{"id": 212663, "h2h": {"draws": 2, "away_wins": 0, "home_wins": 3, "away_goals": 2, "home_goals": 6, "away_win_rate": 0, "home_win_rate": 0.6, "total_matches": 5, "recent_matches": [{"away": "Malta", "date": "2026-09-24T16:00:00+00:00", "home": "Andorra", "score": "1-2", "event_id": 212589, "away_score": 2, "home_score": 1, "away_team_id": 2089, "home_team_id": 701}, {"away": "Andorra", "date": "2024-11-19T19:45:00+00:00", "home": "Malta", "score": "0-0", "event_id": 209048, "away_score": 0, "home_score": 0, "away_team_id": 701, "home_team_id": 2089}, {"away": "Malta", "date": "2024-09-10T18:45:00+00:00", "home": "Andorra", "score": "0-1", "event_id": 208944, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 0, "away_team_id": 2089, "home_team_id": 701}, {"away": "Andorra", "date": "2020-11-14T14:00:00+00:00", "home": "Malta", "score": "3-1", "event_id": 284902, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 3, "away_team_id": 701, "home_team_id": 2089}, {"away": "Malta", "date": "2020-10-10T18:45:00+00:00", "home": "Andorra", "score": "0-0", "event_id": 284854, "away_score": 0, "home_score": 0, "away_team_id": 2089, "home_team_id": 701}], "avg_total_goals": 1.6}, "away": "Andorra", "form": {"away": {"ppg": 0.67, "record": "1-1-4", "streak": "winless 4", "matches": 6, "sequence": "LWLLDL", "goals_for": 0.5, "venue_ppg": 0.33, "clean_sheets": 2, "goals_against": 1.5}, "home": {"ppg": 1.5, "record": "3-0-3", "streak": "won 3", "matches": 6, "sequence": "LLLWWW", "goals_for": 1.17, "venue_ppg": 1.5, "clean_sheets": 2, "goals_against": 1.33}}, "home": "Malta", "pass": "Nothing to take on Malta against Andorra. No bookmaker is pricing it yet.", "rank": 3, "read": null, "flags": [{"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "section": "§3.1"}], "score": null, "venue": {"city": "Ta' Qali", "name": "National Stadium Ta' Qali", "capacity": 16997}, "colors": {"away": "#cd113a", "home": "#bf0f0f"}, "extras": null, "lambda": [1.14, 1.27], "league": "UEFA Nations League", "ledger": [{"id": "availability.home.full_strength", "note": "Malta report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.away.absences", "note": "Andorra are without 2 players, none of them central to how the side plays.", "tier": 1, "moves": [{"pct": -0.5, "side": "away", "channel": "goals"}, {"pct": 0.4, "side": "home", "channel": "goals"}, {"pct": -0.2, "side": "away", "channel": "corners"}, {"pct": 0.3, "side": "both", "channel": "cards"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"count": 2, "players": [{"role": "GK", "player": "Iker Álvarez", "reason": "national_team", "doubtful": false, "measured": true, "goal_share": 0, "importance": 0.01, "cover_at_position": 0}, {"role": "MID", "player": "Éric Izquierdo", "reason": "yellow_card_accumulation_suspension", "doubtful": false, "measured": false, "goal_share": 0, "importance": 0.05, "cover_at_position": 0}], "measured": 1, "combined_goal_share": 0, "combined_importance": 0.01}, "strength": 0.15}, {"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0.482, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 0.518}, {"id": "stakes.table", "note": "A cup or a group stage, so there is no league table to read what either side is playing for.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§5.1", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.derby", "note": "Not a local derby.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.2", "evidence": {"derby": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "The reverse fixture finished 1-2, too close to carry a revenge motive.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.3", "evidence": {"reverse_margin": 1}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "manager.home.bounce", "note": "Emilio De Leo is 4 games into the job at Malta. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.", "tier": 3, "moves": [{"pct": 2.1, "side": "home", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 2.25, "manager": "Emilio De Leo", "tenure_days": 126, "matches_in_charge": 4, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 2.25, "before_ppm": 0.8}}, "strength": 0.233}, {"id": "manager.away.settling", "note": "Koldo is 7 games into the job at Andorra, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 0.71, "manager": "Koldo", "tenure_days": 188, "matches_in_charge": 7, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 0.71, "before_ppm": 0.2}}, "strength": 0.3}, {"id": "fatigue.away", "note": "Andorra come in on 4 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 4, "days_rest": 4, "matchesIn7": 2, "matchesIn14": 3}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.opponent_adjustment", "note": "Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form. — though 1.58935991410059 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.1", "evidence": {"away": {"attack": -0.09, "shrunk": 0.8, "defence": -0.033, "effective_matches": 2}, "home": {"attack": 0.076, "shrunk": 0.83, "defence": -0.024, "effective_matches": 1.6}, "sample": 1.58935991410059, "required": 6}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence; Andorra work noticeably more of their attacks into wide areas.", "tier": 5, "moves": [{"pct": 3, "side": "home", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"away": {"shots": 7, "corners": 2.6, "matches": 12, "possession": 40.3, "xg_per_shot": 0.09, "finishing_vs_xg": -0.13, "corners_per_shot": 0.371}, "home": {"shots": 10, "corners": 2.4, "matches": 12, "possession": 43.1, "xg_per_shot": 0.173, "finishing_vs_xg": -0.48, "corners_per_shot": 0.243}, "possession_gap": 2.8}, "strength": 0.112}, {"id": "style.press_matchup", "note": "Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"requires": ["ppda", "defensive_line_height"]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.home", "note": "Malta have scored 6 fewer than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": -0.48}, "strength": 0.25}, {"id": "style.finishing.away", "note": "Andorra are scoring about what their chances are worth.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": -0.13}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "referee.tendency", "note": "No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§13", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.travel", "note": "No travel distance reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.4", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.weather", "note": "No weather reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.2", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.pitch", "note": "No pitch condition reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.venue", "note": "Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.1", "evidence": {"home_adv": -0.304451477725764}, "strength": 0}], "locked": false, "people": [{"id": 12639, "name": "Henry Bonello", "side": "home"}, {"id": 12640, "name": "Ryan Camenzuli", "side": "home"}, {"id": 54144, "name": "Kurt Shaw", "side": "home"}, {"id": 54149, "name": "Enrico Pepe", "side": "home"}, {"id": 54143, "name": "Zach Muscat", "side": "home"}, {"id": 11558, "name": "Matthew Guillaumier", "side": "home"}, {"id": 8613, "name": "Teddy Teuma", "side": "home"}, {"id": 7526, "name": "Ylyas Chouaref", "side": "home"}, {"id": 54150, "name": "Paul Mbong", "side": "home"}, {"id": 29208, "name": "Irvin Cardona", "side": "home"}, {"id": 54146, "name": "Alexander Satariano", "side": "home"}, {"id": 12647, "name": "Joseph Mbong", "side": "home"}, {"id": 54148, "name": "Juan Carlos Corbalan", "side": "home"}, {"id": 54145, "name": "Gabriel Mentz", "side": "home"}, {"id": 54154, "name": "Myles Beerman", "side": "home"}, {"id": 55041, "name": "Keyon Ewurum", "side": "home"}, {"id": 54147, "name": "Adam Overend", "side": "home"}, {"id": 54156, "name": "Brandon Paiber", "side": "home"}, {"id": 54151, "name": "Trent Buhagiar", "side": "home"}, {"id": 54155, "name": "Jake Grech", "side": "home"}, {"id": 54153, "name": "Jean Borg", "side": "home"}, {"id": 54157, "name": "Andrea Zammit", "side": "home"}, {"id": 54152, "name": "Rashed Al-Tumi", "side": "home"}, {"id": 16763, "name": "Alex Ruiz", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16765, "name": "Max Llovera", "side": "away"}, {"id": 17203, "name": "Ian Bryan Olivera", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16764, "name": "Moisés San Nicolás", "side": "away"}, {"id": 54260, "name": "Biel Borra Font", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16778, "name": "Jordi Aláez", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16775, "name": "João Teixeira", "side": "away"}, {"id": 17204, "name": "Ot Remolins Planes", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16768, "name": "Alexandre Martínez", "side": "away"}, {"id": 53944, "name": "Aron Rodrigo", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16772, "name": "Albert Rosas", "side": "away"}, {"id": 13283, "name": "Guillaume Lopez", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16766, "name": "Christian García", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16776, "name": "Josep Gómes", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16773, "name": "Ricard Fernández Cucu", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16767, "name": "Marc García", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16779, "name": "Izan Fernández", "side": "away"}, {"id": 54357, "name": "Éric Vales", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16777, "name": "Jesús Rubio", "side": "away"}, {"id": 54358, "name": "Francisco Pomares", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16771, "name": "Éric Izquierdo", "side": "away"}, {"id": 27159, "name": "Iker Álvarez", "side": "away"}], "status": "notstarted", "away_id": 701, "home_id": 2089, "kickoff": 1791129600, "lineups": {"away": {"players": [{"id": 16763, "name": "Alex Ruiz", "ai_score": 0.225, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 16765, "name": "Max Llovera", "ai_score": 0.477, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 17203, "name": "Ian Bryan Olivera", "ai_score": 0.416, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 16764, "name": "Moisés San Nicolás", "ai_score": 0.379, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 54260, "name": "Biel Borra Font", "ai_score": 0.362, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 16778, "name": "Jordi Aláez", "ai_score": 0.249, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 16775, "name": "João Teixeira", "ai_score": 0.235, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 17204, "name": "Ot Remolins Planes", "ai_score": 0.22, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 16768, "name": "Alexandre Martínez", "ai_score": 0.114, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 53944, "name": "Aron Rodrigo", "ai_score": 0.361, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 16772, "name": "Albert Rosas", "ai_score": 0.218, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 13283, "name": "Guillaume Lopez", "ai_score": 0.373, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 16766, "name": "Christian García", "ai_score": 0.287, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 16776, "name": "Josep Gómes", "ai_score": 0.225, "position": "G", "starting": false}, {"id": 16773, "name": "Ricard Fernández Cucu", "ai_score": 0.221, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 16767, "name": "Marc García", "ai_score": 0.211, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 16779, "name": "Izan Fernández", "ai_score": 0.196, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 54357, "name": "Éric Vales", "ai_score": 0.19, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 16777, "name": "Jesús Rubio", "ai_score": 0.183, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 54358, "name": "Francisco Pomares", "ai_score": 0.162, "position": "D", "starting": false}], "formation": "4-4-2", "confidence": 0.482}, "home": {"players": [{"id": 12639, "name": "Henry Bonello", "ai_score": 0.583, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 12640, "name": "Ryan Camenzuli", "ai_score": 0.449, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 54144, "name": "Kurt Shaw", "ai_score": 0.525, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 54149, "name": "Enrico Pepe", "ai_score": 0.52, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 54143, "name": "Zach Muscat", "ai_score": 0.392, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 11558, "name": "Matthew Guillaumier", "ai_score": 0.596, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 8613, "name": "Teddy Teuma", "ai_score": 0.433, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 7526, "name": "Ylyas Chouaref", "ai_score": 0.581, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 54150, "name": "Paul Mbong", "ai_score": 0.441, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 29208, "name": "Irvin Cardona", "ai_score": 0.58, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 54146, "name": "Alexander Satariano", "ai_score": 0.559, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 12647, "name": "Joseph Mbong", "ai_score": 0.348, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 54148, "name": "Juan Carlos Corbalan", "ai_score": 0.343, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 54145, "name": "Gabriel Mentz", "ai_score": 0.329, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 54154, "name": "Myles Beerman", "ai_score": 0.253, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 55041, "name": "Keyon Ewurum", "ai_score": 0.227, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 54147, "name": "Adam Overend", "ai_score": 0.184, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 54156, "name": "Brandon Paiber", "ai_score": 0.175, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 54151, "name": "Trent Buhagiar", "ai_score": 0.164, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 54155, "name": "Jake Grech", "ai_score": 0.152, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 54153, "name": "Jean Borg", "ai_score": 0.114, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 54157, "name": "Andrea Zammit", "ai_score": 0.102, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 54152, "name": "Rashed Al-Tumi", "ai_score": 0.05, "position": "G", "starting": false}], "formation": "4-2-3-1", "confidence": 0.695}, "status": "predicted", "confidence": 0.482, "unavailable": [{"id": 16771, "name": "Éric Izquierdo", "side": "away", "reason": "yellow_card_accumulation_suspension", "team_id": null}, {"id": 27159, "name": "Iker Álvarez", "side": "away", "reason": "national_team", "team_id": null}]}, "neutral": false, "notable": [{"id": 852, "name": "Erling Haaland", "rank": 1, "goals": 3}, {"id": 28704, "name": "Joel Pohjanpalo", "rank": 2, "goals": 3}, {"id": 745, "name": "Lamine Yamal", "rank": 3, "goals": 3}, {"id": 22868, "name": "Zeki Amdouni", "rank": 4, "goals": 3}, {"id": 6450, "name": "Andri Guðjohnsen", "rank": 5, "goals": 2}, {"id": 711, "name": "Anthony Gordon", "rank": 6, "goals": 2}, {"id": 2466, "name": "Harry Kane", "rank": 7, "goals": 2}, {"id": 7881, "name": "João Félix", "rank": 8, "goals": 2}, {"id": 8996, "name": "Leo Walta", "rank": 9, "goals": 2}, {"id": 5591, "name": "Mexx Meerdink", "rank": 10, "goals": 2}, {"id": 1311, "name": "Nikola Krstović", "rank": 11, "goals": 2}, {"id": 456, "name": "Viktor Gyökeres", "rank": 12, "goals": 2}, {"id": 6537, "name": "Adam Idah", "rank": 13, "goals": 1}, {"id": 1117, "name": "Adam Karabec", "rank": 14, "goals": 1}, {"id": 12738, "name": "Adrian Svanback", "rank": 15, "goals": 1}], "players": [{"id": 29208, "club": "Saint-Étienne", "load": {"games": 1, "country": 1, "minutes": 90}, "name": "Irvin Cardona", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": ["best_performer", "chance_creator", "in_form"], "team": "Malta", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 1, "assists": 4, "country": 1, "scoredIn": 1}, "season": {"apps": 7, "goals": 4, "starts": 6, "assists": 4, "team_games": 12, "big_chances": 5, "clean_sheets": 2, "tracked_apps": 7, "tracked_starts": 6}, "status": "fit", "country": {"apps": 1, "team": "Malta", "goals": 1, "lately": {"apps": 1, "goals": 1, "assists": 1}, "assists": 1, "tournament": null}, "position": "RW", "standout": {"won": true, "goals": 2, "score": "3-0", "assists": 0, "kickoff": 1786214700, "opponent": "Sochaux"}, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.16, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 16771, "club": "UD Yugo Socuéllamos", "load": {"games": 2, "country": 2, "minutes": 136}, "name": "Éric Izquierdo", "role": "MID", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Andorra", "reason": "yellow_card_accumulation_suspension", "recent": {"apps": 2, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "country": 2, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": null, "status": "out", "country": {"apps": 2, "team": "Andorra", "goals": 0, "lately": {"apps": 2, "goals": 0, "assists": 0}, "assists": 0, "tournament": null}, "position": "MID", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": "2026-10-04"}, {"id": 27159, "club": "Córdoba", "load": {"games": 2, "country": 2, "minutes": 180}, "name": "Iker Álvarez", "role": "GK", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Andorra", "reason": "national_team", "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "country": 2, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": {"apps": 3, "goals": 0, "starts": 3, "assists": 0, "team_games": 13, "big_chances": 0, "clean_sheets": 0, "tracked_apps": 3, "tracked_starts": 3}, "status": "out", "country": {"apps": 2, "team": "Andorra", "goals": 0, "lately": {"apps": 2, "goals": 0, "assists": 0}, "assists": 0, "tournament": null}, "position": "GK", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.01, "expected_return": "2026-10-05"}, {"id": 16772, "club": "UD Logroñés", "load": {"games": 2, "country": 2, "minutes": 50}, "name": "Albert Rosas", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Andorra", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 2, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "country": 2, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": {"apps": 2, "team": "Andorra", "goals": 0, "lately": {"apps": 2, "goals": 0, "assists": 0}, "assists": 0, "tournament": null}, "position": "ST", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}], "external": {"bsd_prediction": {"id": 4191, "event": {"id": 212663, "status": "notstarted", "away_team": "Andorra", "home_team": "Malta", "league_id": 64, "event_date": "2026-10-04T16:00:00Z", "league_name": "UEFA Nations League", "away_team_id": 701, "home_team_id": 2089}, "model": {"version": "dc-blend-v1", "confidence": 0.5501}, "created_at": "2026-09-28T02:15:27Z", "recommendations": {"btts": false, "winner": false, "over_15": false, "over_25": false, "over_35": false, "favorite": "H", "bet_favorite": false, "favorite_prob": 55}}}, "venue_id": 1351, "verdicts": [], "card_rate": 0.217, "league_id": 64, "published": [], "standings": {"away": {"won": 0, "lost": 1, "drawn": 1, "group": "League D, Group 1", "played": 2, "points": 1, "team_id": 701, "position": 3, "goal_diff": -1, "goals_for": 1, "team_name": "Andorra", "goals_against": 2}, "home": {"won": 1, "lost": 0, "drawn": 0, "group": "League D, Group 1", "played": 1, "points": 3, "team_id": 2089, "position": 1, "goal_diff": 1, "goals_for": 2, "team_name": "Malta", "goals_against": 1}, "size": 54}, "confidence": 0.39, "live_score": null, "computed_at": 1790875329, "corner_rate": 7.06, "lambda_away": 1.2655281716822508, "lambda_home": 1.1415097652123265, "pass_reason": "No market is priced for this fixture yet.", "provisional": true, "round_label": "League D, Group 1 · Matchday 4", "lineup_status": "predicted"}