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form.","evidence":{"home":{"attack":-0.033,"defence":0.001,"effective_matches":6.4,"shrunk":0.56},"away":{"attack":0.072,"defence":-0.155,"effective_matches":12.9,"shrunk":0.38}},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":48.1,"shots":11.3,"xg_per_shot":0.091,"corners":4.8,"corners_per_shot":0.426,"finishing_vs_xg":0.3},"away":{"matches":12,"possession":45.8,"shots":12,"xg_per_shot":0.128,"corners":4.3,"corners_per_shot":0.358,"finishing_vs_xg":-0.03},"possession_gap":2.3},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Deportivo de A Coruña have scored 4 more than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.3,"matches":12},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Levante UD are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.03,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No travel distance reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.","evidence":{"rain_mm":null,"wind_kph":16.9,"temperature_c":14,"description":null},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.31944861590591533},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"preview":null,"external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":4947,"created_at":"2026-10-10T02:15:28Z","event":{"id":213601,"event_date":"2026-10-16T19:00:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":1260,"home_team":"Deportivo de A Coruña","away_team_id":46,"away_team":"Levante UD","league_id":3,"league_name":"La Liga"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"H","favorite_prob":44.9,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.4485,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}},"polymarket":{"event_id":213601,"event_date":"2026-10-16T19:00:00Z","home_team":"Deportivo de A Coruña","away_team":"Levante UD","polymarket_event_id":"1155645","liquidity":{"volume_24hr":null,"volume_1wk":null,"volume_1mo":null,"volume_1yr":null,"open_interest":null,"liquidity_clob":null,"liquidity_amm":null},"pricing":{"best_bid":null,"best_ask":null,"change_1d":null,"change_1wk":null,"change_1mo":null},"goalscorers":null,"exact_scores":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-13T05:57:06Z"}},"computed_at":1792037798,"verdicts":[{"narrative":"Look past the results and this is Deportivo de A Coruña's game. Deportivo de A Coruña are trending up: in their last four games they have made clearly better chances than in the games before. As for the other side, Levante UD have faced six or more efforts on target in four of their last six games. They are getting opened up. And away from home, they have been out-created in three of their last four away games. If that carries on, Deportivo de A Coruña should have the better of it.","drivers":[{"id":"availability.home.absences","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Deportivo de A Coruña are without 4 players, and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is a real loss.","evidence":{"count":4,"measured":4,"combined_goal_share":0.6,"combined_importance":0.409,"players":[{"player":"Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang","role":"ATT","reason":"Meniscus Injury","goal_share":0.5,"importance":0.333,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":6,"tags":["top_scorer","best_performer","in_form"]},{"player":"Lorenzo Amatucci","role":"MID","reason":"red_card_suspension","goal_share":0,"importance":0.046,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":9},{"player":"Zakaria Eddahchouri","role":"ATT","reason":"Broken Wrist","goal_share":0.1,"importance":0.028,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":6},{"player":"Marc Casadó","role":"MID","reason":"Muscle Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.002,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":9}]},"strength":1,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"home","pct":-3.8},{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":0.1},{"channel":"corners","side":"home","pct":-1.9},{"channel":"cards","side":"both","pct":0.2}]}],"set_aside":[{"id":"availability.rotation_risk","section":"§3.1","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.","evidence":{"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.705,"cup_tie":false},"strength":0.295,"moves":[]}]}],"locked":true,"plan":"monthly","locked_calls":1,"colors":{"home":"#5f1966","away":"#a80e41"},"venue":{"name":"Estadio Riazor","city":"La Coruna","capacity":32490},"pulled":[],"published":[]}