{"id":214060,"league_id":12,"league":"Championship","kickoff":1789817400,"home":"Millwall","away":"West Ham United","home_id":210,"away_id":8,"verdicts":[],"markets":[],"restored":true,"status":"finished","score":[2,2],"colors":{"home":null,"away":"#7c2a3a"},"venue":null,"pulled":[],"published":[{"market":"over_under_15","outcome":"over","line":1.5,"odds":1.19,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle","model_prob":0.801,"narrative":"Over 1.5 goals at 1.19. Expected goals total 2.72 against a line of 1.5: above it, which is the call. Put together, the expectation is more than 1.5 goals in it. That puts it at 80%, priced 1.19 — a high-probability call rather than a claim the market is wrong.","why":null,"result":"WON","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"landed","swing":3,"closeness":"nowhere near","shape":null,"expected_total":null,"actual_total":4,"market":null,"opening_odds":null,"closing_odds":null,"line":"Never in doubt, whatever the price said beforehand."}}]}