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Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Preston North End have scored 3 fewer than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.26,"matches":12},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Millwall are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.24,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"43 yellow cards in this referee's last 17 games, where 65 would be usual in this league, and 2 reds. — though 17 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.","evidence":{"matches":17,"yellows_per_match":2.53,"reds_per_match":0.118,"league_yellows_per_match":3.82,"league_reds_per_match":0.106,"yellow_ratio":0.66,"red_ratio":1.11,"sample":17,"required":30},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No travel distance reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.","evidence":{"rain_mm":null,"wind_kph":3.3,"temperature_c":16,"description":null},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.20884621743605333},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: value","preview":null,"external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":4542,"created_at":"2026-10-04T02:15:23Z","event":{"id":214075,"event_date":"2026-10-10T14:00:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":214,"home_team":"Preston North End","away_team_id":210,"away_team":"Millwall","league_id":12,"league_name":"Championship"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"A","favorite_prob":38.8,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.3883,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}}},"computed_at":1791467902,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":"#10306f","away":null},"venue":{"name":"Deepdale","city":"Preston","capacity":23408},"pulled":[],"published":[]}