{"id":213633,"league_id":3,"league":"La Liga","kickoff":1794064500,"home":"Espanyol","away":"Deportivo de A Coruña","home_id":53,"away_id":1260,"venue_id":53,"rank":2,"status":"notstarted","provisional":true,"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.571,"score":null,"live_score":null,"lambda":[1.38,1.12],"read":{"text":"Too close to call","side":null},"pass":"Nothing to take on Espanyol against Deportivo de A Coruña. There is a likely outcome here, but every bookmaker has it shorter than it deserves, so there is nothing to take.","flags":[{"id":"manager.home.bounce","section":"§1.1","note":"Eder Sarabia is 1 game into the job at Espanyol. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six."}],"lambda_home":1.3757145461270306,"lambda_away":1.1188471274317264,"corner_rate":9.54,"card_rate":0.301,"lineups":{"status":"predicted","confidence":0.677,"home":{"formation":"4-2-3-1","players":[{"id":1274,"name":"Marko Dmitrović","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.586},{"id":406,"name":"Quilindschy Hartman","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.401},{"id":1277,"name":"Leandro Cabrera","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.821},{"id":16967,"name":"Vanja Drkušić","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.479},{"id":1275,"name":"Omar El Hilali","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.809},{"id":1294,"name":"Javier Hernández","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.787},{"id":1288,"name":"Edu Expósito","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.766},{"id":1261,"name":"Bryan Zaragoza","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.571},{"id":30427,"name":"Álex Calatrava","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.216},{"id":1279,"name":"Tyrhys Dolan","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.503},{"id":1284,"name":"Roberto Fernández","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.844},{"id":1290,"name":"Ángel Fortuño","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.546},{"id":1280,"name":"Pol Lozano","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.489},{"id":2613,"name":"Unai Núñez","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.381},{"id":31871,"name":"Marcos Fernández","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.374},{"id":4880,"name":"Rafael Bauzà","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.295},{"id":1286,"name":"Clemens Riedel","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.278},{"id":32037,"name":"José Ángel López","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.258},{"id":1283,"name":"Pere Milla","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.247},{"id":898,"name":"Gabriel Moscardo","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.24},{"id":224201,"name":"Alejandro Santiago Vargas","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.229},{"id":4508,"name":"Javi Puado","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.229},{"id":1281,"name":"Urko González","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.211}],"confidence":0.805},"away":{"formation":"4-2-3-1","players":[{"id":4352,"name":"Leo Román","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.668},{"id":27299,"name":"Giacomo Quagliata","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.539},{"id":762,"name":"José María Giménez","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.694},{"id":27301,"name":"Miguel Loureiro","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.456},{"id":27300,"name":"Ximo Navarro","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.467},{"id":27286,"name":"Mario Soriano","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.654},{"id":28222,"name":"Lorenzo Amatucci","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.483},{"id":27283,"name":"Yeremay Hernández","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.517},{"id":27288,"name":"Luismi Cruz","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.516},{"id":27285,"name":"David Mella","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.362},{"id":27279,"name":"Bil Nsongo","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.599},{"id":1783,"name":"Adrià Altimira","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.428},{"id":27289,"name":"Riki Rodríguez","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.423},{"id":27291,"name":"Diego Villares","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.394},{"id":27295,"name":"Lucas Noubi","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.382},{"id":7199,"name":"Jonathan Asp Jensen","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.368},{"id":1932,"name":"Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.345},{"id":1963,"name":"Adama Traoré","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.332},{"id":27293,"name":"Noé Carrillo","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.325},{"id":31396,"name":"Yayo González","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.294},{"id":27305,"name":"Álvaro Ferllo","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.292},{"id":27296,"name":"Arnau Comas","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.292},{"id":4583,"name":"Angeliño","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.275}],"confidence":0.677},"unavailable":[{"id":4877,"name":"Roger Hinojo","team_id":null,"side":"home","reason":"yellow_card_accumulation_suspension"},{"id":13892,"name":"Bright Ede","team_id":null,"side":"away","reason":"Hamstring Injury"},{"id":752,"name":"Marc Casadó","team_id":null,"side":"away","reason":"Muscle Injury"},{"id":27277,"name":"Zakaria Eddahchouri","team_id":null,"side":"away","reason":"Broken Wrist"}]},"people":[{"id":1274,"name":"Marko Dmitrović","side":"home"},{"id":406,"name":"Quilindschy Hartman","side":"home"},{"id":1277,"name":"Leandro Cabrera","side":"home"},{"id":16967,"name":"Vanja Drkušić","side":"home"},{"id":1275,"name":"Omar El Hilali","side":"home"},{"id":1294,"name":"Javier Hernández","side":"home"},{"id":1288,"name":"Edu Expósito","side":"home"},{"id":1261,"name":"Bryan Zaragoza","side":"home"},{"id":30427,"name":"Álex Calatrava","side":"home"},{"id":1279,"name":"Tyrhys Dolan","side":"home"},{"id":1284,"name":"Roberto Fernández","side":"home"},{"id":1290,"name":"Ángel Fortuño","side":"home"},{"id":1280,"name":"Pol Lozano","side":"home"},{"id":2613,"name":"Unai Núñez","side":"home"},{"id":31871,"name":"Marcos Fernández","side":"home"},{"id":4880,"name":"Rafael Bauzà","side":"home"},{"id":1286,"name":"Clemens Riedel","side":"home"},{"id":32037,"name":"José Ángel López","side":"home"},{"id":1283,"name":"Pere Milla","side":"home"},{"id":898,"name":"Gabriel Moscardo","side":"home"},{"id":224201,"name":"Alejandro Santiago Vargas","side":"home"},{"id":4508,"name":"Javi Puado","side":"home"},{"id":1281,"name":"Urko González","side":"home"},{"id":580,"name":"Andoni Gorosabel","side":"home"},{"id":4877,"name":"Roger Hinojo","side":"home"},{"id":13683,"name":"Adama Timera","side":"home"},{"id":1285,"name":"Kike García","side":"home"},{"id":144554,"name":"Victor Mullerat Tomas","side":"home"},{"id":205355,"name":"Jan Peries","side":"home"},{"id":5216,"name":"Llorenç Serred","side":"home"},{"id":1287,"name":"Jofre Carreras","side":"home"},{"id":4352,"name":"Leo Román","side":"away"},{"id":27299,"name":"Giacomo Quagliata","side":"away"},{"id":762,"name":"José María Giménez","side":"away"},{"id":27301,"name":"Miguel Loureiro","side":"away"},{"id":27300,"name":"Ximo Navarro","side":"away"},{"id":27286,"name":"Mario Soriano","side":"away"},{"id":28222,"name":"Lorenzo Amatucci","side":"away"},{"id":27283,"name":"Yeremay Hernández","side":"away"},{"id":27288,"name":"Luismi Cruz","side":"away"},{"id":27285,"name":"David Mella","side":"away"},{"id":27279,"name":"Bil Nsongo","side":"away"},{"id":1783,"name":"Adrià Altimira","side":"away"},{"id":27289,"name":"Riki Rodríguez","side":"away"},{"id":27291,"name":"Diego Villares","side":"away"},{"id":27295,"name":"Lucas Noubi","side":"away"},{"id":7199,"name":"Jonathan Asp Jensen","side":"away"},{"id":1932,"name":"Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang","side":"away"},{"id":1963,"name":"Adama Traoré","side":"away"},{"id":27293,"name":"Noé Carrillo","side":"away"},{"id":31396,"name":"Yayo González","side":"away"},{"id":27305,"name":"Álvaro Ferllo","side":"away"},{"id":27296,"name":"Arnau Comas","side":"away"},{"id":4583,"name":"Angeliño","side":"away"},{"id":27298,"name":"Dani Barcia","side":"away"},{"id":13892,"name":"Bright Ede","side":"away"},{"id":36850,"name":"Martín Ochoa","side":"away"},{"id":27277,"name":"Zakaria Eddahchouri","side":"away"},{"id":27306,"name":"Germán Parreño","side":"away"},{"id":752,"name":"Marc Casadó","side":"away"},{"id":27287,"name":"Rubén López","side":"away"},{"id":30362,"name":"Kevin Sánchez","side":"away"}],"players":[{"id":30427,"name":"Álex Calatrava","side":"home","team":"Espanyol","club":null,"role":"MID","position":"AM","status":"doubtful","reason":"Physical Discomfort","expected_return":"2026-11-14","season":{"apps":11,"starts":5,"goals":1,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":1,"team_games":18,"tracked_apps":11,"tracked_starts":5},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Real Madrid","kickoff":1787427000,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"1-2","won":false},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.042,"country":null,"load":{"games":1,"minutes":45,"country":0}},{"id":4877,"name":"Roger Hinojo","side":"home","team":"Espanyol","club":null,"role":"DEF","position":"LB","status":"out","reason":"yellow_card_accumulation_suspension","expected_return":"2026-11-07","season":{"apps":11,"starts":8,"goals":0,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":3,"team_games":18,"tracked_apps":11,"tracked_starts":8},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.042,"country":null,"load":{"games":2,"minutes":178,"country":0}},{"id":580,"name":"Andoni Gorosabel","side":"home","team":"Espanyol","club":null,"role":"DEF","position":"RB","status":"doubtful","reason":"Physical Discomfort","expected_return":"2026-11-14","season":null,"recent":null,"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":1286,"name":"Clemens Riedel","side":"home","team":"Espanyol","club":null,"role":"DEF","position":"CB","status":"doubtful","reason":"Muscle Injury","expected_return":"2026-11-14","season":{"apps":9,"starts":7,"goals":0,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":2,"team_games":18,"tracked_apps":9,"tracked_starts":7},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.033,"country":null,"load":{"games":1,"minutes":120,"country":0}},{"id":1281,"name":"Urko González","side":"home","team":"Espanyol","club":null,"role":"MID","position":"CM","status":"doubtful","reason":"Muscle Injury","expected_return":"2026-11-14","season":{"apps":10,"starts":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":2,"team_games":18,"tracked_apps":10,"tracked_starts":5},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.013,"country":null,"load":{"games":1,"minutes":64,"country":0}},{"id":1284,"name":"Roberto Fernández","side":"home","team":"Espanyol","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":12,"starts":12,"goals":7,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":5,"team_games":18,"tracked_apps":12,"tracked_starts":12},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":1,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Levante UD","kickoff":1786899600,"goals":2,"assists":0,"score":"3-0","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_scorer"],"importance":0.247,"country":{"team":null,"apps":1,"goals":0,"assists":0,"tournament":null,"lately":null},"load":{"games":2,"minutes":165,"country":0}},{"id":1261,"name":"Bryan Zaragoza","side":"home","team":"Espanyol","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"LW","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":9,"starts":5,"goals":1,"assists":2,"big_chances":1,"clean_sheets":3,"team_games":18,"tracked_apps":9,"tracked_starts":5},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":1,"assists":2,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Málaga CF","kickoff":1791572400,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"1-1","won":false},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.092,"country":null,"load":{"games":2,"minutes":133,"country":0}},{"id":27277,"name":"Zakaria Eddahchouri","side":"away","team":"Deportivo de A Coruña","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"out","reason":"Broken Wrist","expected_return":"2026-11-20","season":{"apps":5,"starts":0,"goals":1,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":0,"team_games":21,"tracked_apps":5,"tracked_starts":0},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":1,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Villarreal","kickoff":1788634800,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"3-2","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.023,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":13892,"name":"Bright Ede","side":"away","team":"Deportivo de A Coruña","club":null,"role":"DEF","position":"CB","status":"out","reason":"Hamstring Injury","expected_return":"2026-11-20","season":{"apps":7,"starts":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":0,"team_games":21,"tracked_apps":7,"tracked_starts":5},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.022,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":752,"name":"Marc Casadó","side":"away","team":"Deportivo de A Coruña","club":null,"role":"MID","position":"CM","status":"out","reason":"Muscle Injury","expected_return":"2026-11-20","season":{"apps":3,"starts":1,"goals":0,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":1,"team_games":21,"tracked_apps":3,"tracked_starts":1},"recent":{"apps":4,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":1},"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.002,"country":{"team":null,"apps":1,"goals":0,"assists":0,"tournament":null,"lately":null},"load":null},{"id":1932,"name":"Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang","side":"away","team":"Deportivo de A Coruña","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":9,"starts":7,"goals":5,"assists":2,"big_chances":2,"clean_sheets":0,"team_games":21,"tracked_apps":9,"tracked_starts":7},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":2,"assists":2,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Villarreal","kickoff":1788634800,"goals":1,"assists":2,"score":"3-2","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_scorer","best_performer","in_form"],"importance":0.267,"country":null,"load":{"games":1,"minutes":21,"country":0}},{"id":27279,"name":"Bil Nsongo","side":"away","team":"Deportivo de A Coruña","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":12,"starts":9,"goals":2,"assists":0,"big_chances":1,"clean_sheets":1,"team_games":21,"tracked_apps":12,"tracked_starts":9},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":2,"assists":0,"scoredIn":1,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Osasuna","kickoff":1793649600,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"2-1","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.073,"country":null,"load":{"games":2,"minutes":170,"country":0}},{"id":27283,"name":"Yeremay Hernández","side":"away","team":"Deportivo de A Coruña","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"LW","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":10,"starts":4,"goals":1,"assists":1,"big_chances":1,"clean_sheets":1,"team_games":21,"tracked_apps":10,"tracked_starts":4},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":1,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Real Sociedad","kickoff":1791728100,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"2-3","won":false},"strengths":[],"tags":["best_performer"],"importance":0.07,"country":null,"load":{"games":2,"minutes":180,"country":0}}],"extras":{"teams":{"home":53,"away":1260},"split":{"home":{"above":{"w":1,"d":1,"l":4},"below":{"w":1,"d":1,"l":2}},"away":{"above":{"w":0,"d":1,"l":3},"below":{"w":3,"d":3,"l":0}}},"referee":null,"managers":{"home":{"id":206,"name":"Eder Sarabia","vs":{"w":1,"d":1,"l":0,"last":{"kickoff":1748795400,"score":"4-0","result":"W"}}},"away":{"id":821,"name":"Antonio Hidalgo","vs":null}},"best_xi":[{"id":1932,"name":"Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang","team_id":1260,"position":"F","matches":8,"goals":5,"assists":2}],"players":{"580":{"caps":2,"goals":0,"country":"Basque Country","signed":null},"1281":{"caps":1,"goals":0,"country":"Basque Country","signed":{"from":"Real Sociedad","fee":5000000,"at":1756339200}},"1286":{"caps":null,"goals":null,"country":null,"signed":{"from":"Darmstadt 98","fee":2000000,"at":1756080000}},"1932":{"caps":25,"goals":11,"country":"Gabon","signed":{"from":"Olympique de Marseille","fee":1500000,"at":1784246400}},"13892":{"caps":null,"goals":null,"country":null,"signed":{"from":"Motor Lublin","fee":6000000,"at":1783382400}},"27279":{"caps":1,"goals":1,"country":"Cameroon","signed":null},"30427":{"caps":null,"goals":null,"country":null,"signed":{"from":"CD Castellón","fee":5000000,"at":1782950400}}}},"notable":[{"id":747,"name":"Raphinha","goals":15,"rank":1},{"id":594,"name":"Kylian Mbappé","goals":12,"rank":2},{"id":745,"name":"Lamine Yamal","goals":10,"rank":3},{"id":2669,"name":"Ante Budimir","goals":9,"rank":4},{"id":2332,"name":"Yassir Zabiri","goals":8,"rank":5},{"id":918,"name":"Sergio Camello","goals":7,"rank":6},{"id":30392,"name":"Fernando Niño","goals":6,"rank":7},{"id":1284,"name":"Roberto Fernández","goals":6,"rank":8},{"id":28408,"name":"Adrián Niño","goals":5,"rank":9},{"id":769,"name":"Alex Baena","goals":5,"rank":10},{"id":3663,"name":"Fermín López","goals":5,"rank":11},{"id":2353,"name":"Lucas Boyé","goals":5,"rank":12},{"id":1932,"name":"Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang","goals":5,"rank":13},{"id":2123,"name":"Roger Brugué","goals":5,"rank":14},{"id":2142,"name":"Alejandro Grimaldo","goals":4,"rank":15}],"round_label":"Regular season · Matchday 12","neutral":false,"h2h":{"total_matches":52,"home_wins":18,"draws":13,"away_wins":21,"home_goals":51,"away_goals":63,"avg_total_goals":2.1923076923076925,"home_win_rate":0.34615384615384615,"away_win_rate":0.40384615384615385,"recent_matches":[{"away":"Espanyol","date":"2018-02-23T20:00:00+00:00","home":"Deportivo de A Coruña","score":"0-0","event_id":347110,"away_score":0,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":53,"home_team_id":1260},{"away":"Deportivo de A Coruña","date":"2017-09-24T10:00:00+00:00","home":"Espanyol","score":"4-1","event_id":346923,"away_score":1,"home_score":4,"away_team_id":1260,"home_team_id":53},{"away":"Espanyol","date":"2017-05-07T16:30:00+00:00","home":"Deportivo de A Coruña","score":"1-2","event_id":362265,"away_score":2,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":53,"home_team_id":1260},{"away":"Deportivo de A Coruña","date":"2017-01-06T19:45:00+00:00","home":"Espanyol","score":"1-1","event_id":362066,"away_score":1,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":1260,"home_team_id":53},{"away":"Deportivo de A Coruña","date":"2016-02-20T17:15:00+00:00","home":"Espanyol","score":"1-0","event_id":381260,"away_score":0,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":1260,"home_team_id":53},{"away":"Espanyol","date":"2015-09-27T14:00:00+00:00","home":"Deportivo de A Coruña","score":"3-0","event_id":381074,"away_score":0,"home_score":3,"away_team_id":53,"home_team_id":1260},{"away":"Espanyol","date":"2015-03-22T11:00:00+00:00","home":"Deportivo de A Coruña","score":"0-0","event_id":396386,"away_score":0,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":53,"home_team_id":1260},{"away":"Deportivo de A Coruña","date":"2014-10-26T16:00:00+00:00","home":"Espanyol","score":"0-0","event_id":396197,"away_score":0,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":1260,"home_team_id":53},{"away":"Espanyol","date":"2013-05-19T15:00:00+00:00","home":"Deportivo de A Coruña","score":"2-0","event_id":426200,"away_score":0,"home_score":2,"away_team_id":53,"home_team_id":1260},{"away":"Deportivo de A Coruña","date":"2012-12-20T21:00:00+00:00","home":"Espanyol","score":"2-0","event_id":426005,"away_score":0,"home_score":2,"away_team_id":1260,"home_team_id":53}]},"standings":{"home":{"team_id":53,"position":14,"played":11,"points":11,"goal_diff":-1,"team_name":"Espanyol","won":3,"drawn":2,"lost":6,"goals_for":13,"goals_against":14,"group":null},"away":{"team_id":1260,"position":8,"played":11,"points":14,"goal_diff":1,"team_name":"Deportivo de A Coruña","won":3,"drawn":5,"lost":3,"goals_for":15,"goals_against":14,"group":null},"size":20},"form":{"home":{"matches":6,"ppg":0.83,"record":"1-2-3","goals_for":1,"goals_against":1.5,"clean_sheets":1,"streak":"none","sequence":"LDLLDW","venue_ppg":0},"away":{"matches":6,"ppg":1.17,"record":"2-1-3","goals_for":1.5,"goals_against":1.5,"clean_sheets":1,"streak":"none","sequence":"LLDLWW","venue_ppg":1}},"ledger":[{"id":"availability.home.absences","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Espanyol are without 5 players, none of them central to how the side plays.","evidence":{"count":5,"measured":4,"combined_goal_share":0.083,"combined_importance":0.086,"players":[{"player":"Roger Hinojo","role":"DEF","reason":"yellow_card_accumulation_suspension","goal_share":0,"importance":0.042,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":7},{"player":"Álex Calatrava","role":"MID","reason":"Physical Discomfort","goal_share":0.083,"importance":0.021,"measured":true,"doubtful":true,"cover_at_position":9},{"player":"Clemens Riedel","role":"DEF","reason":"Muscle Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.017,"measured":true,"doubtful":true,"cover_at_position":7},{"player":"Urko González","role":"MID","reason":"Muscle Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.006,"measured":true,"doubtful":true,"cover_at_position":9},{"player":"Andoni Gorosabel","role":"DEF","reason":"Physical Discomfort","goal_share":0,"importance":0.05,"measured":false,"doubtful":true,"cover_at_position":7}]},"strength":0.215,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"home","pct":-0.2},{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":0.8},{"channel":"corners","side":"home","pct":-0.1},{"channel":"cards","side":"both","pct":0.3}]},{"id":"availability.away.absences","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Deportivo de A Coruña are without 3 players, none of them central to how the side plays.","evidence":{"count":3,"measured":3,"combined_goal_share":0.077,"combined_importance":0.047,"players":[{"player":"Zakaria Eddahchouri","role":"ATT","reason":"Broken Wrist","goal_share":0.077,"importance":0.023,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":6},{"player":"Bright Ede","role":"DEF","reason":"Hamstring Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.022,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":8},{"player":"Marc Casadó","role":"MID","reason":"Muscle Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.002,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":11}]},"strength":0.15,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":-0.3},{"channel":"goals","side":"home","pct":0.2},{"channel":"corners","side":"away","pct":-0.1},{"channel":"cards","side":"both","pct":0.1}]},{"id":"availability.rotation_risk","section":"§3.1","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.","evidence":{"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.677,"cup_tie":false},"strength":0.323,"moves":[]},{"id":"stakes.season","section":"§5.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing much riding on this one for either side yet.","evidence":{"games_left":26,"home":{"state":"mid_table","position":14,"points":11,"games_left":26,"gap_to_leader":19,"gap_to_safety":1,"gap_to_europe":6},"away":{"state":"mid_table","position":8,"points":14,"games_left":26,"gap_to_leader":16,"gap_to_safety":4,"gap_to_europe":3},"six_pointer":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.derby","section":"§5.2","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Not a local derby.","evidence":{"derby":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.revenge","section":"§5.3","tier":2,"state":"THIN","note":"No reverse fixture on record this season, so there is no revenge angle to read.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.home.bounce","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Eder Sarabia is 1 game into the job at Espanyol. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.","evidence":{"manager":"Eder Sarabia","matches_in_charge":1,"tenure_days":9,"ppm":3,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":0.5,"after_ppm":3,"delta":null}},"strength":0.583,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"home","pct":5.2}]},{"id":"manager.away.settled","section":"§1.3","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Antonio Hidalgo has been at Deportivo de A Coruña for 2 years and 109 matches: a settled regime with a large, stable sample behind it.","evidence":{"manager":"Antonio Hidalgo","matches_in_charge":109,"tenure_days":813,"ppm":1.55,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.2,"after_ppm":1,"delta":null}},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.home","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Espanyol come in on 8 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":7.802083333333333,"matchesIn7":0,"matchesIn14":2,"days_rest":7.8},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.away","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Deportivo de A Coruña come in on 5 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":4.802083333333333,"matchesIn7":1,"matchesIn14":3,"days_rest":4.8},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.opponent_adjustment","section":"§4.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form.","evidence":{"home":{"attack":-0.15,"defence":0.031,"effective_matches":15.1,"shrunk":0.35},"away":{"attack":-0.02,"defence":0.042,"effective_matches":8.3,"shrunk":0.49}},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence; Deportivo de A Coruña work noticeably more of their attacks into wide areas.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":46.8,"shots":12.2,"xg_per_shot":0.094,"corners":3.3,"corners_per_shot":0.274,"finishing_vs_xg":0.1},"away":{"matches":12,"possession":52.5,"shots":15.2,"xg_per_shot":0.109,"corners":6,"corners_per_shot":0.395,"finishing_vs_xg":-0.07},"possession_gap":-5.7},"strength":0.228,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Espanyol are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.1,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Deportivo de A Coruña are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.07,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No travel distance reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.","evidence":{"rain_mm":null,"wind_kph":16.3,"temperature_c":19,"description":"cloudy"},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.3028212871875403},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: value","preview":"Eighth-placed Deportivo de Coruña will control this match because they create superior chances almost every week while fourteenth-placed Espanyol get out-created in most of their recent games. Espanyol are oddly poor at home and getting opened up badly, facing six or more shots on target in five of their last six matches, which is made worse by defensive absences that leave them missing five players in all. Meanwhile, the visitors are trending up and making clearly better chances than before, and though they have scored only 10 in their last eight from opportunities that usually bring about 14, their goals are coming soon. Both teams have lost three of their last six, but the hosts lack stability at the back without key defenders and midfielders, while the visitors will dominate the openings and dictate the tempo.","external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":7049,"created_at":"2026-11-01T02:15:23Z","event":{"id":213633,"event_date":"2026-11-07T15:15:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":53,"home_team":"Espanyol","away_team_id":1260,"away_team":"Deportivo de A Coruña","league_id":3,"league_name":"La Liga"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"H","favorite_prob":41,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.4103,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}}},"computed_at":1793981315,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":"#ed232a","away":"#5f1966"},"venue":{"name":"RCDE Stadium","city":"Cornella","capacity":40000},"pulled":[],"published":[]}