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Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"SC Paderborn 07 are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.08,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Eintracht Frankfurt have scored 11 more than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.89,"matches":12},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"65 yellow cards in this referee's last 19 games, where 71 would be usual in this league, and 1 red. — though 19 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.","evidence":{"matches":19,"yellows_per_match":3.42,"reds_per_match":0.053,"league_yellows_per_match":3.72,"league_reds_per_match":0.163,"yellow_ratio":0.92,"red_ratio":0.32,"sample":19,"required":30},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Routine trip of 185 km for Eintracht Frankfurt.","evidence":{"travel_km":185},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.","evidence":{"rain_mm":null,"wind_kph":17.1,"temperature_c":15,"description":"rain"},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.31823818565470324},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: value","preview":"This one tilts toward the visitors despite their struggles on the road. Paderborn keep getting outcreated, having lost the chance count in seven of their last nine outings, including four of their last five at home. Their recent clean sheets flatter them because their goalkeeper and pure fortune have masked defensive leaks, conceding only ten despite allowing chances worth about fifteen. Frankfurt also give up the shot count away from home, but they boast the league's sharpest finisher in Younes Ebnoutalib, who brings three goals from his last five games into the attack. Without Mario Götze pulling strings in midfield, the visitors lose some creativity, yet the hosts miss Oliver Batista Meier up front and Nyamekye Awortwie-Grant at the back, leaving them short-handed. Ebnoutalib decides it in the end.","external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":7105,"created_at":"2026-11-01T02:15:23Z","event":{"id":213746,"event_date":"2026-11-07T14:30:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":1293,"home_team":"SC Paderborn 07","away_team_id":87,"away_team":"Eintracht Frankfurt","league_id":5,"league_name":"Bundesliga"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"A","favorite_prob":43.5,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.4353,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}},"polymarket":{"event_id":213746,"event_date":"2026-11-07T14:30:00Z","home_team":"SC Paderborn 07","away_team":"Eintracht Frankfurt","polymarket_event_id":"1250636","liquidity":{"volume_24hr":684.664999,"volume_1wk":1090.019735,"volume_1mo":1090.019735,"volume_1yr":1090.019735,"open_interest":3913.402185,"liquidity_clob":25226.8969,"liquidity_amm":null},"pricing":{"best_bid":0.31,"best_ask":0.32,"change_1d":null,"change_1wk":null,"change_1mo":null},"goalscorers":null,"exact_scores":{"Any Other Score":0.175,"SC Paderborn 07 0 - 0 Eintracht Frankfurt":0.0415,"SC Paderborn 07 0 - 1 Eintracht Frankfurt":0.065,"SC Paderborn 07 0 - 2 Eintracht Frankfurt":0.0575,"SC Paderborn 07 0 - 3 Eintracht Frankfurt":0.0365,"SC Paderborn 07 0 - 4 Eintracht Frankfurt":0.015,"SC Paderborn 07 0 - 5 Eintracht Frankfurt":0.0085,"SC Paderborn 07 1 - 0 Eintracht Frankfurt":0.0535,"SC Paderborn 07 1 - 1 Eintracht Frankfurt":0.105,"SC Paderborn 07 1 - 2 Eintracht Frankfurt":0.095,"SC Paderborn 07 1 - 3 Eintracht Frankfurt":0.052,"SC Paderborn 07 1 - 4 Eintracht Frankfurt":0.022,"SC Paderborn 07 1 - 5 Eintracht Frankfurt":0.0105,"SC Paderborn 07 2 - 0 Eintracht Frankfurt":0.0395,"SC Paderborn 07 2 - 1 Eintracht Frankfurt":0.075,"SC Paderborn 07 2 - 2 Eintracht Frankfurt":0.075,"SC Paderborn 07 2 - 3 Eintracht Frankfurt":0.04,"SC Paderborn 07 2 - 4 Eintracht Frankfurt":0.016,"SC Paderborn 07 2 - 5 Eintracht Frankfurt":0.009,"SC Paderborn 07 3 - 0 Eintracht Frankfurt":0.0205,"SC Paderborn 07 3 - 1 Eintracht Frankfurt":0.0365,"SC Paderborn 07 3 - 2 Eintracht Frankfurt":0.033,"SC Paderborn 07 3 - 3 Eintracht Frankfurt":0.0215,"SC Paderborn 07 3 - 4 Eintracht Frankfurt":0.0105,"SC Paderborn 07 3 - 5 Eintracht Frankfurt":0.15,"SC Paderborn 07 4 - 0 Eintracht Frankfurt":0.0075,"SC Paderborn 07 4 - 1 Eintracht Frankfurt":0.0085,"SC Paderborn 07 4 - 2 Eintracht Frankfurt":0.009,"SC Paderborn 07 4 - 3 Eintracht Frankfurt":0.01,"SC Paderborn 07 4 - 4 Eintracht Frankfurt":0.0255,"SC Paderborn 07 4 - 5 Eintracht Frankfurt":0.145,"SC Paderborn 07 5 - 0 Eintracht Frankfurt":0.116,"SC Paderborn 07 5 - 1 Eintracht Frankfurt":0.1365,"SC Paderborn 07 5 - 2 Eintracht Frankfurt":0.0195,"SC Paderborn 07 5 - 3 Eintracht Frankfurt":0.135,"SC Paderborn 07 5 - 4 Eintracht Frankfurt":0.146,"SC Paderborn 07 5 - 5 Eintracht Frankfurt":0.0395},"updated_at":"2026-11-06T14:57:16Z"}},"computed_at":1793981310,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":"#0e66a8","away":"#be0f0f"},"venue":{"name":"Home Deluxe Arena","city":"Paderborn","capacity":15000},"pulled":[],"published":[]}