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yet.","evidence":{"games_left":26,"home":{"state":"mid_table","position":20,"points":5,"games_left":26,"gap_to_leader":25,"gap_to_safety":-5,"gap_to_europe":12},"away":{"state":"mid_table","position":16,"points":11,"games_left":26,"gap_to_leader":19,"gap_to_safety":1,"gap_to_europe":6},"six_pointer":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.derby","section":"§5.2","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Not a local derby.","evidence":{"derby":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.revenge","section":"§5.3","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Málaga CF lost the reverse fixture by 3 goals and tend to show up better than form implies in the return.","evidence":{"reverse_margin":3,"beaten_side":"Málaga CF","reverse_score":"3-0","reverse_date":1759681800},"strength":0.36,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"home","pct":2.7}]},{"id":"manager.home.settled","section":"§1.3","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Juan Funes has been at Málaga CF for 2 years and 107 matches: a settled regime with a large, stable sample behind it.","evidence":{"manager":"Juan Funes","matches_in_charge":107,"tenure_days":813,"ppm":1.41,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.5,"after_ppm":1.3,"delta":null}},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.away.settled","section":"§1.3","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"José Alberto López has been at Real Racing Club for 2 years and 108 matches: a settled regime with a large, stable sample behind it.","evidence":{"manager":"José Alberto López","matches_in_charge":108,"tenure_days":812,"ppm":1.69,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.4,"after_ppm":2.3,"delta":null}},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.home","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Málaga CF come in on 7 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":6.8125,"matchesIn7":1,"matchesIn14":2,"days_rest":6.8},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.away","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Real Racing Club come in on 6 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":5.90625,"matchesIn7":1,"matchesIn14":3,"days_rest":5.9},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.opponent_adjustment","section":"§4.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form.","evidence":{"home":{"attack":-0.192,"defence":-0.121,"effective_matches":8.3,"shrunk":0.49},"away":{"attack":-0.014,"defence":-0.334,"effective_matches":8.3,"shrunk":0.49}},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":52.1,"shots":11.9,"xg_per_shot":0.089,"corners":5.2,"corners_per_shot":0.434,"finishing_vs_xg":-0.15},"away":{"matches":12,"possession":52.2,"shots":13.6,"xg_per_shot":0.104,"corners":5.3,"corners_per_shot":0.393,"finishing_vs_xg":0.01},"possession_gap":-0.1},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Málaga CF are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.15,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Real Racing Club are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.01,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No travel distance reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.","evidence":{"rain_mm":null,"wind_kph":10.9,"temperature_c":22,"description":"clear"},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.3028212871875403},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: value","preview":"Málaga should secure a rare victory here despite their league position. While they sit bottom of the table, their recent football suggests results are lagging behind their actual play. They have crafted superior opportunities in their last four matches. Conversely, Racing often surrender better openings than they produce on their travels, having been outplayed in four of their last five away trips. Without Pablo Martínez in midfield, Málaga lose a creator who contributed one goal and two assists. Racing lack cover at the back without Alvaro Mantilla, which is a problem against a red-hot striker. Adrián Niño has five goals this season and will profit. His current streak of scoring in four straight games will be the difference.","external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":7146,"created_at":"2026-11-01T02:15:23Z","event":{"id":213634,"event_date":"2026-11-07T13:00:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":1259,"home_team":"Málaga CF","away_team_id":1400,"away_team":"Real Racing Club","league_id":3,"league_name":"La Liga"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"H","favorite_prob":39.5,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.3951,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}},"polymarket":{"event_id":213634,"event_date":"2026-11-07T13:00:00Z","home_team":"Málaga CF","away_team":"Real Racing Club","polymarket_event_id":"1283299","liquidity":{"volume_24hr":null,"volume_1wk":null,"volume_1mo":null,"volume_1yr":null,"open_interest":null,"liquidity_clob":43820.015,"liquidity_amm":null},"pricing":{"best_bid":0.39,"best_ask":0.4,"change_1d":null,"change_1wk":-0.005,"change_1mo":null},"goalscorers":null,"exact_scores":{"Any Other Score":0.155,"Málaga CF 0 - 0 Real Racing Club":0.0555,"Málaga CF 0 - 1 Real Racing Club":0.07,"Málaga CF 0 - 2 Real Racing Club":0.045,"Málaga CF 0 - 3 Real Racing Club":0.0235,"Málaga CF 0 - 4 Real Racing Club":0.0065,"Málaga CF 0 - 5 Real Racing Club":0.0105,"Málaga CF 1 - 0 Real Racing Club":0.075,"Málaga CF 1 - 1 Real Racing Club":0.125,"Málaga CF 1 - 2 Real Racing Club":0.08,"Málaga CF 1 - 3 Real Racing Club":0.035,"Málaga CF 1 - 4 Real Racing Club":0.012,"Málaga CF 1 - 5 Real Racing Club":0.003,"Málaga CF 2 - 0 Real Racing Club":0.06,"Málaga CF 2 - 1 Real Racing Club":0.09,"Málaga CF 2 - 2 Real Racing Club":0.07,"Málaga CF 2 - 3 Real Racing Club":0.029,"Málaga CF 2 - 4 Real Racing Club":0.006,"Málaga CF 2 - 5 Real Racing Club":0.0055,"Málaga CF 3 - 0 Real Racing Club":0.033,"Málaga CF 3 - 1 Real Racing Club":0.045,"Málaga CF 3 - 2 Real Racing Club":0.033,"Málaga CF 3 - 3 Real Racing Club":0.017,"Málaga CF 3 - 4 Real Racing Club":0.0045,"Málaga CF 3 - 5 Real Racing Club":0.105,"Málaga CF 4 - 0 Real Racing Club":0.0075,"Málaga CF 4 - 1 Real Racing Club":0.0175,"Málaga CF 4 - 2 Real Racing Club":0.011,"Málaga CF 4 - 3 Real Racing Club":0.007,"Málaga CF 4 - 4 Real Racing Club":0.003,"Málaga CF 4 - 5 Real Racing Club":0.14,"Málaga CF 5 - 0 Real Racing Club":0.0055,"Málaga CF 5 - 1 Real Racing Club":0.007,"Málaga CF 5 - 2 Real Racing Club":0.003,"Málaga CF 5 - 3 Real Racing Club":0.004,"Málaga CF 5 - 4 Real Racing Club":0.122,"Málaga CF 5 - 5 Real Racing Club":0.039},"updated_at":"2026-11-06T13:57:05Z"}},"computed_at":1793974186,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":"#0c4a91","away":"#2d9829"},"venue":{"name":"La Rosaleda","city":"Malaga","capacity":30044},"pulled":[],"published":[]}