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evidence.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":50.9,"shots":14.4,"xg_per_shot":0.096,"corners":5,"corners_per_shot":0.348,"finishing_vs_xg":0.04},"away":{"matches":12,"possession":51.8,"shots":11,"xg_per_shot":0.1,"corners":4.2,"corners_per_shot":0.38,"finishing_vs_xg":0.4},"possession_gap":-0.9},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Rayo Vallecano are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.04,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Elche have scored 5 more than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.4,"matches":12},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Routine trip of 350 km for Elche.","evidence":{"travel_km":350},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.","evidence":{"rain_mm":null,"wind_kph":8.3,"temperature_c":19,"description":"unknown"},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.30506245036986823},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: value","preview":"Elche might sit down in the bottom three and have dropped two of their last six, but the visitors travel well and hold a dominant historical edge with fourteen victories from the last twenty three meetings. The visitors arrive with five-goal top scorer Fernando Niño hitting form through three goals across the last five games, whereas Rayo Vallecano have won just two of their last six and face a tough test despite their strong home form. The hosts must reshuffle defensively without Luiz Felipe following a cruciate ligament problem, which will disrupt their defensive stability and hand the initiative to Elche's attack. Expect the visitors to exploit those defensive gaps and extend their historical dominance over a struggling home side.","external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":5817,"created_at":"2026-10-18T02:15:33Z","event":{"id":213615,"event_date":"2026-10-24T12:00:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":40,"home_team":"Rayo Vallecano","away_team_id":55,"away_team":"Elche","league_id":3,"league_name":"La Liga"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"H","favorite_prob":53.4,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.5337,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}},"polymarket":{"event_id":213615,"event_date":"2026-10-24T12:00:00Z","home_team":"Rayo Vallecano","away_team":"Elche","polymarket_event_id":"1226575","liquidity":{"volume_24hr":null,"volume_1wk":null,"volume_1mo":null,"volume_1yr":null,"open_interest":null,"liquidity_clob":null,"liquidity_amm":null},"pricing":{"best_bid":null,"best_ask":null,"change_1d":null,"change_1wk":null,"change_1mo":null},"goalscorers":null,"exact_scores":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T00:27:06Z"}},"computed_at":1792730794,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":"#d2a94c","away":"#d9b659"},"venue":{"name":"Estadio de Vallecas","city":"Madrid","capacity":14708},"pulled":[],"published":[]}