{"id":213574,"league_id":3,"league":"La Liga","kickoff":1789587000,"home":"FC Barcelona","away":"Real Racing Club","home_id":44,"away_id":1400,"verdicts":[],"markets":[],"restored":true,"status":"finished","score":[7,2],"colors":{"home":"#b40f3f","away":"#2d9829"},"venue":null,"pulled":[],"published":[{"market":"double_chance","outcome":"12","line":null,"odds":1.05,"bookmaker":"888Sport","model_prob":0.927,"narrative":"Double chance 12 at 1.05. 2.67 expected for FC Barcelona, 1.13 for Real Racing Club — neither side projects to run away with it, and the total is what matters here. Compounding it, the shape of this is lopsided: 67% possession for FC Barcelona against a side that does not want it. The reservation, and it is a real one: 3 matches in a fortnight has left FC Barcelona running on reserves, and pressing is the first thing to go. Call it 93%. Nothing in the pricing disagrees, so take this as a read on the match rather than on the odds.","why":null,"result":"WON","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"landed","swing":5,"closeness":"nowhere near","shape":null,"expected_total":null,"actual_total":9,"market":null,"opening_odds":null,"closing_odds":null,"line":"Never in doubt, whatever the price said beforehand."}},{"market":"over_under_15","outcome":"over","line":1.5,"odds":1.04,"bookmaker":"888Sport","model_prob":0.927,"narrative":"Over 1.5 goals at 1.04. 2.67 and 1.13 makes 3.80 between them — enough traffic that the goals market is the clearer read here. And Real Racing Club will spend this match without the ball — FC Barcelona hold 17 points more of it than they do. What the confidence number does not see: coming in on 3.2 days' rest, FC Barcelona arrive a little short of fresh. We make it 93% at 1.04. Short, and short for a reason — the market has this one read the same way we do.","why":null,"result":"WON","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"landed","swing":8,"closeness":"nowhere near","shape":null,"expected_total":null,"actual_total":9,"market":null,"opening_odds":null,"closing_odds":null,"line":"Never in doubt, whatever the price said beforehand."}},{"market":"1x2","outcome":"HOME","line":null,"odds":1.1,"bookmaker":"Interwetten","model_prob":0.891,"narrative":"Home win at 1.10. The model has FC Barcelona at 2.67 goals here against Real Racing Club's 1.13 — that gap is the whole case. On top of that, the shape of this is lopsided: FC Barcelona average 67% of the ball against a side that does not want it. That is the case, and it ends at FC Barcelona winning it. We make it 89% at 1.10. Short, and short for a reason — the market has this one read the same way we do.","why":null,"result":"WON","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"landed","swing":5,"closeness":"nowhere near","shape":null,"expected_total":null,"actual_total":9,"market":null,"opening_odds":null,"closing_odds":null,"line":"Never in doubt, whatever the price said beforehand."}},{"market":"over_under_25","outcome":"over","line":2.5,"odds":1.17,"bookmaker":"10bet","model_prob":0.837,"narrative":"Over 2.5 goals at 1.17. 2.67 and 1.13 makes 3.80 between them — enough traffic that the goals market is the clearer read here. And one side wants the ball and the other is happy without it: 17 points of possession separate FC Barcelona and Real Racing Club across the season. On that evidence, more than 2.5 goals in it. 84% on our numbers, 1.17 on the board. Both are saying the same thing, which is worth knowing and is not an edge.","why":null,"result":"WON","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"landed","swing":7,"closeness":"nowhere near","shape":null,"expected_total":null,"actual_total":9,"market":null,"opening_odds":null,"closing_odds":null,"line":"Never in doubt, whatever the price said beforehand."}}]}