredera", "side": "home"}, {"id": 29540, "name": "Manuel Rodríguez", "side": "home"}, {"id": 4997, "name": "Mamadou Loum", "side": "home"}, {"id": 29523, "name": "Juan Otero", "side": "home"}, {"id": 2154, "name": "Alejo Sarco", "side": "home"}, {"id": 29542, "name": "Andrés Cuenca", "side": "home"}, {"id": 29731, "name": "Antonio Casas", "side": "home"}, {"id": 29550, "name": "Diego Sánchez", "side": "home"}, {"id": 30132, "name": "Emanuel Gularte", "side": "home"}, {"id": 7854, "name": "Konrad de la Fuente", "side": "home"}, {"id": 29541, "name": "Bruno Rubio", "side": "home"}, {"id": 29535, "name": "Gaspar Campos", "side": "home"}, {"id": 29531, "name": "Christian Ferreres", "side": "home"}, {"id": 29552, "name": "Iker Martinez", "side": "home"}, {"id": 41282, "name": "Egoitz Arana", "side": "home"}, {"id": 28269, "name": "Jorge Sáenz", "side": "home"}, {"id": 29530, "name": "Enol Prendes", "side": "home"}, {"id": 7395, "name": "Andrés Ferrari", "side": "home"}, {"id": 29534, "name": "César Gelabert", "side": "home"}, {"id": 12930, "name": "Nikita Iosifov", "side": "home"}, {"id": 88231, "name": "Hugo Guillamón", "side": "home"}, {"id": 63729, "name": "Coke Carrillo", "side": "away"}, {"id": 63721, "name": "Kike Ribes", "side": "away"}, {"id": 63723, "name": "Anxo Rodríguez", "side": "away"}, {"id": 32202, "name": "Pablo González Meixús", "side": "away"}, {"id": 63724, "name": "Joel López Salguero", "side": "away"}, {"id": 63713, "name": "Germain Milla", "side": "away"}, {"id": 63718, "name": "Adrià Capdevila", "side": "away"}, {"id": 31468, "name": "Óscar Marcos", "side": "away"}, {"id": 3333, "name": "Ángel Arcos", "side": "away"}, {"id": 63714, "name": "Álvaro Marín", "side": "away"}, {"id": 170552, "name": "Ángel Dávila Outerelo", "side": "away"}, {"id": 8615, "name": "Hugo Burcio", "side": "away"}, {"id": 63726, "name": "Pablo Gavián", "side": "away"}, {"id": 63717, "name": "Aldrine Kibet", "side": "away"}, {"id": 63720, "name": "Seyni Mbaye Ndiaye", "side": "away"}, {"id": 63722, "name": "Jan Oliveras", "side": "away"}, {"id": 97474, "name": "Alexis Olmedo", "side": "away"}, {"id": 215140, "name": "Jorge Pérez-Lafuente", "side": "away"}, {"id": 63728, "name": "Caio Barone", "side": "away"}, {"id": 4204, "name": "Marcos González", "side": "away"}, {"id": 205116, "name": "Hugo López", "side": "away"}, {"id": 215141, "name": "David Sueiro Muiños", "side": "away"}, {"id": 170551, "name": "Mateo Sobral", "side": "away"}, {"id": 63725, "name": "Antony Khayat", "side": "away"}, {"id": 63712, "name": "Bernard Somuah", "side": "away"}, {"id": 208732, "name": "Ángel Davila", "side": "away"}, {"id": 28679, "name": "Vladimir Silva", "side": "away"}, {"id": 208735, "name": "Izan Server", "side": "away"}, {"id": 4029, "name": "Hugo Cuenca", "side": "away"}, {"id": 26207, "name": "Stefan Bajčetić", "side": "away"}, {"id": 208734, "name": "Adrian Rodriguez Vaz", "side": "away"}, {"id": 8822, "name": "Andrés Antañón", "side": "away"}], "status": "notstarted", "away_id": 3883, "home_id": 1267, "kickoff": 1791123300, "lineups": {"away": {"players": [{"id": 63729, "name": "Coke Carrillo", "ai_score": 0.689, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 63721, "name": "Kike Ribes", "ai_score": 0.706, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 63723, "name": "Anxo Rodríguez", "ai_score": 0.64, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 32202, "name": "Pablo González Meixús", "ai_score": 0.373, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 63724, "name": "Joel López Salguero", "ai_score": 0.549, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 63713, "name": "Germain Milla", "ai_score": 0.555, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 63718, "name": "Adrià Capdevila", "ai_score": 0.626, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 31468, "name": "Óscar Marcos", "ai_score": 0.558, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 3333, "name": "Ángel Arcos", "ai_score": 0.528, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 63714, "name": "Álvaro Marín", "ai_score": 0.543, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 170552, "name": "Ángel Dávila Outerelo", "ai_score": 0.221, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 8615, "name": "Hugo Burcio", "ai_score": 0.412, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 63726, "name": "Pablo Gavián", "ai_score": 0.335, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 63717, "name": "Aldrine Kibet", "ai_score": 0.296, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 63720, "name": "Seyni Mbaye Ndiaye", "ai_score": 0.28, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 63722, "name": "Jan Oliveras", "ai_score": 0.213, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 97474, "name": "Alexis Olmedo", "ai_score": 0.178, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 215140, "name": "Jorge Pérez-Lafuente", "ai_score": 0.129, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 63728, "name": "Caio Barone", "ai_score": 0.035, "position": "G", "starting": false}, {"id": 4204, "name": "Marcos González", "ai_score": 0.03, "position": "G", "starting": false}, {"id": 205116, "name": "Hugo López", "ai_score": 0.015, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 215141, "name": "David Sueiro Muiños", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "M", "starting": false}], "formation": "3-4-3", "confidence": 0.591}, "home": {"players": [{"id": 29554, "name": "Rubén Yáñez", "ai_score": 0.689, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 29549, "name": "Pablo García", "ai_score": 0.303, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 29546, "name": "Pablo Vázquez", "ai_score": 0.708, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 31211, "name": "Aimar Duñabeitia", "ai_score": 0.655, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 29547, "name": "Guille Rosas", "ai_score": 0.681, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 29538, "name": "Nacho Martín", "ai_score": 0.328, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 29537, "name": "Álex Corredera", "ai_score": 0.711, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 29540, "name": "Manuel Rodríguez", "ai_score": 0.482, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 4997, "name": "Mamadou Loum", "ai_score": 0.272, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 29523, "name": "Juan Otero", "ai_score": 0.67, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 2154, "name": "Alejo Sarco", "ai_score": 0.356, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 29542, "name": "Andrés Cuenca", "ai_score": 0.554, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 29731, "name": "Antonio Casas", "ai_score": 0.283, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 29550, "name": "Diego Sánchez", "ai_score": 0.275, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 30132, "name": "Emanuel Gularte", "ai_score": 0.264, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 7854, "name": "Konrad de la Fuente", "ai_score": 0.258, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 29541, "name": "Bruno Rubio", "ai_score": 0.232, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 29535, "name": "Gaspar Campos", "ai_score": 0.215, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 29531, "name": "Christian Ferreres", "ai_score": 0.2, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 29552, "name": "Iker Martinez", "ai_score": 0.171, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 41282, "name": "Egoitz Arana", "ai_score": 0.045, "position": "G", "starting": false}, {"id": 28269, "name": "Jorge Sáenz", "ai_score": 0.035, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 29530, "name": "Enol Prendes", "ai_score": 0.03, "position": "F", "starting": false}], "formation": "4-4-2", "confidence": 0.6}, "status": "predicted", "confidence": 0.591, "unavailable": [{"id": 29534, "name": "César Gelabert", "side": "home", "reason": "red_card_suspension", "team_id": null}, {"id": 88231, "name": "Hugo Guillamón", "side": "home", "reason": "Muscle Injury", "team_id": null}, {"id": 12930, "name": "Nikita Iosifov", "side": "home", "reason": "Muscle Injury", "team_id": null}, {"id": 63712, "name": "Bernard Somuah", "side": "away", "reason": "Ankle Injury", "team_id": null}, {"id": 4029, "name": "Hugo Cuenca", "side": "away", "reason": "national_team", "team_id": null}, {"id": 170551, "name": "Mateo Sobral", "side": "away", "reason": "national_team", "team_id": null}, {"id": 28679, "name": "Vladimir Silva", "side": "away", "reason": "national_team", "team_id": null}]}, "neutral": false, "notable": [{"id": 27019, "name": "Enric Gallego", "rank": 1, "goals": 5}, {"id": 27132, "name": "Adrian Fuentes", "rank": 2, "goals": 4}, {"id": 35188, "name": "Carlos Hernández", "rank": 3, "goals": 4}, {"id": 32380, "name": "Jordi Cano", "rank": 4, "goals": 4}, {"id": 30429, "name": "Ousmane Camara", "rank": 5, "goals": 4}, {"id": 1048, "name": "Yáser Asprilla", "rank": 6, "goals": 4}, {"id": 1976, "name": "Álex Forés", "rank": 7, "goals": 3}, {"id": 63714, "name": "Álvaro Marín", "rank": 8, "goals": 3}, {"id": 30388, "name": "David González", "rank": 9, "goals": 3}, {"id": 30342, "name": "Jon Guruzeta", "rank": 10, "goals": 3}, {"id": 10881, "name": "Nicholas Gioacchini", "rank": 11, "goals": 3}, {"id": 1051, "name": "Abel Ruíz", "rank": 12, "goals": 2}, {"id": 1030, "name": "Alejandro Marqués", "rank": 13, "goals": 2}, {"id": 30458, "name": "Álvaro Rodríguez", "rank": 14, "goals": 2}, {"id": 63712, "name": "Bernard Somuah", "rank": 15, "goals": 2}], "players": [{"id": 12930, "club": null, "load": {"games": 1, "country": 0, "minutes": 44}, "name": "Nikita Iosifov", "role": "MID", "side": 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